Vegas Dave's Baseball Picks 06/29/09

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  • VegasDave
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-03-07
    • 8056

    #1
    Vegas Dave's Baseball Picks 06/29/09
    Pick 1: *3 UNIT PLAY* Florida Marlins -1.5 (+120) over Washington Nationals

    A very rare multi-unit play for me (thus you should probably all rejoice and enjoy the fade oppotunity, haha), but I haven't seen a play this strong in months.

    One of my absolute favorite fades in the league has returned from the DL in Scott Olsen. On top of just being a terrible pitcher and being in his first start coming off the DL (always tough), the Nationals are 1-6-1 when he takes the mound. Even more impressive? 5 of the 6 losses have been by 2 or more runs. Fading Olsen on the RL, you'd be 5-2-1 on the season, usually at +odds as well.

    Not only will he likely be his bad self tonight, but he'll also be on a pitch count, meaning quicker access to one of the league's worst bullpens.

    Factor all that in, and then consider that Ricky Nolasco has returned to 2008 form since a trip to the minors in late May. In four straight starts he has surrendered two earned runs or less, including impressive AL East offenses in Toronto, Boston, and Baltimore.

    Just looks like a total slam dunk to me; again, haters and faders rejoice.

    Pick 2: Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays Over 8 (-117)

    When Jeff Neimann pitches in a game, runs happen. In his last 12 games, only one has gone under eight runs.

    Of course, those games weren't against a pitcher of Halladay's calibur; but considering this is Halladay's first start off of the DL and the Rays are hitting the ball very well, if they can just scrape together 3 runs of offense, I believe the Blue Jays can take care of the rest.

    Always risky to count on the Doc to give up runs, but I'll take a stab that he shows his human side tonight; or Neimann just does all the work.

    Good Luck!
  • VegasDave
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-03-07
    • 8056

    #2
    To save him the trouble...

    onthewhat: "Vegas Dave eat a cheeseburger you fuk. Going to bet the Nationals huge now. Thanks ace"
    Comment
    • durito
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 07-03-06
      • 13173

      #3
      onthewhat doesn't have a dime to bet
      Comment
      • onthewhat
        Restricted User
        • 05-14-08
        • 15411

        #4
        Idiot
        Comment
        • VegasDave
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 01-03-07
          • 8056

          #5
          Ouch!
          Comment
          • The HG
            SBR MVP
            • 11-01-06
            • 3566

            #6
            VegasDave yes OnTheWhat is temperamental, but he is a professional National TV gambler, it comes with the territory. With the blessings of talent come the burdens of talent as well.

            VegasDave you should try and learn from OnTheWhat, instead of positioning him as an adversary, even if he ridicules and debases you. What you can learn from him is far more valuable than the price of his abuse.
            Comment
            • BobHarvey
              SBR MVP
              • 07-08-08
              • 3987

              #7
              Dave,

              I like your Toronto/TB OVER. Good luck!
              Comment
              • VegasDave
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-03-07
                • 8056

                #8
                You too Bob! Any leans on the Halos game tonight?
                Comment
                • BobHarvey
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-08-08
                  • 3987

                  #9
                  Dave,

                  I'm playing the Angels +118. I locked it in at 5 Dimes. The Rangers have stopped hitting and if Sean O'Sullivan can go six innings...well the less of the Angel bullpen the better.

                  Have you got a take on it?
                  Comment
                  • VegasDave
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 01-03-07
                    • 8056

                    #10
                    I got burned going against Padilla last out, but good luck! The Angels at +money is always nice.
                    Comment
                    • VegasDave
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 01-03-07
                      • 8056

                      #11
                      Nice hit on the Halos Bob!
                      Comment
                      • BobHarvey
                        SBR MVP
                        • 07-08-08
                        • 3987

                        #12
                        Dave, Thanks. And nice call yourself on the Florida RL. Nice hit.
                        Comment
                        • jkrap27
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 02-20-09
                          • 75

                          #13
                          good good good good
                          Comment
                          • VegasDave
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 01-03-07
                            • 8056

                            #14
                            Originally posted by BobHarvey
                            Dave, Thanks. And nice call yourself on the Florida RL. Nice hit.
                            Bummer that Toronto play didn't work for us... if you told me Tampa Bay was going to get 4 runs I'd have jogged over to the ticket cashing window without even looking at the score!
                            Comment
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