Braves vs Marlins afternoon baseball game

[slayer14]

Could be a under game with 2 unknown pitchers starting.

[USCPHILLYGUY]

Loser of game 1 winning game 2 is now 21-5 on year

[KVB]

I don't have lines for either of these games.

[KVB]

Here come the lines, but not seeing anyone bet them...lol.

[slo mo]

Have to take the fish game one, right?? Lol

[slayer14]

lopez the fish pitcher is rated very highly in the organization

[KVB]

Miami is the contrarian side right now for sure.

My samples still show limited volume but I can say that so far money and tickets for both spread and moneyline seem to be all over Atlanta for both games.

For this first game, the public has bought the Over, but I a see the bigger money on the Under, but not as extreme percentage wise as the public is on the over.

This discrepancy implies sharper money likes the Under in the first game but I have no specific trades yet to point to this sharper activity.

Volume low on this game, once we get to an hour before game time I will have a clearer picture of this issue. If it's Miami you seek, unless it's a major sharp RLM, waiting could help you number wise.

If it is a major sharp RLM, it won't matter, it will be a confirmation for the play.

I am waiting to see.




Edit: All those Over tickets are resulting in more Over money and the money is becoming more even.

Looking for a sharp counter move or I may pass.

[slo mo]

Miami is the contrarian side right now for sure.

My samples still show limited volume but I can say that so far money and tickets for both spread and moneyline seem to be all over Atlanta for both games.

For this first game, the public has bought the Over, but I a see the bigger money on the Under, but not as extreme percentage wise as the public is on the over.

This discrepancy implies sharper money likes the Under in the first game but I have no specific trades yet to point to this sharper activity.

Volume low on this game, once we get to an hour before game time I will have a clearer picture of this issue. If it's Miami you seek, unless it's a major sharp RLM, waiting could help you number wise.

If it is a major sharp RLM, it won't matter, it will be a confirmation for the play.

I am waiting to see.




Edit: All those Over tickets are resulting in more Over money and the money is becoming more even.

Looking for a sharp counter move or I may pass.

Forgive me for not comprehending all of this due to my mind being all over the place lol... so in English this means what.... Fish ML??

[LT Profits]

Miami is the contrarian side right now for sure.

My samples still show limited volume but I can say that so far money and tickets for both spread and moneyline seem to be all over Atlanta for both games.

For this first game, the public has bought the Over, but I a see the bigger money on the Under, but not as extreme percentage wise as the public is on the over.

This discrepancy implies sharper money likes the Under in the first game but I have no specific trades yet to point to this sharper activity.

Volume low on this game, once we get to an hour before game time I will have a clearer picture of this issue. If it's Miami you seek, unless it's a major sharp RLM, waiting could help you number wise.

If it is a major sharp RLM, it won't matter, it will be a confirmation for the play.

I am waiting to see.




Edit: All those Over tickets are resulting in more Over money and the money is becoming more even.

Looking for a sharp counter move or I may pass.

It is already one hour before game time.

Staying away myself, model has Braves -194 and 8.4

[JIBBBY]

Loser of game 1 winning game 2 is now 21-5 on year

If Atlanta loses game 1 bet the house on them to win game 2 for sure..

Braves probably win both games though at home.. Braves typically handle and beat the Marlins consistently when they match up..

The Braves are 8-3 against Miami this year, including 4-1 at home..

https://sports.yahoo.com/braves-look-continue-success-vs-nl-east-host-002253774--mlb.html

[KVB]

It is already one hour before game time.

Staying away myself, model has Braves -194 and 8.4

I have that game at 10:35 my time, I posted at 8:35.

[TheLock]

This is the worst non-September Marlins lineup I have ever seen.

1 star (JT Realmuto)

1 decent major leaguer (Deitrich will likely have a 5 WAR over the last 3 years combined by the end of this season)

Prado is a mere shell of his former self

The rest is PURE trash. Riddle can maybe hit a HR vs the Braves RHP.

[KVB]

Forgive me for not comprehending all of this due to my mind being all over the place lol... so in English this means what.... Fish ML??

