Pats laying "only" 4.5 in New Orleans

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  • lakerboy
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 04-02-09
    • 94379

    #1
    Pats laying "only" 4.5 in New Orleans
    With 9 days off and the saints of a mnf game. Interesting line.
  • DOM-Ganador
    SBR MVP
    • 05-30-12
    • 4479

    #2
    Crazy line is out before N.O. game. Of course ML won`t be out for days.

    With all these major injuries who knows that far out??

    Ask Andy Reed if he wants the win or Berry healthy for the season?

    Had a great day yesterday, almost made up for my Thur. night losses. Betting with my head and not my heart was stupid.
    Comment
    • lakerboy
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 04-02-09
      • 94379

      #3
      Good job Dominic
      Comment
      • lakerboy
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 04-02-09
        • 94379

        #4
        See what happens when you wait
        Comment
        • unde0087
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 03-27-08
          • 28956

          #5
          Pats might need more like a month to prepare after what they looked like last time out
          Comment
          • PAULYPOKER
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 12-06-08
            • 36581

            #6
            Originally posted by DOM-Ganador
            Betting with my head and not my heart was stupid.
            WTF does that even mean??
            Comment
            • 2daBank
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-26-09
              • 88966

              #7
              Originally posted by unde0087
              Pats might need more like a month to prepare after what they looked like last time out
              I dunno hoody has always been pretty efficient in whipping them into shape after a poor performance. Saints outta be a easy get well game as their defense is still Swiss cheese, I've never seen Bradford look so good imagine what Brady and co gonna do. Expect cooks to show out as he was always better inside on the turf than away games when he played for NO.

              Offensively aints really short at wideout and ap already disgruntled, that never gonna work as he a volume rusher and he not gonna get that kind of work in this system.
              Comment
              • Booya711
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 12-20-11
                • 27329

                #8
                The NFL doesn't go by what happened last week...that's why so many lose.
                Comment
                • 2daBank
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-26-09
                  • 88966

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Booya711
                  The NFL doesn't go by what happened last week...that's why so many lose.
                  Sadly most the teams that looked terrible week 1 all playing each other. Usually all I do week 2 is take the teams that looked horrible vs the teams that played well.
                  Comment
                  • Wheatgrass
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 07-05-17
                    • 507

                    #10
                    7 now
                    Comment
                    • SEAHAWKHARRY
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 11-29-07
                      • 26068

                      #11
                      Will go to 9 by Sunday
                      Comment
                      • Ryermkd
                        Restricted User
                        • 01-11-12
                        • 3739

                        #12
                        Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY
                        Will go to 9 by Sunday
                        Wouldn't doubt it... should have backed up the truck on -4.5 though... a good 4-5u play.
                        Comment
                        • 2daBank
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-26-09
                          • 88966

                          #13
                          Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY
                          Will go to 9 by Sunday
                          Backdoor wide open for brees who loves padding his stats when game out of reach.
                          Comment
                          • Ryermkd
                            Restricted User
                            • 01-11-12
                            • 3739

                            #14
                            Originally posted by 2daBank
                            Backdoor wide open for brees who loves padding his stats when game out of reach.
                            My book went to -6.5 first from -4.5 and I was thinking give me that -7.5 hook! lol
                            Comment
                            • lakerboy
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 04-02-09
                              • 94379

                              #15
                              Superdome always tough
                              Comment
                              • 2daBank
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-26-09
                                • 88966

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Ryermkd
                                My book went to -6.5 first from -4.5 and I was thinking give me that -7.5 hook! lol
                                No way would I wanna be laying even the 7 honestly. Pats defense ain't gonna fix itself overnight and while saints short at wr they were playing the Vikings who one of better defenses in league..

                                I think pats cruise mostly but when they up 10-14 points late you know Brees be licking his chops to get out there and pad his stats with last minute meaningless td, he the king of that shit. if I like a saints under I almost always only play 1st half for that very reason.
                                Comment
                                • Rich Boy
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 02-01-09
                                  • 9714

                                  #17
                                  Over 54.5 seems like good value

                                  Pats D was terrible and should give up points and we can always rely on the Saints giving up a 30 burger
                                  Comment
                                  • 2daBank
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-26-09
                                    • 88966

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Rich Boy
                                    Over 54.5 seems like good value

                                    Pats D was terrible and should give up points and we can always rely on the Saints giving up a 30 burger
                                    When I went thru card and wrote down numbers I put 56 on this. That just my initial thought but yea might be little low.
                                    Comment
                                    • TheLock
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 04-06-08
                                      • 14427

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by 2daBank
                                      Backdoor wide open for brees who loves padding his stats when game out of reach.
                                      Yes yes
                                      Comment
                                      • FilletMaster
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-21-10
                                        • 1096

                                        #20
                                        "Will go to 9 by Sunday"


