new england patriots backers check in

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  • cincinnatikid513
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 11-23-17
    • 45360

    #1
    new england patriots backers check in
    who else is taking the pats against the chiefs sunday, i love the patriots i'm so confident in them i'm wagering big, think they win by double digits


    2018-10-14 08:20 PM INTERNET 10/12/2018 10:29:03 AM NFL STRAIGHT BET[276] NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -3EV 1000 / 1000

    2018-10-14 08:20 PM INTERNET 10/12/2018 10:29:03 AM NFL STRAIGHT BET[276] NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -175 1750 / 1000
  • danshan11
    SBR MVP
    • 07-08-17
    • 4101

    #2
    I think 3 is fair, dont you? They are fairly equal both teams and NE is home
    Comment
    • cincinnatikid513
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 11-23-17
      • 45360

      #3
      Originally posted by danshan11
      I think 3 is fair, dont you? They are fairly equal both teams and NE is home
      i think i got a great line -3 even
      Comment
      • danshan11
        SBR MVP
        • 07-08-17
        • 4101

        #4
        yes that is a decent line hope it keeps moving that way! EVEN to -123 is how the betting game is won

        line is about -3.2 right now
        Comment
        • JAKEPEAVY21
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 03-11-11
          • 29311

          #5
          I heard on the radio yesterday that QBs 25 years old or younger going into Foxboro against Brady/Belicheck are 0-23.

          Can Mahomes be the guy to end that unbeaten streak?

          I'd have to agree with your wagers cinci
          Comment
          • Snowball
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 11-15-09
            • 30058

            #6
            Originally posted by danshan11
            They are fairly equal
            based on wut ? KC barely got by Denver. Line should be -5.5 or -6.
            Comment
            • danshan11
              SBR MVP
              • 07-08-17
              • 4101

              #7
              I was looking at my power rankings and also comparing them to sagarin power ratings and of course I think the entire betting world has a decent idea and they are not moving far off that 3
              Comment
              • danshan11
                SBR MVP
                • 07-08-17
                • 4101

                #8
                Originally posted by JAKEPEAVY21
                I heard on the radio yesterday that QBs 25 years old or younger going into Foxboro against Brady/Belicheck are 0-23.

                Can Mahomes be the guy to end that unbeaten streak?

                I'd have to agree with your wagers cinci
                and what are they ats?
                Comment
                • danshan11
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-08-17
                  • 4101

                  #9
                  and will be weird if Houston and Berry are out
                  Comment
                  • danshan11
                    SBR MVP
                    • 07-08-17
                    • 4101

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Snowball
                    based on wut ? KC barely got by Denver. Line should be -5.5 or -6.
                    you think the line should be 5 or 6 and it is sitting at 3 because sharps are tired, bored, broke, scared, why would it sit at 3 if it should be 5 or 6?
                    Comment
                    • JAKEPEAVY21
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 03-11-11
                      • 29311

                      #11
                      Originally posted by danshan11
                      and what are they ats?
                      no idea, they did not mention that

                      my guess is the ATS record is not very good either
                      Comment
                      • Snowball
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 11-15-09
                        • 30058

                        #12
                        Originally posted by danshan11
                        you think the line should be 5 or 6 and it is sitting at 3 because sharps are tired, bored, broke, scared, why would it sit at 3 if it should be 5 or 6?
                        the line is not -3. it is -3 juiced to -125 and all Vegas is on -3.5
                        there is a lot of other action right now. all sports plus MLB and this game is night
                        after the other NFL games - so the action won't pick up until later Sunday, when
                        the other leagues stall action and the NFL chasers take New England. There are
                        still a lot of NE haters out there and Mahomes talk. I only care about the line if it
                        reveals something important regarding injuries or some other fact. I'm not a line watcher
                        but if you think it is "sharp" to get ahead of a line, then New England is the sharp pickup
                        because at 7pm Sunday when the money rolls in it will trust B&B in NE.
                        Comment
                        • danshan11
                          SBR MVP
                          • 07-08-17
                          • 4101

                          #13
                          I would agree but most young QB's struggle, I think we can agree this is not most young QB's. I always like the pats at home but the Chiefs are really good right now. THey barely beat the Broncos because the Broncos are an unpredictable mess and a close division rival to the Chiefs. I like the Pats at home to win a close close game maybe 3 points close!
                          Comment
                          • broller
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 12-05-11
                            • 101

                            #14
                            Originally posted by JAKEPEAVY21
                            I heard on the radio yesterday that QBs 25 years old or younger going into Foxboro against Brady/Belicheck are 0-23.

                            Can Mahomes be the guy to end that unbeaten streak?

