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  • Enkhbat
    SBR MVP
    • 04-18-11
    • 3145

    #13791
    Just seems like we are due for big down move soon.
    Comment
    • d2bets
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 08-10-05
      • 39994

      #13792
      Originally posted by Enkhbat
      Just seems like we are due for big down move soon.
      There was a big down move late October. Gained it back this week. Back where we were a few weeks ago.

      Chart-wise it seems like the downward channel for the last few means has been breached to the upside. If the Fed is done the rally will continue.
      Comment
      • Optional
        Administrator
        • 06-10-10
        • 61298

        #13793
        I don't think the Fed is done.

        Too much strength still pushing inflation.
        .
        Comment
        • Chiefs83
          SBR MVP
          • 08-01-16
          • 2799

          #13794
          Is tomorrow the day the market turns???
          How many more days can it keep skyrocketing…
          Premarket is up huge again
          Last edited by Chiefs83; 11-06-23, 06:19 AM. Reason: Premarket
          Comment
          • Chiefs83
            SBR MVP
            • 08-01-16
            • 2799

            #13795
            New it was a fakeout…SYM getting crushed
            Comment
            • veriableodds
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 08-22-17
              • 5093

              #13796
              what the hell are the markets going to do???
              sp500 ytd+15%
              leco ytd+26%
              mo down 11%but pays over a 9% div, don't plan on selling this decade anyway.
              Comment
              • Madison
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 09-16-11
                • 6441

                #13797
                Originally posted by Chiefs83
                New it was a fakeout…SYM getting crushed
                We are not day trading SYM. This a "build a strong position" slowly but for the mid term (next 5 years).
                Comment
                • Chiefs83
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-01-16
                  • 2799

                  #13798
                  I understand I added a couple shares at 34.88 earlier
                  Comment
                  • veriableodds
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-22-17
                    • 5093

                    #13799
                    Originally posted by Chiefs83
                    New it was a fakeout…SYM getting crushed
                    You may like this dense diverse tech/AI etf. Monthly on the div with a just under 11%apy(AIO)
                    Virtus Artificial Intelligence & Technology Opportunities Fund (AIO) Holdings (seekingalpha.com)
                    Comment
                    • homie1975
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-24-13
                      • 15452

                      #13800
                      The Tell


                      Fed likely to cut rates below 3%, making bonds attractive now, Guggenheim says

                      Published: Nov. 6, 2023 at 6:15 p.m. ET
                      Comment
                      • Slurry Pumper
                        SBR MVP
                        • 06-18-18
                        • 2811

                        #13801
                        Alright after 7 days of just going up, from the spot on the SPY I identified for you all, it may be time for a slight pullback here. Looking for the 50DMA $433.20ish as support, and the gap fill of $430.90ish. On the off chance the bull flag works, the 100 DMA $439ish isn't going to be much of a resistance if reached.
                        Comment
                        • Madison
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-16-11
                          • 6441

                          #13802
                          NOW is the time ..

                          ALB and other Lithium related stocks and the commodity itself have plummeted to WAY oversold. You can track the resurgence via ALB. Start building a position now!!!

                          After Earnings, Is Albemarle Stock a Buy, a Sell, or Fairly Valued? | Morningstar
                          Comment
                          • Slurry Pumper
                            SBR MVP
                            • 06-18-18
                            • 2811

                            #13803
                            Originally posted by Madison
                            ALB and other Lithium related stocks and the commodity itself have plummeted to WAY oversold. You can track the resurgence via ALB. Start building a position now!!!

                            After Earnings, Is Albemarle Stock a Buy, a Sell, or Fairly Valued? | Morningstar
                            Miners in general are in this oversold boat. I concur with the lithium play, but caution against the small players in this field. Of course that is not ALB, as they have established facilities.
                            I just got back from the South American areas that are doing this mining, and I can say the governments are clamping down on smaller facilities that may not be producing within the regulating guidelines that are laid out. I don't have a list of violators, but just tossing that out there because about 125% of the cost to produce lithium is the process.
                            Comment
                            • Madison
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 09-16-11
                              • 6441

                              #13804
                              Upstart UPST

                              Down 30% overnight to $21. I have traded this guy when it was circa $50. I thought quite highly of the company but the price was an aberration. Thinking of dipping back in at the open.

