Originally posted by lonegambler23
Are The Yanks A $2000 Type Play???
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juicernameSBR Hall of Famer
- 10-14-15
- 6911
#36Damn right.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy- 01-26-09
- 88966
#37I just feel like if a team trots out 6-7 pitchers in a game the likelyhood one of them gets shelled increases greatly. Like what are the odds all of them have their A stuff that day? Can’t be good.Originally posted by LT ProfitsBrilliant minds....
I do trust the Oakland pen enough in general though to bet the Under.Comment -
LT ProfitsSBR Aristocracy
- 10-27-06
- 90963
#38I disagree when we are talking about a GREAT bullpen, which the A's have. 9 innings from their pen could be better than 5 innings from a Fiers + 4 from pen, But whoda fuk knows.Originally posted by 2daBankI just feel like if a team trots out 6-7 pitchers in a game the likelyhood one of them gets shelled increases greatly. Like what are the odds all of them have their A stuff that day? Can’t be good.Comment -
frankieunits2685SBR MVP
- 11-19-17
- 3575
#39So you’re not big on “pitchers parks”’ or “hitters parks” having an outcome on the game or the overal line/total ?? I do think it has some impact on the game, but not as much as people make it out to be.Originally posted by 2daBankIt not even debatable, of course they still be sizable favs. Imo Home field means next to nothing in baseball. Honestly don’t know if they have a set conversion scale for factoring HF in price but can’t imagine it very much.Comment -
LT ProfitsSBR Aristocracy
- 10-27-06
- 90963
#40Just for shits and giggles, I reversed the teams in my model and under these exact same circumstances other than the stadium, I would set the line at Yankees -145 at Oakland.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy- 01-26-09
- 88966
#41Oh you misunderstood me, park factors definitely are big when it comes to the total and line. Certain pitchers obviously fare better in some parks than others. Those things are for sure factors, then of course getting the last at bat of game a advantage.Originally posted by frankieunits2685So you’re not big on “pitchers parks”’ or “hitters parks” having an outcome on the game or the overal line/total ?? I do think it has some impact on the game, but not as much as people make it out to be.
I’m saying that home field really doesn’t impact the game like it does in sport like football. Obviously different parks are factors but that more of a pitcher by pitcher basis than simply a team gaining a advantage from playing at home.
Team like Rockies who have to go w certain type pitchers who stuff plays well in that atmosphere obviously have a advantage playing in that park but it still not something I would say can have a predetermined built in number attached to it like how nfl standard is from 2-4 points for HF depending on the team. It still a pitcher by pitcher (case by case) type deal if that makes sense??Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy- 01-26-09
- 88966
#42I see that point of view as well. Obviously it tougher for hitters when every ab comes against a new guy!! That great A’s pen has a few guys sporting good numbers that I simply don’t trust to bring their best in a big game tho.Originally posted by LT ProfitsI disagree when we are talking about a GREAT bullpen, which the A's have. 9 innings from their pen could be better than 5 innings from a Fiers + 4 from pen, But whoda fuk knows.
I can see the possible negatives and the potential advantages which of course lot of the reason I said makes it really tough to cap imo.Comment -
frankieunits2685SBR MVP
- 11-19-17
- 3575
#43yes, i understand what you are getting at.Originally posted by 2daBankOh you misunderstood me, park factors definitely are big when it comes to the total and line. Certain pitchers obviously fare better in some parks than others. Those things are for sure factors, then of course getting the last at bat of game a advantage.
I’m saying that home field really doesn’t impact the game like it does in sport like football. Obviously different parks are factors but that more of a pitcher by pitcher basis than simply a team gaining a advantage from playing at home.
