When are the real bettors and offshores going to batter this opening college game?

[ABEHONEST]

All's quiet on the western front? Too quiet, so when does the hammer come down on this California/Hawaii game? 8 day's til kickoff and this line has stalemated way too long.

Which team will get hit hard first [betting]? I'm guessing it's the favorite, Cal, thinking they will be hit hard in a few days and the line with move toward -24 point favorite. Plus, the total has to go up also, right?
My suggestion on what to bet: Play Cal-20 now and also the over for the same amount. If you lose both, you can tell people it's.... Abe's fault! But, you're not allowed to complain but one time, caus' I'll be right there with you.

Who has another solid opinion on this opener?

[BoKnowsBest]

When Pinnacle posts a total and moneyline and you will see some more movement. Right now they only have Spread up with a 1K limit so once that increases you will see even more movement.

[ABEHONEST]

I do believe I saw Phoenix with the opening total..63. Pointspread, I think 5D had the first, around 23?
I thought Phoenix was much like Bovada, quite conservative? That's pretty bold of Phoenix, if true?
So this movement is going the opposite of what I like. We'll see.

[ABEHONEST]

Well, guys, looks like, as of today, I gave you a decent tip. But, only one reply has this thread received. Seems a bit strange but what do I know? I still do believe the known clique has way too much power and turns this open forum into a buddy-buddy thing, which can lead to too many biased opinions and possible corruption, feeding into this worthy site.

Or, like Bill O'Reilly often says after making a controversial opinion..."Or, am I wrong?"

[jtoler]

Has Cal ever beat anybody by 20 pts.

[ABEHONEST]

Has Cal ever beat anybody by 20 pts.

Good question. Does past history matter to you?
And the top 25, no Bears in sight. http://collegefootball.ap.org/poll

[Itsamazing777]

Has Cal ever beat anybody by 20 pts.

[ABEHONEST]

Bears # 52, Hawaii # 117.

Check this guy's ratings.

http://collegefootball.ap.org/poll

[ABEHONEST]

Wow, what a boring looking game this is turning out to look like. No movement hardly at all.
I thought Cal would be 21 or more by now. Kicks in 4 days and the line seems frozen.
Even the total has hardly moved. Maybe we should find a way to postpone any game that looks this boring.

Guess this for 5 points:
Cal goes to 19 1/2 before it goes to 21? Yes or no?

I mean we must have two stores go to those figures. Bookmaker or any other top 4's.
Let's hear it you college gamblers?

[ABEHONEST]

This 5 point payoff will end at sunrise tomorrow, eastern sunrise. Maybe we can start it again Tues.
evening if no winners?
And I may ad 5 points a day until someone wins.

[DrunkHorseplayer]

Cal will go to 21 before 19.5; closing line should be about 22.

[ABEHONEST]

I hope you're right.

[KVB]

This line opened as high as 22 and even 22.5 in some places in both Vegas and online according to my sources. It has been massaged down to 20 by low limit bets and even bounced off the low to 20.5.

I know that some of those early bets stopped coming at 20 because those bettors will go no lower. They've massaged the line to a point the books like and the books are taking cues from some of those early bettors.

I don't think it's going lower, but you have to ask yourself, did betting groups drop this line to 20 with low limits in hopes of of slamming the favorite with bigger bets and higher limits? This does happen but I'm not giving my opinion now as to a sharp line (after all, it is week one and the bigger manipulators won't enter the market for a few more weeks.)

Barring any late breaking news, I feel this line will stay where it is (at 20 or 20.5) and will see movement towards 20.5 in those 20 houses just before game time. If it hits 21, it won't be until kickoff. If any houses put up 19.5 in the meantime, I don't believe it will be there for long.

So I say in the near term the line sticks right where it is.

[vividjohn45]

I like Hawaii +42 vs Michigan. Not sure about +21.

[ABEHONEST]

This line opened as high as 22 and even 22.5 in some places in both Vegas and online according to my sources. It has been massaged down to 20 by low limit bets and even bounced off the low to 20.5.

I know that some of those early bets stopped coming at 20 because those bettors will go no lower. They've massaged the line to a point the books like and the books are taking cues from some of those early bettors.

I don't think it's going lower, but you have to ask yourself, did betting groups drop this line to 20 with low limits in hopes of of slamming the favorite with bigger bets and higher limits? This does happen but I'm not giving my opinion now as to a sharp line (after all, it is week one and the bigger manipulators won't enter the market for a few more weeks.)

Barring any late breaking news, I feel this line will stay where it is (at 20 or 20.5) and will see movement towards 20.5 in those 20 houses just before game time. If it hits 21, it won't be until kickoff. If any houses put up 19.5 in the meantime, I don't believe it will be there for long.

So I say in the near term the line sticks right where it is.

Good write-up but you never made a distinct choice of a number?

