SO NFL tonight GIANTS or WNT ??

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  • Underdog5229
    SBR MVP
    • 10-31-11
    • 1856

    #36
    giants straight up in a low scoring under the number game
    Comment
    • Hot Jerry
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 08-16-13
      • 5545

      #37
      I be happy to double my money here [ Gman] - I don't need +money on ML !! This is just fine with me and few other smart guys in here !!
      Comment
      • The Hat
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 09-24-16
        • 676

        #38
        Vikings UGLY!

        Comment
        • Mako-SBR
          SBR Sharp
          • 10-15-13
          • 492

          #39
          Giants played Vikes in MN Week 16 last year and lost 49-17...That was without Bradford of course.

          Such a rough bet, want to take NYG and the points but man...scary
          Comment
          • sportsfan9698
            SBR MVP
            • 05-17-14
            • 1995

            #40
            Originally posted by Mako-SBR
            Giants played Vikes in MN Week 16 last year and lost 49-17...That was without Bradford of course.

            Such a rough bet, want to take NYG and the points but man...scary
            I have to ask you why? Because you like the Giants, you are a fan of the team? If you like to win you should want to take the Vikes

            Vikes record for 3 games this season + 16 games last year... 16-3 ATS

            You want to take the Gmen.... okay
            Comment
            • astrodomer
              SBR MVP
              • 08-03-10
              • 1665

              #41
              I never take the G men... but I have them tonight!
              Comment
              • Mako-SBR
                SBR Sharp
                • 10-15-13
                • 492

                #42
                Originally posted by sportsfan9698
                I have to ask you why? Because you like the Giants, you are a fan of the team? If you like to win you should want to take the Vikes

                Vikes record for 3 games this season + 16 games last year... 16-3 ATS

                You want to take the Gmen.... okay
                Because no AP and Bradford can't continue his pace. And despite the craziness from their fans, no the Vikes aren't winning 12 or even 11 games this year. Losses will occur at some point.

                Also, Terrance Newman will get absolutely blown up by either Cruz OR OBJ, that mismatch is huge with either.

                The Vikes pass rush has to win the game for them, literally it's entirely on their shoulders.

                Points are points though, will play if I can get +5. Won't buy the hook to get it and likely won't play if +4.5.

                WNT looks good at the moment.
                Comment
                • RRNJ13
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 09-03-14
                  • 282

                  #43
                  Eli Apple CB Hamstring Did Not Participate In Practice Doubtful
                  Olivier Vernon DE -- Full Participation in Practice --
                  Marshall Newhouse T Calf Did Not Participate In Practice Out
                  Darian Thompson S Foot Did Not Participate In Practice Out
                  Nat Berhe S Concussion Did Not Participate In Practice Out
                  Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie CB Groin Did Not Participate In Practice Questionable
                  Rashad Jennings RB Thumb Limited Participation in Practice Questionable
                  Robert Thomas DT Illness Did Not Participate In Practice Out
                  So who is playing defense? I like Bradford to hit some big shots Im taking the over
                  Comment
                  • Mako-SBR
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 10-15-13
                    • 492

                    #44
                    Originally posted by RRNJ13
                    So who is playing defense? I like Bradford to hit some big shots Im taking the over
                    Bradford never hits "big shots", he's like the dink and dunk world record holder. Passes over 10 yards keep this guy up at night.

                    The over isn't a bad call though, Giants def is horrid, and Min DBs will get demolished by Cruz or OBJ, whomever is singled. You might have convinced me...
                    Comment
                    • MikeyD323
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-09-12
                      • 1454

                      #45
                      Originally posted by sportsfan9698
                      If you guys prefer the lesser team on the road in a hostile environment.... okay go for it

                      I like the far better team at home
                      If it was a far better team at home the line would be -6.5 - 7
                      Comment
                      • pavyracer
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 04-12-07
                        • 82839

                        #46
                        Bradford doesn't need to beat the Giants. Giants will beat themselves.
                        Comment
                        • tony_come
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 03-31-10
                          • 21695

                          #47
                          I received a text to take Minnesota

                          I also received a text to take nyg

                          What should I do? Fukk!!
                          Comment
                          • RRNJ13
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 09-03-14
                            • 282

