Spa Thursday

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  • Louisvillekid1
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-17-07
    • 52143

    #1
    Spa Thursday
    Saratoga Thursday

    R2

    Using the 1,4,5,9 , making the 9 my top selection and playing an exacta 1,9 w/ 1,4,5,9...

    R3

    $100 Win play on the #5 & will use the #2 in horizontals

    R4

    Have no clue , go as deep as possible... I'll play $20 WP #5

    R5

    $100 W #12
    Ex/Tri Box 6,7,8,12

    R6

    $50 WP #9
    $10 Ex Box 6,9,10

    R7

    $20 WP #9
    $10 Ex Box 9,10,11

    R8
    $20 WP #9
    $5 Ex Box 3,5,7,9
    $2 Tri Box 3,5,7,9

    R9

    $200 WP #9

    R10

    $200 WP #4

    Laying it in tomorrow, love the card and will add some horizontals and write ups
  • Shute
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-20-17
    • 11835

    #2
    Kidddd
    You are hammering it
    Awesome!!!!
    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388179

      #3
      Everyone should tail here
      Comment
      • TheCaliforniaKid
        SBR Sharp
        • 07-29-16
        • 338

        #4
        Best of luck with the card. Interesting nugget; Race #3 at 9 furlongs on grass has only been ran ONCE in 5 years at Saratoga. For Claimers at least.
        Comment
        • BIGDAY
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 02-17-10
          • 48245

          #5
          Comment
          • TheCaliforniaKid
            SBR Sharp
            • 07-29-16
            • 338

            #6
            Thus far, I like the #2 entry in Race 4. M/L 6-1
            Comment
            • Louisvillekid1
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-17-07
              • 52143

              #7
              Ok guys here for the day, to discuss the card...

              Im putting a big chunk of my meets profits in this card today, as I really like the opportunities...

              So don't get hard, or bet over your head... Im up 5200 on meet, and putting like 2k in play today...

              Official plays coming

              After changes/Paddock Picks/gut Feelings/Following the $$$ adjustments....

              Race 2 the #1 YES I DANCE was a Veterinarian scratch this am, and we were going to use that horse...
              Comment
              • Easy-Rider 66
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 02-14-12
                • 36386

                #8
                You are a heavy hitter LKid. GL today.
                Comment
                • Louisvillekid1
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-17-07
                  • 52143

                  #9
                  Here's How I see R2

                  The #5 LA CONTESSA is gonna be way overbet on the drop, but didn't like the last effort at all and jose of course could get this horse home, but not at the short price I'm expecting...

                  The #9 WARRIORS SILVER is still my top Selection, this horse gets the meds after debuting and is a must use at a solid predicted price.

                  So R1

                  $50 WP: #9 WARRIORS SILVER ($100)

                  $2 Pick 3: 5,9 w/ 2,3,4,5,8 w/ 1,4,5 ($60)

                  Ticket#: 31488595
                  Aug 24 01:15 PM
                  INTERNET / 0 Aug 24 01:15:04 PM RAC Racing ticket #1233730
                  Aug-24 SAR R2 50.00 USD WP 9
                  100 / 0
                  Ticket#: 31488601
                  Aug 24 01:17 PM
                  INTERNET / 0 Aug 24 01:17:31 PM RAC Racing ticket #1233732
                  Aug-24 SAR R2 2.00 USD PK3 5,9/2,3,4,5,8/1,4,5
                  60 / 0
                  Comment
                  • Louisvillekid1
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-17-07
                    • 52143

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
                    You are a heavy hitter LKid. GL today.
                    lol nah, just pressing profits from grinding all meet...

                    travers week, etc...
                    Comment
                    • Louisvillekid1
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-17-07
                      • 52143

                      #11
                      Please post any thoughts you guys have
                      Comment
                      • Easy-Rider 66
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 02-14-12
                        • 36386

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                        Here's How I see R2

                        The #5 LA CONTESSA is gonna be way overbet on the drop, but didn't like the last effort at all and jose of course could get this horse home, but not at the short price I'm expecting...

                        The #9 WARRIORS SILVER is still my top Selection, this horse gets the meds after debuting and is a must use at a solid predicted price.

                        So R1

                        $50 WP: #9 WARRIORS SILVER ($100)

                        $2 Pick 3: 5,9 w/ 2,3,4,5,8 w/ 1,4,5 ($60)

                        Ticket#: 31488595
                        Aug 24 01:15 PM
                        INTERNET / 0 Aug 24 01:15:04 PM RAC Racing ticket #1233730
                        Aug-24 SAR R2 50.00 USD WP 9
                        100 / 0
                        Ticket#: 31488601
                        Aug 24 01:17 PM
                        INTERNET / 0 Aug 24 01:17:31 PM RAC Racing ticket #1233732
                        Aug-24 SAR R2 2.00 USD PK3 5,9/2,3,4,5,8/1,4,5
                        60 / 0
                        Yeah tough race 2. Warriors showed no speed first out and I assume Paco will gun from the gate here. Going to take a small shot with the FTS #7 at 5/1 10 minutes out.
                        Comment
                        • Louisvillekid1
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-17-07
                          • 52143

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
                          Yeah tough race 2. Warriors showed no speed first out and I assume Paco will gun from the gate here. Going to take a small shot with the FTS #7 at 5/1 10 minutes out.
                          Yeah Paco one of the best speed riders obv you know and this horse was just jogged around the track in debut...

