College Football Week 4 Picks

[thomorino]

6-9 to start the season

Clemson -9.5 1H - Clemson has seen and shutdown the triple option repeatedly, Tech's defense is weak, Clemson's strength is their front 7, Tech doesn't have the passing game to hit them on the back end like A&M.

Penn State -17 1H - Penn State will be ready for their first in conference game, huge gap in talent between these teams, Penn State will want to build confidence going into next weeks game against OSU.

Bama A&M under 61 - This is the first team with a defense Bama has faced and A&M's run defense is strong, they held up well against Clemson, A&M quarterback play is mediocre, they should struggle to move the ball. Bama's weak kicking game should be an issue here.

Wisconsin -3 - Wisconsin was looking ahead and got caught with the early start, they should be ready and open the playbook here.

[jjgold]

I don’t know where there is value in first half wagers

[ikid2groove415]

6-9 to start the season

Clemson -9.5 1H - Clemson has seen and shutdown the triple option repeatedly, Tech's defense is weak, Clemson's strength is their front 7, Tech doesn't have the passing game to hit them on the back end like A&M.

Penn State -17 1H - Penn State will be ready for their first in conference game, huge gap in talent between these teams, Penn State will want to build confidence going into next weeks game against OSU.

Bama A&M under 61 - This is the first team with a defense Bama has faced and A&M's run defense is strong, they held up well against Clemson, A&M quarterback play is mediocre, they should struggle to move the ball. Bama's weak kicking game should be an issue here.

Wisconsin -3 - Wisconsin was looking ahead and got caught with the early start, they should be ready and open the playbook here.

A&M might not score 14 points - saw there defense vs Clemson - plenty miss tackles - I think Bama will score whatever they want ? Only thing is saban respect jimbo ? Most likely wont run up the score - I don’t think Wisconsin opens up anything bro- there a running team first- Iowa could be a tough team playing at home- in night games

[veriableodds]

For any team regardless to cover that many points in the first half, hell i wouldnt even trust any top team to cover that(exept rare occasions) over a full game. How in the green earth do you come up with these picks?? lol

[MMANick]

For any team regardless to cover that many points in the first half, hell i wouldnt even trust any top team to cover that(exept rare occasions) over a full game. How in the green earth do you come up with these picks?? lol

Lol fuk off.

[veriableodds]

fukk you lets see your picks , atleast this guy has guul to post his

[MMANick]

fukk you lets see your picks , atleast this guy has guul to post his

Just typing his response to your post for him, tough guy.

Also, I was on the Browns and Temple yesterday... How'd you do?

[A Quant]

I don’t know where there is value in first half wagers

Preach on brutha. I don't understand it.

[juicername]

Just typing his response to your post for him, tough guy.

Also, I was on the Browns and Temple yesterday... How'd you do?

Fuk off.

Not that I care, but Morono is having a great year betting.

He's only lost 50 units betting baseball, a new personal best!

[A Quant]

6-9 to start the season

Clemson -9.5 1H - Clemson has seen and shutdown the triple option repeatedly, Tech's defense is weak, Clemson's strength is their front 7, Tech doesn't have the passing game to hit them on the back end like A&M.

Penn State -17 1H - Penn State will be ready for their first in conference game, huge gap in talent between these teams, Penn State will want to build confidence going into next weeks game against OSU.

Bama A&M under 61 - This is the first team with a defense Bama has faced and A&M's run defense is strong, they held up well against Clemson, A&M quarterback play is mediocre, they should struggle to move the ball. Bama's weak kicking game should be an issue here.

Wisconsin -3 - Wisconsin was looking ahead and got caught with the early start, they should be ready and open the playbook here.

I like the Bama Under pick a lot.

I think it very well may be a 42-10, 45-7 type of game (EDIT BECAUSE I AM A DUMBASS). Dont think they will sniff 61.

Wisconsin going into Iowa. That is a tough one. I love Iowa in that spot, only because that place is crazy at night. Very tough place to play-- that's another game where there may not be much scoring.

[A Quant]

fukk you lets see your picks , atleast this guy has guul to post his

He was joking with you man.

Thomorino posts "fuk off" to anyone who disagrees with him.

Just read this thread, you'll see. I may get two of them.

[shocka1212]

if you're going to play 1H lines... the value is in the totals... (i.e. SC/UGA 1H under is a tremendous play)

[thomorino]

For any team regardless to cover that many points in the first half, hell i wouldnt even trust any top team to cover that(exept rare occasions) over a full game. How in the green earth do you come up with these picks?? lol

Fuk off.

Not that I care, but Morono is having a great year betting.

He's only lost 50 units betting baseball, a new personal best!

Fuk off

[thomorino]

Not that I care about the comments, but its always easier to beat first half markets than full game markets - the lines will be sharpest where the most action is - and the overwhelming majority of bets will be full game.

Its also easier to find value betting big point spreads than small ones - for example - its much easier to believe a 28 point spread is off by 4 points than a 4 point spread is off by 4 points - because its much easier to believe a point spread is off by 25% than 100%.

[veriableodds]

ncaaf yesterday had no value for me , marathon volume , value bettor here I don't just seek action.
nfl picks nothing yesterday either just no value if you don't like my ncaaf, nfl picks you can hate me here. If you want an explanation of why I see value in my picks , I can do that to

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/college-football-betting/3494826-ncaaf-week4.html

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nfl-betting/3495001-week3-nfl.html

[MMANick]

Fuk off

There it is, veriableodds. You can apologize anytime, bro. Lollll

[thomorino]

He was joking with you man.

