Why?
How come NBA lines are so sharp?
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lakerboySBR Aristocracy
- 04-02-09
- 94379
#1How come NBA lines are so sharp?Tags: None -
Otters27BARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 07-14-07
- 30760
#2NBA is the hardest to cap. if you faded a guy like me you could make some moneyComment -
TPowellSBR Posting Legend
- 02-21-08
- 18842
#3too few teams and too easy of a sport to handicap. So many plays in basketball that the math is that much easier to get down and then you add the fact that the players are much more similar in ability than college basketballComment -
SBRMAN23SBR Hall of Famer
- 01-07-11
- 6906
#4great question been wondering for years to be honest I seen some games and the lines I just think wtf is going on here looks almost suspectComment -
xdodger19SBR Posting Legend
- 11-20-12
- 18012
#5the sharpest line i see for friday is charlotte at nets, but some line movement may give nets a 1 point edge
the total and line are both spot onComment -
TPowellSBR Posting Legend
- 02-21-08
- 18842
#6Not sure when people will realize it's 5 times as hard to beat sports like NFL and NBA as opposed to leagues with less name recognition and following plus more teams (NCAA sports, International basketball, AFL or whatever)Comment -
Otters27BARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 07-14-07
- 30760
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Itsamazing777SBR Posting Legend
- 11-14-12
- 12602
#8Because it is easy to manipulate 1 point at a time as close to the line as needed via free throwsComment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388179
#9Cannot beat them Lakerboy plus these home teams are brutal to beatComment -
IBetYouSBR Hall of Famer
- 07-03-15
- 8158
#10As stated above, it's hard to cap because it's easy to price up. The lines themselves a very predictable from one day to the next, but knowing which side to bet pfft.Comment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388179
#11Tonight Washington seems like an obvious playComment -
IBetYouSBR Hall of Famer
- 07-03-15
- 8158
#13They're replacing T.Burke in the rotation with Satoransky. I said they should have done this prior to the last game. Good move. Overdue.Comment -
coolguy73739SBR MVP
- 01-11-16
- 1677
#14what makes WAS an obvious play, may I know?.. Ohh just because they have been beaten by ATL in their last meeting or may be because WAS team is in complete disarray having lost their first 3 games!
I don't really understand who is your friend or foe in this vicious world of Gambling..
Why the whole media (you included JJ) is hell bent on fooling around with public by swinging line movement in favor of WAS when we all know deep inside that ATL is the clear favorite in this game?.. Why?Comment -
sportsfan9698SBR MVP
- 05-17-14
- 1995
#15
If it were easy to handicap, it would be easy to win. The "sharp lines" are evident that is not the case. Vegas bookmakers LOVE the NBA it is their cash cow. You really think it is easy to handicap? If that is the case please start an NBA thread and share your NBA winners with us. PLEASE!!!Comment -
SharpAnglesSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-15-14
- 9467
#16Teams smaller. Less players. More available info that can be calculated into a reliable line. Joey fukin Crawford.Comment -
sportsfan9698SBR MVP
- 05-17-14
- 1995
#17what makes WAS an obvious play, may I know?.. Ohh just because they have been beaten by ATL in their last meeting or may be because WAS team is in complete disarray having lost their first 3 games!
I don't really understand who is your friend or foe in this vicious world of Gambling..
Why the whole media (you included JJ) is hell bent on fooling around with public by swinging line movement in favor of WAS when we all know deep inside that ATL is the clear favorite in this game?.. Why?Comment -
trillzSBR MVP
- 03-02-16
- 1668
#18You really do say some ridiculous things here lol
If it were easy to handicap, it would be easy to win. The "sharp lines" are evident that is not the case. Vegas bookmakers LOVE the NBA it is their cash cow. You really think it is easy to handicap? If that is the case please start an NBA thread and share your NBA winners with us. PLEASE!!!Comment -
IBetYouSBR Hall of Famer
- 07-03-15
- 8158
#19...Comment -
sportsfan9698SBR MVP
- 05-17-14
- 1995
#20
NBA and NFL by far the HARDEST to cap effectively. Lines are sharp and Books make out like thievesComment -
SharpAnglesSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-15-14
- 9467
#21You really do say some ridiculous things here lol
If it were easy to handicap, it would be easy to win. The "sharp lines" are evident that is not the case. Vegas bookmakers LOVE the NBA it is their cash cow. You really think it is easy to handicap? If that is the case please start an NBA thread and share your NBA winners with us. PLEASE!!!Comment -
sportsfan9698SBR MVP
- 05-17-14
- 1995
#22We are all in agreement... I have been admonished 3 times now. I agree
So the OP question has been answered.
