PATRIOTS-10 and Under Parlay - Analysis Inside

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  • wikkidinsane
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-30-10
    • 13799

    #1
    PATRIOTS-10 and Under Parlay - Analysis Inside
    I dont know which of these two bets i like the most so i am going to combine them in a little parlay.

    Colts are missing key players, most notably, Ty Hilton. Patriots are banged offensively too, with Gronk and Gordon both questionable for the game. Whatever firepower they lose from missing either of these players, they will make up for that with the return of Julien Edleman. The weather in Foxborough MA around kick-off will be cloudy and a 25% chance of rain through the game. If it does rain, Patriots will enjoy the luxury of having James White and Sony Michel in the backfield. Rain will also bring in the Under. With both teams offense not looking great on offense and their offensive players banged up, I expect this one to go under. The Patriots is more fit to handle the elements and their depth will make Indianapolis unable to keep up with the Patriots/Historically Andrew Luck has never beaten Tom Brady, and the Patriots have beaten them 4 of the last 5 games with those games being won by more than ten points. All of these games have gone over but I dont think the offenses were missing or having so many players banged up.

    Patriots - 30
    Colts - 16

    Pick - Parlay - Patriots -10 and under 51 pts -- 2.6 units to win 6.5
  • Shutup
    SBR MVP
    • 12-15-17
    • 2435

    #2
    i can make a case for both teams. I think I will just watch and enjoy GL
    Comment
    • Backspacers
      SBR Rookie
      • 09-16-10
      • 47

      #3
      Like the pats -10. Only hesitate on the o/u. Pats will want to run this one up with the whole josh McDaniels thing and deflate gate. They’ll make it hurt if they can.
      Comment
      • kac23
        SBR High Roller
        • 09-30-18
        • 161

        #4
        im not sure
        Comment
        • USCPHILLYGUY
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-15-12
          • 21746

          #5
          Biggest Tom Brady nut guzzler & surprisingly he’s on pats tnite

          Truly can’t make this shit up
          Comment
          • Hman
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-04-17
            • 21429

            #6
            Best of luck Wik
            Comment
            • wikkidinsane
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 05-30-10
              • 13799

              #7
              Originally posted by USCPHILLYGUY
              Biggest Tom Brady nut guzzler & surprisingly he’s on pats tnite

              Truly can’t make this shit up
              Why do you always have something negative to say towards me Philly? You have a problem with me or my picks? I wouldn't put this out there if I didn't love the play, especially here, where posters get criticized for talking about and sharing their opinions on games and not gossip around like little school girls
              Comment
              • wikkidinsane
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 05-30-10
                • 13799

                #8
                Originally posted by Hman
                Best of luck Wik
                Thanks hman
                Comment
                • JIBBBY
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-10-09
                  • 83686

                  #9
                  Pats probably cover the 10 points if I had to guess..
                  Comment
                  • juicername
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 10-14-15
                    • 6906

                    #10
                    Like the under, but not sure about the Pats. A week ago everyone said they were done. Now they're all hyped up again after just one good game against a weak Miami team. Could be a let down game. 10p is a lot.

                    GL though.
                    Comment
                    • JIBBBY
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-10-09
                      • 83686

                      #11
                      NE slaughtered the undefeated Dolphins in the last game.. I think that's why people are getting back on the NE band wagon..

                      This was a beat down by Brady and Company... To think the mediocre Colts can do all that much better then the Dolphins did tonight is questionable?

                      Comment
                      • wikkidinsane
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 05-30-10
                        • 13799

                        #12
                        Disregard Philly. Forgot you're a Philly fan boy so you think you guys are relevant after winning that one little superbowl
                        Comment
                        • USCPHILLYGUY
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 12-15-12
                          • 21746

                          #13
                          Originally posted by wikkidinsane
                          Why do you always have something negative to say towards me Philly? You have a problem with me or my picks? I wouldn't put this out there if I didn't love the play, especially here, where posters get criticized for talking about and sharing there opinions on games and not gossip around like little school girls
                          Jesus Christ man. Was joking around. Sorry it’s that time of the month.

                          Take care pal
                          Comment
                          • wikkidinsane
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 05-30-10
                            • 13799

                            #14
                            Originally posted by juicername
                            Like the under, but not sure about the Pats. A week ago everyone said they were done. Now they're all hyped up again after just one good game against a weak Miami team. Could be a let down game. 10p is a lot.