                              Anyone have any thoughts here?
                              Comment
                              • Madison
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 09-16-11
                                • 6441

                                #13805
                                Originally posted by Slurry Pumper
                                Miners in general are in this oversold boat. I concur with the lithium play, but caution against the small players in this field. Of course that is not ALB, as they have established facilities.
                                I just got back from the South American areas that are doing this mining, and I can say the governments are clamping down on smaller facilities that may not be producing within the regulating guidelines that are laid out. I don't have a list of violators, but just tossing that out there because about 125% of the cost to produce lithium is the process.
                                Much appreciated Slurry!!

                                One note here is to add attention to the "Chile Crash" back this spring. I killed the bounce after the overreaction. I believe ALB has contractual mining rights in Chile through 2046. I'll be long gone by then.
                                Comment
                                • ChuckyTheGoat
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 04-04-11
                                  • 37254

                                  #13806
                                  Originally posted by Madison
                                  Down 30% overnight to $21. I have traded this guy when it was circa $50. I thought quite highly of the company but the price was an aberration. Thinking of dipping back in at the open.

                                  Anyone have any thoughts here?
                                  Thx again to guys like Madison. I'm always looking for critical thinking.

                                  Madison, I've been doing the same thing we discussed:
                                  1) Slowly di-vesting some of the Index Funds and tech-stocks.
                                  2) Buying the dip on MSTR/GBTC and a few metal stocks.

                                  Looking at the screen today: Giddyup.
                                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                  Comment
                                  • ChuckyTheGoat
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 04-04-11
                                    • 37254

                                    #13807
                                    One other anecdotal comment: *I think the Inflation >>> Hyper-Inflation is going faster than people think:

                                    1) Check out the prices in your Soft Drink aisle.
                                    ...Those prices have gone up +50% in the L12 months.

                                    2) Had an urge for two Jelly donuts from Dunkin.
                                    ...Hadn't had one in ages. $2.12 per donut - GTFOH.
                                    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                    Comment
                                    • Enkhbat
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-18-11
                                      • 3145

                                      #13808
                                      Which state are you in Chucky? I didn't realize donuts were that expensive.

                                      I am thinking about buying some VIX call options exprining before the new year, it just feels like there will be a spike soon.
                                      Comment
                                      • Slurry Pumper
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 06-18-18
                                        • 2811

                                        #13809
                                        $433.40 on the SPY is pretty close to my $443.20 spot for a bounce. So far I would just call this a spot for a blip or daytrade chance. Not technically a daytrade as this started yesterday at around 3:00 PM, but if I sell at 10 this morning, I've really only held the option for 2 hours of trading time, so I consider it a day trade. It may turn into more today if the markets just start to run here, or give it up and go for the gap fill situation at the $430.90 spot. I like the gap fill better, but it may not get there before we resume the uphill climb. There is allot of bearish plays out there, and when they start covering, it will be a pretty big run. Maybe not as good as the last 35 -40 point run up a week ago, but those are pretty rare.
                                        Last edited by Slurry Pumper; 11-10-23, 08:08 AM.
                                        Comment
                                        • homie1975
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-24-13
                                          • 15452

                                          #13810
                                          memo to the masses:

                                          the melt up continues, no matter how much anyone likes or dislikes it.

                                          the bull market climbs the wall of worry.

                                          macro geopolitical BS cannot stop it.

                                          opinions about politics cannot stop it.

                                          invest accordingly, or risk getting your A$$ handed to you.

                                          friends of mine who hate the people running the USA right now, played a bunch of PUTS and they are getting their shitt crammed up their assses.

                                          serves them right.

                                          it is okay to be stupid. it is Not okay to be ignorant.

                                          GO MARKET GO
                                          Comment
                                          • homie1975
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 12-24-13
                                            • 15452

                                            #13811
                                            Originally posted by Enkhbat
                                            Just seems like we are due for big down move soon.
                                            based on what? your feelings? based on what data? based o what empirical data?

                                            you will go broke thinking like that.

                                            when everyone is thinking ONE WAY, GO THE OTHER WAY
                                            Comment
                                            • d2bets
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 08-10-05
                                              • 39994

                                              #13812
                                              Originally posted by homie1975
                                              memo to the masses:

                                              the melt up continues, no matter how much anyone likes or dislikes it.

