If the Angels come at +120 or better today they are a good play

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  • RangeFinder
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-27-16
    • 8041

    #1
    If the Angels come at +120 or better today they are a good play
    Still waiting on the opener

    Heaney is coming around strong. Astro's will be tough but I believe the game is a coinflip.
  • leetreaper
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 10-23-10
    • 34841

    #2
    Lets get it buddy.
    Comment
    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963

      #3
      I have McHugh plugged in for Astros and get Houston 55% (-122). Let's see who actual starter is first.
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388179

        #4
        Ranger taking shots everywhere now

        Is trout playing?
        Comment
        • pinnerpsk
          SBR MVP
          • 03-16-09
          • 1687

          #5
          Heaney is due to pitch well for sure.
          Comment
          • LT Profits
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-27-06
            • 90963

            #6
            Originally posted by jjgold
            Ranger taking shots everywhere now

            Is trout playing?
            Trout officially Questionable but I have him Out of lineup
            Comment
            • BigdaddyQH
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 07-13-09
              • 19530

              #7
              I don't know if I can go with a pitcher that has a 5.18 ERA.
              Comment
              • LT Profits
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-27-06
                • 90963

                #8
                Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                I don't know if I can go with a pitcher that has a 5.18 ERA.
                It's only over 41.2 innings but his 4.83 xFIP is more alarming to me.
                Comment
                • jjgold
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 07-20-05
                  • 388179

                  #9
                  Angles a bad play as of now
                  Comment
                  • KVB
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 05-29-14
                    • 74817

                    #10
                    Originally posted by jjgold
                    Angles a bad play as of now
                    There's no line yet, Gold.

                    Go hang out with BigDaddy for a while, you two suit each other.
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #11
                      Originally posted by KVB
                      There's no line yet, Gold.

                      Go hang out with BigDaddy for a while, you two suit each other.
                      Comment
                      • KVB
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 05-29-14
                        • 74817

                        #12
                        You're right LT, it was an unnecessary insult to JJ Gold.

                        For that Gold, I apologize.

                        It's good to see that a few of us put BigDaddy in his place when he was lying about his betting, seems he's a bit more tame since then as well.

                        Guy got so embarrassed he doesn't make nearly the senseless, violent posts he used.

                        Well, maybe he still makes the senseless posts, but we really put him his place, curbing his violent posts. It's hard to talk shit when you just come across as a fool with no integrity.

                        That eagles guy learned the same lesson.

                        Comment
                        • KVB
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 05-29-14
                          • 74817

                          #13
                          Originally posted by RangeFinder
                          Still waiting on the opener

                          Heaney is coming around strong. Astro's will be tough but I believe the game is a coinflip.

                          Looks like a bit closer to a pick than you had hoped Range. Close to a coinflip in the markets too.

                          Line might move the way of the Angels as well, not helping to get to +120.

                          Comment
                          • LT Profits
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-27-06
                            • 90963

                            #14
                            Astros going with world famous combo of Hector Rondon - Rogelio Armenteros
                            Comment
                            • KVB
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 05-29-14
                              • 74817

                              #15
                              I think the 10.5 was a bit too high. Liking the UNDER there.

                              Seeing a lot of 10s already.

                              Comment
                              • RangeFinder
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 10-27-16
                                • 8041

                                #16
                                Originally posted by KVB
                                Looks like a bit closer to a pick than you had hoped Range. Close to a coinflip in the markets too.

                                Line might move the way of the Angels as well, not helping to get to +120.

                                +103 not good enough for me. Would settle for 115 but prefer 120. Doesn't look like it will get there.
                                Comment
                                • RangeFinder
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 10-27-16
                                  • 8041

                                  #17
                                  Btw, how long does it take SBR to update the odds?
                                  Comment
                                  • KVB
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 05-29-14
                                    • 74817

                                    #18
                                    Took the +104 Range, not my favorite play. Like the UNDER too, but the way the market is configured there, I don't think we see a Contrarian Fund trigger.

                                    Good Luck on the other plays today.

                                    Comment
                                    • dhristov211
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-18-15
                                      • 2535

                                      #19
                                      No trout no play
                                      Comment
                                      • RangeFinder
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 10-27-16
                                        • 8041

                                        #20
                                        We might see that 120 before 1st pitch after all
                                        Comment
                                        • RangeFinder
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 10-27-16
                                          • 8041

                                          #21
                                          I fired at +116

                                          Good enough
                                          Comment
                                          • hotcross
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 08-04-17
                                            • 7934

                                            #22
                                            yep
                                            Comment
                                            • KVB
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 05-29-14
                                              • 74817

                                              #23
                                              Comment
                                              • sosawestbrook
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-10-16
                                                • 3135

                                                #24
                                                why is it a good play at +120 but not +100?

                                                unless you are betting 1000's
                                                Comment
                                                • hotcross
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 08-04-17
                                                  • 7934

                                                  #25
                                                  good start
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jjgold
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 07-20-05
                                                    • 388179

                                                    #26
                                                    It sounds good that is why

                                                    Originally posted by sosawestbrook
                                                    why is it a good play at +120 but not +100?

                                                    unless you are betting 1000's
                                                    Comment
                                                    • KVB
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 05-29-14
                                                      • 74817

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by sosawestbrook
                                                      why is it a good play at +120 but not +100?

                                                      unless you are betting 1000's
                                                      Because at +100 the bettor needs to win 50% of the games to break even.

                                                      At +120, the bettor needs to win 45% of the games to break even.

                                                      Depending on the number of games over time, it could be easy to bet into the 1000's, even if only churning $20 bets over and over.

                                                      Over a single season of betting the 20% difference in payout, and the discipline to wait for it, could mean the difference between a winning and losing season.

                                                      Or the difference between losing a lot and not so much in a season.

                                                      Comment
                                                      • sosawestbrook
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-10-16
                                                        • 3135

                                                        #28
                                                        I like both KVB & JJ's answers

                                                        Comment
                                                        • RangeFinder
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 10-27-16
                                                          • 8041

                                                          #29
                                                          I guess only the winning plays get bumped
                                                          Comment
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