                            #48
                            [QUOTE=MikeyD323;26336974]If it was a far better team at home the line would be -6.5 - 7[/QUOT Just a fishy line with all the giant injuries Evryone backing Minnesota I like the over if the giants win it won't be 17 -13 it will be 27 -24 put a gun to my head I take Minnesota ML this has Giant backdoor comeback cover all over it
                            Comment
                            • sportsfan9698
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-17-14
                              • 1995

                              #49
                              Originally posted by Mako-SBR
                              Because no AP and Bradford can't continue his pace. And despite the craziness from their fans, no the Vikes aren't winning 12 or even 11 games this year. Losses will occur at some point.

                              Also, Terrance Newman will get absolutely blown up by either Cruz OR OBJ, that mismatch is huge with either.

                              The Vikes pass rush has to win the game for them, literally it's entirely on their shoulders.

                              Points are points though, will play if I can get +5. Won't buy the hook to get it and likely won't play if +4.5.

                              WNT looks good at the moment.
                              Since now the line has dropped to 3.5 I guess your +5 is a dream that will not come true. I just feel a bit foolish for jumping on -4.5 last night... but not at all worried about it.
                              Comment
                              • Mako-SBR
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 10-15-13
                                • 492

                                #50
                                Originally posted by sportsfan9698
                                Since now the line has dropped to 3.5 I guess your +5 is a dream that will not come true. I just feel a bit foolish for jumping on -4.5 last night... but not at all worried about it.
                                Ha, yes, just saw. I think I'm going with the squarish over though, 42 is out there now, more tempting.
                                Comment
                                • HockeyRocks
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 07-10-13
                                  • 6069

                                  #51
                                  5Dimes has Mn at -3.5 now...What's up with that?
                                  Comment
                                  • pavyracer
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 04-12-07
                                    • 82839

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by HockeyRocks
                                    5Dimes has Mn at -3.5 now...What's up with that?
                                    It means there is a lot of public money on Giants.
                                    Comment
                                    • Time is Money
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-03-07
                                      • 2255

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by RRNJ13
                                      Eli Apple CB Hamstring Did Not Participate In Practice Doubtful
                                      Olivier Vernon DE -- Full Participation in Practice --
                                      Marshall Newhouse T Calf Did Not Participate In Practice Out
                                      Darian Thompson S Foot Did Not Participate In Practice Out
                                      Nat Berhe S Concussion Did Not Participate In Practice Out
                                      Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie CB Groin Did Not Participate In Practice Questionable
                                      Rashad Jennings RB Thumb Limited Participation in Practice Questionable
                                      Robert Thomas DT Illness Did Not Participate In Practice Out
                                      So who is playing defense? I like Bradford to hit some big shots Im taking the over
                                      There's legit one defensive starter in there and that's the safety. DRC is playing.
                                      Comment
                                      • Time is Money
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-03-07
                                        • 2255

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by pavyracer
                                        It means there is a lot of public money on Giants.
                                        Slight edge to Vikings but it's close to a 50/50 split.
                                        Comment
                                        • Underdog5229
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-31-11
                                          • 1856

                                          #55
                                          Only way the vikes stay close is because of that defense
                                          Comment
                                          • sportsfan9698
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-17-14
                                            • 1995

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by Time is Money
                                            Slight edge to Vikings but it's close to a 50/50 split.
                                            You are reading this incorrectly. Percentage of bets has nothing to do with $$ wagered.

                                            For 6 days the $$ drove the line up (generally associated with "sharp" money). And now in the late hours, the $$ is coming in for NYG and driving it down (generally associated with recreational players). Those are the facts.

                                            Does not mean you can read much into that... "sharps" go broke and pick losers just as much as the recreational players. You need to find other indicators to find winners on a statistical basis
                                            Comment
                                            • pavyracer
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 04-12-07
                                              • 82839

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by Underdog5229
                                              Only way the vikes stay close is because of that defense
                                              If I give you my address would you send me the moonshine you are drinking right now? Must be top of the line.
                                              Comment
                                              • sportsfan9698
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 05-17-14
                                                • 1995

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by Underdog5229
                                                Only way the vikes stay close is because of that defense
                                                Wow you actually think the Giants are the better team. Okay no problem. I'm a new poster here I don't want to piss anybody off... but if the Vikings dominate will you admit they are far better? Please don't come back and blame the refs or something silly.