                            GL though.
                            They played against Patricia, he knew what plays to call against them, that don't count. The loss against the jags...come on...that defense.
                            Comment
                            • wikkidinsane
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 05-30-10
                              • 13799

                              #15
                              Originally posted by USCPHILLYGUY
                              Jesus Christ man. Was joking around. Sorry it’s that time of the month.

                              Take care pal
                              I was just gauging bruv. I wasn't sure. You got me
                              Comment
                              • shadymcgrady
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 02-27-12
                                • 10036

                                #16
                                Going to be alot of throwing from both sides. Indy keeps rolling out that crap cover 2 shell, James white and Edelman are going to feast on the middle of the field early and often leaving luck to throw in catch-up mode all throughout the night
                                Comment
                                • USCPHILLYGUY
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-15-12
                                  • 21746

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by wikkidinsane
                                  I was just gauging bruv. I wasn't sure. You got me
                                  I’m secretly jelly Hyman wishes you luck on your plays & not mine

                                  Seriously though. You’ve met me. You can’t take anything I say here serious.

                                  No opinion on play. I’m probably starting pats D & Nyhien Hines in Fantasy so will have a vested interest.

                                  Good luck pal
                                  Comment
                                  • mtofell
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 09-21-13
                                    • 744

                                    #18
                                    I like NE -10 for sure but struggle with the o/u. I lean under but HATE betting unders. There's nothing worse than watching a game hoping for no action. I think I might do a teaser with NE -5 and o44 (Bovada -120). Not a huge bet but just something to make it fun.
                                    Comment
                                    • Pickem2win
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 09-16-11
                                      • 978

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by mtofell
                                      I like NE -10 for sure but struggle with the o/u. I lean under but HATE betting unders. There's nothing worse than watching a game hoping for no action. I think I might do a teaser with NE -5 and o44 (Bovada -120). Not a huge bet but just something to make it fun.
                                      Why not just live bet It? If ne gets up by 14 the line will be +10.5 Colts and you won't have to worry about the over. If the Colts go up 7 you can get ne at -7. Just makes sense to wait
                                      Comment
                                      • Pick'nParlays
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-22-08
                                        • 3134

                                        #20
                                        Kickoff

                                        Partly Cloudy
                                        Temperature: 65f.
                                        Feels Like: 66f.
                                        Wind: 6mi SouthWest
                                        Humidity: 93%
                                        Visibility: 10mi
                                        Barometer: 1013"
                                        Dew Point: 63f.
                                        Cloud Cover: 37%
                                        Precipitacion Prob: 9%

                                        Q2

                                        Partly Cloudy
                                        Temperature: 65f.
                                        Feels Like: 65f.
                                        Wind: 5mi SouthWest
                                        Humidity: 94%
                                        Visibility: 10mi
                                        Barometer: 1013"
                                        Dew Point: 63f.
                                        Cloud Cover: 40%
                                        Precipitacion Prob: 7%

                                        Q3

                                        Clear
                                        Temperature: 64f.
                                        Feels Like: 65f.
                                        Wind: 5mi West - SouthWest
                                        Humidity: 96%
                                        Visibility: 10mi
                                        Barometer: 1013"
                                        Dew Point: 63f.
                                        Cloud Cover: 24%
                                        Precipitacion Prob: 6%

                                        Q4

                                        Clear
                                        Temperature: 64f.
                                        Feels Like: 65f.
                                        Wind: 5mi West - SouthWest
                                        Humidity: 96%
                                        Visibility: 10mi
                                        Barometer: 1014"
                                        Dew Point: 63f.
                                        Cloud Cover: 15%
                                        Precipitacion Prob: 4%
                                        Comment
                                        • Pick'nParlays
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-22-08
                                          • 3134

                                          #21
                                          trying not to troll, this thread has no juice. sad I spent even a second of my time here. bol!
                                          Comment
                                          • Venom72
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-05-16
                                            • 2041

                                            #22
                                            Im on them as well, only worried about a backdoor cover as i know luck is gonna try and throw the ball 100 times tonight
                                            Comment
                                            • 2daBank
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-26-09
                                              • 88966

