Can anyone explain this betting phenomenon?

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  • Outsider626
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-10-16
    • 855

    #1
    Can anyone explain this betting phenomenon?
    When you think particular team will win but hesitant to bet on it that team will always win.When you confident in a team and bet on it that team will always lose. It's so frustrating...
  • johnnyvegas13
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 05-21-15
    • 27897

    #2
    Only phenomenon is that u think this

    Hindsight 20/20
    Comment
    • odog11
      SBR MVP
      • 02-14-11
      • 3874

      #3
      Originally posted by Outsider626
      When you think particular team will win but hesitant to bet on it that team will always win.When you confident in a team and bet on it that team will always lose. It's so frustrating...
      Easy solution.

      Comment
      • DJK
        SBR MVP
        • 01-17-11
        • 2424

        #4
        Originally posted by Outsider626
        When you think particular team will win but hesitant to bet on it that team will always win.When you confident in a team and bet on it that team will always lose. It's so frustrating...
        You too, huh? After I make a bet, if I'm not worried about my pick and don't have a butterfly in my stomach, then I seem to lose more than not. I guess it's the risky picks that seem to cover more than the sure things.
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        • Outsider626
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 09-10-16
          • 855

          #5
          Originally posted by DJK
          You too, huh? After I make a bet, if I'm not worried about my pick and don't have a butterfly in my stomach, then I seem to lose more than not. I guess it's the risky picks that seem to cover more than the sure things.
          Yep. I wanted to bet on CSKA in KHL, Oilers in NHL and Unics in Eurocup. Obviously I was hesitant and didn't bet. Guess what? All those teams won. Than I bet huge amount on Nuggets and they lose. I guess life goes on....
          Comment
          • DJK
            SBR MVP
            • 01-17-11
            • 2424

            #6
            There are two cappers on ESPN Insider who make picks for NFL.

            Preston Johnson rarely makes any picks as he is just a chicken shit.

            On the other hand, Warren Sharp makes both picks and LEANS. He is wrong with most of his picks, but he is right with most of his LEANS, so I've been betting his LEANS and doing good.
            Comment
            • DJK
              SBR MVP
              • 01-17-11
              • 2424

              #7
              Originally posted by Outsider626
              Yep. I wanted to bet on CSKA in KHL, Oilers in NHL and Unics in Eurocup. Obviously I was hesitant and all those teams won. Than I bet huge amount on Nuggets and they lose. I guess life goes on....
              On the Denver Nuggets, the cheap money-line relative to the point spread on the Nuggets should have told you to bet the other way.

              Denver may looked like a safe bet and probably easier to bet on, but it wasn't.

              I checked their games against Houston for the last couple of years and Denver lost EVERY SINGLE game against Houston, so I laid off them wanted to bet on Houston but didn't.
              Comment
              • Outsider626
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 09-10-16
                • 855

                #8
                Originally posted by DJK
                On the Denver Nuggets, the cheap money-line relative to the point spread on the Nuggets should have told you to bet the other way.

                Denver may looked like a safe bet and probably easier to bet on, but it wasn't.

                I checked their games against Houston for the last couple of years and Denver lost EVERY SINGLE game against Houston, so I laid off them wanted to bet on Houston but didn't.
                Well Houston struggled this season so far and Denver lost 3 straight. So I thought they finally going to win at home but they lost 3rd straight at home...
                Comment
                • TommieGunshot
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-27-12
                  • 1607

                  #9
                  https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confirmation_bias perhaps
                  Comment
                  • MikeTizzy
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-09-12
                    • 1192

                    #10
                    bingo TommieGun
                    Comment
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