                            I'd have to agree with your wagers cinci
                            I don't think that's true because Kaepernick went into Foxboro and won back in 2012. He was 25.
                            Comment
                            • danshan11
                              SBR MVP
                              • 07-08-17
                              • 4101

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Snowball
                              the line is not -3. it is -3 juiced to -125 and all Vegas is on -3.5
                              there is a lot of other action right now. all sports plus MLB and this game is night
                              after the other NFL games - so the action won't pick up until later Sunday, when
                              the other leagues stall action and the NFL chasers take New England. There are
                              still a lot of NE haters out there and Mahomes talk. I only care about the line if it
                              reveals something important regarding injuries or some other fact. I'm not a line watcher
                              but if you think it is "sharp" to get ahead of a line, then New England is the sharp pickup
                              because at 7pm Sunday when the money rolls in it will trust B&B in NE.

                              I analyzed line movement on all the NFL reg season games so far this year and only 7 games had enough movement to beat the margin, 7 games and I did not check but I believe a lot of those moves were injury updates that not even the sharpest tool in the shed could have guessed before the news came out, the NFL is penetrating brutal sharp now and impossible to beat the margin, yes I know Snow and others you dont care about the line, you are smarter than the whole betting world and can predict games better than the entire betting community BUT there is nothing in the NFL zero zilch zip in profit its all fun and margin and maybe why its my favorite sport to watch!
                              Comment
                              • danshan11
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-08-17
                                • 4101

                                #16
                                Originally posted by broller
                                I don't think that's true because Kaepernick went into Foxboro and won back in 2012. He was 25.
                                that stat is useless anyway but even if Kap did he is banned blackballed and removed from the stats, LOL, poor guy is only making 15 million a year as an activist and does not get buried by 300 lb guys anymore
                                Comment
                                • danshan11
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 07-08-17
                                  • 4101

                                  #17
                                  the NFL should do the world a favor and let Kap play again, he needs to work out 20 hrs a day, watch film and get pounded for 4 or 5 million a year and give up his 15 a year activist life to save the NFL forget those poor inner city kids, KAP play ball its more important
                                  Comment
                                  • GATOR 1
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 10-04-18
                                    • 246

                                    #18
                                    My $$$ on Pats at Foxboro.....
                                    Comment
                                    • 2daBank
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-26-09
                                      • 88966

                                      #19
                                      Checking in.

                                      Pats with extra time to prep for a qb who has started a grand total of 6 games? Don’t get me wrong I have no doubt kc will be able to move the ball but I also expect pats to cause mahomes a little bit of confusion in key spots either leading to few turnovers, or simply getting off the field on 3rd downs/holding them to fgs in red zone.

                                      Also do not expect pats to go brain dead like the jags and abandon the run game for no apparent reason against a soft kc run d.. i think Michel will have a big game on ground and white will be a nightmare for kc out of backfield as pats play keep away from kc offense..

                                      Lastly kc one strength on defense, getting to the qb. Takes a big hit this week as they banged up.
                                      Comment
                                      • 2daBank
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-26-09
                                        • 88966

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by danshan11
                                        the NFL should do the world a favor and let Kap play again, he needs to work out 20 hrs a day, watch film and get pounded for 4 or 5 million a year and give up his 15 a year activist life to save the NFL forget those poor inner city kids, KAP play ball its more important
                                        Giants would be incredibly wise to sign him. Forget all the meaningless stuff everyone wants to get their panties in a bunch about. Nyg has a playoff caliber team surrounding a bum at qb and absolutely no plans for finding his replacement. Wouldn’t matter for this season they deep sixed the minute they decided to stick w eli, kap needs time to get into a offense and back into fb shape so you bring him in, let Eli have a month farewell tour as he practices,, then let him take over last month so they can build something for next year or figure out whether he would be answer.
                                        Comment
                                        • danshan11
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 07-08-17
                                          • 4101

                                          #21
                                          way better meat out there, than KAP, you really think if he had talent left he would not be on the field, they brought dog fighting prison Vick back as people were burning jerseys, the NFL cares about one thing winning, if a coach wants a player and he is available they dont give a crap about the political loops, they will leave if they dont get their toys! This guy is not talented, nothing else can be true, he has not done crap in so long and was not doing much last rodeo, I dont see it and I really dont care about kneeling and blowing each other in the name of freedom or black rat providers, I dont really care about all that, I would not piss in the ghetto so I dont care, fact.

