37% baseball betting method

[danshan11]

D is underdog
these are not working functioning systems they are the opposite LOL, this is to show the shit dont mean anything it is just noise.

we talked about streaks of wins and losses and I showed you WLWLLW is a better streak, you got to see that is bullshit!

[RangeFinder]

BG, you just need my inside plays, lol.

[danshan11]

look at this
this has 1000s of records has never had a losing season in 15 years and it is pure NOISE, if you play this you will lose

1326-630 (1.53, 67.8%) avg line: -186.8 / 169.8 on / against: +$17,111 / -$27,054 ROI: +4.7% / -13.8% 781-820 (0.08, 48.8%) avg line: 110.4 / -122.6 on / against: +$3,864 / -$13,337 ROI: +2.3% / -6.7% 896-943-117 (0.39, 48.7%) avg total: 8.2 over / under: -$13,073 / -$4,460 ROI: -6.1% / -2.1%

never has lost and it kinda makes sense which makes it even worse BUT THIS IS NOISE~

[danshan11]

if you take a zillion games and a zillion different stats and randomly connect dots on random stats from that pile, you will truly see survivorship BIAS. some things will have amazing results and some will have shockingly bad results. I use these as examples to show people what noise and how tricky noise can be! Noise tricks the best of us and especially when it kinda makes sense. You dont have to be a rocket scientist to think they won 8 straight they should win tonight, that makes total sense and vegas knows it, so they adjust the line just ever so slightly so that you pay the juice. streaks mean nothing zero zilch EXCEPT for the fact that they do mean something but that is in the line.

[Bostongambler]

BG, you just need my inside plays, lol.

Lol... Ya, 37 % alright, but with a different meaning.

[Snowball]

Bostongambler.
A number of years ago I played this out as an experiment in MLB. Here is a link to a post and the thread.
The bets were all pre-game, the thread title "live" did not mean live betting, it meant to convey LIVE CHASES
and LIVE FADES... as in "ongoing".

I got up to +22 units then lost some games and moved on to something else.
But there is a lot of information in this thread. Take a look. What I learned is that you're best off to close the
chase or fade after 2 games and, sometimes or to be more risky when you want, 3 MAX.
There is still capping involved, you need to pick your entries like you said but not just based on recent l/w
also on forward schedule and pitching rotation/strength of upcoming opponent.
The longer you are patient and wait for that 3rd-4th, 5th+ straight win before fading or 4-5th+ straight loss
before taking the better the odds. 2 games in a row is not even worth looking at. 3 is key if the team is middle range. It's not the worst teams you want to focus on, or the best... it's the MID-LEVEL
that is most reliable and is not so costly as the elite teams.
That sweet middle range is not overpriced and not as vulnerable to big loss strings.
This season with legal gambling the elite favorties will be juiced to the max.

I also suggest Run Line on martingale because the odds are so much CHEAPER and to countermand
the RL risk with a big hitting squad or soft spot in the rotation.

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/baseball-betting/1808442-snowballs-live-chases-fades-p9.html#post15879834

[Bostongambler]

Cool snowman, I’ll definitely check it out.

[bettingman6]

I dont see any data to support any streak being indicative of any edge by previous wins and or losses. this is a fallacy lots of bettors fall into. Each game is independent of each other and the lines are still efficient after 10 straight wins or 10 straight losses.

111-99 (0.52, 52.9%) avg line: -141.6 / 126.7 on / against: -$1,338 / +$218 ROI: -4.2% / +0.9% 85-77 (0.22, 52.5%) avg line: -111.9 / -103.1 on / against: +$226 / -$1,075 ROI: +1.1% / -5.4% 91-114-4 (0.05, 44.4%) avg total: 8.6 over / under: -$3,445 / +$1,460 ROI: -14.9% / +6.4%

Actually, a streak of just 1 game has been shown to throw lines off balance. In the NHL, you'd lose an average of 2.5% per bet if you bet on every team coming off a win, and lose an average just 1% per bet if you bet on every team coming off a loss. While betting on every team coming off a loss is still a losing strategy, it's pretty noticeably less of a losing strategy than betting for teams coming off a win. https://www.professormj.com/pages/be...-losing-streak


Betting on a team with a losing streak of at least 2 games against a team coming off a win actually has yielded a long term positive result in the NHL. (Although just barely)

[Bostongambler]

4-5 games played by most teams so far and every team has won at least 1 game. Most have won more. 37% will cash you.

[stevek173]

Not only is this one of the stupidest ideas ever posted anywhere, but here's the equation that specifically applies to a proven air bettor such as yourself:

First, proof of only airbets:

I don’t. 2501 on Oregon

Now, the equation:

Proven air bettor bets said amount of air multiplied by said price from book.

Win or lose, air bettor walks away with same amount of air since an actual bet for actual money never actually existed and air has a value of zero.

[Bostongambler]

Why are you in my thread? There are no kids in here for you to hit on.

[Bostongambler]

Not only is this one of the stupidest ideas ever posted anywhere, but here's the equation that specifically applies to a proven air bettor such as yourself:

First, proof of only airbets:



Now, the equation:

Proven air bettor bets said amount of air multiplied by said price from book.

