Guys what would you do?

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  • beavis13
    SBR MVP
    • 06-18-14
    • 2823

    #1
    Guys what would you do?
    Have Celtics for $500 at +240 for series. Haven't played anything else on series. Doesn't look like the cavs can win in Boston but afraid of lebron just taking over. Would you hedge series price now or just let it ride?
  • jts1207
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-15-16
    • 8011

    #2
    Let it ride
    Comment
    • beavis13
      SBR MVP
      • 06-18-14
      • 2823

      #3
      That's my first instinct. Then again I'm very drunk at the moment
      Comment
      • TheMetsSuck
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 01-14-12
        • 6146

        #4
        maybe take cavs ml to win 500 next game and free roll game 7. cavs are going to take care of business at home we all know this. -400 mb tho. 2000 to win 500 and sit back and enjoy game 7
        Comment
        • Bostongambler
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 02-01-08
          • 35581

          #5
          Clev now is + 160 to win series. Play Cavs 350/560.

          Celts win series you pocket 850
          Cavs win series you pocket 60.

          Sleep easy
          Comment
          • Seaweed
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 01-19-12
            • 26318

            #6
            Let it ride

            Cavs are DINER
            Comment
            • beavis13
              SBR MVP
              • 06-18-14
              • 2823

              #7
              BG sound advise. But do you think Boston wins? I'm leaning that way.
              Comment
              • beavis13
                SBR MVP
                • 06-18-14
                • 2823

                #8
                Originally posted by TheMetsSuck
                maybe take cavs ml to win 500 next game and free roll game 7. cavs are going to take care of business at home we all know this. -400 mb tho. 2000 to win 500 and sit back and enjoy game 7
                Interesting idea. Thx.
                Comment
                • Seaweed
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 01-19-12
                  • 26318

                  #9
                  Cavs are done after tonight

                  Im an expert at body language
                  Comment
                  • beavis13
                    SBR MVP
                    • 06-18-14
                    • 2823

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Seaweed
                    Let it ride

                    Cavs are DINER
                    Weeder thx for advice and agree. Just wondering about the hedge.
                    Comment
                    • Shute
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-20-17
                      • 11835

                      #11
                      Let it ride
                      Comment
                      • Bostongambler
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 02-01-08
                        • 35581

                        #12
                        Originally posted by beavis13
                        BG sound advise. But do you think Boston wins? I'm leaning that way.
                        Yes, I do think they will win. But why try to outsmart the math?

                        The games still have to be played and anything can happen but the math is etched in stone.
                        Comment
                        • ChiLLx
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 12-24-11
                          • 5412

                          #13
                          Do not hedge. Why would you make the bet in the first place if you were up 3-2 with home court? The only reason you should hedge is if this is very financially significant which i would hope $500 is not
                          Comment
                          • TheSchafe
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-29-09
                            • 2143

                            #14
                            I've always been a strict anti-hedger. Let it ride.
                            Comment
                            • HurryUpAndDrink
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 08-23-13
                              • 13017

                              #15
                              let it ride fukker
                              Comment
                              • reppin_the_847
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-10-10
                                • 1576

                                #16
                                Well I never would've taken the Celtics in the first place. I'm sure the NBA would love nothing better than this series to ride out to 7 games. And lastly, King James can certainly command Cleveland to a Game 7 win on the road if anyone can. It wouldn't hurt to hedge, lol.

                                But if you're all about the Celtics & want the pleasure of an all or nothing victory, ride it out.

                                So my answer to your question is.....it depends. Depends on what you ultimately believe in (you believe in King James or you believe in the young Celts?) & what kind of reward you need or loss you're willing to put up with.
                                Comment
                                • garygroundwork
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 02-12-12
                                  • 729

                                  #17
                                  I only hedge when it's big money

                                  personally i would let this ride

                                  but if losing 500 is gona ruin u.... hedge
                                  Comment
                                  • jjgold
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 07-20-05
                                    • 388179

                                    #18
                                    let it ride

                                    penny bet
                                    Comment
                                    • u21c3f6
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 01-17-09
                                      • 790

                                      #19
                                      If you overbet your bankroll with this wager then I would definitely hedge. The amount of risk/reward is up to your personal preference.

                                      One example would be to take Cavs for the series (I currently see +165 at 5D) for $300 to win $495. This would turn your risk of $500 to win $1200 bet into risking $5 to win $900.

                                      Of course you could choose any combination that you feel comfortable with and fits your bankroll. Good luck!

                                      Joe.
                                      Comment
                                      • clockwise1965
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 10-01-13
                                        • 6753

                                        #20
                                        Very little value in hedging your bet. You must have figured the Celtics would win the series.