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Venom72
                                              Im on them as well, only worried about a backdoor cover as i know luck is gonna try and throw the ball 100 times tonight
                                              I don’t think pats will give him the ball ebough for all that, think they run a ball control clock eating offense all night to keep luck off field and the clock running to end it quick as possible. Back door def still a worry so I split between 1st half -6.5 and gm -10.
                                              Comment
                                              • sheedy17
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 08-02-18
                                                • 453

                                                #24
                                                Got Pats 9.5 myself, See the pats winning big and possibly hitting the Over but if it rains agreed

                                                regardless BOL
                                                Comment
                                                • jjgold
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 07-20-05
                                                  • 388179

                                                  #25
                                                  wikki your on tilt

                                                  any banks near you??

                                                  Loans???
                                                  Comment
                                                  • 2daBank
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-26-09
                                                    • 88966

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by jjgold
                                                    wikki your on tilt

                                                    any banks near you??

                                                    Loans???
                                                    Lmao. Ain’t there banks everywhere coach?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Housemoney
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-17-09
                                                      • 3912

                                                      #27
                                                      Ready to pound the Pats, but my local has 10.5 now
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 2daBank
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-26-09
                                                        • 88966

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Housemoney
                                                        Ready to pound the Pats, but my local has 10.5 now
                                                        Wouldn’t let a half point deter me, who wants to push anyways?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • wikkidinsane
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 05-30-10
                                                          • 13799

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by jjgold
                                                          wikki your on tilt

                                                          any banks near you??

                                                          Loans???
                                                          why would i be on tilt pal?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • wikkidinsane
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 05-30-10
                                                            • 13799

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Pick'nParlays
                                                            Kickoff

                                                            Partly Cloudy
                                                            Temperature: 65f.
                                                            Feels Like: 66f.
                                                            Wind: 6mi SouthWest
                                                            Humidity: 93%
                                                            Visibility: 10mi
                                                            Barometer: 1013"
                                                            Dew Point: 63f.
                                                            Cloud Cover: 37%
                                                            Precipitacion Prob: 9%

                                                            Q2

                                                            Partly Cloudy
                                                            Temperature: 65f.
                                                            Feels Like: 65f.
                                                            Wind: 5mi SouthWest
                                                            Humidity: 94%
                                                            Visibility: 10mi
                                                            Barometer: 1013"
                                                            Dew Point: 63f.
                                                            Cloud Cover: 40%
                                                            Precipitacion Prob: 7%

                                                            Q3

                                                            Clear
                                                            Temperature: 64f.
                                                            Feels Like: 65f.
                                                            Wind: 5mi West - SouthWest
                                                            Humidity: 96%
                                                            Visibility: 10mi
                                                            Barometer: 1013"
                                                            Dew Point: 63f.
                                                            Cloud Cover: 24%
                                                            Precipitacion Prob: 6%

                                                            Q4

                                                            Clear
                                                            Temperature: 64f.
                                                            Feels Like: 65f.
                                                            Wind: 5mi West - SouthWest
                                                            Humidity: 96%
                                                            Visibility: 10mi
                                                            Barometer: 1014"
                                                            Dew Point: 63f.
                                                            Cloud Cover: 15%
                                                            Precipitacion Prob: 4%
                                                            where are you getting this weather forecast from? Here is acuweathers..

                                                            how can yours be so way off?

                                                            Comment
                                                            • Grits n' Gravy
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 06-10-10
                                                              • 13024

                                                              #31
                                                              Good luck.

                                                              I’m biased as pats fan. Laid the 10 for a small play and have them teased down to 4 in a few teasers. Took colts tt 1h ov 7.5-125. The pats are still slow over middle of field.

                                                              I think bill wants to get this game over with early and begin thinking of how to slow down Mahomes next sun.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • wikkidinsane
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 05-30-10
                                                                • 13799

                                                                #32
                                                                I just laid another 2.3 units to win 1.85 on pats -10. I am also a pats fan. i usually lay off betting them but i am not passing this up gl
                                                                Comment
                                                                • wikkidinsane
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 05-30-10
                                                                  • 13799

                                                                  #33
                                                                  - .75 unit. Congrats -10 backers
                                                                  Comment
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