Most confusing line week 1

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  • pilebuck13
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-15-15
    • 17918

    #1
    Most confusing line week 1
    Seahawks -10.5
    Miami +423
    Seattle -500

    This shit hasn't moved what's the deal here? I mean I know Seattle is at home and a better team but 10.5? No line movements someone? Anyone?
  • POOLSIDE
    SBR MVP
    • 09-06-14
    • 2839

    #2
    Seems like a pretty solid line to me. What's got you thinking it's weird?

    Welrdest one to me is the Rams laying points on the road in the national football league. You're telling me the Rams would be -8.5 at home?
    Comment
    • jtoler
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 12-17-13
      • 30967

      #3
      Ryan Tannehill.
      Comment
      • mourning43
        SBR Rookie
        • 08-29-15
        • 12

        #4
        Seattle moneyline for whole bankroll
        Comment
        • Jeff_Black
          SBR MVP
          • 04-04-15
          • 3571

          #5
          There's always one road division favourite that burns everyone and makes a mint for the books. Last year it was Seattle against the Rams. The year before it was the Patriots against the Dolphins (which admittedly I fell for then learnt my lesson the year after)

          I wonder if the Chargers are that team this time around? For a team with off field dramas there's nothing like shutting everyone up and getting the fans back onside with a win at home.
          Especially behind Rivers
          Comment
          • jjgold
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 07-20-05
            • 388179

            #6
            no lines are confusing

            nfl lines dead accurate is why Vegas takes huge limits on them
            Comment
            • pilebuck13
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 05-15-15
              • 17918

              #7
              Maybe u guys are right...just seems to stick out like a sore thumb to me hugest favorite on the board
              Comment
              • lakerboy
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 04-02-09
                • 94379

                #8
                Line went from -7.5-10.5. Not sure what is the confusion. Ml is set right.
                Comment
                • jjgold
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 07-20-05
                  • 388179

                  #9
                  Money lines might be better this year


                  Lots of parity like mlb

                  Or take points
                  Comment
                  • Seaweed
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 01-19-12
                    • 26318

                    #10
                    Stay away week 1-4 to get a feel and also stay away weeks 16-18
                    Comment
                    • StackinGreen
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 10-09-10
                      • 12140

                      #11
                      1-4 seaweed?

                      Maybe 1-2

                      If sharps are sharp you must be a "dull"
                      Comment
                      • TheMoneyShot
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 02-14-07
                        • 28672

                        #12
                        Originally posted by POOLSIDE
                        Seems like a pretty solid line to me. What's got you thinking it's weird?

                        Welrdest one to me is the Rams laying points on the road in the national football league. You're telling me the Rams would be -8.5 at home?
                        Good point. I might want to lock in on that.
                        Comment
                        • klemopixx
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-02-14
                          • 3809

                          #13
                          I think the Texans -6.5 have an excellent chance of beating the spread at home over a so-so Bears team. Osweiler is out to prove a point this year.
                          Comment
                          • pilebuck13
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 05-15-15
                            • 17918

                            #14
                            I tend to like colts -3.5
                            Comment
                            • JAKEPEAVY21
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 03-11-11
                              • 29331

                              #15
                              seattle is almost always a large favorite at home.
                              Comment
                              • Seaweed
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 01-19-12
                                • 26318

                                #16
                                Originally posted by StackinGreen
                                1-4 seaweed?

                                Maybe 1-2

                                If sharps are sharp you must be a "dull"
                                1-4

                                After 2 weeks its tough to have a strong feel

                                Some teams start 0-2 and then win 5 straight
                                Comment
                                • newguy
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 12-27-09
                                  • 6100

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by klemopixx
                                  I think the Texans -6.5 have an excellent chance of beating the spread at home over a so-so Bears team. Osweiler is out to prove a point this year.
                                  That's a trap line. Has to be. Bears couldn't do anything in pre season with their starters. 6.5 leaving that td as a cover for houston always makes a line smell fishy to me
                                  Comment
                                  • jjgold
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 07-20-05
                                    • 388179

                                    #18
                                    Carolina should win opening night on the Moneyline
                                    Comment
                                    • rm18
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 09-20-05
                                      • 22291

                                      #19
                                      Lines are least accurate at the beginning thats when you need to bet. Last year Bengals were +3 at Baltimore. The year they started 9-0 Chiefs were a 1 point dog at Jags team that started 0-8 or so.
                                      Comment
                                      • lakerboy
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 04-02-09
                                        • 94379