Team like Rockies who have to go w certain type pitchers who stuff plays well in that atmosphere obviously have a advantage playing in that park but it still not something I would say can have a predetermined built in number attached to it like how nfl standard is from 2-4 points for HF depending on the team. It still a pitcher by pitcher (case by case) type deal if that makes sense??
with the Yanks being #1 in HR's hit, I would think the Yanks would want this game at home. I still think there is some value and home field advantage in baseball. If you take this Yankees team out of Yankee Stadium do you still think they would be leading the league in HR's??? just a thoughtComment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy- 01-26-09
- 88966
#44Well the thing is I feel like yanks stadium helps opposing hitters as well. Lot of oak guys who hit lot of doubles should all a sudden have oppo field hr power at that bandbox.Originally posted by frankieunits2685yes, i understand what you are getting at.
with the Yanks being #1 in HR's hit, I would think the Yanks would want this game at home. I still think there is some value and home field advantage in baseball. If you take this Yankees team out of Yankee Stadium do you still think they would be leading the league in HR's??? just a thoughtComment -
lakerboySBR Aristocracy
- 04-02-09
- 94463
#45They have a bullpen with Rodney and familia. This will be funComment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy- 01-26-09
- 88966
#46Those are the 2 that scare the shit out of me, and since they going a pen game from the jump I’m assuming it a foregone conclusion we gonna see them at some point!!Originally posted by lakerboyThey have a bullpen with Rodney and familia. This will be funComment -
frankieunits2685SBR MVP
- 11-19-17
- 3575
#47Oakland has been smacking HR’s all year as well, it should be an entertaining game!Originally posted by 2daBankWell the thing is I feel like yanks stadium helps opposing hitters as well. Lot of oak guys who hit lot of doubles should all a sudden have oppo field hr power at that bandbox.Comment -
frankieunits2685SBR MVP
- 11-19-17
- 3575
#48I was just going to say this! These are the 2 that would scare me, especially Rodney.Originally posted by 2daBankThose are the 2 that scare the shit out of me, and since they going a pen game from the jump I’m assuming it a foregone conclusion we gonna see them at some point!!Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy- 01-26-09
- 88966
#49Can’t believe the total dropped down to 8!! Despite yesterday’s miserable offense I’m going back to over again. 8 at that park low.Originally posted by frankieunits2685Oakland has been smacking HR’s all year as well, it should be an entertaining game!Comment -
PaperTrail07SBR Posting Legend
- 08-29-08
- 20470
#50Under 4.5 First 5.....jus hope nobody is on base when the dinger hits
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JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83476
#51Yanks should be the call tonight.. Then again after last night dog win who frigg'n knows?
I never was all that good with betting MLB in the post season.. It can get dicey!!! I'm more the regular season guy for sure...
With that said GO YANKS!!!!
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2daBankSBR Aristocracy- 01-26-09
- 88966
#52More to the point the 1st half of the season for me.. by August books have these teams more figured out and we don’t get 5-7 games a day where the dog has every bit the chance to win as the fav. By playoffs they have lines locked in, not enough choices to find much of a edge, pretty much turns into nfl where it for evtertanment purposes only!! LolOriginally posted by JIBBBYYanks should be the call tonight.. Then again after last night dog win who frigg'n knows?
I never was all that good with betting MLB in the post season.. It can get dicey!!! I'm more the regular season guy for sure...
With that said GO YANKS!!!!
