LOL at Pats only being 8 point favorites.

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  • BigBusiness
    SBR MVP
    • 09-16-12
    • 3226

    #1
    LOL at Pats only being 8 point favorites.
    I only bet 1 NFL/NCAAF game a week. No sense in betting multiple games a week. If you shoot your load, make it count and aim it for the bullseye.

    Now with that being said... Were the lines makers on crack when they put this spread out? -8????



    So let me get this straight. Superbowl champs are playing at HOME in their debut game after pulling off the greatest comeback in Superbowl history. The crowd will be loud as hell the entire game.

    Brady finally agreed to be on the madden cover. Not only is he already the greatest qb to ever play the game, but he also is the only player to have a GOAT edition. Brady is a humble man and he has nothing more to prove, but knowing Brady, he feels that he does and will come out guns blazing feeling a need to live up to his image on the madden cover.

    This is a national prime time game. Only game being played. If you look on google, Pats have a solid history of showing up in prime time games and covering the spread

    Now let's get this out of the way. Edleman is out............ AND?????? Big fccking deal. Pats aren't known for their freakish athletic players (except for moss and that was only a one year thing and to an extent gronkowski, but he relies on his size more than anything). Edleman being out isn't much of a factor at all. Plug another quick midget in the slot in viola! Pats players aren't flashy. They are only good for fitting into the pats disciplined offensive machine.


    Grownkowski is as healthy as ever. He is the main key in all of this.

    Line should be AT LEAST 10.5 not fccking 8. Pats will win by 14-17 points. Honestly would not be surprised to see them win by 20.

    Bet is common sense just like bama -7.
    Last edited by BigBusiness; 09-03-17, 12:28 PM.
  • tony_come
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-31-10
    • 21695

    #2
    Business as usual
    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388189

      #3
      Pretty easily could've won 8 Super Bowls
      Comment
      • funnyb25
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 07-09-09
        • 39659

        #4
        Easy winner. BB 1-0 already
        Comment
        • lakerboy
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 04-02-09
          • 94368

          #5
          Originally posted by jjgold
          Pretty easily could've won 8 Super Bowls
          Could have lost 6 as well. Only bowl pats won clearly was over the eagles
          Comment
          • thomorino
            Restricted User
            • 06-01-17
            • 45842

            #6
            The 1 issue is if you look at Patriots games last year Brady struggled whenever he had extended time off. He struggled against Seattle off the bye, he struggle again Houston off the bye, and he struggled against Atlanta in the super bowl. The Chiefs aren't as good defensively as those teams and Alex Smith sucks on the road, but Brady's struggles when he had extended time off are interesting.
            Comment
            • Gaze73
              SBR MVP
              • 01-27-14
              • 3291

              #7
              Aren't too good to be true lines usually bookie traps?
              Comment
              • BigBusiness
                SBR MVP
                • 09-16-12
                • 3226

                #8
                Originally posted by thomorino
                The 1 issue is if you look at Patriots games last year Brady struggled whenever he had extended time off. He struggled against Seattle off the bye, he struggle again Houston off the bye, and he struggled against Atlanta in the super bowl. The Chiefs aren't as good defensively as those teams and Alex Smith sucks on the road
                Sir....... You just answered your own question
                Comment
                • Rich Boy
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-01-09
                  • 9713

                  #9
                  Plug in a midget? Lolll
                  Comment
                  • SouthBayGame
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 04-18-10
                    • 636

                    #10
                    *Quick midget
                    Comment
                    • KVB
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 05-29-14
                      • 74817

                      #11
                      Originally posted by BigBusiness
                      So let me get this straight. Superbowl champs are playing at HOME in their debut game after pulling off the greatest comeback in Superbowl history...
                      If constructing a market beating forecast using a relative weight for some of these facts above, it will likely work against the spread bet of -8.

                      Of course, that's just one small piece of the relevant ingredients involved.

                      Good Luck.

                      Comment
                      • Wheatgrass
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 07-05-17
                        • 507

                        #12
                        chiefs making a big mistake having that 5'9 guy be their #1 option. he has no hands
                        Comment
                        • jjgold
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 07-20-05
                          • 388189

                          #13
                          Pats should score 31

                          Cape from there
                          Comment
                          • thomorino
                            Restricted User
                            • 06-01-17
                            • 45842

                            #14
                            The Chiefs defense does matchup well since the Chiefs weakness is run defense as saw last year against Pittsburgh in the playoffs and New England has zero running game, this team can rush the passer and has as solid secondary, its just a question of if they can score points, I can't bet Alex Smith on the road against solid defenses.
                            Comment
                            • dlowilly
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-09-16
                              • 13862

                              #15
                              Originally posted by BigBusiness


                              Brady finally agreed to be on the madden cover.
                              This is where I stopped reading
                              Comment
                              • leovegas
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-03-17
                                • 2542

                                #16
                                over team total, because kansas could backdoor-cover +8
                                Comment
                                • nyplayer33
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 09-27-06
                                  • 8304

