What IS the next big game worth spending actual time capping ?

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  • Snowball
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 11-15-09
    • 30076

    #1
    What IS the next big game worth spending actual time capping ?
    So much junk.

    Filler action is for habitual bettors
    that don't spend time CAPPING.

    any ideas ?

    I'm going stale on this junk food.
  • unde0087
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 03-27-08
    • 28998

    #2
    Week 1 CFB and NFL
    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388208

      #3
      Nothing today or tonight
      Comment
      • RoyBacon
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 09-21-05
        • 37074

        #4
        Look at that S. FL at San Jose game. S. FL is loaded and were dam good LY. Love to find a good home dog but this one looks like a chance to lay the points.
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        • Snowball
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 11-15-09
          • 30076

          #5
          Originally posted by unde0087
          Week 1 CFB and NFL
          Week 1 is bad for cappers.

          Too much speculation.

          I mean it's not the same, angles are more iffy.
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          • unde0087
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 03-27-08
            • 28998

            #6
            Originally posted by Snowball
            Week 1 is bad for cappers.

            Too much speculation.

            I mean it's not the same, angles are more iffy.
            Lines also aren't as sharp as they will be 5 weeks in, there is always some iffy lines that can be exploited if you do your homework
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            • Snowball
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 11-15-09
              • 30076

              #7
              Originally posted by unde0087
              Lines also aren't as sharp as they will be 5 weeks in, there is always some iffy lines that can be exploited if you do your homework
              yeah, but there is a greater value in knowledge of teams to work with
              than there is in picking a loose line that is loose for a reason.

              in games where I spend actual time and effort capping
              the line is of no concern. I'm sure you've heard of the approach
              to cap then look at the line... it's actually a deep question in handicapping,
              what comes first. the line places an assumption in your head which is
              difficult to eliminate from the visualization process.
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              • jjgold
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 07-20-05
                • 388208

                #8
                It is not about capping it is about exposing lines regardless of sport
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                • lonegambler23
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 06-22-16
                  • 9764

                  #9
                  week one
                  Comment
                  • KVB
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 05-29-14
                    • 74866

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Snowball
                    ...I'm sure you've heard of the approach
                    to cap then look at the line... it's actually a deep question in handicapping,
                    what comes first. the line places an assumption in your head which is
                    difficult to eliminate from the visualization process.
                    No, it's not.

                    It's only a deep question for subjective cappers, who have very little chance of winning long term, save the few talented ones.

                    Objectively handicapping will eliminate this "question" and keep things much more grounded, whether you've seen the line or not.

                    Don't use emotions to handicap, especially if you are trying to visualize something...and being influenced by the line while handicapping is emotional. Allowing the line to influence the decision to bet is not the same thing.

                    It's a game of numbers and numbers is the game.

                    Everything else is just gambling.

                    Comment
                    • mngambler
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-01-11
                      • 2948

                      #11
                      I just love how everyone can't wait for razor sharp NFL lines like it's so easily beatable, I've said it before and I'll say it again...Soccer is where the best value is and it's not even close
                      Comment
                      • jjgold
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 07-20-05
                        • 388208

                        #12
                        NFL graveyard but we don't mind losing because it's football
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                        • Snowball
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 11-15-09
                          • 30076

                          #13
                          Originally posted by KVB
                          No, it's not.

                          It's only a deep question for subjective cappers, who have very little chance of winning long term, save the few talented ones.

                          Objectively handicapping will eliminate this "question" and keep things much more grounded, whether you've seen the line or not.

                          Don't use emotions to handicap, especially if you are trying to visualize something...and being influenced by the line while handicapping is emotional. Allowing the line to influence the decision to bet is not the same thing.

                          It's a game of numbers and numbers is the game.

                          Everything else is just gambling.

                          KVB, it's no secret that most cappers simply work off the line, trust the line,
                          think in terms of the line, base their money management against repetitive ATS
                          betting, and stare at the line movement as a predictive indicator.
                          These are long-term losing methods, we agree.
                          Comment
                          • Snowball
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 11-15-09
                            • 30076

                            #14
                            btw. I am thinking Week 1 Tampa @ Miami
                            could be worth capping and a size bet against Cutler.
                            Comment
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