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PaperTrail07SBR Posting Legend
- 08-29-08
- 20470
#53go yanksComment -
qtip0711SBR Hustler
- 05-30-17
- 74
#54Gotta back Rainmain again on this one with the Yanks run line. Severino with a bit more playoff exp under his belt this year. Oak Slug .292 against the plus fastball 95-100 mph (2nd to last in the leauge)Comment -
krk1030SBR Posting Legend
- 08-13-08
- 17610
#55And regardless of who comes in, they won't see a fastball under 95.Originally posted by qtip0711Gotta back Rainmain again on this one with the Yanks run line. Severino with a bit more playoff exp under his belt this year. Oak Slug .292 against the plus fastball 95-100 mph (2nd to last in the leauge)Comment -
SnowballBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 11-15-09
- 30076
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frankieunits2685SBR MVP
- 11-19-17
- 3575
#57playoff games tend to go under, dont they?? I dont have any numbers or stats backing this up, but from what I've read and heard playoff games tend to go under.Originally posted by 2daBankCan’t believe the total dropped down to 8!! Despite yesterday’s miserable offense I’m going back to over again. 8 at that park low.Comment -
BigdaddyQHSBR Posting Legend
- 07-13-09
- 19531
#58Home field really helped the Cubs, who lost two straight at home and scored a total of two runs in those games after scoring 15 last Sunday. These games are sucker plays to begin with. The best bet is to be put to sleep by these boring games or being forced to put on a pair of boots to wad through all of the B.S. that the announcers throw at you.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy- 01-26-09
- 88966
#59Certainly no edge to be found like there is during the regular season. It just degen entertainment come playoff time. I know guys don’t wanna hear that but it true.Originally posted by BigdaddyQHHome field really helped the Cubs, who lost two straight at home and scored a total of two runs in those games after scoring 15 last Sunday. These games are sucker plays to begin with. The best bet is to be put to sleep by these boring games or being forced to put on a pair of boots to wad through all of the B.S. that the announcers throw at you.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy- 01-26-09
- 88966
#60Pitching tends to be what rules in playoffs yes. Obviously they account for that seeing how they hung a 7 yesterday and a 8 in this bandbox.. I’d guess while that our perception if you go back and look last however many seasons i doubt you would be up much simply playing unders tho. Gotta still take it on a game by game basis imo. Lot of strong offenses in these playoffs and really not the plethora of stud pitchers we often see imo. Usually you see aces in this game but instead we have Oakland going bullpen game! The Stros/tribe series will feature lot of stud pitching. Milw/Colorado not so much. Braves/doyers gonna have some games I’d expect to be higher scoring if not early then surely late when pens get involved.Originally posted by frankieunits2685playoff games tend to go under, dont they?? I dont have any numbers or stats backing this up, but from what I've read and heard playoff games tend to go under.Comment -
frankieunits2685SBR MVP
- 11-19-17
- 3575
#61the cubs dont play in a bandbox like the yankees do, but i will agree the announcers throw more than BS at us lolOriginally posted by BigdaddyQHHome field really helped the Cubs, who lost two straight at home and scored a total of two runs in those games after scoring 15 last Sunday. These games are sucker plays to begin with. The best bet is to be put to sleep by these boring games or being forced to put on a pair of boots to wad through all of the B.S. that the announcers throw at you.Comment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83476
#62Exactly, nothing like a 8-10 day game schedule to pick and choose your bets.. Playoffs you are stuck with one or two games and you are betting against a good playoff team no matter how you look at it every time.. O/U's are tricky as well because of the stellar hitting and lock down pitching on display always...Originally posted by 2daBankMore to the point the 1st half of the season for me.. by August books have these teams more figured out and we don’t get 5-7 games a day where the dog has every bit the chance to win as the fav. By playoffs they have lines locked in, not enough choices to find much of a edge, pretty much turns into nfl where it for evtertanment purposes only!! LolComment -
DigBick86SBR MVP
- 12-06-10
- 1930
#63On the other sideComment -
Sam OdomSBR Aristocracy
- 10-30-05
- 58063
#65Good call JJ
Sammy is glad you hit itComment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388208
#66Thank you SammyComment -
pavyracerSBR Aristocracy
- 04-12-07
- 82672
#67Nice bet JJ. You always pick your spots to unload.Comment -
Cuse0323BARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 12-09-09
- 30169
#68Nice work Goldie locks. Build up that football bankroll. Be careful with this playoff baseball though. It’ll get you in the end. Take the money and run. Ride the Cuse money train again this weekend. You’re welcome.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy- 01-26-09
- 88966
#69You don’t worry about your squad letting down after the tough loss last week? Line seems awful short doesn’t it?Originally posted by Cuse0323Nice work Goldie locks. Build up that football bankroll. Be careful with this playoff baseball though. It’ll get you in the end. Take the money and run. Ride the Cuse money train again this weekend. You’re welcome.Comment -
lakerboySBR Aristocracy
- 04-02-09
- 94463
#70Congrats you square. I am not like you. You never said congrats on my Colorado pick yesterday.Comment
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