*BIG Play Alert* New Orleans Saints -7

[Shutup]

For those that love what they are doing...check out the 2007 Pats. Destroyed everyone for about 10 weeks...then failed to cover 4 of the last 6. Barley won a bunch of those. They weren't necessarily playing the best teama either For those of you who think Saints win and cover are they losing/not covering agains TB or Carolina?

[gauchojake]

Take Saints -7
Live bet Cowboys when they go down a td at +13.5
???????
Profit

[Mike Huntertz]

Over.

[TheToffer]

They sure stopped Gurley. Cowboys will be playing from behind. They don't have the horses to stay in the game. Brees will light them up.
Saints will make Dak beat them and he can't. They are missing their best Olineman LT. Saints will get a few picks and 4 sacks. Saints are the play

Not a fair statement. Gurley only carried 13 times that game, which is 6 carries under his avg. and if he gets those carries, he would have had a 100 yard game.

Now, he didn't get the Carrie's because the Saints kept the foot on the gas and the Rams had to throw to stay in it.

That being said, if the Saints just kept throwing it like they have been, I think they can cover the 7 points, but I may buy a 1/2 or 1pt to get it under a TD to feel safer.

[keely85]

Saints Over teaser seems too good to be true. Even if cowboys keep it close u can get saints at pickem. And they'll most likely have to score 20 or mor to keep up with NO.

[iBetSo]

Saints offense will continue to roll. Zeke is good but you can’t keep running the ball and keep up with the saints offense. So by second half I see him as a non factor.

It’s a dome. So might as well be home field for brees.

Only chance of beating the saints is in a shootout. Cowboys don’t have a shootout offense. Double digit win for saints imo

[Shutup]

Only two pretty good/good teams Saints played on the road they won by 1 on a missed extra point and a win by 10 against Minnesota in which they could have and maybe should have lost

Brees only had 120 yards passing and Minnesota outgained them by 153 yards lol

[ddittie]

Value is on Dallas moneyline, but I'm hammering Saints ML.

[DA_MOSS]

Only two pretty good/good teams Saints played on the road they won by 1 on a missed extra point and a win by 10 against Minnesota in which they could have and maybe should have lost

Brees only had 120 yards passing and Minnesota outgained them by 153 yards lol

woulda

coulda

shoulda

Fact is that they are 5-0 both ATS and straight up on the road this year

For those that love what they are doing...check out the 2007 Pats. Destroyed everyone for about 10 weeks...then failed to cover 4 of the last 6. Barley won a bunch of those. They weren't necessarily playing the best teama either For those of you who think Saints win and cover are they losing/not covering agains TB or Carolina?

Week 11 W by 46
Week 12 W by 3
Week 13 W by 3
Week 14 W by 21
Week 15 W by 10
Week 16 W by 21
Week 17 W by 3

Won 4 of their last 6 by DD.. That's not barely winning

[magpie878]

Week 11 W by 46
Week 12 W by 3
Week 13 W by 3
Week 14 W by 21
Week 15 W by 10
Week 16 W by 21
Week 17 W by 3

Won 4 of their last 6 by DD.. That's not barely winning

(looks like 3 of their last 6)

and I'm not sure those weeks/games listed are correct

[Shutup]

woulda

coulda

shoulda

Fact is that they are 5-0 both ATS and straight up on the road this year




Week 11 W by 46
Week 12 W by 3
Week 13 W by 3
Week 14 W by 21
Week 15 W by 10
Week 16 W by 21
Week 17 W by 3

Won 4 of their last 6 by DD.. That's not barely winning

It all ties together as to their "dominance" though when it comes to the Saints

2007 Pats were actually 1-5 ATS last 6 in the regular season(3 they barely won) and 0-3 ATS in the playoffs So...yeah

http://www.footballlocks.com/nfl_odds_2007_2008.shtml

[danshan11]

for me the NFL is so awesome because it is a real coin toss, they only get a few possessions each, if they played 100 quarters saints cover by a mile but in 4qtrs and limited possessions who knows really

[DA_MOSS]

(looks like 3 of their last 6)

and I'm not sure those weeks/games listed are correct

yea, I clearly listed 7 games.. the 6 was a typo

http://www.espn.com/nfl/team/schedule/_/name/ne/season/2007

[shocka1212]

yea, I clearly listed 7 games.. the 6 was a typo



http://www.espn.com/nfl/team/schedul...ne/season/2007

was at that week 17 game vs the giants.. great game.

