Capy's Season-Long 2016 NFL Action (...?)

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  • Capybara
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-17-08
    • 11803

    #1
    Capy's Season-Long 2016 NFL Action (...?)
    To make a long story short, not sure if I'm going to want to maintain a season-long thread, as sometimes it's a pain in the ass. So we'll see, I may end up bailing, or perhaps I'll just spot-bet in here so it's a bit less of a pain.

    If memory serves, I've had SIX NFL season-long threads in here. Four nice winning seasons, one small losing season, and one time I just abandoned it.

    Without further ado:

    Panthers/Broncos under 41.5, -105 (1x)
    Broncos +3, +105 (1x)

    (These lines and juice are from TUESDAY when I placed these, hence the higher-than-now-available total.)

    Not in love with either of these plays, but I do like both and it's opening night, so why not. My reasoning for them is simply that the Broncos retain most of brought them the title. They're still going to have the great D and I still expect them to stifle Cam's attack. No Trevathan is too bad, but most of the main guys from 2015 are there. Everyone seems worried about the seventh-round QB making his first start for Denver, but I'm not. Denver will run a conservative attack, and don't forget that the Panthers secondary could be very shaky at the outset, with no Josh Norman and a couple of kids. He could have surprising success throwing.

    Most of all, it's just NOT easy to go into Mile High and WIN a big game, and if I'm gonna GET points at home with the defending champ, I'll take them, thank you very much.

    Best of luck this year!!!
  • Capybara
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-17-08
    • 11803

    #2
    2-0, +2.05x.

    What an opening game. That shit was riveting, start to finish.
    Comment
    • BIGDAY
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 02-17-10
      • 48245

      #3
      Comment
      • Capybara
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 08-17-08
        • 11803

        #4
        Okay, updating this with two totals I placed earlier:

        Raiders/Saints over 51, -110 (1.5x)

        Pats/Cards under 47, -110 (1.5x)

        Don't know about the rest of you, but I kind of hate all the sides this Week 1. Don't get me wrong, I'll be playing some, but there's not one that I feel SUPER confident about. Totals is another story, I like the two above and will probably be on a couple more. Although admittedly, I'm going to get crappy numbers on everything now, such is life.

        Back tomorrow with more plays and write-ups... can't wait for opening Sunday!
        Comment
        • Capybara
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-17-08
          • 11803

          #5
          Here we go, folks! 2-0 so far from Thurs... Two totals placed late in the week just above ^^...

          As I said, the sides are quite hard to feel confident in, so keeping everything to ONE unit. But just got on THESE two:

          Lions +3, -120 (1x)

          Everyone already knows the deal here... Indy decimated in their defensive backfield.

          Jax +4, +100 (1x)

          Offense is loaded, defense should be much improved, playing a huge statement game home opener.

          More to come...
          Comment
          • Capybara
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 08-17-08
            • 11803

            #6
            And two more:

            Titans +2.5, -105 (1x)

            Parlay: SD +6.5 and Hou -5.5, +272 (0.6x)
            Comment
            • graycat40
              SBR Hustler
              • 09-06-12
              • 86

              #7
              Nice

              Nice start
              Comment
              • Capybara
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 08-17-08
                • 11803

                #8
                Originally posted by Capybara

                Panthers/Broncos under 41.5, -105 (1x)

                Broncos +3, +105 (1x)

                Raiders/Saints over 51, -110 (1.5x)


                Pats/Cards under 47, -110 (1.5x)

                Lions +3, -120 (1x)

                Jax +4, +100 (1x)

                Titans +2.5, -105 (1x)

                Parlay: SD +6.5 and Hou -5.5, +272 (0.6x)
                Tallying up Week 1 so far, we have the following, with tonight's under play outstanding:

                5-1-1, +5.13x.