                                        Let it ride. Gl
                                        Comment
                                        • Bostongambler
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 02-01-08
                                          • 35581

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by ChiLLx
                                          Do not hedge. Why would you make the bet in the first place if you were up 3-2 with home court? The only reason you should hedge is if this is very financially significant which i would hope $500 is not
                                          Because you put yourself in a no lose situation,obviously. It’s still a nice payout % wise if your original bet hits.
                                          Comment
                                          • Bostongambler
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 02-01-08
                                            • 35581

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by clockwise1965
                                            Very little value in hedging your bet. You must have figured the Celtics would win the series.

                                            Let it ride. Gl
                                            Again that word “ value” is used out here. I don’t know if this a routine amount for this guy or not so that would come into play for sure, but the “ value” is putting yourself in a position to win with no negative side.

                                            If it’s chump change to him or to everyone as people are letting in , then 350 off the take isn’t a big deal.
                                            Comment
                                            • slambam
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-07-10
                                              • 1653

                                              #23
                                              I agree with Boston. Gambling is about playing percentages and increasing your odds. You have a chance to guarantee a winner, and the Boston bet would still pay almost 2U (assuming $500 is 1U) if you do it like Boston mentioned. Just my thoughts. Sure it looks like Boston will run away with it, but with the LeBron factor and you never know when an injury will hit. Plus, you seem to be awfully confident it'll go 7 games, once you get there, anything can happen.
                                              Comment
                                              • IBetYou
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 07-03-15
                                                • 8158

                                                #24
                                                Be a man, let it ride. A game 7 in Boston will be pick 'em odds, but it mightn't go that far. The same people that assumed the Cavs would sweep the Celtics are sure game 6 will be another route. This is a clumsy assumption.
                                                Comment
                                                • Bostongambler
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 02-01-08
                                                  • 35581

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by IBetYou
                                                  Be a man, let it ride. A game 7 in Boston will be pick 'em odds, but it mightn't go that far. The same people that assumed the Cavs would sweep the Celtics are sure game 6 will be another route. This is a clumsy assumption.
                                                  That’s your theory to money management and taking a sure profit by saying “ Be a man , let it ride”. Lol.. ok, good luck
                                                  Comment
                                                  • IBetYou
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 07-03-15
                                                    • 8158

                                                    #26
                                                    As most people know bookies offer unfair odds. If you bet both sides then you're a mug. If he needs money to finance other bets or whatever then that's another matter. But either way you're letting you're bookie off the hook by going to that happy place.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Bostongambler
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 02-01-08
                                                      • 35581

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by IBetYou
                                                      As most people know bookies offer unfair odds. If you bet both sides then you're a mug. If he needs money to finance other bets or whatever then that's another matter. But either way you're letting you're bookie off the hook by going to that happy place.
                                                      So if Cleveland ends up winning then who let who off the hook.

                                                      Surely you are not naive enough to think that one can predict the outcome of a sporting event on two teams that have played each other evenly. No?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jtoler
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 12-17-13
                                                        • 30967

                                                        #28
                                                        good luck with whatever you do. appears it will go 7 all Bronny needs is the right refs in a Game 7.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • IBetYou
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 07-03-15
                                                          • 8158

                                                          #29
                                                          You have to think long term... It's a losing strategy long term. What will you do the next time you have a promising bet? Same thing again? That's ridiculous.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • lonegambler23
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 06-22-16
                                                            • 9760

                                                            #30
                                                            youre betting peanuts. let it ride.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • phinfan27615
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 07-10-17
                                                              • 1837

                                                              #31
                                                              lol at the non pros saying $500 isn't a big bet when they can't give $100 to charity. Sad!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Bad Tattoo
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 11-12-13
                                                                • 714

                                                                #32
                                                                I would hedge to break even
                                                                Comment
                                                                • shocka1212
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 10-06-12
                                                                  • 16788

                                                                  #33
                                                                  cavs in 7
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • funnyb25
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 07-09-09
                                                                    • 39663

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by phinfan27615
                                                                    lol at the non pros saying $500 isn't a big bet when they can't give $100 to charity. Sad!
                                                                    Equivalent of 27 cents a day
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • europe_baller
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 11-01-12
                                                                      • 859

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by phinfan27615
                                                                      lol at the non pros saying $500 isn't a big bet when they can't give $100 to charity. Sad!
                                                                      Completely agree, and not sure why I am not pro yet.. I bet 50,100,150 and those are sizeable amounts for me even though I make good money.. I am just not disciplined when it comes to betting..Come from Europe where i bet since i was a little kid and have no bankroll management and betting crazy sometimes..lose 2000$ in matter of 2 days lol... But half of the forum seems like they are betting thousands on each play lol.. 500 is a big bet but probably I wouldnt hedge it either now... Good luck
                                                                      Comment
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