MIDDLING/SCALPING NBA playoff props.....

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  • Fishhead
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 08-11-05
    • 40184

    #1
    MIDDLING/SCALPING NBA playoff props.....
    SBR members with two or more outs should be looking for many win-win situations right now.

    This is a key time for easy money.

    FH
  • donjuan
    SBR MVP
    • 08-29-07
    • 3993

    #2
    You're really going to spend time scalping stuff with <$500 limits?
    Comment
    • MonkeyF0cker
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 06-12-07
      • 12144

      #3
      Exactly, dj. Just play the off number.
      Comment
      • Fishhead
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 08-11-05
        • 40184

        #4
        Originally posted by donjuan
        You're really going to spend time scalping stuff with <$500 limits?
        Lots of places take more then that........

        But even at 500 limits, one can put themselves in a win 100 or breakeven situation on many occassions.
        Comment
        • MonkeyF0cker
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 06-12-07
          • 12144

          #5
          Originally posted by Fishhead
          Lots of places take more then that........

          But even at 500 limits, one can put themselves in a win 100 or breakeven situation on many occassions.
          If you're finding disparate wagers of +120/+120, your hedge better be +EV. Otherwise, you're wasting extreme value in your original bet.
          Comment
          • donjuan
            SBR MVP
            • 08-29-07
            • 3993

            #6
            Lots of places take more then that........
            Such as?
            Comment
            • donjuan
              SBR MVP
              • 08-29-07
              • 3993

              #7
              If you're finding disparate wagers of +120/+120, your hedge better be +EV. Otherwise, you're wasting extreme value in your original bet.
              The only times to arb are when you either don't know which side has value or to help manage risk. But arbing to manage risk on props on anything other than a micro bankroll is laughable.
              Comment
              • RonPaul2008
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 06-08-07
                • 6739

                #8
                Sometimes both sides are +EV.


                Originally posted by donjuan
                The only times to arb are when you either don't know which side has value or to help manage risk. B
                Comment
                • Nicky Santoro
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 04-08-08
                  • 16103

                  #9
                  fishler is a grinder and always has been. fishler doesn't mind making 30 bucks here, 25 bucks there.. he's always been like that.. nothing wrong with that. hey, some people go work 9 to 5 to make 60 bucks and have to work for a boss. why not do it here by pressing a button and making 100/day, why not? it's 700/week.. good job, fishler.


                  fishler, ignore these miserable guys like monkey and donny, they ALWAYS come in and bash anyone to make them feel smarter.. they like putting people down.. they've been trying with me since day 1, but they can't win against me. don't let them bring you down.. they look for threads like this to jump on anything.. they love it..

                  you can say 1+1 is 2, and they will see it and come in here and find a way to say you're wrong.. but they have no idea what they are talking about ever.. especially monkeyfag..
                  Comment
                  • MonkeyF0cker
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 06-12-07
                    • 12144

                    #10
                    If you were to bet a +120 prop and found that the fair price was being offered at -130 (your side)/+120 on several efficient markets, that would give you a 21.94% edge. If you were offered that wager 1000 times at a $500 max on both sides, you'd make $100,000 by hedging. However, if you DIDN'T hedge, you'd expect to make $109,000. Numbers don't lie. Nicky does.
                    Comment
                    • Mudcat
                      Restricted User
                      • 07-21-05
                      • 9287

                      #11
                      Isn't this great. People who play middles/arbs always appreciate having it blabbed about on public forums and awareness spread .

                      Only the sharpest thinkers understand the immense value of getting a whole fukk of a lot of fingers in the pie.
                      Comment
                      • Fishhead
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 08-11-05
                        • 40184

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Fishhead
                        SBR members with two or more outs should be looking for many win-win situations right now.

                        This is a key time for easy money.

                        FH

                        Two years later................same applies.

                        PLAY SMART KIDS
                        Comment
                        • Fishhead
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 08-11-05
                          • 40184

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Nicky Santoro
                          fishler is a grinder and always has been. fishler doesn't mind making 30 bucks here, 25 bucks there.. he's always been like that.. nothing wrong with that. hey, some people go work 9 to 5 to make 60 bucks and have to work for a boss. why not do it here by pressing a button and making 100/day, why not? it's 700/week.. good job, fishler.


                          fishler, ignore these miserable guys like monkey and donny, they ALWAYS come in and bash anyone to make them feel smarter.. they like putting people down.. they've been trying with me since day 1, but they can't win against me. don't let them bring you down.. they look for threads like this to jump on anything.. they love it..

                          you can say 1+1 is 2, and they will see it and come in here and find a way to say you're wrong.. but they have no idea what they are talking about ever.. especially monkeyfag..

                          I know..........it doesn't bother me in the least Claude...........
                          Comment
                          • clarkd32
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 09-15-06
                            • 863

                            #14
                            fish -

                            by 'play smart' what do you mean? take the free money if it is there? or be careful with which books you are using to find these plays?

                            just curious... thanks,
                            Comment
                            • Fishhead
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 08-11-05
                              • 40184

                              #15
                              Originally posted by clarkd32
                              fish -

                              by 'play smart' what do you mean? Take the free money if it is there? Or be careful with which books you are using to find these plays?

                              Just curious... Thanks,

                              yes

                              yes
                              Comment
                              • jjgold
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 07-20-05
                                • 388208

                                #16
                                I would put my money on Fishheads theories

                                Risk free is way to go
                                Comment
                                • Nicky Santoro
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 04-08-08
                                  • 16103

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Fishhead
                                  I know..........it doesn't bother me in the least Claude...........
                                  Hey Jeff, they are right in a way.. there is nothing wrong if you do this. and lets say you make 700$ a week doing this..but if you just bet the right side on that very weak #, you will clear probably an avg of 1500$/wk over the long haul.. yes, it will have a risk as compared to the no risk scalping, but over the long haul, no way you won't clean up.. you are throwing alot more free money away by scalping, even though you are making free money.
                                  Comment
                                  • durito
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 07-03-06
                                    • 13173

                                    #18
                                    yes two years later you´ve still learned nothing
                                    Comment
                                    • LostBankroll
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 02-10-10
                                      • 4538

                                      #19
                                      BIG scalping opportunities LIVEINGAME at 5D alone.... Tonight was no exception.
                                      Comment
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