I AM Going To Tail 1 Poster Pick For $1000 Tonight..Make a good case

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  • newguy
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-27-09
    • 6100

    #36
    Originally posted by vividjohn45
    Nhl calgary ml. Calgary hot team 6-0-1 l7. Outscorimg oppenents in the streak 34-19. Tampa cold 1-6 l7. Without allstar stamkos. And top line defender been out l6 games. Bishop has a low 90% save %. To johnson 9-2. 92% save %. Yesterday keepers with higher save % went 7-3. Gl.
    Agree with this for sure. Calgary nice play tonight.
    Comment
    • vividjohn45
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 11-21-10
      • 6331

      #37
      http://www2.dailyfaceoff.com/starting-goalies/ heres a professional fantasy analysis. Which in hockey has a lot of similarities with money line betting
      Comment
      • Ra77er
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 06-20-11
        • 10969

        #38
        Pressure pick.

        Coach you have made some good NBA plays on your own lately.

        I saw a total in a Texas game last night but I hesitated and missed it, still learning.

        Pass one more day to Thursday, I see the Pelicans -4 and Indiana B2B. Lets get it!
        Comment
        • Seaweed
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 01-19-12
          • 26318

          #39
          Originally posted by vividjohn45
          Nhl calgary ml. Calgary hot team 6-0-1 l7. Outscorimg oppenents in the streak 34-19. Tampa cold 1-6 l7. Without allstar stamkos. And top line defender been out l6 games. Bishop has a low 90% save %. To johnson 9-2. 92% save %. Yesterday keepers with higher save % went 7-3. Gl.
          seems too easy
          Comment
          • AUSTINRUSSELL
            SBR Sharp
            • 09-11-15
            • 440

            #40
            JJ where are you at on the Illinois-Chicago bet... get it while its there. You aren't going to get a big ML shot like this in a few weeks. If you miss out on the boat consider yourself a square.






            ​this pick is in no way guaranteed to win
            Comment
            • rizespor
              SBR MVP
              • 06-21-16
              • 1900

              #41
              Raptors/Sixers OVER 204.5

              Toronto 17-7 on overs

              Sixers hot, won 2 in a row. Looks like good spot to put up some points.
              Comment
              • vividjohn45
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 11-21-10
                • 6331

                #42
                Originally posted by Seaweed
                seems too easy
                Well it is tampa. So you know its not easy. Thats why the price is cheap. Easy bets in nhl are usually -220 or higher. But yeah in the abstract i understand what you are saying. Tampa is due for the win. . i blipped the fantasy thread on johnson. Guy talks about johnson and his heat and how to handle this keeper. And thats the way im rolling tonite.
                Comment
                • jjgold
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 07-20-05
                  • 388179

                  #43
                  I am going with Nets -1.5

                  A lot of good picks here watch most win and Nets lose
                  Comment
                  • Sam Odom
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-30-05
                    • 58063

                    #44
                    Originally posted by jjgold
                    I am going with Nets -1.5

                    A lot of good picks here watch most win and Nets lose

                    good luck
                    Comment
                    • Ra77er
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 06-20-11
                      • 10969

                      #45
                      Lets go Newguy and Russ.

                      GL on Nets JJ
                      Comment
                      • newguy
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 12-27-09
                        • 6100

                        #46
                        Originally posted by Seaweed
                        seems too easy
                        In a vacuum it may lose but if you bet these same stats (which come along a few times a week) they do generally win enough to make money. You just have to be able to grind. Just like anything - only way to make money at this is truly grind or be very very selective. The latter is really hard for most.
                        Comment
                        • vividjohn45
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 11-21-10
                          • 6331

                          #47
                          Here is a further gametime info on calgary.http://www.sportsnet.ca/960/calgary-...algary-flames/
                          Comment
                          • vividjohn45
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 11-21-10
                            • 6331

                            #48
                            Thats pat stienberg. He is the writer on the first link. I posted. He blogs for calgary flames and has 20k followers on twitter. He was at calgarys morning skate today. And talks about it on his twitter account. He is a insider to a extent and he is hot on flames tonite. (fantasy)
                            Comment
                            • Ra77er
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 06-20-11
                              • 10969

                              #49
                              Alright I'm convinced but vary skeptical of hockey this year. Oilers are actually good
                              Comment
                              • astro61200
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-15-07
                                • 4843

                                #50
                                UCLA -30 is my best play today.