                                              the bull market climbs the wall of worry.

                                              macro geopolitical BS cannot stop it.

                                              opinions about politics cannot stop it.

                                              invest accordingly, or risk getting your A$$ handed to you.

                                              friends of mine who hate the people running the USA right now, played a bunch of PUTS and they are getting their shitt crammed up their assses.

                                              serves them right.

                                              it is okay to be stupid. it is Not okay to be ignorant.

                                              GO MARKET GO
                                              Now that was a rip your face off rally. It will not surprise me if they Santa Claus rally is in effect this year. If the Fed is done and has achieved the soft landing, off she runs. Don't forget, even after today the S&P still almost 10% off the Jan 2021 highs, and the smaller caps far more than that.
                                              Comment
                                              • homie1975
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-24-13
                                                • 15452

                                                #13813
                                                Originally posted by d2bets
                                                Now that was a rip your face off rally. It will not surprise me if they Santa Claus rally is in effect this year. If the Fed is done and has achieved the soft landing, off she runs. Don't forget, even after today the S&P still almost 10% off the Jan 2021 highs, and the smaller caps far more than that.
                                                SPX only 7.3% off the high of 12/31/21 which was 4766.
                                                Comment
                                                • d2bets
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 08-10-05
                                                  • 39994

                                                  #13814
                                                  Originally posted by homie1975
                                                  SPX only 7.3% off the high of 12/31/21 which was 4766.
                                                  Would you be shocked if that was topped before year-end? I wouldn't.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • homie1975
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 12-24-13
                                                    • 15452

                                                    #13815
                                                    Originally posted by d2bets
                                                    Would you be shocked if that was topped before year-end? I wouldn't.
                                                    i would be extremely surprised.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • trobin31
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 01-09-14
                                                      • 9853

                                                      #13816
                                                      Biggest threat right now is how things will shape up in Middle East. we’ve seen this movie before, but this time seems different. If Israel goes full scale this could unite several countries to the Palestinian cause and send oil and inflation back higher. Theres a case for several years of commodity and energy supply tightening if US relationships break down in Middle East. At the end of the day, these are Muslims, and they won’t sit by very long watching Palestinians get annihilated at this scale so quickly, maybe if it’s a slow burn like it’s been for past few decades, then that’s okay and they don’t feel need to intervene. Anywho, All this is bad for inflation if not tamed. I will be hedging w bets on energy, especially oil & uranium as this rally likely continues through Ramadan/holidays but after that I am worried what is next shoe to drop.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • trobin31
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 01-09-14
                                                        • 9853

                                                        #13817
                                                        Would be nice to see a little consolidation here. Expecting some news to curb the enthusiasm this weekend. Watching crypto over weekend to gauge
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Chiefs83
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 08-01-16
                                                          • 2799

                                                          #13818
                                                          Forcast for the week anyone?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • homie1975
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 12-24-13
                                                            • 15452

                                                            #13819
                                                            Originally posted by Chiefs83
                                                            Forcast for the week anyone?
                                                            sideways after last week's euphoria
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Slurry Pumper
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 06-18-18
                                                              • 2811

                                                              #13820
                                                              I think we have a pullback this week. Starting tomorrow on Turn Around Tuesday. Soon everyone will be in the sky is falling camp, but in reality, markets will make a higher low maybe not before the end of the week, but eventually in the coming days.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • trobin31
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 01-09-14
                                                                • 9853

                                                                #13821
                                                                The yuan and Chinese stocks look bottomed so swinging at YINN & BABA
                                                                Comment
                                                                • d2bets
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 08-10-05
                                                                  • 39994

                                                                  #13822
                                                                  Monthly CPI 0.0. Markets set for epic rally.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Chiefs83
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-01-16
                                                                    • 2799

                                                                    #13823
                                                                    I just sold a lot in Premarket… SYM skyrocketing
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Slurry Pumper
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 06-18-18
                                                                      • 2811

                                                                      #13824
                                                                      I think it may be a gap and crap. We'll see in a few minutes
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • trobin31
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 01-09-14
                                                                        • 9853

                                                                        #13825
                                                                        Small caps starting to participate so rally is broadening out. IWM to mid 180s seems reasonable if this holds.

                                                                        Wait for the memes to start popping off and that’s when everything usually fizzles out
                                                                        Comment
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