Florida st really going to lose to bc?

**unde0087** · 10-27-17, 12:55 PM

I think the better question is: Do you really want to bet on a team in complete turmoil? FSU offense is in shambles without Francois and we just lost Patrick for the season last game. I wouldn't be shocked if BC wins outright, its that fukin bad right now. I wouldn't touch FSU with a 10 foot pole.

**bballs84** · 10-27-17, 12:56 PM

Just beat Louisville who just beat FSU.. FSU one dimensional as well.. Patrick out.. BC just smacked Virginia.. smell An upset tonight in Chest Nut Hill

**BigdaddyQH** · 10-27-17, 12:56 PM

Obviously Florida State has the better talent, but their mind set has to be at an all time low. Do they even care about the season any more? We will find out tomorrow.

**survive** · 10-27-17, 01:04 PM

Bc getting 7 at some shops now. What’s with the line move?

**unde0087** · 10-27-17, 01:04 PM

Originally posted by BigdaddyQH

Obviously Florida State has the better talent, but their mind set has to be at an all time low. Do they even care about the season any more? We will find out tomorrow.

The game is tonight

And just by watching them for the past 3 games, no one is into it anymore. Doesn't help that Jimbo basically said, without saying, he is going to fire his staff. So now we have a bunch of lame duck coaches as well.

**teaserpleaser** · 10-27-17, 01:12 PM

Today isn't it?

**jjgold** · 10-27-17, 01:19 PM

Boston College seems decent

**SAVAGE** · 10-27-17, 01:24 PM

I think BC whoops them. I'm liking the +200ML

also the line just moved to 6.5

**newguy** · 10-27-17, 01:25 PM

No way. FSU rolls tonight i think. They start turning it around. On the road on a nationally televised game. They won't lose to BC and I think they cover by a large number.

**teaserpleaser** · 10-27-17, 01:27 PM

Damn I was going to road trip it to Vegas to cash some tickets get down on fsu ML but it would be like -290 by 4 when I get there.

**teaserpleaser** · 10-27-17, 01:29 PM

Originally posted by newguy

No way. FSU rolls tonight i think. They start turning it around. On the road on a nationally televised game. They won't lose to BC and I think they cover by a large number.

Yeah this is how I feel but predictions I'm seeing calling for upset. Bc is making a big deal about Fsu on a weekday night game.

**MaddyMax** · 10-27-17, 01:34 PM

FSU O line is decimated. Almost everyone i son BC. Wanna be sharps and touts.
But FSU can win and cover with defense and their run game. BC run D sucks.
FSU will run and control the clock.
If i am forced to bet i would take fsu but not touching this game.

This is a typical clean out game for books. Public will try to act sharp by taking the attractive dog today after most dogs covered yesterday.

Look at this https://www.tomahawknation.com/flori...ff-predictions almost every clown is picking bc to win straight up or to cover. you know what that means!

**newguy** · 10-27-17, 02:03 PM

Originally posted by teaserpleaser

Yeah this is how I feel but predictions I'm seeing calling for upset. Bc is making a big deal about Fsu on a weekday night game.

Exactly. Find me anyone on FSU and yet line is jumping making BC look "more" attractive attracting more money on them. It's a game. Crazy things could happen and BC covers but this situation cashes FSU much much more often then it cashes BC.

**Cougsky17** · 10-27-17, 02:05 PM

Hammering the under. FSU has enough talent left to keep this thing ugly and low-scoring. First one to 17 wins.

**dante1** · 10-27-17, 02:07 PM

I really liked BC at +3.5 now at +6.5 not so sure. They are playing much better, covered the last 5 I think. But this line change has me concerned. I will still nibble on BC, but not crazy about them any longer.

**Erkm808** · 10-27-17, 02:17 PM

Originally posted by dante1

I really liked BC at +3.5 now at +6.5 not so sure. They are playing much better, covered the last 5 I think. But this line change has me concerned. I will still nibble on BC, but not crazy about them any longer.

I really never understood this logic... I mean if you capped the game and liked them at 3.5, why would you not like them at a higher number? I mean if other people’s views get in the way, why even bother capping the game? Not throwing shade just trying to see the thought process behind it...I mean the more information the better...just curious on the analysis.

**Erkm808** · 10-27-17, 02:19 PM

I will say I do like Florida st minus the points and I do see why the number is climbing...I think this is a much better matchup for Florida st

**Israelnyjah** · 10-27-17, 02:36 PM

Florida St will show up tonight.

**newguy** · 10-27-17, 03:12 PM

Originally posted by Erkm808

I really never understood this logic... I mean if you capped the game and liked them at 3.5, why would you not like them at a higher number? I mean if other people’s views get in the way, why even bother capping the game? Not throwing shade just trying to see the thought process behind it...I mean the more information the better...just curious on the analysis.