                          gotta move forward
                          Comment
                          • mrginandtonic
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 09-11-09
                            • 7734

                            #14
                            For Race 2 @ Saratoga, I really like the 4- Card Club (ML 20-1), had some early money, now is 15-1. I agree the favorite is definitely vulnerable.
                            Comment
                            • Coolcanuck79
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-07-11
                              • 3189

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                              Here's How I see R2

                              The #5 LA CONTESSA is gonna be way overbet on the drop, but didn't like the last effort at all and jose of course could get this horse home, but not at the short price I'm expecting...

                              The #9 WARRIORS SILVER is still my top Selection, this horse gets the meds after debuting and is a must use at a solid predicted price.

                              So R1

                              $50 WP: #9 WARRIORS SILVER ($100)

                              $2 Pick 3: 5,9 w/ 2,3,4,5,8 w/ 1,4,5 ($60)

                              Ticket#: 31488595
                              Aug 24 01:15 PM
                              INTERNET / 0 Aug 24 01:15:04 PM RAC Racing ticket #1233730
                              Aug-24 SAR R2 50.00 USD WP 9
                              100 / 0
                              Ticket#: 31488601
                              Aug 24 01:17 PM
                              INTERNET / 0 Aug 24 01:17:31 PM RAC Racing ticket #1233732
                              Aug-24 SAR R2 2.00 USD PK3 5,9/2,3,4,5,8/1,4,5
                              60 / 0
                              I like the pick 3 and going to tail! Good luck!
                              Comment
                              • Louisvillekid1
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-17-07
                                • 52143

                                #16
                                love the info, lets work together and crush it!
                                Comment
                                • Louisvillekid1
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 10-17-07
                                  • 52143

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
                                  Yeah tough race 2. Warriors showed no speed first out and I assume Paco will gun from the gate here. Going to take a small shot with the FTS #7 at 5/1 10 minutes out.
                                  great call, won by 12 jeez, got the goods

                                  good pick going for the firster w/ those connections/breeding in this extremely weak field...

                                  well done!

                                  -$160 to start for me,
                                  Comment
                                  • Easy-Rider 66
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 02-14-12
                                    • 36386

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                    great call, won by 12 jeez, got the goods

                                    good pick going for the firster w/ those connections/breeding in this extremely weak field...

                                    well done!

                                    -$160 to start for me,
                                    Thx Lkid. Yeah that was my thinking. Weak field Vulnerable fav. Go with the firster. On to the next one.
                                    Comment
                                    • TheCaliforniaKid
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 07-29-16
                                      • 338

                                      #19
                                      Good call with the #7
                                      Comment
                                      • Easy-Rider 66
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 02-14-12
                                        • 36386

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by TheCaliforniaKid
                                        Good call with the #7
                                        Thx.
                                        Comment
                                        • mrginandtonic
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 09-11-09
                                          • 7734

                                          #21
                                          Good call EZ, too bad I didn't see your post till afterwards.....
                                          Comment
                                          • Easy-Rider 66
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 02-14-12
                                            • 36386

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by mrginandtonic
                                            Good call EZ, too bad I didn't see your post till afterwards.....
                                            LOL. Thx. Next race 3 looks tough. DO you have a dog in the Hunt?
                                            Comment
                                            • schmidt32
                                              SBR Rookie
                                              • 08-08-17
                                              • 40

                                              #23
                                              BOL dude
                                              Comment
                                              • CakeDaddy
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 07-29-17
                                                • 141

                                                #24
                                                Good stuff, EZ. Good luck on the big card, kid.
                                                Comment
                                                • TheCaliforniaKid
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 07-29-16
                                                  • 338

                                                  #25
                                                  Not alot of data on this type of race but I'll throw a dart on #8 Strike Midnight.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Easy-Rider 66
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 02-14-12
                                                    • 36386

                                                    #26
                                                    Who are you going with LKid? In a contest looking for a play. Tough call here.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Louisvillekid1
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 10-17-07
                                                      • 52143

                                                      #27
                                                      R3

                                                      Thoughts:

                                                      I had the #2 STEAMBOAT BILL earlier in meet, winning at a nice price on a soft lead, Just had a bullet Workout in the meantime going 5f, but the move up in class here is going to be tough. Will leave off ticket.

