Hornets

[Frank Mills]

Interesting here. Cody Zeller broke his hand last game vs the Magic. Hornets crushed the Magic by 25 and Cody is the starter Power forward / Center. 125 points vs Magic and 126 points in close loss vs Wizards game before.

Hornets have some sharp shooters including Kemba. Mavs have been playing very hard and esteemed. DeAndre Jordan swishing FT's these days ...lol. No Cody Zeller ( who is a huge part of that offense ) ...prob sub in Frank the Tank in Cody's absence. No Cody is def the X factor in this game IMO. Again, DeAndre playing very dominant and aggressive lately. Mavs can def win in Charlotte no problem ( w/o Cody ) but another glaring stat is that the
Mavs are a horrible on the road and the Hornets can really light average teams up bad when they are at home.

The line came out Charlotte -2.5 and now sits at -1.5. This is a direct result of no Cody.

71% Consensus on Charlotte. The ML for Charlotte should be low. My fear was this is that the Mavs just

may execute w/ Jordan dominating in paint w/ no Cody. Sorry to be long winded just working through my

thoughts.

My gut tells me Charlotte has been spoiled at home a bit and the Mavs have shown me hunger lately , playing

good ( win or lose ) I can see the Mavs stealing one tonight and with that line coming down others do too.

However, the Mavs are horrible on the road and the Hornets are def not a 1 way team, etc. They have shown me

again and again they can thump teams.


Charlotte Hornets -1.5 is the play boys.

[chargers4222]

Jeremy Lamb also out. Does that affect your opinion of the game?

[Vulcan300]

you're not wrong about hornets thumping bad teams, but without cody and lamb these guys are even bigger frauds than they are normally.

dallas is terrible on the road = hornets bet? i wish it was that easy. Your worst fear is your best bet, is what losing in the nba has shown me.

I'll go with your original prediction of dallas, good luck!

[shocka1212]

I also have felt the same way about this game since I started looking at it last night but am concerned. Will just be laying off.. OKC should cover against the lakers tonight

[Frank Mills]

Wow. You were spot on here. Should have trusted my gut.

you're not wrong about hornets thumping bad teams, but without cody and lamb these guys are even bigger frauds than they are normally.

dallas is terrible on the road = hornets bet? i wish it was that easy. Your worst fear is your best bet, is what losing in the nba has shown me.

I'll go with your original prediction of dallas, good luck!

[jjgold]

Mills we
Need a makeup
Play

[Frank Mills]

Okc -5 jj

[jjgold]

Thanks Miller

[Frank Mills]

Thanks Jim

[Frank Mills]

Thunder up 2 at the half. Good game. Look for separation in 2H and for PG-13 to really pick it up.

[shocka1212]

I also have felt the same way about this game since I started looking at it last night but am concerned. Will just be laying off.. OKC should cover against the lakers tonight

Okc -5 jj

ahem.......

[Frank Mills]

and he did ! EZ $

[Vulcan300]

yeah bro, you talked yourself out of the entire breakdown with "but they weak on the road" lol. Cashed OKC too, good job guys.

[Vulcan300]

thoughts on spurs/raptors? Kawhi vs Derozan, i feel like this angle can be taking advantage of. Derozan always known to be soft, and i guess the reason he got traded due to how he performed in critical moments like playoffs vs cavs. It's crazy how Lowry is doing so well when i always thought of him to be a bum. Kawhi with a chip on his shoulders, and this raptors team is balling. I feel like they'll play hard for him. Spurs on the other hand, playing better as of late, distributed offence with as of late heavy load on Aldridge.

The only thing that concerns me is Ibaka vs Aldridge, with Valanciunas out. Can they stop Aldridge from scoring?

Raptors are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
Raptors are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in San Antonio.

That right there is moving the line and i'm ok with that as this is a completely different Raptors and Spurs team.

[Frank Mills]

I did talk myself out of that Mavs game didn't I lol

Thoughts? well, Lowry is out tonight too ( along w/ Valc out ) Spurs very good at home.

I'm staying away ...not the game I want action on. More looking at that HOU/GS late game

[shocka1212]

I did talk myself out of that Mavs game didn't I lol

Thoughts? well, Lowry is out tonight too ( along w/ Valc out ) Spurs very good at home.

I'm staying away ...not the game I want action on. More looking at that HOU/GS late game

shit was a ripe line... almost too ripe that they were begging us to bet the hornets.

[Frank Mills]

I know and Raps line is looking the same way.