                                  #17
                                  Um...op can you relax with drama. On the cover of Maddon...live up to hype?? They already play hard all the time....wwatch the top 10 countdown ESPN of Bobby knight..watch game face on the top 10...more proof that your post is bs. Above vids u tube.
                                  Comment
                                  • nyplayer33
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 09-27-06
                                    • 8304

                                    #18
                                    Let's see..seattle was luck sb..last year 4th quarter was combo of things...plus he won sb..by 3 points few times. Yes he's great...but could of won less then he did as well.
                                    Comment
                                    • shaunovery
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-15-07
                                      • 18143

                                      #19
                                      Isn't Andy Reid supreme after a bye, it's sort of a bye like 7 months
                                      Comment
                                      • BigBusiness
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-16-12
                                        • 3226

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by nyplayer33
                                        Um...op can you relax with drama. On the cover of Maddon...live up to hype?? They already play hard all the time....wwatch the top 10 countdown ESPN of Bobby knight..watch game face on the top 10...more proof that your post is bs. Above vids u tube.
                                        Just like Bama -7 was bs too, right?

                                        Quit over thinking things.

                                        Pats will cover
                                        Comment
                                        • Foxx
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 05-25-11
                                          • 5825

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by thomorino
                                          The 1 issue is if you look at Patriots games last year Brady struggled whenever he had extended time off. He struggled against Seattle off the bye, he struggle again Houston off the bye, and he struggled against Atlanta in the super bowl. The Chiefs aren't as good defensively as those teams and Alex Smith sucks on the road, but Brady's struggles when he had extended time off are interesting.
                                          Didn't he throw for like 400 yds last year in his first game off the suspension?
                                          Comment
                                          • TedOnTed
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 08-30-17
                                            • 47

                                            #22
                                            Look back at NFL lines that had spreads of more that 7 ... and the number of those that were back-door covered by dogs with a late TD/FG vs. a prevent defense.

                                            I don't cap with many rules ... but I don't lay 7+ in the NFL ...
                                            Comment
                                            • BigBusiness
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-16-12
                                              • 3226

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Foxx
                                              Didn't he throw for like 400 yds last year in his first game off the suspension?
                                              Comment
                                              • lonegambler23
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 06-22-16
                                                • 9761

                                                #24
                                                BB got his gat in hand and ready for this season
                                                Comment
                                                • BigBusiness
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 09-16-12
                                                  • 3226

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by lonegambler23
                                                  BB got his gat in hand and ready for this season
                                                  Glock in hand, ski mask on. We rushin these books and gettin this money this season.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • thomorino
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 06-01-17
                                                    • 45842

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Foxx
                                                    Didn't he throw for like 400 yds last year in his first game off the suspension?
                                                    Yes, he played 4 games off extended rest and had 1 good game, that one was against Cleveland, so not much competition obviously.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BigBusiness
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-16-12
                                                      • 3226

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by thomorino
                                                      Yes, he played 4 games off extended rest and had 1 good game, that one was against Cleveland, so not much competition obviously.

                                                      So?

                                                      This isn't college ball. Browns are still a professional team
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Foxx
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 05-25-11
                                                        • 5825

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by thomorino
                                                        Yes, he played 4 games off extended rest and had 1 good game, that one was against Cleveland, so not much competition obviously.
                                                        So your sample size is 4? That's not very compelling. Plus isn't every first game of the year technically off extended rest? And it's not like he hasn't been practicing. Just saying. I don't think I'll be betting this one, but I think the angle of Brady not being good off a rest is bull.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • thomorino
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 06-01-17
                                                          • 45842

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Foxx
                                                          So your sample size is 4? That's not very compelling. Plus isn't every first game of the year technically off extended rest? And it's not like he hasn't been practicing. Just saying. I don't think I'll be betting this one, but I think the angle of Brady not being good off a rest is bull.
                                                          I am not betting KC, but a sample size of 4 in a 17 game season is not that small, but to me the reason I think his first half struggles are interesting off extended rest is because of his age, he's probably not putting in the same time working between games.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • NoFlyZone 303
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 09-03-17
                                                            • 13

                                                            #30
                                                            As good as KCs defense is I don't see Alex game manager Smith being able to keep up with the Pats O. Only worry has to be a backdoor cover. Pats 31-20
                                                            Comment
                                                            • 2daBank
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-26-09
                                                              • 88966

                                                              #31
                                                              Kc far too solid a team for this line to be any bigger. While I don't think Edelman is all that big a loss in grand scheme of things it could very well take some game action for pats offense to get in sync w all the new pieces..
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Snowball
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 11-15-09
                                                                • 30042

                                                                #32
                                                                still gotta buy the 1 point to get to 7, no ?

                                                                i mean, laying 8 in a football game just feels wrong.

                                                                maybe you could sell them to 10. :-)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • thomorino
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 06-01-17
                                                                  • 45842

                                                                  #33
                                                                  The spread in NFL games matter less than 20% of the time, buying points is stupid
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • WildCelticsFan
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 05-19-14
                                                                    • 5420

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Pats win by 6 or 7
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • rm18
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 09-20-05
                                                                      • 22291

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Moss played over 50 games for the team guy
                                                                      Comment
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