                                        pleeeease let this be true
                                        Comment
                                        • 7deuceoff$uit
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-08-16
                                          • 2212

                                          #21
                                          Where was it at 4.5? By the time I saw it, the line was 6.5.
                                          Comment
                                          • House
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 09-04-11
                                            • 7088

                                            #22
                                            Overeaction in a big way ...... Pats win this one by double digits
                                            Comment
                                            • JIBBBY
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-10-09
                                              • 83686

                                              #23
                                              Saints D will get run over and exposed.. Tom Brady and company will be to much.. Line should be higher..
                                              Comment
                                              • House
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 09-04-11
                                                • 7088

                                                #24
                                                Chiefs defense is no joke either .... I think Brady puts up a big number and Bellichick pulls the defense together enough to hold the Saints to 16-20 points while the Pats put up 28 plus
                                                Comment
                                                • Sam Losco
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-03-16
                                                  • 3858

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by 7deuceoff$uit
                                                  Where was it at 4.5? By the time I saw it, the line was 6.5.
                                                  it was 4.5 at books that offered early lines. most books had it at 6.5 when they offered opening lines tuesday morning
                                                  Comment
                                                  • 2daBank
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-26-09
                                                    • 88966

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by House
                                                    Overeaction in a big way ...... Pats win this one by double digits
                                                    Overreaction to what? Saints looked way worse than pats. Advance line wasn't even close to 7 so the only reaction is it going up after saints mnf performance.

                                                    If pats score 28 as you say the backdoor wide wide open.. I suspect you low on both teams totals, if you really like your projection you should be all over the under..
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JIBBBY
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-10-09
                                                      • 83686

                                                      #27
                                                      I'm liking the over in this game.. Has offensive numbers written all over it..
                                                      Comment
                                                      • lakerboy
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 04-02-09
                                                        • 94379

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                        I'm liking the over in this game.. Has offensive numbers written all over it..
                                                        Why? Your don't think the pats will make defense adjustments?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JIBBBY
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-10-09
                                                          • 83686

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                          Why? Your don't think the pats will make defense adjustments?
                                                          Brees at home in the dome and on that fast turf will score points.. Brady will score more points.. My thinking.. End result many points.. 56 is alot of points though..
                                                          Comment
                                                          • House
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 09-04-11
                                                            • 7088

                                                            #30
                                                            Belichick is the key here .... No way in hell he lets his defense give up a bunch of points here .. now way > and Brady is gonna light that secondary up < I hate the Pats by the way lol
                                                            Comment
                                                            • House
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 09-04-11
                                                              • 7088

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                              Overreaction to what? Saints looked way worse than pats. Advance line wasn't even close to 7 so the only reaction is it going up after saints mnf performance.

                                                              If pats score 28 as you say the backdoor wide wide open.. I suspect you low on both teams totals, if you really like your projection you should be all over the under..
                                                              Yup , I think the under is gonna hit but its gonna be tight , I think you'll see anywhere from 52-58 points ...31 plus of those from the Pats > I think they win by 13-14 plus points in this one
                                                              Comment
                                                              • House
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 09-04-11
                                                                • 7088

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                                Overreaction to what? Saints looked way worse than pats. Advance line wasn't even close to 7 so the only reaction is it going up after saints mnf performance.

                                                                If pats score 28 as you say the backdoor wide wide open.. I suspect you low on both teams totals, if you really like your projection you should be all over the under..
                                                                Its an overreaction to the NFL Champs getting their doors blown off in the home opener when being a 9.5 point favorite . Nothing else >
                                                                Comment
                                                                • 2daBank
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 01-26-09
                                                                  • 88966

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by House
                                                                  Yup , I think the under is gonna hit but its gonna be tight , I think you'll see anywhere from 52-58 points ...31 plus of those from the Pats > I think they win by 13-14 plus points in this one
                                                                  Long time ago I came to the realization if I like a under in saints game play it in the 1st half.. Payton likes to run more than he gets credit for and lot of times they put the effort in early. Problem is when they get down in second half it turns into the Brees padding his stats show and usually finds its way over..

                                                                  I could def see saints making a big effort to establish a rushing game early and they should have some success cause not sure pats right now good enough on d to limit brees (which I'm sure be a goal) and control the run game..of course that style of offense won't keep up on scoreboard w Brady and co and at some point saints be down and Brees be chucking it.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • lonegambler23
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 06-22-16
                                                                    • 9760

                                                                    #34
                                                                    this will probably go under someway somehow
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • 2daBank
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                                      • 88966

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by lonegambler23
                                                                      this will probably go under someway somehow
                                                                      Like I said I think could very well play that way for good part but typically when you play a Saints under it looks great till they get down multiple scores in the 4th then the brees garbage time circus begins..
                                                                      Comment
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