Talk to me
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Just trying not to lose... not doing a good job of that howeverComment -
I say this in lots of posts parity is what is killing cappersComment -
Baseball is by far the toughest sport to cap...too many moving parts...Comment -
Pound the winners is key.Comment -
Expect to lose because of a shit bullpen. That's my strategy, and it wins more often than not.Comment -
It's baseball I see guys on here coming in with their winning baseball threads throwing their cocks on the table but at the end of the day it's pretty much rolling the dice and luck....
You can't predict errors,who the manager is bringing in , the starting pitcher being off,
even when backing kershaw and paying that premium to do so
it's still fingers crossed that he's on and the Dodgers can score which they usually do.
he gave up 6 runs not to long ago
throwing darts.
look at the Rangers yesterday you can't cap thatComment -
Baseball is easy. I don't put in the time required because I enjoy the weather (which you have year round). The years I put in the time I made big money on it.
1. Always check out series prices
2. Look closely at alternate runlines.
3. Take a look at team totals.
4. Never take a home team on the RL.
5. Try to avoid betting the daytime weekday games.Comment -
The time thing is an excuse to protect your ego
I noticed you used it in that baseball thread a few days ago when you had a bad day.
And baseballis is not easy
it's random as hell with a lot of unknown moving parts like if that manager is deciding to save his arms down by one run in the 6th inning he thinks it's a good idea to bring in some gas can or the kid from AAA who was getting worn out in AAA. Both of these happened in the last two weeks by the way.
Every bookie ive met loves baseball and makes a killing
every book manager in Vegas I've talked to says they do well in baseball
you have almost 60k posts on here and you're in here pretty much all day whenever I log on you seem to be here.
I dont think time is a valid excuse. Especially if it's easy right .
also think that 1-5 is some bullshit but to each his own
I don't play RLs so I guess we agree there.Comment -
Baseball has been much harder to bet,because the game has become so specialized. However,for myself will not lay more than -135, and bet mostly dogs..............and as in all sports...do not chase losses...no matter what.Comment -
If a decent pitcher is pitching bet the underComment -
The key to any bet is getting the right number. That being said, the number is created by the oddsmakers on how they feel the public will see the game, and the sports bettor MUST create a number that will show a profit over the long term. Here are some key things to remember when betting sports, or any other form of gambling:
1. You must be able to create your own numbers BEFORE looking at the current numbers on the board. This way you know how you stand on a game, no matter what sport. One of the things I always hear is somebody saying they like team A a little bit, while saying they like team B in another game a lot. Well, how much is "a little bit, and how much is "a lot"? You won't know unless you have your own numbers.
2. Focus on your numbers. People mentioned above posts that baseball has too much parity, and another post I read that baseball has too many moving parts, or, in another bullpens will do you in. Okay, all may be true, but my question to you all is which sport doesn't have all that? Instead of the complaining or worrying about the intricacies of the sport you are playing, in this case baseball, how about focusing your attention on getting the right number? How you do this is up to you, there are many ways of creating numbers for baseball. You will have to toy with different methods to find what works for you. That being said, if your numbers are far off the actual numbers on the board, then you need to adjust. Numbers are not that far off, you might find one game or two in a given day, but if you're finding 5 or more, you numbers need adjustments. Books just don't make that many mistakes, ever.
3. Don't get discouraged when things are going bad. Even your best sports bettors in the world can go month's without showing a profit, but will always show a profit at the end of the year. It takes patience.
4. Money management. The biggest mistake of all sports bettors that lose. they simply don't have the bankroll to go through a whole year or even one season of whatever sport they are playing. I see this all the time reading through the forums. General rule of thumb, never play more that 2% of your total bankroll. I know that seems way too low for most, but trust me, you will never profit if you go more that. It's statistically impossible.
5. Don't forget to have fun.Comment -
4 and 5 Absolutely.....RangeFinderComment -
Home teams that have won 2 of 3, pound then for the 3 game sweep.
Road teams that are losing will continue to lose.
Any team above .515 win% at plus money is value, can increase wagers on that win% at +/ev and find profit at weeks end.
First 5 ML favorite are more of a solid wager then full game.Comment -
Stalk the hitting coach for the minor league affiliate team and ask him his thoughts on the next MLB game and then risk everything you have on it.
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Yea, Baseball 101...Never bet on a hot team to loose and Never bet on a cold team to win.......one will have many oppty........Any out there remember the 1988 Baltimore Team ?..................................Started the season 0-23!!!! ....Think about how many people said...they won't go 0-11....0-14.....ect.Comment -
Tail jjgold!Comment -
Relax MikeComment -
Tail "TheLock". He is as good as it gets.Comment -
The time thing is not an excuse. I bet here and there for action.
As for books they pay people don't bases as they get killed on bases. Thats a fact because dogs win so often. Baseball is the only sport where books consistently lose money.
Books clean house in NBA and NFL and obviously on soccer. Hockey too low volume but the fact the limits are so low on NHL tells you all you need to know.
Why are NFL and NBA limits so high? 30 k at pinny on epl as well. NHL 6k only.
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I also agree with teaserpleaser that time is not a valid excuseComment -
I will continue my bases thread on Monday. Let's see how I do until the playoffs are over. All plays will be 1-3 units.Comment -
MLB try to ride the hot teamsComment -
Try and survive until NFL starts.Comment -
Baseball is easy.. If you aren't doing well picking straight winners then think outside the box and just look at the teams banging in the most runs daily and play them on the Over runs for that game especially when they are going up against average to shiity pitchers...
It's usually -4.5 to -5.5 runs for those hot teams. That's always been a bread and butter play for me with betting MLB when I'm hit and miss on the straights.
For example the Red Sox is one of those hot offensive teams, facing an average pitcher this morning.. The expectation in my mind was runs will be scored again by the Red Sox.. Sure enough Boston is banging in runs early already..https://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/boston-...ays-370701114/
$110.00 $104.80 Pending 7/1/17 1:05pm MLB Baseball 915 Boston Red Sox Over 4½ -105* vs Toronto Blue Jays (C Sale - L must Start F Liriano - L must Start)
My two cents, just trying help you guys cap and win in MLB and think props and team totals..
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