[Venom72]

Saints by dd

[5mike5]

agree

thinking saints BIG

[SharpAngles]

No Tyron Smith no Dallas bet

[SharpAngles]

Dallas historically owns the saints

Huh? They’ve played 10 games since 1999 and the Saints are 8-2 SU, 7-3 ATS. Also happen to be 4-1 SU in Dallas.

[lakerboy]

Huh? They’ve played 10 games since 1999 and the Saints are 8-2 SU, 7-3 ATS. Also happen to be 4-1 SU in Dallas.

I was referring to the one game I watched

[iBetSo]

Saints are a big play for me tonight. Just can’t make it a posted play because it’ll lose like the rest. Lol

[PaperTrail07]

right....why I hate it and my brother loves it LOL...flags and a few plays determine a good # of these games...even the saints have trouble when holding is called on 2nd and 9...

for me the NFL is so awesome because it is a real coin toss, they only get a few possessions each, if they played 100 quarters saints cover by a mile but in 4qtrs and limited possessions who knows really

[sevenbar10]

Laker you said historically though

[Darkside Magick]

Saints by 17

New Orleans Saints -7 -108 vs Dallas Cowboys

[2daBank]

The public also buys into ats

The fact that saints r 9-0 ats assuming that's right

This spread is prob inflated a bit

Damn right it inflated, it says saints be what -13 at home, same spread as it was vs dogshit atl defense? I’m not buying even tho I been saying majority of the year I think saints the team to beat, still think that true I just think 7 in dallas is a little much. I think either Dallas pulls the upset or saints win it late. 3rd game in 12 days for saints.

[Microphone]

Wasn’t it Dallas that knocked off the undefeated Saints in 2009 late in the season? Just sayin’. Maybe it’s fate.

That's the way you handicap. Dog has owned this series. Forget all the other stuff.

http://www.espn.com/nfl/game?gameId=291219018

[cashil]

1st game all year I’ll be against saints, as good their run defense numbers are on paper they have faced so so many crappy rushing attacks this year. I don’t think they will be able to stop Zeke without committing extra guys in the box which will leave them vulnerable to dak’s legs and Amari imo. I just think 7 too much for anyone to lay on road to a balanced dallas team.

My thoughts as well. Upset actually wouldn’t shock me here. Bought the saints initially but just hedged

[mcgeezer1883]

Saints by double digits and over

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

But can Dallas score 7 on every drive?

[mdunlap3]

This is as square as can be. There’s just no way the bookmakers continue to let the public easily make money betting on the Saints. This is a trap, get out ASAP. Dallas plus 7.5 -10.

[Shutup]

This is as square as can be. There’s just no way the bookmakers continue to let the public easily make money betting on the Saints. This is a trap, get out ASAP. Dallas plus 7.5 -10.

Well, this would be a a first if they cover I believe. Can't find info on a teams going 10 SUATS

[757sFinest]

Well, this would be a a first if they cover I believe. Can't find info on a teams going 10 SUATS

Welp. Brees is on pace to do a few things this year that have never been done. Let's add this to the list if true. Saints by 17. Don't over think this. Seriously though, if they were favored by 10 you'd still take them. MUCH better team in every facet. Stop overthinking things. Everyone wants some angle. The books won't let it happen. Public is stooopid. Blah, Blah, Blah.

[5mike5]

This is as square as can be. There’s just no way the bookmakers continue to let the public easily make money betting on the Saints. This is a trap, get out ASAP. Dallas plus 7.5 -10.

Im sure people said same shit about being square last week. And week before. And week before that

[Grits n' Gravy]

Wouldn’t shock me to see Cowboys win outright and JErry give Garrett an extension guaranteeing that they will never get to a SB anytime soon.

Playing the over and will try a screw around small 2 team 6.5 pt teaser with both sides. Just can’t trust Garrett. Redheads don’t win big games in football.

[lakerboy]

But can Dallas score 7 on every drive?

Why would they need to? They have a good d.

[mdunlap3]

Im sure people said same shit about being square last week. And week before. And week before that

They weren’t 9-0 last week. I’ll admit I was one of the fux who had the Eagles +8. At minimum there’s some line value from a pure power rating extrapolation perspective.