That's why I played this:

GameDate	Date Placed	Sport	Description	Risk/Win
Ticket#:4043348 Jan 03 10:00 PM	Jan 03 04:39 AM	NBA	STRAIGHT BET [521] DENVER -3-120 (B+½)	465.51 / 387.93

[shocka1212]

I know and Raps line is looking the same way.

That's why I played this:

GameDate	Date Placed	Sport	Description	Risk/Win
Ticket#:4043348 Jan 03 10:00 PM	Jan 03 04:39 AM	NBA	STRAIGHT BET [521] DENVER -3-120 (B+½)	465.51 / 387.93

good bet. haven't bet it yet because its -3.5 at my book but I'm watching it to see if it drops momentarily.

[shocka1212]

good bet. haven't bet it yet because its -3.5 at my book but I'm watching it to see if it drops momentarily.

if it doesn't drop, I'm taking Housto +8.... I think they win outright.

[Vulcan300]

shouldn't this nuggets line be like -4.5 to -5.5? millsap and harris coming back from injury, makes this line -3.5? kings also lost a ez one to lakers. this is also a revenge game for kings, last matchup between the two this year fox and hield held under 10pts each.

[Frank Mills]

no they won't win outright I don't see gl though. if anything i would go the other way and take GS

if it doesn't drop, I'm taking Housto +8.... I think they win outright.

[shocka1212]

no they won't win outright I don't see gl though. if anything i would go the other way and take GS

depends if Capella plays or not. not betting it if he sits.

[thomorino]

Houston has been much better at home than on the road and Golden State's weakness is big centers, Capela isn't one of them. Houston's defensive efficiency numbers drop by over 30 points when Gordon is out and he's not likely to play tonight.

[shocka1212]

Houston has been much better at home than on the road and Golden State's weakness is big centers, Capela isn't one of them. Houston's defensive efficiency numbers drop by over 30 points when Gordon is out and he's not likely to play tonight.

Cappella ava's 12 rebounds a game. how is he not a key here?

[Frank Mills]

Cappella is so good

[thomorino]

Cappella is so good

Capella is good but he's not a post player, and 7 foot post players are the players who have given GS trouble - Nurfic with Portland. Houston was good defensively last year against GS in the conference finals because they could switch pick and rolls, with Gordon out and Ariza and Moute gone they will struggle to do that.

[Frank Mills]

keep sharing with us thomorino.

[Frank Mills]

wow ....Nuggs down by 15, turn it around and win by 4 for me to cover

[shocka1212]

Capella is good but he's not a post player, and 7 foot post players are the players who have given GS trouble - Nurfic with Portland. Houston was good defensively last year against GS in the conference finals because they could switch pick and rolls, with Gordon out and Ariza and Moute gone they will struggle to do that.

Capela 20-16 with 8 minutes left....... doesn't have a point outside the key....

[shocka1212]

wow ....Nuggs down by 15, turn it around and win by 4 for me to cover

we got lucky.

[Frank Mills]

yihawwww a lil luck

[Frank Mills]

Drock not so soft tonight Vulcan ( triple double ) ...the boy took his Zoloft

thoughts on spurs/raptors? Kawhi vs Derozan, i feel like this angle can be taking advantage of. Derozan always known to be soft, and i guess the reason he got traded due to how he performed in critical moments like playoffs vs cavs. It's crazy how Lowry is doing so well when i always thought of him to be a bum. Kawhi with a chip on his shoulders, and this raptors team is balling. I feel like they'll play hard for him. Spurs on the other hand, playing better as of late, distributed offence with as of late heavy load on Aldridge.

The only thing that concerns me is Ibaka vs Aldridge, with Valanciunas out. Can they stop Aldridge from scoring?

Raptors are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
Raptors are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in San Antonio.

That right there is moving the line and i'm ok with that as this is a completely different Raptors and Spurs team.

[Frank Mills]

you watching this one shocka ? Overtime ! wondering if you did play the Rockets straight up ?

Capela 20-16 with 8 minutes left....... doesn't have a point outside the key....

[shocka1212]

depends if Capella plays or not. not betting it if he sits.

Capella is good but he's not a post player, and 7 foot post players are the players who have given GS trouble - Nurfic with Portland. Houston was good defensively last year against GS in the conference finals because they could switch pick and rolls, with Gordon out and Ariza and Moute gone they will struggle to do that.

Capela 20-16 with 8 minutes left....... doesn't have a point outside the key....

29-20 heading into OT

[shocka1212]

if it doesn't drop, I'm taking Housto +8.... I think they win outright.