Not speaking for Dante but I have the same thought process. You cap a game based on all info available including the knowledge that Vegas sets line not attempting to be exactly right but to make the most profit they can. The line move means someone somewhere knows something. They are either trying to attract more money on BC, have received heavy money on FSU, something has changed and it isn't weather and isn't injury so it's something that I can't always accurately cap. Whatever it is I have learned that lines moving strong against me means I need to be careful and therefore lower my position on the game. Could be I was right all along, could be some sloot was giving BC players blowers all night last night and it hasn't been made public but its something i don't know and that means lowering position.
That said. Don't worry about it here. Take FSU and have a nice start to weekend.

**dante1** · 10-27-17, 03:19 PM

Originally posted by Erkm808

I really never understood this logic... I mean if you capped the game and liked them at 3.5, why would you not like them at a higher number? I mean if other people’s views get in the way, why even bother capping the game? Not throwing shade just trying to see the thought process behind it...I mean the more information the better...just curious on the analysis.

I happen to believe that often when a swing takes place of more than 3 points it is significant. I have been watching line changes for decades and I think there might be a little validity to that theory. Of course I understand where you are coming from, if a line changes in my favor, meaning I am getting more points, it should theoretically be a good thing. After decades I have the opposite view, but it doesn't mean a thing what I believe. Especially since I believe what I believe but I am still taking a little action on BC.

**daneblazer** · 10-27-17, 03:49 PM

Don’t over think line movement. If you like BC +3 take them at +6

i was at the FSU game last week. They should have won, but they are undisciplined and often out of position. The offense is fairly rudderless. Defense looked confused. Derwin James isn’t 100% still. Not going to surprise me if they lose tonight.

**dante1** · 10-27-17, 04:14 PM

Originally posted by daneblazer

Don’t over think line movement. If you like BC +3 take them at +6

i was at the FSU game last week. They should have won, but they are undisciplined and often out of position. The offense is fairly rudderless. Defense looked confused. Derwin James isn’t 100% still. Not going to surprise me if they lose tonight.

Oh I did and I will take a little more at new line. And I agree FSU is not who they usually are, BC playing better. Line change annoying me a bit and if BC wins or covers I will be pissed, lol. Of course the exact opposite can happen too.

good luck

**dante1** · 10-27-17, 04:17 PM

lol SBR now has opening line at 8 I think. That is wrong, I have been watching this line since Tuesday and it started at 3 unless I am totally fcked up on this. But I am not, because I took some at 3. So according to that line BC is the play. But, it is wrong.

**reigle9** · 10-27-17, 04:24 PM

this line is the ole reverse reverse line, where the line looks like a sucker play, the #'s say bet BC

fsu wins by 14

**reigle9** · 10-27-17, 04:26 PM

Originally posted by dante1

lol SBR now has opening line at 8 I think. That is wrong, I have been watching this line since Tuesday and it started at 3 unless I am totally fcked up on this. But I am not, because I took some at 3. So according to that line BC is the play. But, it is wrong.

Lines come out around 4:30 on Sunday.

**LT Profits** · 10-27-17, 04:41 PM

Originally posted by dante1

lol SBR now has opening line at 8 I think. That is wrong, I have been watching this line since Tuesday and it started at 3 unless I am totally fcked up on this. But I am not, because I took some at 3. So according to that line BC is the play. But, it is wrong.

Where are you seeing 8 opener on SBR? I have default opener set to Pinny and am showing 3.5.

**Erkm808** · 10-27-17, 04:53 PM

I guess my real question is, have you guys tracked the outcomes when line moves like this happen? I see that point if this was a Saturday game but being it is a weekday game and only 3 games on board imo the move is based on the money coming in. That being said I rather lose my money on what I believe instead of having someone else make a decision for me by moving a line

**teaserpleaser** · 10-27-17, 08:37 PM

Originally posted by Israelnyjah

Florida St will show up tonight.

Think that's the problem.

Florida st is terrible

**Rich Boy** · 10-27-17, 08:44 PM

Why didnt u guys tell me this before I laid these sad sack of shit FSU dildos

**jjgold** · 10-27-17, 09:53 PM

They are not even average

Sad

**eastvan09** · 10-27-17, 10:24 PM

Nice win with BC. Had them on straight bet, as a leg of several parlays.

**unde0087** · 10-27-17, 10:31 PM

Originally posted by unde0087

I think the better question is: Do you really want to bet on a team in complete turmoil? FSU offense is in shambles without Francois and we just lost Patrick for the season last game. I wouldn't be shocked if BC wins outright, its that fukin bad right now. I wouldn't touch FSU with a 10 foot pole.

**SAVAGE** · 10-28-17, 01:56 AM

Originally posted by SAVAGE

I think BC whoops them. I'm liking the +200ML

also the line just moved to 6.5

This guy is smart

**dante1** · 10-28-17, 09:56 AM

Originally posted by SAVAGE

This guy is smart

Yep, smart on this one. I liked BC to win the game too. In fact I played BC with the points and on money line. That damn line change did make me fall back some but I am satisfied. Can't get too greedy. As I wrote BC is playing much better, and FS simply is not a good team this year. they don't even look like they are playing with effort.

good luck to everybody today