                Initially I'd loved Cards -6 tonight... How can you not with three-fifths of the starting O-line out for the Pats, not to mention Gronk?!... But as a Pats homer who bleeds silver, I wouldn't play it anyway since I hate rooting against either my money OR my team. But anyway, now that it's at 9.5, I'd probably leave it alone even if I were a neutral observer.

                May have a play or two tomorrow.
                Comment
                • Capybara
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 08-17-08
                  • 11803

                  #9
                  Pats/Cards under cashes! Rollin' pretty well here in the early going.

                  YTD: 6-1-1, +6.63x.
                  Comment
                  • shopbar picks
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-08-10
                    • 2157

                    #10
                    Nice start. Anything tonight?
                    Comment
                    • MikeyD323
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-09-12
                      • 1454

                      #11
                      ???
                      Comment
                      • Capybara
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 08-17-08
                        • 11803

                        #12
                        Originally posted by shopbar picks
                        Nice start. Anything tonight?
                        Thanks. Nothing for the first game. Going to look further into the second one.
                        Comment
                        • Capybara
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 08-17-08
                          • 11803

                          #13
                          I just can't do this cellar-dweller game. Not a big enough degenerate. No plays today.

                          Always possible I play something live or the 2H if I like it, but otherwise, Week 1 is in the books!

                          YTD: 6-1-1, +6.63x.

                          Back with Week 2 plays as soon as I place them... Will be watching this tonight though...
                          Comment
                          • Fabiodog
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 03-17-13
                            • 319

                            #14
                            Keep up the good work Degenerate
                            Comment
                            • SEAHAWKHARRY
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 11-29-07
                              • 26068

                              #15
                              Great job
                              Comment
                              • Capybara
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 08-17-08
                                • 11803

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Fabiodog
                                Keep up the good work Degenerate
                                Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY
                                Great job
                                Thanks, Guys, didn't mean to ignore your posts!

                                Week #2:

                                First play: Jets/Bills under 41, -115 (1x)

                                Two very solid D's; two questionable O's; all their games seem to go under... Seems like the only play here to me.
                                Comment
                                • JayDr3am
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 05-06-14
                                  • 18260

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Capybara
                                  Thanks, Guys, didn't mean to ignore your posts!

                                  Week #2:

                                  First play: Jets/Bills under 41, -115 (1x)

                                  Two very solid D's; two questionable O's; all their games seem to go under... Seems like the only play here to me.
                                  everyone is on the spread like they know what they are talking about but have no clue lol i like this pick capy BOL tonight on your action
                                  Comment
                                  • Capybara
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 08-17-08
                                    • 11803

                                    #18
                                    Wow, that under got CRUSHED, there's not much else to say. Glad I only threw a unit on it!

                                    Today: 0-1, -1.15x.

                                    YTD: 6-2-1, +5.48x.

                                    Probably back tomorrow to lock in some plays for Sunday...
                                    Comment
                                    • funnyb25
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 07-09-09
                                      • 39663

                                      #19
                                      Keep it goin buddy
                                      Comment
                                      • Capybara
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 08-17-08
                                        • 11803

                                        #20
                                        Okay, first few plays of Week 2 locked in... much more to come...

                                        Saints/Giants over 53.5, -110 (1.5x)

                                        Falcons/Raiders over 48, -110 (1.5x)

                                        Bengals +3.5, -120 (1.5x)
                                        Comment
                                        • Capybara
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 08-17-08
                                          • 11803

                                          #21
                                          Two more early plays:

                                          Saints +4, -105 (1x)

                                          Texans PK, +105 (1x)

                                          More coming for the later games, still deciding... Good luck today!
                                          Comment
                                          • Capybara
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 08-17-08
                                            • 11803

                                            #22
                                            Time to kick off, folks! Here's the remainder of my card for the later games. Little heavy, nine total plays today.

