Syracuse a home dog to FSU???

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  • shocka1212
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-06-12
    • 16788

    #1
    Syracuse a home dog to FSU???
    Am I missing something here?
  • KVB
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 05-29-14
    • 74817

    #2
    I think the line is about right. My stacking percentages forecast has Florida St. winning 21-17.

    The opener has moved toward my forecast and what I've heard and seen, which is only so much this early in the week, the public, or tickets are trending towards Syracuse while the money is trending the other way. The markets moved with the early money, which took a position in some sharp books on Florida State.

    I get these conclusions because generally when the money disagrees with the public, it indicates sharper money, this is also demonstrated over time with moves at certain books. We've some of those moves as high as -3.5.

    That's all I've got for now and there is certainly more volume to come in but that's the picture from the early betting standpoint.

    Comment
    • shocka1212
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-06-12
      • 16788

      #3
      Syracuse 1h spread maybe?

      For the record, before anyone comes in here insulting me (that asshole from Saturday), trying to get better at capping CFB so shooting ideas around trying to gauge how we look at these games.
      Comment
      • Enkhbat
        SBR MVP
        • 04-18-11
        • 3145

        #4
        Given the incompetence of Florida State coach, I think Syracuse will win.
        Comment
        • jjgold
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 07-20-05
          • 388179

          #5
          I’ll take Syracuse but never forget the lines are not wrong
          Comment
          • ChuckyTheGoat
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 04-04-11
            • 37501

            #6
            Originally posted by jjgold
            I’ll take Syracuse but never forget the lines are not wrong
            ok, genius
            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
            Comment
            • gojetsgomoxies
              SBR MVP
              • 09-04-12
              • 4222

              #7
              it all comes down to processing of info which is very subjective....

              recent form suggests syracuse......... almost any other time in the last 15 years suggests FSU often big...

              so how do you weight it? if you believe in Taggart then they will come on strong at some point very soon. if not, then syracuse is an obvious play.

              my one concern is the carrier dome (still their home? name?) will be incredible environment for the game. i'm assuming they can sell out a competitive game vs. a perennial top 15 opponent really easily even though general interest will have dropped alot

              bottom line, i usually weight the long term more than the market does but in cases like oregon-washington the experience has been the exact opposite (washington could barely compete vs. oregon for 15 years and then suddenly they killed them the last 2 or 3 years)
              Comment
              • gojetsgomoxies
                SBR MVP
                • 09-04-12
                • 4222

                #8
                another way to put it is FSU has much much better talent.......... but when will that be reflected in their play? probably soon, but maybe not this week
                Comment
                • krk1030
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 08-13-08
                  • 17610

                  #9
                  FSU is fsr better than they have shown so far.
                  Comment
                  • thebestthereis
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-01-09
                    • 11459

                    #10
                    Comment
                    • jtoler
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 12-17-13
                      • 30967

                      #11
                      no reason to take fsu they have underachieved for years Ive been watching. they are frequently a team that goes through the motions for 3 quarters then try to turn it on the the 4th qtr, new coach but change not reflecting so far they might get blowed out
                      Comment
                      • LT Profits
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-27-06
                        • 90963

                        #12
                        FSU still overrated due to name recognition, I have this game close to a Pick (Actually Syracuse -0.60).
                        Comment
                        • SBR Drew
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 01-08-18
                          • 7351

                          #13
                          As a FSU fan...if they lose to SYR it clearly would be the end of the season...doubt if they would win more than 2 more games for entire season...those being NO ILL and maybe Wake.


                          As mentioned on Saturday night this coach has no business being in Tallahassee.
                          Comment
                          • Grits n' Gravy
                            Restricted User
                            • 06-10-10
                            • 13024

                            #14
                            FSU has tons of talent but Taggert’s system is much different than Jimbo’s. It will take time for it to come together.

                            Seminole fans need to realize if not for Jameis their program would have sank even lower on national pecking order.
                            Comment
                            • ikid2groove415
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-08-18
                              • 11981

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Grits n' Gravy
                              FSU has tons of talent but Taggert’s system is much different than Jimbo’s. It will take time for it to come together.

                              Seminole fans need to realize if not for Jameis their program would have sank even lower on national pecking order.
                              You mean the guy that’s rapes women’s and steal crab legs? ( Syracuse sucks -
                              Comment
                              • Grits n' Gravy
                                Restricted User
                                • 06-10-10
                                • 13024

                                #16
                                Originally posted by ikid2groove415
                                You mean the guy that’s rapes women’s and steal crab legs? ( Syracuse sucks -
                                Yup. The guy who led them to title. That guy. No Winston = no title a few years back. He made Jimbo appear to be a good HC.
                                Comment
                                • shocka1212
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-06-12
                                  • 16788

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Grits n' Gravy
                                  Yup. The guy who led them to title. That guy. No Winston = no title a few years back. He made Jimbo appear to be a good HC.
                                  That whole team was arguably the best collection of players we've seen since the 01 Miami Hurricanes... wasn't just Winston
                                  Comment
                                  • Mac4Lyfe
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-04-09
                                    • 48384

