Saw This Stat Today on Betting 200+ Away Favs

[jjgold]

Toronto ML
Pound it

[USCPHILLYGUY]

Think we know what to do here men

[USCPHILLYGUY]

Had some sick numbers on Milwaukee pitcher today 1st 5 record (0-4-5 in his 9 starts) and Seattle’s Starting pitcher 10-1 record to the over but I took Rudy’s advice and couldn’t figure out if these were good numbers or bad

Coach how’d these trends work out today

[RudyRuetigger]

whens this guy coming back>

[jjgold]

why does anyone work if trends so good??

Thread over

[RudyRuetigger]

why does anyone work if trends so good??

Thread over

watch out


phillyguy will think you are worst thing ever and stalk you 3 months now

[USCPHILLYGUY]

Couple teams in play tonight men.

Dodgers are -205 in Arizona.

Tampa -265 in Detroit.

[JIBBBY]

Trends work in sports Gambling, find trends then weigh in the value in the related bets with those trends. Can make money, will make money.. Streaks are called streaks for a reason, you jump in on them early and ride them til they pop and you get PAID..

[hubie69]

not as significant as it seems

did they give a breakdown of the avg juice? that matters


so we've seen a few -300 and aboves right?


-200 break even would be 66.67% or 62-31

-255 (tonight's yanks ML as an example) break even would be 71.83% or 67-26

its a small sample size and a small variation from expected outcomes

I would read into it that some strange big road fave trend is going to continue on

if anything i'd look for regression

Kershaw last season saw a few -400's

[JIBBBY]

Kershaw last season saw a few -400's

I road that streak for 10 games or so if I remember correctly last year. Made threads on that..

Many of those games were in the -275 and -300 range.. It was an auto play for me.. I got paid.. Last game loss stung and I was out but still made a good profit with that Kershaw winning streak.. Ryu has one going now...

[USCPHILLYGUY]

For tracking purposes. Tampa loses badly. LA wins. Boston ended up at -201 at 1st
pitch.

5-1 I believe

For today. Boston already at -229. I’d say Yankees will get there as well.

GL

[USCPHILLYGUY]

Not sure if you guys have been following along but here’s updated #’s

6/5 - Boston -245 WIN. 6/6 NYY -205 WiN. 6/7 LAD -240 LOSS. 6/8 MINN -220 LOSS. LAD -210 WIN. 6/9 MINNY -210 WIN. 6/14 BOS -240 WIN. 6/15 BOS -300 WIN. CLEV -240 WIN. 6/25 WASH -235 WIN

13-3 I believe updated.

Also good stat to follow on CINCI. 11-23 in Day Games this year and SP Mahle is now 0-10 in away starts. (Team 0-10)

Good luck today men

[jjgold]

why not


no other way to win

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Philly, you're doing good work.

[Itsamle]

No game today that is heavy away favorite . Suck

[Itsamle]

Not sure if you guys have been following along but here’s updated #’s

6/5 - Boston -245 WIN. 6/6 NYY -205 WiN. 6/7 LAD -240 LOSS. 6/8 MINN -220 LOSS. LAD -210 WIN. 6/9 MINNY -210 WIN. 6/14 BOS -240 WIN. 6/15 BOS -300 WIN. CLEV -240 WIN. 6/25 WASH -235 WIN

13-3 I believe updated.

Also good stat to follow on CINCI. 11-23 in Day Games this year and SP Mahle is now 0-10 in away starts. (Team 0-10)

Good luck today men

Btw cin not playing any day game today. But is that a good stats to look at going forward?

[USCPHILLYGUY]

Btw cin not playing any day game today. But is that a good stats to look at going forward?

Yes. Apologize for that. Wasn’t implying they were playing a day game but understand the confusion. They are home to the cubs with day games sat & sun

[USCPHILLYGUY]

Looks like WASH & LAD could be in play today.

[jjgold]

[USCPHILLYGUY]

Both WASH & LAD sitting at -216

Good luck today men.

[USCPHILLYGUY]

Saw this tidbit on the WASH game. Last 11 Strasburg starts vs. Marlins WASH 11-0 with average score 6-2

[Bostongambler]

Saw this tidbit on the WASH game. Last 11 Strasburg starts vs. Marlins WASH 11-0 with average score 6-2

🤔... Okay okay. Let’s ride!

[hawkeye 16]

Good post Philly.

[USCPHILLYGUY]

Both teams win. Though Wash was “available” for -200 they did close in the -190 range so won’t count in the record. Nice Strasburg stat continues though

LAD -216 Win

14-3 this season

[jjgold]

good thread

keep the plays coming

[Bostongambler]

Good job Philly

[USCPHILLYGUY]

Looked like LAD could have gotten there again today but now seeing some -180’s

saw this tidbit yesterday. Padres coming home off road trip are a combined 9-0-1 FF and Full Game UNDER. Full game currently at 8.5

[khaden]

I for one am glad dodgers don’t Look like they make it no lead is safe at coors - last night dodger announcers kept referring games played there as “ arena baseball”

[Itsamle]

I'm afraid of taking cleveland today. they are so eh. up and down all the time

[flakeandbake]

I'm afraid of taking cleveland today. they are so eh. up and down all the time

should be a gift

[USCPHILLYGUY]

So CLEV an official play at -221 in NJ

LAD in play at -216

[Itsamle]

Idk first inning only. They are down 0-4. With this data out. I think vegas or linemaker will drive these number up just for us to bet and loss. Plus The public is on Cleveland today.

[USCPHILLYGUY]

Idk first inning only. They are down 0-4. With this data out. I think vegas or linemaker will drive these number up just for us to bet and loss. Plus The public is on Cleveland today.

Think someone mentioned you have to hit at 72% clip to make profit. Currently over 80%. Losses will occur

[Itsamle]

Dodger might be hard too. But dodger will do better. Cleveland is a shitty team. It is not the same team from 3 year ago.

[Itsamle]

Hmm if theory is kinda right. Vegas is catching on so they will drive the number up like nothing. But we will see.