Cincinnati-KState thoughts?

Snowball · 03-15-17, 11:01 AM

Cincy should cover. Their full spread will be too much for K-State.

RobbieStacks · 03-15-17, 11:03 AM

Originally posted by Snowball

Cincy should cover. Their full spread will be too much for K-State.

Yeah now I'm starting to think Cincy might just cover. Kansas State is 10-2 ATS as an underdog, which, IMO, is way too good for such a mediocre team. I know KState does some things well, but I feel as long as Cincinnati doesn't play like complete morons, they have a solid 70% chance of winning this game assuming they play their normal game.

MMANick · 03-15-17, 11:04 AM

I'm going Cincy. Better offense, better defense, I sense a 8+ point win for Cincy.

t-wizzle · 03-15-17, 11:21 AM

K State can win. They've got some mojo right now. Playing well. Cincy should have a chip on their shoulders though. Lot of people saying their frauds.

thecutter · 03-15-17, 11:45 AM

Kansas state outright winner

RobbieStacks · 03-15-17, 11:46 AM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

Lot of people saying their frauds.

Well they kinda are, it's just a question of whether KState is good enough to beat the frauds.

RobbieStacks · 03-15-17, 11:46 AM

Originally posted by thecutter

Kansas state outright winner

That's what I fear. Between this game, Miami-MSU, and Xavier-Maryland, I have a serious headache.

unde0087 · 03-15-17, 12:36 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

K State can win. They've got some mojo right now. Playing well. Cincy should have a chip on their shoulders though. Lot of people saying their frauds.

Lets face it, K State shot off their asses in the play in game. The chances they repeat that against Cincy is about zero percent. Having said that people are saying that this is Cronin's best shooting team but they only seem to shoot that good against the podunk teams they play. Any team they have faced lately that plays defense Cincy has struggled to score 50 points and have gone on stretches where they make 1 basket in 8 minutes. This team is the same team they always are. This game could be the first one to 50 points. To me this game isn't much of a worry as whoever wins will get destroyed by UCLA anyways.

RobbieStacks · 03-15-17, 12:53 PM

I mean games like this one, Michigan State-Miami, and Creighton-Rhody aren't huge worries because we're fairly confident in Kansas, UCLA, and a depleted Oregon making the Sweet Sixteen, but obviously getting something like this wrong ruins any hope of the mythical perfect bracket.

Hopefully Cincinnati wins comfortably, but I see it going down to the wire. Still, I'll invest my faith in the 70% BPI chance and decent enough odds on Cincy.

A lot less worried about this one than I am about Miami and URI's games.

thecutter · 03-15-17, 12:56 PM

Look at it this way. Kansas state plays tough. They scored 90 against a bad defense . That means they play to their competition . Played low scores against Kansas , WV . Given open looks they can knock down shots. Cincinnati coming off a deflating loss in those finals to SMU . A week off . I think they're coming out flat . I'll take the team who had a warmup last night from a stronger conference . Normally one of these 11 seeds advance to round of 32

RobbieStacks · 03-15-17, 01:00 PM

11 seeds advance, but Xavier and/or URI are far more likely. Kansas State is probably the worst 11 seed next to Providence. I'm gonna be mad if Cincinnati comes out flat and just gets demolished

thecutter · 03-15-17, 01:03 PM

also to touch on your other games . give me Michigan state . Miami made a decent run last year but they're no where near the team of years past. Michigan state as well as Michigan and you could argue Florida and Notre dame were better the second half of the season . I believe all of these teams will make it out of the first round. Xavier and Maryland is a little bit tougher . Xmen might have the best athlete on the floor in bluett but I'm assuming Maryland gets it done like they have against average-above avg competition as they have most of the year

thecutter · 03-15-17, 01:05 PM

Originally posted by RobbieStacks

11 seeds advance, but Xavier and/or URI are far more likely. Kansas State is probably the worst 11 seed next to Providence. I'm gonna be mad if Cincinnati comes out flat and just gets demolished

I can't agree . Next to? Or they are? I think k state is flying under the radar here . Could be potential sweet 16 because of the guard play and the defense

Walulu · 03-15-17, 04:28 PM

The mythical perfect bracket is just that - mythical. Go with your gut. I like Cutter's thought with the warm up game though. One of these play in teams will make the weekend. Who will it be?

gummo · 03-17-17, 04:51 PM

The SMU loss pretty much tells you what to expect. K-State +166

Dirty Sanchez · 03-17-17, 04:54 PM

Everyone knows these games are rigged...just ask Michigan backers

RobbieStacks · 03-17-17, 04:56 PM

Originally posted by gummo

The SMU loss pretty much tells you what to expect. K-State +166

I don't like it. I'd go Cincy here, but I'm not touching it with my $$. This game's just like Xavier vs. Maryland in terms of the quality of the teams, so maybe it plays out the exact same way or maybe the crappy team loses this time. I think Cincy wins and covers, but I'm not even thinking about touching it.

MaddyMax · 03-17-17, 05:13 PM

March madness has been profitable for me last 5 years (thats every year since i started betting) but this year so far its very bad. I think it will turn around so i am going with my original pick of kansas st moneyline.

KRIT · 03-17-17, 05:17 PM

Teams are similar in style imo. I think Cinci is the better team, but taking the points with the team that has momentum would be my choice.

LineShifterz · 03-17-17, 05:19 PM

Kstate is the play.... they almost beat kansas and are really gelling right..... cinncy a bunch of posers

RobbieStacks · 03-17-17, 05:39 PM

I'm becoming increasingly convinced that Cincy -3 hits.

Cincy by 8

Snowball · 03-17-17, 05:42 PM

Originally posted by LineShifterz

cinncy a bunch of posers

bring it on

SEKTAUR · 03-17-17, 05:50 PM

The only thing we need to know is jjgold has kstate on his spreadsheet...

ZINISTER · 03-17-17, 05:57 PM

Not a homer, but I favor Cincy and Dayton! Hit em both and I'm in for a nice start to the weekend.

krk1030 · 03-17-17, 06:50 PM

Cinci ripping them to shreds early on

ZINISTER · 03-17-17, 07:12 PM

Dayton looking good early. Kent might be the Tri-fecta for Ohio teams today.

RobbieStacks · 03-17-17, 07:13 PM

Originally posted by thecutter

I can't agree . Next to? Or they are? I think k state is flying under the radar here . Could be potential sweet 16 because of the guard play and the defense

Told you.

krk1030 · 03-17-17, 07:15 PM

k state best player 3 fouls, this could get ugly.

cinci will only lose if they beat themselves with bad shot selection.

gummo · 03-17-17, 07:37 PM

K State bettors buried. On to the 9 PM games.

forzapizza · 03-17-17, 07:46 PM

Don't count your chicks before they hatch. I have 500 ml on Cinci@ -153. Anything can happen in March.

miltonschwartz · 03-17-17, 07:46 PM

I'm on Kstate ML so this one is probably cooked

krk1030 · 03-17-17, 07:59 PM

missed dunk would have been up 13....down to 6 in the blink of an eye

cant make this shit up

Time is Money · 03-17-17, 08:44 PM

Books cleaned up, ton of late money in on k state after the smu collapse, Cincy dominated the entire game.

dwatersalec · 03-17-17, 08:47 PM

Originally posted by Time is Money

Books cleaned up, ton of late money in on k state after the smu collapse, Cincy dominated the entire game.

People tend to overstate conference performance in the tournament when capping games when how the teams match up is more important.