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by rm18
                                        Lines are least accurate at the beginning thats when you need to bet. Last year Bengals were +3 at Baltimore. The year they started 9-0 Chiefs were a 1 point dog at Jags team that started 0-8 or so.
                                        Somewhat true but week 1 lines seem sharp.
                                        Comment
                                        • 7deuceoff$uit
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-08-16
                                          • 2213

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Seaweed
                                          Stay away week 1-4 to get a feel and also stay away weeks 16-18
                                          Week 18?
                                          Comment
                                          • pavyracer
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 04-12-07
                                            • 82840

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Jeff_Black
                                            There's always one road division favourite that burns everyone and makes a mint for the books. Last year it was Seattle against the Rams. The year before it was the Patriots against the Dolphins (which admittedly I fell for then learnt my lesson the year after)

                                            I wonder if the Chargers are that team this time around? For a team with off field dramas there's nothing like shutting everyone up and getting the fans back onside with a win at home.
                                            Especially behind Rivers
                                            The Chargers are not a road division favorite.
                                            Comment
                                            • texhooper
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 01-05-09
                                              • 10001

                                              #23
                                              I find week 19, two weeks before the playoffs begin, to be the most problematic from a wagering perspective.
                                              Comment
                                              • texhooper
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-05-09
                                                • 10001

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                The Chargers are not a road division favorite.
                                                For the "Broadway of posting," lotta retards in here
                                                Comment
                                                • pavyracer
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 04-12-07
                                                  • 82840

                                                  #25
                                                  What's confusing? The Dolphins travel more miles for this game than if the Patriots were playing in London.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JayDr3am
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 05-06-14
                                                    • 18260

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by rm18
                                                    Lines are least accurate at the beginning thats when you need to bet. Last year Bengals were +3 at Baltimore. The year they started 9-0 Chiefs were a 1 point dog at Jags team that started 0-8 or so.
                                                    theres like 3 or 4 games with vanilla lines but the rest of the games seem pretty sharp
                                                    Comment
                                                    • greenhippo
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 02-15-12
                                                      • 9091

                                                      #27
                                                      I'm on the Packers myself -4.5. A fresh Rodgers and the return of Nelson look like a strong play. Jags might be good this year, but it'll take a couple of weeks to get everyone on the same page.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • POOLSIDE
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 09-06-14
                                                        • 2839

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by texhooper
                                                        I find week 19, two weeks before the playoffs begin, to be the most problematic from a wagering perspective.
                                                        Same, mostly because I can never seem to find the lines
                                                        Comment
                                                        • POOLSIDE
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 09-06-14
                                                          • 2839

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by greenhippo
                                                          I'm on the Packers myself -4.5. A fresh Rodgers and the return of Nelson look like a strong play. Jags might be good this year, but it'll take a couple of weeks to get everyone on the same page.
                                                          Packers -10.5 at home seems like a lot against a team that can score
                                                          Comment
                                                          • pavyracer
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 04-12-07
                                                            • 82840

                                                            #30
                                                            Packers could be the road favorite which burns everyone. Very public bet.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • greenhippo
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 02-15-12
                                                              • 9091

                                                              #31
                                                              All I'm hearing is how good the Jags are going to be. Haven't heard a word about the Packers.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • unluckysob
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 05-21-08
                                                                • 1527

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Seaweed
                                                                Stay away week 1-4 to get a feel and also stay away weeks 16-18

                                                                I disagree----think your best chance is early in season, late in season, middle is a land mine.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • lakerboy
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 04-02-09
                                                                  • 94379

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by greenhippo
                                                                  All I'm hearing is how good the Jags are going to be. Haven't heard a word about the Packers.
                                                                  Packers same song and dance. Win 11 games. Lose in the playoffs.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • greenhippo
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 02-15-12
                                                                    • 9091

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                                    Packers same song and dance. Win 11 games. Lose in the playoffs.
                                                                    I'll take that song and dance. I don't bet futures. I just need them to show up fresh, healthy, and ready to go Week 1.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JayDr3am
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 05-06-14
                                                                      • 18260

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by greenhippo
                                                                      All I'm hearing is how good the Jags are going to be. Haven't heard a word about the Packers.
                                                                      people expect jordy to be the answer to all of GB's problems.. nope. AND not to mention greenbay JUST traded a gem off their O-line and the bears picked him up.. if the oddmakers REALLY thought the jags WERENT a threat, this line would be a little higher.. like 6 or 7 .. too bad the books arent stupid and know very well that the jags will probably have a opportunity to snatch this game outright.
                                                                      Comment
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