                                Also on Okie State -32.5 and MTSU -2 then my system plays of Chicago St/NW u131.5 and SU/BU u138
                                Comment
                                • Ra77er
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 06-20-11
                                  • 10969

                                  #51
                                  I'm sure the oddsmakers have all that info to make the Flames line which essentially opened a pick. If I lose this one I'm not touching hockey until the playoffs. Bishop is a monster and I do not know much about this Johnson character. I will say that the play looks better because Kucherov may or may not play. Speaking on the upcoming NHL playoffs, I still remember Dallas beating Minny in the first round but I believe I see a legit cup contender in Dubs given the right circumstances. Appears they aren't playing too shabby this year either we shall see. MLB an NHL playoffs are excellent.

                                  NCAA has been God Shammgods $$$ so far in the subforum and he is on Tenn-MT. Disastro61200 is fading newguy and that's not a good sign for Belmont backers. Hard to get a read on that market for me this year so taking a shot with newguy and AR for some betpoints. I may need to stick with only the NBA.

                                  Tyreke has been upgraded to questionable yet the line fell on pinny to -3, makes me wonder if the nba sharps think he would actually hurt them tomorrow. JJ made a comment about Conley in Memphis, I still think it's a great spot to get a W for the pelicans.
                                  Comment
                                  • vividjohn45
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 11-21-10
                                    • 6331

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by Ra77er
                                    Alright I'm convinced but vary skeptical of hockey this year. Oilers are actually good
                                    I understand but the good teams are winning right now. Lots of streaks. Or 80% or higher. So its just a matter of finding the right play. Totals are good also. Its 30 games into nhl season. And san jose has played 4 overs. Because they have a iron defense. Blackhawks 1 over last 10. Pitt 10 overs in a row. So those totals plays removes the skeptisism. At least currently
                                    Comment
                                    • astro61200
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-15-07
                                      • 4843

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by Ra77er
                                      I'm sure the oddsmakers have all that info to make the Flames line which essentially opened a pick. If I lose this one I'm not touching hockey until the playoffs. Bishop is a monster and I do not know much about this Johnson character. I will say that the play looks better because Kucherov may or may not play. Speaking on the upcoming NHL playoffs, I still remember Dallas beating Minny in the first round but I believe I see a legit cup contender in Dubs given the right circumstances. Appears they aren't playing too shabby this year either we shall see. MLB an NHL playoffs are excellent.

                                      NCAA has been God Shammgods $$$ so far in the subforum and he is on Tenn-MT. Disastro61200 is fading newguy and that's not a good sign for Belmont backers. Hard to get a read on that market for me this year so taking a shot with newguy and AR for some betpoints. I may need to stick with only the NBA.

                                      Tyreke has been upgraded to questionable yet the line fell on pinny to -3, makes me wonder if the nba sharps think he would actually hurt them tomorrow. JJ made a comment about Conley in Memphis, I still think it's a great spot to get a W for the pelicans.
                                      I haven't looked through other poster's picks. I like MTSU but UCLA is my biggest play of the year so far. I'm sure my 8 in a row streak will end tonight since I'm betting on 5 (way more than I wanted to) but figure worst case I should go 2-2 besides the UCLA winner.
                                      Comment
                                      • Goat Milk
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 03-24-10
                                        • 25850

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by astro61200
                                        I haven't looked through other poster's picks. I like MTSU but UCLA is my biggest play of the year so far. I'm sure my 8 in a row streak will end tonight since I'm betting on 5 (way more than I wanted to) but figure worst case I should go 2-2 besides the UCLA winner.
                                        -30 on a bball spread? Why so much? I think me and 4 of my boys can cover 30 against any d1 team tbh. That's a shit ton of pts. Is the other team horrendous? Their over under is 67 I see.
                                        Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                        Comment
                                        • vividjohn45
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 11-21-10
                                          • 6331

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by astro61200
                                          I haven't looked through other poster's picks. I like MTSU but UCLA is my biggest play of the year so far. I'm sure my 8 in a row streak will end tonight since I'm betting on 5 (way more than I wanted to) but figure worst case I should go 2-2 besides the UCLA winner.
                                          Ill tail on ucla. Alrhough i know nothing in cbb. Hockey takes all the time up but ok.
                                          Comment
                                          • Ra77er
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 06-20-11
                                            • 10969

                                            #56
                                            Looking at your card I like the BU/SU total but like I said I'm NOT very good with NCAA. I've seen the threads on UCLA ever since the UK win and they must be a great team.

