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  • daneblazer
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 09-14-08
    • 27861

    #1
    Test: what is wrong with this article?
    Over/under 0.5 wins for the Browns this season? C'mon, easy call. But what about 5.7? NFL Nation runs the numbers for every team's 2018 forecast.


    Well Maybe several things, but whats the most glaring thing wrong?

    Winner gets 25 points
  • cincinnatikid513
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 11-23-17
    • 45360

    #2
    guy picked over on 29 of the 32 teams which seems impossible to be correct
    Comment
    • daneblazer
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 09-14-08
      • 27861

      #3
      Correct. It’s like he got to the end of the article and said oh shit i Better have some teams go under


      Makes you wonder about the Amount of thought “experts” put in these things
      Comment
      • cincinnatikid513
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 11-23-17
        • 45360

        #4
        Originally posted by daneblazer
        Correct. It’s like he got to the end of the article and said oh shit i Better have some teams go under

        Makes you wonder about the Amount of thought “experts” put in these things

        espn has to save some money they are paying the getup crew 14.5 million dollar salary
        Comment
        • jjgold
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 07-20-05
          • 388179

          #5
          no time for trivia bs
          Comment
          • cincinnatikid513
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 11-23-17
            • 45360

            #6
            Originally posted by jjgold
            no time for trivia bs
            wheres your potm video, do your job sammy should win
            Comment
            • darrell74
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 04-16-07
              • 14648

              #7
              Their decimal points for wins is phuckin retarded
              9.9 wins for Phily. The 4 letter network can be so dumb, sometimes.
              Comment
              • BigdaddyQH
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 07-13-09
                • 19530

                #8
                Originally posted by darrell74
                Their decimal points for wins is phuckin retarded
                9.9 wins for Phily. The 4 letter network can be so dumb, sometimes.
                The four letter network IS so dumb MOST of the time.
                Comment
                • cincinnatikid513
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 11-23-17
                  • 45360

                  #9
                  when will espn get smart and have a gambling show go over the lines for the day maybe they could even get 70's porn star loshak to host
                  Comment
                  • dlowilly
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-09-16
                    • 13862

                    #10
                    Originally posted by cincinnatikid513
                    guy picked over on 29 of the 32 teams which seems impossible to be correct
                    Depends on the odds

                    If the pass line in craps paid +105 and the don't pass line paid +105 you win more in the long run betting both even though one has to lose every time

                    I doubt they got +ev odds every bet here I'm just saying it isn't necessarily wrong
                    Comment
                    • SharpAngles
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 04-15-14
                      • 9467

                      #11
                      The most glaring wrong in this whole deal is that daneblazer reads articles on espn.com
                      Comment
                      • cincinnatikid513
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 11-23-17
                        • 45360

                        #12
                        Originally posted by dlowilly
                        Depends on the odds

                        If the pass line in craps paid +105 and the don't pass line paid +105 you win more in the long run betting both even though one has to lose every time

                        I doubt they got +ev odds every bet here I'm just saying it isn't necessarily wrong
                        there is no way 29 of 32 teams can all go over win prediction not every team can have a winning record or close to it
                        Comment
                        • daneblazer
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 09-14-08
                          • 27861

                          #13
                          Originally posted by SharpAngles
                          The most glaring wrong in this whole deal is that daneblazer reads articles on espn.com

                          This was actually sent to me from our old friend Lowly Oaftard
                          Comment
                          • dlowilly
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-09-16
                            • 13862

                            #14
                            Originally posted by cincinnatikid513
                            there is no way 29 of 32 teams can all go over win prediction not every team can have a winning record or close to it
                            And there is no way the pass line and the don't pass line can both win, but if the odds are right you should bet both of them

                            If odds on every over offered was 5% +ev you should bet all 32
                            Comment
                            • daneblazer
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 09-14-08
                              • 27861

                              #15
                              I think if everyone just goes one game over and the under teams don’t win a single games, that’s 255 wins. Not sure where they’re all coming from
                              Comment
                              • Harry N. Lloyd
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-26-08
                                • 4810

                                #16
                                That was a lot of work, Dane. What is this, a scavenger hunt?
                                Comment
                                • BigdaddyQH
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 07-13-09
                                  • 19530

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by dlowilly
                                  Depends on the odds

                                  If the pass line in craps paid +105 and the don't pass line paid +105 you win more in the long run betting both even though one has to lose every time

                                  I doubt they got +ev odds every bet here I'm just saying it isn't necessarily wrong
                                  That is why they have the "Bar 12". To break up the odds. I think that someone just failed to pay attention to what they were doing, a trait not new to ESPN.
                                  Comment
                                  • dlowilly
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-09-16
                                    • 13862

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                                    That is why they have the "Bar 12". To break up the odds. I think that someone just failed to pay attention to what they were doing, a trait not new to ESPN.
                                    No that +105 is including the bar 12

                                    Yes on rare occasion you would roll a 12 coming out and your don't pas would go on to lose but that doesn't wipe out the edge of +105 odds in the long run

                                    If there are multiple +ev bets you want to get money on all of them even if they compete with eachother. Another example would be if roulette numbers paid 40 to 1. You wouldn't want to bet just one number even though only one number can hit and a zero makes them all lose.
                                    Comment
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