                                            Seahawks/Rams under 38, -105 (1.5x)

                                            Colts +7, -113 (1x)

                                            Falcons +4.5, -110 (1x)

                                            Jags +3, -106 (1x)
                                            Comment
                                            • Capybara
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 08-17-08
                                              • 11803

                                              #23
                                              [Live bet, 9:54 - 2nd quarter] Jaguars +20.5, -125 (2x)

                                              This will end up becoming a game.
                                              Comment
                                              • Capybara
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 08-17-08
                                                • 11803

                                                #24
                                                Interesting up and down day...

                                                Would have been POSITIVE if not for that live bet ^!! Oh well, really did not anticipate that wire-to-wire Charger domination.

                                                Today: 5-5, -2.09x.

                                                YTD: 11-7-1, +3.39x.

                                                Nothing for the night game unless I jump on something live or halftime.
                                                Comment
                                                • Capybara
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 08-17-08
                                                  • 11803

                                                  #25
                                                  Bears -3, -109 (1x)

                                                  Lot of Eagles love, but it's still Wentz's second-ever start, in a tough place to play, where he will see more pressure than last week, and the Bears aren't quite as horrible as they're being made out to be in my opinion. Worth a unit play anyway!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Capybara
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 08-17-08
                                                    • 11803

                                                    #26
                                                    I stand corrected: Bears, and Cutler especially, remain a dumpster fire. Week 2 in the books.

                                                    YTD: 11-8-1, +2.30x.

                                                    Week 3:

                                                    Miami -9.5, -110 (1x)

                                                    Fins are chomping at the bit to get their first happy feeling of 2016 against the Cody Kessler-led Browns.

                                                    More to come...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Capybara
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 08-17-08
                                                      • 11803

                                                      #27
                                                      Lol, I thought I had played this under days ago, and then realized I'd only picked it in Beat the Prick!!

                                                      Can't get that Under 41 now, so got on Texans/Pats under 39.5, -105 (1x).

                                                      But GO PATS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Capybara
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 08-17-08
                                                        • 11803

                                                        #28
                                                        Wish I'd had the stones to play my Pats too, but I'll take the easy under hit.

                                                        YTD: 12-8-1, +3.30x.

                                                        For the weekend, only on that Dolphins so far, but going to book more plays shortly once I look closer.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Da Manster!
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 07-13-07
                                                          • 17720

                                                          #29
                                                          good luck Capy!......as long as we stay in the black!.......remember two things: never force a play and it's a marathon, not a sprint!...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Capybara
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 08-17-08
                                                            • 11803

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Da Manster!
                                                            good luck Capy!......as long as we stay in the black!.......remember two things: never force a play and it's a marathon, not a sprint!...
                                                            Thanks, buddy! Haha, always good advice.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Capybara
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 08-17-08
                                                              • 11803

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Capybara
                                                              Week 3:

                                                              Miami -9.5, -110 (1x)
                                                              Adding these four plays, with maybe more to add tomorrow:

                                                              Falcons/Saints over 53.5, -110 (1.5x)

                                                              Panthers -7, -105 (1x)

                                                              Jags +1, -105 (1x)

                                                              Cowboys -6.5, -105 (1x)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Capybara
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 08-17-08
                                                                • 11803

                                                                #32
                                                                Added Detroit +7, -110 (1x)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Capybara
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 08-17-08
                                                                  • 11803

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Added a player prop:

                                                                  Lacy rushing yards over 65.5, -135 (0.8x)

                                                                  I think he gets the rock a lot today and should rip off a couple of good ones. But hopefully it's in catch-up mode.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Capybara
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 08-17-08
                                                                    • 11803

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Adding Chargers/Colts over 51, -108 (1.5x)
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • SEAHAWKHARRY
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 11-29-07
                                                                      • 26068

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Capybara
                                                                      Added a player prop:

                                                                      Lacy rushing yards over 65.5, -135 (0.8x)

                                                                      I think he gets the rock a lot today and should rip off a couple of good ones. But hopefully it's in catch-up mode.
                                                                      Winner
                                                                      Comment
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