Who will be SPOT BETTING this Football Season ?

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  • Sam Odom
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-30-05
    • 58063

    #36
    Originally posted by jjgold


    betting tons of games small
    Originally posted by jjgold


    Books do not like spot bettors because they know the edge is not as great great vs volume players getting crushed on juice
    Comment
    • Sam Odom
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-30-05
      • 58063

      #37
      Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat


      Sammy, u caught my eye on this one. I HATE the term "spot-betting."

      As if u could just peruse the card...and identify a solid gold pick every week. How exactly would one go about doing this?

      Success is about making sacrifice. You have to rise b4 the rooster crows to beat the house. Edges are there to be had, but u have to be ahead of the game to cash in.
      Just for the sake of discussion

      Say you have one 70% (spot) game... and 3 more at <63%

      You win the 70% and go 1-2 on the <60%


      You Know the rest
      Comment
      • lakerboy
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 04-02-09
        • 94379

        #38
        Originally posted by jjgold
        Books do not like spot bettors because they know the edge is not as great great vs volume players getting crushed on juice
        Books do not care. The guy who thinks it's smart betting a game a week etc is losing as well. Especially in college when there are so many opportunities.
        Comment
        • Sam Odom
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-30-05
          • 58063

          #39
          laker... heard that LT may have his NCAAFB black box Model for sell

          low 6 figures
          Comment
          • lakerboy
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 04-02-09
            • 94379

            #40
            Originally posted by Sam Odom
            laker... heard that LT may have his NCAAFB black box Model for sell

            low 6 figures
            Just don't buy his baseball package 😲
            Comment
            • jjgold
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 07-20-05
              • 388179

              #41
              Laker coming in big this year
              Comment
              • TommieGunshot
                SBR MVP
                • 03-27-12
                • 1607

                #42
                Originally posted by Sam Odom
                Just for the sake of discussion

                Say you have one 70% (spot) game... and 3 more at <63%

                You win the 70% and go 1-2 on the <60%


                You Know the rest
                Say someone does that every week for a year. Or 10 years. That's over 200 bets with a 70% chance of winning (an expected 161 - 69 record). And almost 700 bets with a 60% chance (an expected 414 - 276 won loss record).

                You know the rest. Because this is football, should have no problem betting $10,000 on these games, for a total profit of about $200,000 every year. And that's only one sport. Now go and do that in baseball and basketball too
                Comment
                • Sam Odom
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-30-05
                  • 58063

                  #43
                  Tommie

                  thanks for your contributions
                  Comment
                  • jjgold
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 07-20-05
                    • 388179

                    #44
                    Originally posted by TommieGunshot
                    Say someone does that every week for a year. Or 10 years. That's over 200 bets with a 70% chance of winning (an expected 161 - 69 record). And almost 700 bets with a 60% chance (an expected 414 - 276 won loss record).

                    You know the rest. Because this is football, should have no problem betting $10,000 on these games, for a total profit of about $200,000 every year. And that's only one sport. Now go and do that in baseball and basketball too

                    Comment
                    • G Anon Dropout
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 05-24-19
                      • 324

                      #45
                      Originally posted by jjgold
                      betting tons of games small
                      Same here.
                      Comment
                      • 2daBank
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-26-09
                        • 88966

                        #46
                        Sure. I make about 5-12 “spot plays” per Sunday. Lol.
                        Comment
                        • Reload
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 03-23-08
                          • 12250

                          #47
                          Pretty much all I do anymore. Got to zero in on the right plays.
                          Comment
                          • BigdaddyQH
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 07-13-09
                            • 19530

                            #48
                            What none of you realize is the fact that "Spot" betting is by far and away, the easiest type of wagering to rig. You do not have the time, or in 99% of the cases in here, the tools needed to figure out which wagers are legit and which are not.
                            Comment
                            • KVB
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 05-29-14
                              • 74817

                              #49
                              Originally posted by Sam Odom
                              Betting only One CFB and One NFL game per week if that...

                              Discuss the merits or faults in doing so...
                              The limit you are making is arbitrary, so for many (not all) therein lies the problem.

                              I posted this in regards to a daily limit but the principles still apply...

                              Originally posted by KVB
                              As far as the OP's question, a daily limit really is arbitrary constraint after many plays. Think of it more as a never ending rotation and save the discipline you would use to limit plays any given day and apply it to the play making in general.

                              Some days you will have none, and some you will have many. If you impose a daily limit you risk forcing plays to reach the limit, but even worse, you risk eliminating winners for no better reason than because you thought some other plays were winners too.

                              Over time, you aren't really limiting your risk for the appropriate reasons...
                              Comment
                              • Sam Odom
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-30-05
                                • 58063

                                #50
                                How are the Spotters doing so far ?
                                Comment
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