                                                      #3 Baratti Is a must use, 2nd off layup w/ those connections and Dropping...

                                                      #4 Dot Matrix I think will get the lead here, but not sure can wire this field, wouldn't be shocked wire to wire on the drop. will use in
                                                      horiztonals

                                                      #5 Packs a rocket late kick, but 9 month layoff is a concern, GArgan one of the best is these spots, Can't ignore and also 1-1 here

                                                      #6 moving up in class, and not crazy about the #'s jose will suck value out and I'll leave off the ticket

                                                      #7 Beaten Favorite in so so PID allowance race, just doesn't seem to fit here. 46 days off and asmussen would of had to do wonders for this one to factor, pass

                                                      #8 Strike Midnight is very capable, good numbers but doesn't fair well here and I have no problem leaving this horse off the ticket, first off the claim

                                                      #9 Harbor King just doesn't belong and don't see anything positive here

                                                      #10 Pletcher is dropping off the win, (going for the training title vs Chad??) Horse isn't taking money at the window and 46 days since last out, pass at the short price...

                                                      #11 Astute Warrior is an interesting horse, i think Englehart can get this long shot in the money under exotics...

                                                      in conclusion

                                                      Using 3,4,5 in Horizontals

                                                      The 3 is my top selection

                                                      $50 WP # 3 BARRATTI ($100)

                                                      $2 Tri 3,5 w/ 3,4,5 w/ 3,4,5,11 ($16)

                                                      $2 Pick 3: 3,4,5 w/ 1,2,4,5 w/ 5,7 ($48)

                                                      Ticket#: 31488739
                                                      Aug 24 01:58 PM
                                                      INTERNET / 0 Aug 24 01:58:45 PM RAC Racing ticket #1233761
                                                      Aug-24 SAR R3 50.00 USD WP 3
                                                      100 / 0
                                                      Ticket#: 31488740
                                                      Aug 24 01:59 PM
                                                      INTERNET / 0 Aug 24 01:59:16 PM RAC Racing ticket #1233762
                                                      Aug-24 SAR R3 2.00 USD TRI 3,5/3,4,5/3,4,5,11
                                                      16 / 0
                                                      Ticket#: 31488752
                                                      Aug 24 02:03 PM
                                                      INTERNET / 0 Aug 24 02:03:40 PM RAC Racing ticket #1233764
                                                      Aug-24 SAR R3 2.00 USD PK3 3,4,5/1,2,4,5/5,7
                                                      48 / 0
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Easy-Rider 66
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 02-14-12
                                                        • 36386

                                                        #28
                                                        Alright LKId. Good write up. Decided to go with the #6.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Louisvillekid1
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 10-17-07
                                                          • 52143

                                                          #29
                                                          Bang 27/1 to start!!! tickets bounced baby!!!!

                                                          #4 Dot Matrix I think will get the lead here, but not sure can wire this field, wouldn't be shocked wire to wire on the drop. will use in
                                                          horiztonals
                                                          Comment
                                                          • CakeDaddy
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 07-29-17
                                                            • 141

                                                            #30
                                                            good call on Dot Matrix -- hated the trip that Barratti got
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Easy-Rider 66
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 02-14-12
                                                              • 36386

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                                              Bang 27/1 to start!!! tickets bounced baby!!!!

                                                              #4 Dot Matrix I think will get the lead here, but not sure can wire this field, wouldn't be shocked wire to wire on the drop. will use in
                                                              horiztonals
                                                              Nice call LKid. Should have went with the 27/1 bomb.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Louisvillekid1
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 10-17-07
                                                                • 52143

                                                                #32
                                                                -$116 there and -$276 on day

                                                                However a potential huge horizontal w/ a $56 horse to start and good coverage left...

                                                                Lets get it!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Louisvillekid1
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 10-17-07
                                                                  • 52143

                                                                  #33
                                                                  We got 6 outta 9 horses here but not the M/l favorite or current Favorite
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • TheCaliforniaKid
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 07-29-16
                                                                    • 338

                                                                    #34
                                                                    I'm with ya on the #2 entry. Solid value at current odds
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Louisvillekid1
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 10-17-07
                                                                      • 52143

                                                                      #35
                                                                      In the 4th

                                                                      My top selection is the 1A Caretaker, shorting up should really help here...

                                                                      The #5 is extremely interesting @ a price, been working well and first start since the gelding... horse is 3 for 3 in the money on dirt w/ 88, 90 & 90 speed figures... 120k purchase by far the highest price in this field. Junior was aboard in debut when broke maiden at first asking, and out, junior got the leg up for the second, suffered a bump at the start and rallied late only losing by 3+, to a next out winner.

                                                                      The layoff isn't as much of an issue, since due to the gelding...
                                                                      Comment
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