                                          People jump on the web and on twitter crying i support black lives and blah blah, sure I support switzerlands summer olympic team too but I wont do shit for them or give them 2 cents
                                          Comment
                                          • 2daBank
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-26-09
                                            • 88966

                                            #22
                                            If winning was gmen first priority there no way Eli would be playing qb for that team. You on crack if you think every franchises main goal is winning. Profit is way higher on list of many teams. There no way w a straight face you can tell me you think every backup in the league is more talented than kap. A more accurate statement would be his talent level doesn’t exceed the perceived potential headache he brings with him.
                                            Comment
                                            • biggie12
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-30-05
                                              • 13792

                                              #23
                                              lets go p
                                              Comment
                                              • Snowball
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 11-15-09
                                                • 30058

                                                #24
                                                New Bedford Whalers $$$$$
                                                Comment
                                                • jameski999
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-17-11
                                                  • 1540

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Snowball
                                                  based on wut ? KC barely got by Denver. Line should be -5.5 or -6.
                                                  Pats-3 seems fair. Who exactly has New England beat this year that’s worth a damn? Kansas City has the better resume at this point in the season. Not saying Kc should be favored but no way NE should be -6. Bill will have the Pats ready to play for they way KC abused them in Foxboro 2 years ago.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ikid2groove415
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 01-08-18
                                                    • 11981

                                                    #26
                                                    KC by 10 points -New England got the worst pass rush defense in the NFL - Lots of mis-match on defense for the patriots - New England will score a bunch - KC will just score more - look for 40 plus points by the chiefs -
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Snowball
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 11-15-09
                                                      • 30058

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by ikid2groove415
                                                      KC by 10 points - look for 40 plus points by the chiefs -
                                                      Comment
                                                      • danshan11
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 07-08-17
                                                        • 4101

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                        If winning was gmen first priority there no way Eli would be playing qb for that team. You on crack if you think every franchises main goal is winning. Profit is way higher on list of many teams. There no way w a straight face you can tell me you think every backup in the league is more talented than kap. A more accurate statement would be his talent level doesn’t exceed the perceived potential headache he brings with him.
                                                        what headache, Reid signed and kneels and nobody cares, there is no garbage that comes with Kap, Trump moved on so did everyone else!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • lakerboy
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 04-02-09
                                                          • 94379

                                                          #29
                                                          The jags had 500 yards of offense vs KC last week and got blown out
                                                          Comment
                                                          • odog11
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-14-11
                                                            • 3874

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                            The jags had 500 yards of offense vs KC last week and got blown out
                                                            Going to be all about the red zone which Patriots should be ok in. This is the type of game Patriots should put away the punter, if 10 yards or less and close or past the 50 go for it. Chiefs or pass.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • aston
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-05-08
                                                              • 1185

                                                              #31
                                                              BACKED THE PATIROTS MY GOOD MAN

                                                              BEST OF LUCK
                                                              Comment
                                                              • kingdom
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 07-25-10
                                                                • 10099

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by GATOR 1
                                                                My $$$ on Pats at Foxboro.....
                                                                Pats 55-2 at home vs. afc since '07. one of 2 losses was kc last season. think brady treats it like a playoff game and comes in with that fire. if it comes to 4th q i still trust brady to get it done. and bb gameplan will be interesting. think he comes out passing since everyone expects run against chiefs weak run d. gonna contain the pocket and make mahomes read defenses for completions. pats pull it out by the number in a close one. pats win by 1-7 probably best value bet.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • 2daBank
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 01-26-09
                                                                  • 88966

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by kingdom
                                                                  Pats 55-2 at home vs. afc since '07. one of 2 losses was kc last season. think brady treats it like a playoff game and comes in with that fire. if it comes to 4th q i still trust brady to get it done. and bb gameplan will be interesting. think he comes out passing since everyone expects run against chiefs weak run d. gonna contain the pocket and make mahomes read defenses for completions. pats pull it out by the number in a close one. pats win by 1-7 probably best value bet.
                                                                  Good god, 55 and 2? Unrealz!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • cincinnatikid513
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 11-23-17
                                                                    • 45360

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by kingdom
                                                                    Pats 55-2 at home vs. afc since '07. one of 2 losses was kc last season. think brady treats it like a playoff game and comes in with that fire. if it comes to 4th q i still trust brady to get it done. and bb gameplan will be interesting. think he comes out passing since everyone expects run against chiefs weak run d. gonna contain the pocket and make mahomes read defenses for completions. pats pull it out by the number in a close one. pats win by 1-7 probably best value bet.
                                                                    that number is not accurate

                                                                    2017 week 1 kc
                                                                    2016 week 4 buf
                                                                    2014 week 17 buf

                                                                    2008 week 3 dolphins
                                                                    2008 week 11 jets
                                                                    2008 week 13 pittsburgh

                                                                    and wins 63 ish
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • The Giant
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-21-12
                                                                      • 21480

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Cincinnatikid, where are you getting this kind of cash? I've seen some of your meals.
                                                                      Comment
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