[KVB]

Good write-up but you never made a distinct choice of a number?

I think it stays at 20 (or the current 20.5 at some houses.) If given the choice between 19.5 or 21, I would say 21, but I don't think it will move until game time, if at all, and I think it will have trouble reaching 21. The pressure will be there, so we will see.

[ABEHONEST]

Starting over with an additional 5 points

Contest up to 10 points for first winner. Read the rules and make sure you choose the correct number.
**Contest will end tonight at midnight, EST

[KVB]

...Guess this for 5 points:
Cal goes to 19 1/2 before it goes to 21? Yes or no?...

Not really trying to come up 5 points but predicting market movement is always a good exercise for bettors.

Anyway, it seems you didn't really ask for a number, you asked a yes or no question...but I get where you are going with it.

Obviously, my answer is no the question as I think the line will stay at 20 until an hour or so before game time. At that time, I believe pressure will be upward but to get to 21 will would probably occur right before kickoff. I don't see this line breaking through 21, if it gets there.

A 20.5 line by game time would not be surprising to me.

I suppose I am submitting the same answer as before.

[KVB]

I like Hawaii +42 vs Michigan. Not sure about +21.

If this is a reference to a final season game a few years back...great fukking reference.

[reigle9]

Cal is WAY down from last year and Hawaii always blows, see no reason to deg this game.

[ABEHONEST]

One more time.
Yes or no.
Cal goes to 19 1/2 before it goes to 21? Yes or no?
Still need two good top five Books to show your choice at the same time. SBR top five.

[Da Manster!]

One more time.
Yes or no.
Cal goes to 19 1/2 before it goes to 21? Yes or no?
Still need two good top five Books to show your choice at the same time. SBR top five.

who the fuk cares?...why in the hell are you betting this shit game?....any asshole stupid enough to wager on this game ought to lose...too many other games (MLB and football) with better selection to wager on....

[jjgold]

if Anything it will fly over the total

Abe lol get out of the game man

[ABEHONEST]

What time will this line go KABOOM?

https://youtu.be/zHIVeWhCMU8?t=786

[ABEHONEST]

who the fuk cares?...why in the hell are you betting this shit game?....any asshole stupid enough to wager on this game ought to lose...too many other games (MLB and football) with better selection to wager on....

Gee, what a temper!
Here's the answer and it's also a question: It's the first college game.

[jjgold]

Abe I bet your 5-11, 145 with like 23 strands of hair trying to cover half your fukkin head

Abe just bet your gut too tough to know which way lines will move

Bet and hope line moved in your favor

ABE lol how is your 1/4 beard??

[BigdaddyQH]

The line opened up between 20 and 22, depending on where to wager. It is now between 20 and 20 1/2. This is a nothing game between two nothing teams and the sharps know it. They will not play it. The books will move the line to try and draw more attention to the game. They want to get all the degenerate players out there, which is about 90% of the people in here. It has never dropped under 20, and with the relatively small amount being wagered on this game, I doubt that it will go under 20. Remember, you are not talking 6 1/2 to 7 1/2. 21 is not even considered a key number by a lot of high rollers.

[ABEHONEST]

Abe I bet your 5-11, 145 with like 23 strands of hair trying to cover half your fukkin head

Abe just bet your gut too tough to know which way lines will move

Bet and hope line moved in your favor

ABE lol how is your 1/4 beard??

WTF? Is this guy for real?

[ABEHONEST]

The line opened up between 20 and 22, depending on where to wager. It is now between 20 and 20 1/2. This is a nothing game between two nothing teams and the sharps know it. They will not play it. The books will move the line to try and draw more attention to the game. They want to get all the degenerate players out there, which is about 90% of the people in here. It has never dropped under 20, and with the relatively small amount being wagered on this game, I doubt that it will go under 20. Remember, you are not talking 6 1/2 to 7 1/2. 21 is not even considered a key number by a lot of high rollers.

Excellent surmising. Is JJ in that 90%?

[CappinTerp]

Not the 1st game of season................but beware of App. ST. +20 over Tenn.!!!!

[grease lightnin]

It will go to -21 before it goes to -19.5

[JayDr3am]

it womt go below 20.. the books arent stupid

[ABEHONEST]

Who is going to guess right with our opening college game?

My guess is different than everyone else's I do believe? I say, how of pure boredom, out of pure temptation, being out there to watch live and no other college games for almost a week, it will get hit hard any day now. Probably 1 to 3 hours before tip off, though.
Will the favorite go up or down? You know those suckers, dey "luvs dos favys."

[ABEHONEST]

All bets off at 12 AM EST. Start tomorrow at 9 AM EST. Up to 15 points. Read the rules before the KABOOM hits.
* This rule applies everyday til Friday 12 AM EST. Friday may have a different rule.

[pilebuck13]

Abe it will go to 19.5