Just gonna post a few plays that I like and am considering. Looking for some feedback and some discussion. Let's put our brains together!
Paige VanZant -115: She opened as a -170 favorite and the price has dropped significantly. She's going up against "The Karate Hottie". I think PVZ's aggressive style and the pace she sets will overwhelm Michelle here. The fight may be close in the first two rounds, but PVZ will completely take over the second half of the fight. I think this is just a real bad matchup for the natural atomweight. PVZ by decision or late TKO stoppage.
Mickey Gall -145: I think this line will get tighter come fight time with the popularity of Sage. There is no denying Sage is talented and in great physical shape, but I've been so unimpressed by his fights in the UFC thus far. He'll have the striking advantage over Mickey, but I think this fight will get to the ground and when it does Gall will be able to control Sage and most likely submit him. Sage begins to fade after the first half of the fight as well. Gall by submission.
Mike Perry -140: This fight will be a blast for however long it lasts. Both guys bring it every fight and swing for the fences. I think Perry has more power than Jouban and his chin is phenomenal. I've seen Jouban rocked multiple times and that is a recipe for disaster versus a guy like Perry. Perry by TKO/KO, -140 isn't too steep, but if it gets higher, I'll be looking at the Inside the distance prop.
Fredy Serrano +100: This line opened with Fredy being a -170 favorite and has since dropped with him now being the underdog. I think his wrestling will be too much for Sandoval to handle. The striking may be close, but I think Sandoval will be taken down in every single round here. Serrano by decision.
Here's a couple parlay pieces:
Eddie Wineland -220: I think he'll make another run into the top 10. Mizugaki is fading and Eddie has strange but effective movement and great TD defense. I like Eddie to win relatively easy here. Nice parlay piece or possibly worthy of a -3.5 points play. Eddie by decision.
Irene Aldana -265: She's a talented prospect with terrific striking. Smith is basically a punching bag as opponents have outlanded her by more than 3 strikes per minute. That is a recipe for disaster against Aldana. Aldana makes for a great parlay piece. Aldana by late TKO or decision.
Luis Henrique da Silva -230: He has the far better striking here. If Craig has any shot here, he's gotta try and get this fight to the mat and I just don't see that happening. Da Silva by TKO.
Colby Covington -370: He's a way better wrestler than Barbarena and will have a significant strength advantage. He's also the superior athlete here. Look for the -3.5 prop or possibly the Insidethe distance prop if this is too much juice for you in a parlay. Covington by Submission.
I like a few more plays here, but I'll leave this here for now. Thoughts? Discussion?
Paige VanZant -115: She opened as a -170 favorite and the price has dropped significantly. She's going up against "The Karate Hottie". I think PVZ's aggressive style and the pace she sets will overwhelm Michelle here. The fight may be close in the first two rounds, but PVZ will completely take over the second half of the fight. I think this is just a real bad matchup for the natural atomweight. PVZ by decision or late TKO stoppage.
Mickey Gall -145: I think this line will get tighter come fight time with the popularity of Sage. There is no denying Sage is talented and in great physical shape, but I've been so unimpressed by his fights in the UFC thus far. He'll have the striking advantage over Mickey, but I think this fight will get to the ground and when it does Gall will be able to control Sage and most likely submit him. Sage begins to fade after the first half of the fight as well. Gall by submission.
Mike Perry -140: This fight will be a blast for however long it lasts. Both guys bring it every fight and swing for the fences. I think Perry has more power than Jouban and his chin is phenomenal. I've seen Jouban rocked multiple times and that is a recipe for disaster versus a guy like Perry. Perry by TKO/KO, -140 isn't too steep, but if it gets higher, I'll be looking at the Inside the distance prop.
Fredy Serrano +100: This line opened with Fredy being a -170 favorite and has since dropped with him now being the underdog. I think his wrestling will be too much for Sandoval to handle. The striking may be close, but I think Sandoval will be taken down in every single round here. Serrano by decision.
Here's a couple parlay pieces:
Eddie Wineland -220: I think he'll make another run into the top 10. Mizugaki is fading and Eddie has strange but effective movement and great TD defense. I like Eddie to win relatively easy here. Nice parlay piece or possibly worthy of a -3.5 points play. Eddie by decision.
Irene Aldana -265: She's a talented prospect with terrific striking. Smith is basically a punching bag as opponents have outlanded her by more than 3 strikes per minute. That is a recipe for disaster against Aldana. Aldana makes for a great parlay piece. Aldana by late TKO or decision.
Luis Henrique da Silva -230: He has the far better striking here. If Craig has any shot here, he's gotta try and get this fight to the mat and I just don't see that happening. Da Silva by TKO.
Colby Covington -370: He's a way better wrestler than Barbarena and will have a significant strength advantage. He's also the superior athlete here. Look for the -3.5 prop or possibly the Insidethe distance prop if this is too much juice for you in a parlay. Covington by Submission.
I like a few more plays here, but I'll leave this here for now. Thoughts? Discussion?