Did you also know, that the NBA is the favored sport to wager among actual professional gamblers? Not the NFL. That is because once you manage to gain an edge, it pays off in spades. The public holds the line down and it is easy to win once you find that edge.Comment -
IBetYouSBR Hall of Famer
- 07-03-15
- 8158
#23The books don't no shit. That's the point! I could price up these games in my sleep. They don't trap, that's a myth. If you're suggesting some bookie clerk at Will Hill or 5Dimes has a good idea which team will cover, then I ask why does he not quit his job and make a fortune betting pro?Comment -
TPowellSBR Posting Legend
- 02-21-08
- 18842
#24You really do say some ridiculous things here lol
If it were easy to handicap, it would be easy to win. The "sharp lines" are evident that is not the case. Vegas bookmakers LOVE the NBA it is their cash cow. You really think it is easy to handicap? If that is the case please start an NBA thread and share your NBA winners with us. PLEASE!!!Comment -
sportsfan9698SBR MVP
- 05-17-14
- 1995
#25The books don't no shit. That's the point! I could price up these games in my sleep. They don't trap, that's a myth. If you're suggesting some bookie clerk at Will Hill or 5Dimes has a good idea which team will cover, then I ask why does he not quit his job and make a fortune betting pro?
Do the books get balanced action on all games? of course not... but they try to do just that. They are more concerned with getting balanced action from a certain set of clients... what most would say the sharps. So that is what makes me laugh so hard when ANYBODY on this forum claims this side is the sharp side, or that side is the square side. They balance the action of the sharp players. Sometimes the square money gets lucky and hurts them... but most often they lose.Comment -
t-wizzleBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 12-18-09
- 38099
#26Lb do you mean in general or specifically this year?Comment -
TPowellSBR Posting Legend
- 02-21-08
- 18842
#27Do you know how lines are made and then manipulated? There is a single book that has a collection of very sharp oddsmakers... currently BETONLINE usually puts out the first numbers. It is usually pretty close to where it needs to be. From there, they number moves a bit up or down to balance action. Algorithms pretty much take care of it after the line is released.
Do the books get balanced action on all games? of course not... but they try to do just that. They are more concerned with getting balanced action from a certain set of clients... what most would say the sharps. So that is what makes me laugh so hard when ANYBODY on this forum claims this side is the sharp side, or that side is the square side. They balance the action of the sharp players. Sometimes the square money gets lucky and hurts them... but most often they lose.
lol BetOnline is horrible. Their limits are absolute garbage at open because the lines they open with aren't even in the ballpark a lot of times.Comment -
sportsfan9698SBR MVP
- 05-17-14
- 1995
#28I agree not a great book. but the fact is that they put out the first odds... and the giants watch and see how the action goes before they put up their first number.Comment -
IBetYouSBR Hall of Famer
- 07-03-15
- 8158
#29There is a single book that has a collection of very sharp oddsmakers...
And what book would that be? Where did you read this? Bet online are a fairly new company, and they don't take bets from winners. I can't believe they have any sway.Comment -
IBetYouSBR Hall of Famer
- 07-03-15
- 8158
#30Comment -
TPowellSBR Posting Legend
- 02-21-08
- 18842
#31Most sharps get booted quick at BetOnline as well. I plan on opening an account soon but not sure its worth it for a limited amount of wagersComment -
IBetYouSBR Hall of Famer
- 07-03-15
- 8158
#32Most books nowadays outscource to companies like KAMBI, because the margins are so tight that they can't afford to develop & maintain a specialised workforce for their IP betting.Comment -
IBetYouSBR Hall of Famer
- 07-03-15
- 8158
#33He's gone...Comment -
pilebuck13SBR Posting Legend
- 05-15-15
- 17918
#34NBA totals are usually insanely sharp, 90% of my bets are totals. If you take note most of the nba totals are insanely close a point sometimes 2...a close game and your on a under can be deadly due to fouls...Comment -
xdodger19SBR Posting Legend
- 11-20-12
- 18012
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