                                    #18
                                    I cannot put serious money on FSU right now. That offensive line is an abortion and Francois can’t pass the rock. Even the defense has question marks. They are a no bet until further notice.
                                    Comment
                                    • Noles1992
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-15-11
                                      • 4142

                                      #19
                                      I don’t know guys I had to grab Cuse +4 this is a train wreck. Like Shocka said that team was loaded mostly all playing in NFL heck think 3 OR 4 on Philadelphia defense last year. Could be lot of points put up if Fsu scores I know Cuse will
                                      Comment
                                      • Mac4Lyfe
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-04-09
                                        • 48384

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by shocka1212
                                        That whole team was arguably the best collection of players we've seen since the 01 Miami Hurricanes... wasn't just Winston
                                        The offensive line was leaking oil back then. I don’t know what happened but their line has been horrible ever since. Winston almost got killed behind that line. QBs after him need insurance policies playing with that group. It is a glaring problem.
                                        Comment
                                        • ikid2groove415
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-08-18
                                          • 11981

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Grits n' Gravy
                                          Yup. The guy who led them to title. That guy. No Winston = no title a few years back. He made Jimbo appear to be a good HC.
                                          Jimbo coach at FSU for 8 years accumulating an 83-23 record, a 2013 BCS national championship, 3 ACC conference championships, 4 AP Poll top 10 finishes, and 4 bowl game victories. His 0.783 winning percentage is the highest in FSU history among former head coaches.
                                          (That’s not good? They were more then Winston? defense was stealth - already see a difference at A&M
                                          Comment
                                          • ByeShea
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 06-30-08
                                            • 8115

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by gojetsgomoxies
                                            another way to put it is FSU has much much better talent.......... but when will that be reflected in their play? probably soon, but maybe not this week
                                            The amount of talent that can be wasted on a dysfunctional team is limitless. FSU offensive line and subsequently it's offense is nonexistent - I'm willing to bet that there's plenty of quit in the seminoles , Taggart is the Matt Patricia of college football.
                                            Comment
                                            • Cuse0323
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 12-09-09
                                              • 30169

                                              #23
                                              Time for the Cuse to break out and get that big W that starts their rise to prominence. Take the Orange.
                                              Comment
                                              • Venom72
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-05-16
                                                • 2041

                                                #24
                                                Fsu or no play, no way in hell id lay money on syracuse in football
                                                Comment
                                                • lonegambler23
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 06-22-16
                                                  • 9760

                                                  #25
                                                  never doubt dungey nation
                                                  Comment
                                                  • shocka1212
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 10-06-12
                                                    • 16788

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by shocka1212
                                                    Syracuse 1h spread maybe?

                                                    For the record, before anyone comes in here insulting me (that asshole from Saturday), trying to get better at capping CFB so shooting ideas around trying to gauge how we look at these games.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • SEAHAWKHARRY
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 11-29-07
                                                      • 26068

                                                      #27
                                                      Great call I had Syracuse +3.5 love this
                                                      Fla st sucks
                                                      Coach needs to go wrong fit
                                                      Qb is trash
                                                      Online is swiss cheese
                                                      Run defense is jo where to be seen and secondary is trash
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ikid2groove415
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 01-08-18
                                                        • 11981

                                                        #28
                                                        Perfect example what a dumb Coach can do 2 a elite program - FSU offenses is a joke -They will be like Texas:USC now - good luck finding a elite coach
                                                        Comment
                                                        • shocka1212
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 10-06-12
                                                          • 16788

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by ikid2groove415
                                                          Perfect example what a dumb Coach can do 2 a elite program - FSU offenses is a joke -They will be like Texas:USC now - good luck finding a elite coach
                                                          lets just profit off these lines as much as possible...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 04-04-11
                                                            • 37501

                                                            #30
                                                            Common, this can't really be FlaSt. Gonna get shut out.
                                                            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ikid2groove415
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 01-08-18
                                                              • 11981

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by shocka1212
                                                              lets just profit off these lines as much as possible...
                                                              People shouldn’t ignore that va tech game lol - this is exactly the same performance
                                                              Comment
                                                              • shocka1212
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 10-06-12
                                                                • 16788

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by ikid2groove415
                                                                People shouldn’t ignore that va tech game lol - this is exactly the same performance
                                                                been laying eggs for a while now... Francois is clearly not the answer nor is the coach.. time to blow this whole thing up and start from scratch (again)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jtoler
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 12-17-13
                                                                  • 30967

                                                                  #33
                                                                  this team had to win the last 4 games last year to finish 7-6, so they were 3-6 before that. did you think they'd go 10-3 this year.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • maggiethebestdog
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 12-21-13
                                                                    • 6700

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by shocka1212
                                                                    lets just profit off these lines as much as possible...
                                                                    Nowhere in this thread do you make a pick or a bet yet you are bumping it like you did and posting lightbulbs
                                                                    Only at SBR
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ikid2groove415
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-08-18
                                                                      • 11981

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by jtoler
                                                                      this team had to win the last 4 games last year to finish 7-6, so they were 3-6 before that. did you think they'd go 10-3 this year.
                                                                      That’s because jimbo knew he was gone
                                                                      Comment
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