Maybe you can be more specific? Which part was confusing?

I was saying that if you like Mia, the line could get better, and it has.

I was also saying that the public appeared to be on the Over while it looked like sharp money was on the Under but that all those public tickets are starting to even out the money.

Situation still the same for the spread and ML, action is on Atlanta.

For the Total, both money and tickets are on the Over now.

I can not identify any sharp trades at any books that I consider noteworthy on any part of this first game.

We haven't had a line hanging for very long.

I am passing on this game but from a pure contrarian standpoint, Miami and the Under are the looks.

I'd rather watch, and see where the money falls, I have no forecast or metric giving me enough here.

[ikid2groove415]

Atlanta -2.5

[KVB]

This is the worst non-September Marlins lineup I have ever seen.

1 star (JT Realmuto)

1 decent major leaguer (Deitrich will likely have a 5 WAR over the last 3 years combined by the end of this season)

Prado is a mere shell of his former self

The rest is PURE trash. Riddle can maybe hit a HR vs the Braves RHP.

Lock I think I missed a post of yours in a stock thread, will get to it pal.

[TheMetsSuck]

braves-1.5 is a strong play.

[jjgold]

Pass

[JIBBBY]

braves-1.5 is a strong play.

Marlins last 2 games were decided by one run just saying..

Aug 13	@	Atlanta	10:35 AM PDT FSFL, FSSE

Aug 11	vs	NY Mets	W	4 - 3
Aug 12	vs	NY Mets	L	4 - 3

[slo mo]

Ok good deal, thanks for clarifying... I was in the middle of a phone call trying to read your post. I think we're on the same page now...

[TheLock]

Braves pitcher 2.01 ERA (BUT.....3.71 xFIP).

[JIBBBY]

Pass

Probably the smart play is the no play.. Solo Monday early games on the schedule could and do get dicey at times..

Braves on paper should be the pick though in game 1.. Paper bets like these don't always cash though.. Dogs can hit in these spots just like last night..

It's a gamble in other words, but that's what we do.. ..

[KVB]

Ok good deal, thanks for clarifying... I was in the middle of a phone call trying to read your post. I think we're on the same page now...

Feel free to ask anytime, I am trying to share info in real time here.

It's a race for information and I'm not only trying to get the info, but trying to act on the info and then relay it to the Forum.

It can be tough and I might take a reader's understanding for granted or even just misspeak myself.

[KVB]

Braves pitcher 2.01 ERA (BUT.....3.71 xFIP).

Market doesn't seem to care about the but's, they are buying Atl and the over, you may be on to something.

Imagine that, the public likes the fave and the Over.

I think we've heard that before.

[juicername]

I'm going with the under. Starved for early action.

[JIBBBY]

I'm going with the under. Starved for early action.

Under could work here.. Early game hitters off schedule, may take a while to heat up and get it going.. Both teams.. I'm considering it..

[juicername]

Hardly any aces on the mound, but Miami might not score a single run anyway...

[TheLock]

Market doesn't seem to care about the but's, they are buying Atl and the over, you may be on to something.

Imagine that, the public likes the fave and the Over.

I think we've heard that before.

I ended up on Marlins +1.5

[JIBBBY]

Well that was a quick score.. 1-0 Braves just like that..

https://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/miami-marlins-atlanta-braves-380813215/

[KVB]

This game was hardly up, no overnight.

I doubt there was much volume, I know many don't think about that, but it could be worth noting to some.

Fun fact for the game...

I have the Ump as Scott Barry and we have a healthy number of games for him.

His home bias is 173-157 but loses those home bettors about 19 or 20 units, if they bet every game with him.

His Under record is 157-158 for a loss of about 10 units overall.

He averages just about 9 runs per game.

Good Luck all.

[JIBBBY]

These pitchers both look vulnerable early in this game. This could be a wild one before all said and done..

[TheLock]

Marlins leave runners on 2nd and 3rd with no outs. That will be a huge factor later.

[slo mo]

Looks like the fish are fried lol

[slayer14]

Braves look like world series contenders they have had enough of being the joke of the baseball world.