                                                BOL to you Underdog.
                                                Comment
                                                • pavyracer
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 04-12-07
                                                  • 82839

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by sportsfan9698
                                                  Wow you actually think the Giants are the better team. Okay no problem. I'm a new poster here I don't want to piss anybody off... but if the Vikings dominate will you admit they are far better? Please don't come back and blame the refs or something silly.

                                                  BOL to you Underdog.
                                                  I think he is saying it would have been a blowout for Giants if it wasn't for Vikings defense..because Giants blew out their last four opponents. They broke the scoreboards.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Da Manster!
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 07-13-07
                                                    • 17720

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                    Bradford doesn't need to beat the Giants. Giants will beat themselves.
                                                    good post, re malaka!...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Da Manster!
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 07-13-07
                                                      • 17720

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by Hot Jerry
                                                      I be happy to double my money here [ Gman] - I don't need +money on ML !! This is just fine with me and few other smart guys in here !!
                                                      Hot Jerry!...we disagree on this one, my friend!......although I'm not releasing it as a "nail it, pound it" play, I feel extra good about taking the Vikes tonight...why?...because you didn't say GIANTS TO THE MOON!!!...GIANTS TO THE MOON!!!...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • The Hat
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 09-24-16
                                                        • 676

                                                        #62
                                                        I don't see Manning finishing this game
                                                        Comment
                                                        • The Hat
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 09-24-16
                                                          • 676

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by Mako-SBR

                                                          Points are points though, will play if I can get +5. Won't buy the hook to get it and likely won't play if +4.5.
                                                          HOW is half a point between 4.5 and 5 enough to keep you from NOT playing???
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Bbfromgpt
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 09-24-12
                                                            • 6115

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                            It means there is a lot of public money on Giants.
                                                            56% on Minn
                                                            Comment
                                                            • The Hat
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 09-24-16
                                                              • 676

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by Bbfromgpt
                                                              56% on Minn
                                                              that's quantity of bets, not volume of cash, correct?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • OTL
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-08-10
                                                                • 2433

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by sportsfan9698
                                                                For 6 days the $$ drove the line up (generally associated with "sharp" money). And now in the late hours, the $$ is coming in for NYG and driving it down (generally associated with recreational players). Those are the facts.
                                                                That's flawed logic. Not everyone who bets late is a rec player. Lots of sharps, arbers, and betting syndicates wait for line movement in their favour before they pounce. Joe Q public making small wagers is not what drives major line movement.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • sportsfan9698
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 05-17-14
                                                                  • 1995

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by OTL
                                                                  That's flawed logic. Not everyone who bets late is a rec player. Lots of sharps, arbers, and betting syndicates wait for line movement in their favour before they pounce. Joe Q public making small wagers is not what drives major line movement.
                                                                  I'm partially right, and you are as well. The point I was trying to make (and you did not include with the quote) was that you cannot derive much of anything out of all of this. Trust me I have tried for decades. I finally learned it all means nothing and the numbers are provided to make the average player think they are smart and gaining an advantage. This industry DOES NOT expose anything that will give you an advantage.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • sportsfan9698
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-17-14
                                                                    • 1995

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Hell nowadays you can find interviews with sportsbook managers that will tell you flat out where the sharp money is going... and I don't think they are lying at all. End of the day, it is of no advantage.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • The Hat
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 09-24-16
                                                                      • 676

                                                                      #69
                                                                      who cares about sharp money unless you're strictly going to follow (and play) the sharp money 100% of the time. Otherwise, you'll drive yourself crazy trying to pick when to follow sharp money plays
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Da Manster!
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 07-13-07
                                                                        • 17720

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by Da Manster!
                                                                        I'm on the Vikes (-4) as well...I mean seriously can you trust a QB like Eli against one of the top defense in the NFL?!!...even my skins defense which sucks absolute donkey ass and is rated near the bottom of the NFL in every defensive statistical category picked him off three times last week!...just remember, if you are taking the G-Men and the points tonight, this is your QB....

                                                                        I tried to warn you guys!...
                                                                        Comment
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