Thomorino posts "fuk off" to anyone who disagrees with him.

Just read this thread, you'll see. I may get two of them.

Not that I care but I enjoy disagreement.

[thomorino]

Not that i care but I enjoy disagreement, people like Juicer are trolls.

[veriableodds]

disagree is a basis of only getting.
sorry then , hate me or argue with me if you want in my thread.
ps sorry case of

[thomorino]

If you are going to come in here saying derivative bets have less value than normal bets - which makes no sense because the books get far more action on full game bets and have more incentive to make those lines sharper - at least give a reason.

[MMANick]

disagree is a basis of only getting.
sorry then , hate me or argue with me if you want in my thread.
ps sorry case of

Just messing with you, bud. I'll check your threads out!

[thomorino]

A&M might not score 14 points - saw there defense vs Clemson - plenty miss tackles - I think Bama will score whatever they want ? Only thing is saban respect jimbo ? Most likely wont run up the score - I don’t think Wisconsin opens up anything bro- there a running team first- Iowa could be a tough team playing at home- in night games

Going to Iowa is always tough, but I think that will bring out the best in this team, as an alum I've watched Wisconsin closely for a long time, and they seem to play their best in big games.

[veriableodds]

6-9 to start the season

Clemson -9.5 1H - Clemson has seen and shutdown the triple option repeatedly, Tech's defense is weak, Clemson's strength is their front 7, Tech doesn't have the passing game to hit them on the back end like A&M.

Penn State -17 1H - Penn State will be ready for their first in conference game, huge gap in talent between these teams, Penn State will want to build confidence going into next weeks game against OSU.

Bama A&M under 61 - This is the first team with a defense Bama has faced and A&M's run defense is strong, they held up well against Clemson, A&M quarterback play is mediocre, they should struggle to move the ball. Bama's weak kicking game should be an issue here.

Wisconsin -3 - Wisconsin was looking ahead and got caught with the early start, they should be ready and open the playbook here.

using statfoxes platinum handicap #s to base a proper spread line for game
Clemson/ your first pick would mean they are going to win by 18 if you cap it out they should win by -15 so half that being a first half wager gives 7.5 I would see value at -6 1h your line is 3.5 points out of that range

penn state/ comes out to they cover 36 so a half line would be -18 so your line gives you a 1 point edge I would be looking for atleast 16 or better to be any kind of value play

bama/a@m under 61/ your variance for the under lines up but the rating does not. For value the 3 factors have to line up as in variance, rating, then value of atleast 3 compared to rating-vs-live line in favor of atleast 3 but always prefer more in value

Wisconsin/-3/ you are betting against a top 45 teams and they are at home these will not produce profits long term this can only be taught thru trial and error based of experience

[thomorino]

using statfoxes platinum handicap #s to base a proper spread line for game
Clemson/ your first pick would mean they are going to win by 18 if you cap it out they should win by -15 so half that being a first half wager gives 7.5 I would see value at -6 1h your line is 3.5 points out of that range

penn state/ comes out to they cover 36 so a half line would be -18 so your line gives you a 1 point edge I would be looking for atleast 16 or better to be any kind of value play

bama/a@m under 61/ your variance for the under lines up but the rating does not. For value the 3 factors have to line up as in variance, rating, then value of atleast 3 compared to rating-vs-live line in favor of atleast 3 but always prefer more in value

Wisconsin/-3/ you are betting against a top 45 teams and they are at home these will not produce profits long term this can only be taught thru trial and error based of experience

Yeah you don't understand football, you can't just use math. Teams come out at the beginning of the game with a lot of energy, but up big late in games they often go conservative, that's why the first half lines are prorated equally with the full game line.

[reigle9]

disagree is a basis of only getting.
sorry then , hate me or argue with me if you want in my thread.
ps sorry case of

nick is one of the nicest guys on here, you went from just being ignorant to a jerkoff

[reigle9]

disagree is a basis of only getting.
sorry then , hate me or argue with me if you want in my thread.
ps sorry case of

nick is one of the nicest guys on here, you went from just being ignorant to straight jerkoff


also not seeing the psu 1H line, so far this year psu has scored about 30 points in the 1H and 700 in the 2H

[ikid2groove415]

It’s good 2 know numbers - but you have 2 watch the games to understand things

[veriableodds]

Yeah you don't understand football, you can't just use math. Teams come out at the beginning of the game with a lot of energy, but up big late in games they often go conservative, that's why the first half lines are prorated equally with the full game line.

Sorry if you don't agree but I am a math guy, I don't use instinct ,emotions, or gut feeling that's how you loose

[veriableodds]

nick is one of the nicest guys on here, you went from just being ignorant to straight jerkoff




also not seeing the psu 1H line, so far this year psu has scored about 30 points in the 1H and 700 in the 2H

Said I was sorry m8, maybe we can all get together and use our heads to make money instead of argue-ing

[shocka1212]

Said I was sorry m8, maybe we can all get together and use our heads to make money instead of argue-ing

you came to the wrong thread if thats what you're looking for

[MMANick]

you came to the wrong thread if thats what you're looking for

Couldn't be more true, shocka!

[MMANick]

nick is one of the nicest guys on here, you went from just being ignorant to straight jerkoff


also not seeing the psu 1H line, so far this year psu has scored about 30 points in the 1H and 700 in the 2H

Thanks for the nice compliment, Reigle!! I got your back, brotha!!

[thomorino]

6-10 lost with Penn State

[reigle9]

Thanks for the nice compliment, Reigle!! I got your back, brotha!!

6-10 lost with Penn State

fukk off

[thomorino]

fukk off

Fuk off