                                            Astro I hope the streak continues good sir with UCLA go belmont though!
                                            Comment
                                            • Goat Milk
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 03-24-10
                                              • 25850

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by vividjohn45
                                              Ill tail on ucla. Alrhough i know nothing in cbb. Hockey takes all the time up but ok.
                                              Thinking about rolling with the Sharks tonight. Thoughts?
                                              Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                              Comment
                                              • astro61200
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-15-07
                                                • 4843

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                                -30 on a bball spread? Why so much?
                                                A comparable line from the other day, that I bet hard, was Creighton -35 against Longwood. They won by 51 (told jj to take that too, be passed)

                                                UCLA has a lot of offensive firepower and is solid on defense

                                                They're at home against a bad UC-Santa Barbara squad who has all ready lost to SMU by 27 and USC by 24. UCSB is 0-5 ATS, UCLA is 8-2.

                                                UCLA is shooting 56.2% from the field and 47.1 from 3. UCSB is allowing a pretty high defensive FG% of 45.7 and 34.6 from behind the arc. UCLA also is holding opponents to 40.6 from the field (UCSB only shoots 40.1 from the field anyway). UCSB fouls a decent amount but isn't great at getting to the line.

                                                They are going to be completely outmatched and UCLA will jump to a large lead early (probably 20+ points within the first 10 minutes). UCLA should be up around 30 or so at the break. With their extremely efficient offense the 30 point spread should be easy to cover. By the time they take out their starters they should be up 40-45 and close the game out winning by about the same.


                                                Not to mention UCLA has had some pretty good competition so far so their stats could be better if they'd only faced powderpuff squads. UCSB has faced a couple decent teams and some bad ones, so their stats are better than they'll actually perform against a top team.
                                                Comment
                                                • astro61200
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 09-15-07
                                                  • 4843

                                                  #59
                                                  Oh and UCLA's average margin at home is +28.5; 103.8-75.3 is average score in 6 games. All 6 of those games have been against better competition than UCSB
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Ra77er
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 06-20-11
                                                    • 10969

                                                    #60
                                                    Yea I remember that call on Creighton. I was reading magazines and thinking how crazy that number was yet it still hit.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • astro61200
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-15-07
                                                      • 4843

                                                      #61
                                                      My other plays are because MTSU has been extremely hot and Belmont isn't doing too great this year. Stats wise it's a walk for MTSU, and feels like Belmont is coasting more off their name than anything else. They aren't even making 3's like they usually do. The Blue Raiders are bitch slapping teams. Had them against Vandy in their last game at -2, they won by 23. Being on the road hasn't been an issue either with a 2-0 record (at Ole Miss & S Alabama) with margin of victory being +13.5

                                                      Okie State is pretty much the same thinking as UCLA, just Okie State isn't as good. That's my smallest play of the night

                                                      The 2 unders are just a byproduct of taking the opposite from what the book seems to want. When both team's average points scored are 12+ points off the total you go the opposite way. So Baylor/SU average 150.3 points scored but their total opened at 137.5. 12.8 points off of their average so seems the books want you to take the over, so go opposite and go under. ChiSt/NW average 143.2 but total opened at 130.5 so going under there too. 3-0 with those so far but only been betting on CBB for a week and a half so far this year.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • GzaTheGenius
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-12-13
                                                        • 4181

                                                        #62
                                                        Flyers for NHL, Wizards for NBA my only two picks so far tonight. May hit a few more
                                                        Comment
                                                        • xdodger19
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 11-20-12
                                                          • 18012

                                                          #63
                                                          Penguins
                                                          Comment
                                                          • xdodger19
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-20-12
                                                            • 18012

                                                            #64
                                                            for 1k patriots on the moneyline is where to put it
                                                            Comment
                                                            • astro61200
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-15-07
                                                              • 4843

                                                              #65
                                                              After looking into it more, decided to double my bet on MTSU. Realized that Belmont's 3 latests wins were against some bad competition. At first glance I saw Lipscomb twice and Pepperdine, they're both usually decent. This year not so much though.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Housemoney
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-17-09
                                                                • 3912

                                                                #66
                                                                I went with Calgary and UCLA after reading this thread.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jjgold
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 07-20-05
                                                                  • 388179

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Guys firing away

                                                                  Fuk
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • slayer14
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 08-12-13
                                                                    • 22022

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Australia to beat Pakistan 1st test match starting in 1 hour looks easy money at 4/9 odds, bet it jj
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • rizespor
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 06-21-16
                                                                      • 1900

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by rizespor
                                                                      Raptors/Sixers OVER 204.5

                                                                      Toronto 17-7 on overs

                                                                      Sixers hot, won 2 in a row. Looks like good spot to put up some points.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • jjgold
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 07-20-05
                                                                        • 388179

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Riser you have been hot as a stove
                                                                        Comment
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