Win or lose, air bettor walks away with same amount of air since an actual bet for actual money never actually existed and air has a value of zero.

When I embarrass you yet again, are you going to report be for making you look stupid?

Get out of my thread, Pedo.

[stevek173]

Two more reports, you're on a roll - thank you Captain Airbet.

I wonder where you got this idea from? Must be someone else's since you're don't come up with your own material, i.e. your copycat thread of USCPhilly's idea.

Just so everyone knows, you don't want to tail this guy because he doesn't make any bets for real money.

[Bostongambler]

System showing major results

[stevek173]

Print screened the original version of that post and sent it in.

Thank you.

[Bostongambler]

We had a whale back in the day at SOS follow my lead on this. Few can maintain it though.

[Believe_EMT]

D is underdog
these are not working functioning systems they are the opposite LOL, this is to show the shit dont mean anything it is just noise.

we talked about streaks of wins and losses and I showed you WLWLLW is a better streak, you got to see that is bullshit!

i like this guy.

find it fascinating that some of you guys burn so many calories chasing shit around with some silly ass marc lawrence type systems.

admit the market is efficient, submit to CLV, figure a way to maximize it and grind out a profit. long term, the books have an infinite BR compared to yours. c'mon gamblers' ruin, like friggin romper room in here sometimes...

[stevek173]

Believe, Bostongambler is well known as SBR's biggest air bettor.

He's not even playing this system, he's drying cars all day at a car wash and doesn't have any money to make any plays at all, that's why he trolls real bettors all day and actually stalks them outside of SBR as well. Yes, he ACTUALLY does that.

This thread is simply a desperate plea for attention.

[jjgold]

Boston gambler lost two car washes because of gambling

[stevek173]

He still hasn't lost his virginity, nevermind any properties.

[2daBank]

Not only is this one of the stupidest ideas ever posted anywhere, but here's the equation that specifically applies to a proven air bettor such as yourself:

First, proof of only airbets:



Now, the equation:

Proven air bettor bets said amount of air multiplied by said price from book.

Win or lose, air bettor walks away with same amount of air since an actual bet for actual money never actually existed and air has a value of zero.

Gas stations around my crib sell air for 75 cents!! No value my ass!! QT has free air but the machine always broken!!

[stevek173]

My bad banker.

[Bostongambler]

Lol... Good one guys. Got assessed at just over 3.1 mil last May. It’s just a hobby at this point.


As everyone knows I made my bones at sportsoffshore and just trying to add to the masses out here.

So when a Pedofiler ( stevek) comes out here and says I’m an airbetter I don’t even know why I respond. It’s like saying Michael Jordan never dunked. Oh well. Bipolar is a terrible terrible thing, but they have meds!!!

[stevek173]

Guys this is my thread now, anything we talk about will be more valuable to any real bettors then some retarded system an air bettor copied from somewhere, just like when he copied his friend USCPhilly's thread about the Blackhawks' overs hitting into his own thread..

So what do you guys want to talk about?

The Lightning look pretty strong to win the cup but I think Nashville and Pittsburgh both have a chance.

[2daBank]

Hope you didn’t think I was contributing to that nonsense BG. Just a joke about prices of air in my hood. Lol.

[Bostongambler]

Hope you didn’t think I was contributing to that nonsense BG. Just a joke about prices of air in my hood. Lol.

Lol... Not at all my man. Hope all is well 👍

[stevek173]

There is one thing I am actually jealous of about BG - his cousin is such an airhead that he never has to pay for air for his tires. She just puts her mouth on the tire and it magically fills up.

[Bostongambler]

There is one thing I am actually jealous of about BG - his cousin is such an airhead that he never has to pay for air for his tires. She just puts her mouth on the tire and it magically fills up.

When was the last time you even touched a woman? That wanted to be touched that is.

And when was the last time you touched a teenager? I suspect recent.

[stevek173]

Ten reports, impressive.

I still say the printscreen of posting my last name on here should be of the most use.

[Bostongambler]

Back to the spirit of this thread.

I would like to see the data on a +130 dog or above taking an early lead and seeing if it would be profitable to buy back some on the chalk.

[Believe_EMT]

If Nashville can sneak into that number 2 seed they have a chance. TB though?

even their equipment guy can score on any given night

[stevek173]

Right Believe_NT, I was just looking at the odds. I'll be placing another future on the Penguins at +1500. TB is +180 which is absurd, but they've been that good.

Pens are actually 2nd at +900 to TB -110 to take the East, which is interesting.

I could see TB beating Pit in a quick 4 or Pit beating them in 7.

[Bostongambler]

Ten reports, impressive.

I still say the printscreen of posting my last name on here should be of the most use.

Nah Pedo. You’re a loser is all there is to it.

[stevek173]

If Nashville can sneak into that number 2 seed they have a chance. TB though?

even their equipment guy can score on any given night

Washington lost an important player today, so they're out.

Actually I misread things at 1st. Calgary is +700, Bruins +900.

[Bostongambler]

Back to the spirit of this thread.

I would like to see the data on a +130 dog or above taking an early lead and seeing if it would be profitable to buy back some on the chalk.

Or in those games , which ones covered the 1.5 run line. Or the expanded 2.5. Run line.