Bills fan here, as we all know, the Patriots own most of the league and most certainly own the Buffalo Bills (when Tom is playing).
I'm extremely confident in them Sunday, and I'm laying big money on NE ML in teasers and straight up. While I still think they cover the number, the weather might be poor and 6.5 is a lot on the road.
So, reasoning:
Patriots beat Buffalo in Buffalo 40-32 last year. This game was much more lopsided than the numbers show. The Pats took a 37-13 lead before the Bills scored the remainder of their points in the 4Q in garbage time. Key note, Bills and Pats both healthy for this one (including Dion Lewis who was killing it at RB at the time in the receiving game). Patriots did any and everything to the Bills D in this game.
Patriots beat Buffalo 20-13 in NE. Gronk played but was most definitely hobbled, Dion Lewis and Edelman were out. The Bills definitely got to Tom in this one and frustrated him, but it was mostly due to the fact that Edelman and Lewis were out, Gronk was a non-factor due to his injury, and NE's center was also out of the lineup. Still, they got the job done.
NE's offense is healthy and is awesome as usual. James White is filling in very nicely in the role Dion Lewis played last year as a 3rd down and RB/receiver.
The Bills are really banged up on offense. Watkins is out, which hasn't matter much so far because of their running game, but when you realize the Pats are going to score 30+ on the Bills, they will certainly be able to throw it. It doesn't help Mccoy is hobbled. Gillislee is good, but he's no Mccoy. The Bills 2nd WR, Robert Woods, is working through an ankle injury, and while he might play, he's at best a slot WR or a 3WR on most teams. Bills 3WR Marquise Goodwin is on concussion protocol, and even if he plays, he's only a deep threat and even then rarely catches balls. So while it's likely the Bills will be on their 2nd RB and 4-5WR possibly, it spells trouble in a game they really need to score points and throw the ball.
There's a reason Taylor doesn't throw much, he's not that good at it. Most of his yardage in games comes from 1-2 deep balls.
I don't need to give many reasons why Brady will be able to throw on the Bills, but Keenum (271) and Fitz (374) didn't have trouble, and Kapernick was playing well up until halftime vs them. Ajayi just gashed them for 200+ yards. One of many reasons why, the Bills best safety Aaron Williams got knocked out by Landry. He's unlikely to play and makes the bills secondary extremely vulnerable.
Revenge factor for Bill = yes. He hates Rex, and him and Brady will run the score up and not take it easy in any way.
Marcel Dareus will be back to help the D-line but he's played in many games in this series over the years and while he's very good, it won't matter because Brady will have the ball out before the rush gets there; he almost always does.
Pats ML BIG
Pats in teasers, yes yes yes
Pats -6.5 a little bit less
and I like win/wins, Pats win, me win $, Bills win, then me happy
I'm extremely confident in them Sunday, and I'm laying big money on NE ML in teasers and straight up. While I still think they cover the number, the weather might be poor and 6.5 is a lot on the road.
So, reasoning:
Patriots beat Buffalo in Buffalo 40-32 last year. This game was much more lopsided than the numbers show. The Pats took a 37-13 lead before the Bills scored the remainder of their points in the 4Q in garbage time. Key note, Bills and Pats both healthy for this one (including Dion Lewis who was killing it at RB at the time in the receiving game). Patriots did any and everything to the Bills D in this game.
Patriots beat Buffalo 20-13 in NE. Gronk played but was most definitely hobbled, Dion Lewis and Edelman were out. The Bills definitely got to Tom in this one and frustrated him, but it was mostly due to the fact that Edelman and Lewis were out, Gronk was a non-factor due to his injury, and NE's center was also out of the lineup. Still, they got the job done.
NE's offense is healthy and is awesome as usual. James White is filling in very nicely in the role Dion Lewis played last year as a 3rd down and RB/receiver.
The Bills are really banged up on offense. Watkins is out, which hasn't matter much so far because of their running game, but when you realize the Pats are going to score 30+ on the Bills, they will certainly be able to throw it. It doesn't help Mccoy is hobbled. Gillislee is good, but he's no Mccoy. The Bills 2nd WR, Robert Woods, is working through an ankle injury, and while he might play, he's at best a slot WR or a 3WR on most teams. Bills 3WR Marquise Goodwin is on concussion protocol, and even if he plays, he's only a deep threat and even then rarely catches balls. So while it's likely the Bills will be on their 2nd RB and 4-5WR possibly, it spells trouble in a game they really need to score points and throw the ball.
There's a reason Taylor doesn't throw much, he's not that good at it. Most of his yardage in games comes from 1-2 deep balls.
I don't need to give many reasons why Brady will be able to throw on the Bills, but Keenum (271) and Fitz (374) didn't have trouble, and Kapernick was playing well up until halftime vs them. Ajayi just gashed them for 200+ yards. One of many reasons why, the Bills best safety Aaron Williams got knocked out by Landry. He's unlikely to play and makes the bills secondary extremely vulnerable.
Revenge factor for Bill = yes. He hates Rex, and him and Brady will run the score up and not take it easy in any way.
Marcel Dareus will be back to help the D-line but he's played in many games in this series over the years and while he's very good, it won't matter because Brady will have the ball out before the rush gets there; he almost always does.
Pats ML BIG
Pats in teasers, yes yes yes
Pats -6.5 a little bit less
and I like win/wins, Pats win, me win $, Bills win, then me happy
