Warriors are-5 in game 4 . Why?

[lakerboy]

What do the books know?

[unlearn]

Fukk the books and just blind bet Toronto ML again. Don't care if the gimps are playing or not

[ChiLLx]

The books never quit on GS. Ever. You’re seeing suicide in real time

[KRIT]

I think they expect back either Klay or KD. Also Warriors are in a must win situation after the loss, as reflected in the line.

[Eddy Munny]

Based on the 2nd half line they posted in tonight's game, the books are clueless.

Public cleaned up on the goofy Raptors spreads and moneyline, Over the game total, and pretty much every square player prop.

[Art Vandelay]

Game 3 opened 5.5 before we even knew the status of Durant, Looney, or Klay. Now they assume that Klay and Durant suit up in Game 4 with the Dubs in desperation mode. Not surprised at all by this line...

[eaglesfan371]

You’re a fukking idiot. One game does not impact 100s of games of statistics that go into calculating a line. Game 3 -5, game 4 -5 AND GUESS WHAT game 6 -5. This is based off 100s of games played in previous seasons. No huge changes in lineups.

STOP THINKING ONE GAME PREDICTS THE ENTIRE FUTURE OR SERIES PEOPLE. IT IS CALLED VARIANCE.

game 3 line was -4.5 50% of time each way.

[MiDNiTe]

Line will go down once Durant is ruled out

[stackz125]

Line will go down once Durant is ruled out

Game 3 was -5.5 and that was with Durant out so why would it go down with him being officially ruled out?

[MiDNiTe]

Game 3 was -5.5 and that was with Durant out so why would it go down with him being officially ruled out?

Different situation Gs need to win game 4 desperately and alot of people think Durant will play game 4 if he's officially ruled out I bet u alot more ppl will take raptors

[Juventuz]

You’re a fukking idiot. One game does not impact 100s of games of statistics that go into calculating a line. Game 3 -5, game 4 -5 AND GUESS WHAT game 6 -5. This is based off 100s of games played in previous seasons. No huge changes in lineups.

STOP THINKING ONE GAME PREDICTS THE ENTIRE FUTURE OR SERIES PEOPLE. IT IS CALLED VARIANCE.

game 3 line was -4.5 50% of time each way.

If you honestly think that the actual odds for this game should be affected by GSW’s/Toronto’s games from last season then you’re thinking exactly the way books want you to think. The ONLY thing from previous games that should affect the lines a little bit is Warriors experience/Raptors inexperience in the Finals.

It’s like the “statistic boards” at the roulette tables in casinos. For squares only.

[teecee]

You’re a fukking idiot. One game does not impact 100s of games of statistics that go into calculating a line. Game 3 -5, game 4 -5 AND GUESS WHAT game 6 -5. This is based off 100s of games played in previous seasons. No huge changes in lineups.

STOP THINKING ONE GAME PREDICTS THE ENTIRE FUTURE OR SERIES PEOPLE. IT IS CALLED VARIANCE.

game 3 line was -4.5 50% of time each way.

If statistics went into making the line, it would be -3 not -5.

[TheMoneyShot]

Just for the record... Bookmaker did open up with G.S. -4.5

Apparently it was pounded...

Now it's G.S. -5.5

[MiDNiTe]

Just for the record... Bookmaker did open up with G.S. -4.5

Apparently it was pounded...

Now it's G.S. -5.5

Think gamblers like goat and morino taking Gs right away look at goat put his life savings right after game 3 rest of gamblers who took raptors game 3 enjoying the win and waiting and seeing what happens in next 24hrs

[TheMoneyShot]

Steve Kerr told NBC Sports that Thompson is "expected to play" in Game 4.

It's basically official.


It sounds like Durant isn't going to play.

[Itsamazing777]

Durant has to play for any chance

[jjgold]

depends who plays that is all it comes down too

[rm18]

Even if everyone plays the line is too high Toronto is just a better team.

[MrSink]

I d checked line yesterday , last few mins of 2Q , GSW down 13. You can easilly see that noone besides Curry showed up and it is extremely unlikely that anyone wiill.

GSW +185

[Chi_archie]

Line is not predictive of the game outcome

Line is predictive of the market

tons of square money and emotional chase bettors will be on Golden State regardless of line

[thetrinity]

Thompson will play.

Only goat expects his hero Durant to play.

[thetrinity]

The books never quit on GS. Ever. You’re seeing suicide in real time

Books are willing to die with NBA favorites, especially big name ones like GS

[Chi_archie]

Books are willing to die with NBA favorites, especially big name ones like GS

why would the books die?

[thetrinity]

The SugarHouse might have died last night giving out 4.5 with no vig

[thetrinity]

why would the books die?

I mean “be exposed”

[Chi_archie]

I mean “be exposed”

they are only exposed if a lot more people take Toronto, right?

[LT Profits]

Klay expected to play. Durant may be done as a Warrior. So same expected lineup as Game 3 (early on) = similar opener, and that ignores small bump for being down 2-1.

[thetrinity]

I would have to think this is going to be low scoring. They don’t get the extra day, curry gassed, should lead to a half court game. Toronto also hit a ton of 3s

[magpie878]

Outside of Curry, the portion of the game last night that I watched had some of the worst driving/passing/shooting I've ever seen... let alone from a good team like Golden State.

[thetrinity]

they are only exposed if a lot more people take Toronto, right?

Yes, not people, but the actual handle on Toronto. The added element though is that a lot of GS title tickets are out there, at many points throughout the year, so they also have to consider that. They know enough players will take state so it’s not so one sided anyways, but there’s a lot to consider in this series because of all the injuries.

[thomorino]

Think gamblers like goat and morino taking Gs right away look at goat put his life savings right after game 3 rest of gamblers who took raptors game 3 enjoying the win and waiting and seeing what happens in next 24hrs

Fuk off

[Goat Milk]

Exactly. Why are they -5 after that thumping last night. Line/vegas confirms my own analysis. Toronto is done in this series. Once the warriors win game 4, Toronto is gonna be +2 in game 5 when Durant comes back. Anyone that says KD is not coming back seriously doesn't know shit about basketball. They're basically just trying to survive without him. And anyone that thinks adding the best player in the world to the roster is not gonna matter, well good luck with Fred Vanvleet and Lowry in a 2-2 series vs the likes of KD Curry Thompson. TKO. See you at the window.

[lakerboy]

Exactly. Why are they -5 after that thumping last night. Line/vegas confirms my own analysis. Toronto is done in this series. Once the warriors win game 4, Toronto is gonna be +2 in game 5 when Durant comes back. Anyone that says KD is not coming back seriously doesn't know shit about basketball. They're basically just trying to survive without him. And anyone that thinks adding the best player in the world to the roster is not gonna matter, well good luck with Fred Vanvleet and Lowry in a 2-2 series vs the likes of KD Curry Thompson. TKO. See you at the window.

Glad you took gasol off and exchanged him for van vleet

[UncleChael]

I heard Steve Kerr might be suiting up next game of the GS Warriors

[TheMoneyShot]

Never thought missing Looney would be HUGE..... it's very HUGE.

Why are there reports for every injured GS player.... that they will return?!?!?!?!!? 4 hours ago... saying Looney will comeback.

Enough with this WWE script bullsh#$.

Journalists hard up for stories??? Stop with this CNN sh#$.