Should be lots of runs in this one. Bailey is a gas can who hasn’t posted a home era under 7 in any of his last 3 seasons, not a good history w this ump, and majority of cards lineup has a ops north of .900 vs him. Cards offense been pretty good since firing matheny and should get back on track here against a much worse pitcher.
On the other side Gomber making his 1st big league start and don’t expect him to have nearly the success Poncedeleon had yesterday. Reds sport the 6th best ops in majors bs lefties and Gomber mainly a 2 pitch pitcher. If he gets thru 5 with minimal damage he will have done good. Problem is once he exits it gonna leave 3+ innings of cards suspect pen. Lyons and Cecil both warmed up at various times last night so expect we see at least one these gas cans in the later innings.
Little breeze blowing out and gomber has never induced more than 40% ground balls in any of his minor league seasons, Bailey with slightly better ground ball rate but not much so think ball be flying out of the park tonight. You could pay the juice on 10.5 or sell to 11 for +105 but I’m not here to push so give me the +130 on 11.5.. gl everyone.
On the other side Gomber making his 1st big league start and don’t expect him to have nearly the success Poncedeleon had yesterday. Reds sport the 6th best ops in majors bs lefties and Gomber mainly a 2 pitch pitcher. If he gets thru 5 with minimal damage he will have done good. Problem is once he exits it gonna leave 3+ innings of cards suspect pen. Lyons and Cecil both warmed up at various times last night so expect we see at least one these gas cans in the later innings.
Little breeze blowing out and gomber has never induced more than 40% ground balls in any of his minor league seasons, Bailey with slightly better ground ball rate but not much so think ball be flying out of the park tonight. You could pay the juice on 10.5 or sell to 11 for +105 but I’m not here to push so give me the +130 on 11.5.. gl everyone.
. Thanks for checking in pal.
