It's time to fade Phil in round 3. Pound Play!

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  • Hangoverblack
    SBR MVP
    • 01-27-12
    • 1900

    #1
    It's time to fade Phil in round 3. Pound Play!
    When I watched Phil lip out that putt for 62 Thursday, I got a small chub.

    I knew it was coming. The Phil Patented Skull Fach Collapse.

    He managed to get around Friday with some great golf early, buoyed mentally by the fact he was in the dream half of the draw, playing soft greens in little wind for the first 30 holes of the tourney.

    Then, as he came home to 18, you started to see it. The conditions were worsening, wind picking up, and Mickelson by the end of the round was looking mortal once more. Kind of adopted that did-that-really-just-did-I-do-that-never mind-I'm-sorry look on his face we know him so well to wear.

    Tomorrow he plays in the final group with one of the best ball strikers on tour. His matchup with Stenson is a DREAM matchup to Pound. The books know it, putting Mickelson at +105 in the head to head. Stenson Also has the shortest odds to win despite being back a stroke, and despite having never won. It's all about ball striking and patience and mental fortitude as the winds will be 20 mph and the pressure of the weekend and links golf intensifies. Stenson is not a great putter, but with the wind in play putting becomes more about mental toughness than mechanics to some extent.

    Take the Euro-boy-ball-striker -135 over the gas can 46 year old who isn't sleeping tonight because he Can't WAIT to get out there and shit the bed with a 41 on the front and finally get back to his comfort zone. 7 shots back Sunday with no expectations on him and the green light to hit driver off the cart path again.


    STENSON 30 units (-135)

    good luck gents
  • A.M.S.
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 06-26-10
    • 835

    #2
    Nice analysis... gna tail... got Stenson -125
    Comment
    • SauteedLemmings
      SBR Rookie
      • 07-14-16
      • 45

      #3
      You had me until you misspelled the guy you said to bet on, then I totally lost confidence in the whole write up
      Comment
      • Hangoverblack
        SBR MVP
        • 01-27-12
        • 1900

        #4
        Good luck man.

        After he he missed that putt for 62, Mickelson said in the post match interview that he honestly felt like he was going to cry. I read that, and thought that doesn't sound like a guy that anticipates a happy ending to starting 3 strokes clear! Any bet can win or lose, but I really like this spot. Phil was favored (-135) in his matchup with Westbrook today. But the books made him plus money tomorrow to Stenson. That's huge if you think about it. Stenson ranks 7th in tee-to-green stats in the PGA, and 3rd in greens-in-reg. Mickelson ranks 100th in gir.

        Lets hope that Scottish wind blows. Forecast is for 20-25 mph winds in the afternoon.
        Comment
        • Hangoverblack
          SBR MVP
          • 01-27-12
          • 1900

          #5
          Originally posted by SauteedLemmings
          You had me until you misspelled the guy you said to bet on, then I totally lost confidence in the whole write up
          Then don't bet it bro! Been here 4 years, read a lot of good write ups from guys, made some money tailing. Saw an angle here and thought I'd share it. Stetson Stenson Bueller who cares. Guy hits the ball straight. I'm going to bed gotta work in a few hours so will be watching on my cell phone. GLTA
          Comment
          • mohye1980
            Restricted User
            • 01-25-14
            • 2363

            #6
            I'm in. Got it at -114. Playing it for $100. Good luck to us.
            Comment
            • sweethook
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-21-07
              • 12667

              #7
              fuk this take 2 -12
              Comment
              • 19th Hole
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-22-09
                • 18954

                #8
                Lefty should regain choke form.
                Comment
                • Hangoverblack
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-27-12
                  • 1900

                  #9
                  Phil just gave a pre-round interview on Golf Channel. Guy looks like he's been up all night flossing his teeth with live wire and popping adderall out of a PEZ dispenser. Said twice how excited he was for the difficult conditions.

                  Translates to: "I have the ultimate excuse to play poorly. The weather."

                  Poundage
                  Comment
                  • jjgold
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 07-20-05
                    • 388179

                    #10
                    at his age hard to keep it up

                    Odds are with you guy
                    Comment
                    • Hangoverblack
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-27-12
                      • 1900

                      #11
                      Hope so, I'm in this one large now. Odds on Stenson getting shorter. 15 minutes to tee time
                      Comment
                      • BetweenHerCheeks
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 12-17-15
                        • 974

                        #12
                        Ok Batman, I'm jumping on Stenson -125 and also -1/2 EV....nice write up
                        Comment
                        • jjgold
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 07-20-05
                          • 388179

                          #13
                          we are off

                          good luck men
                          Comment
                          • Hangoverblack
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-27-12
                            • 1900

                            #14
                            Cash it gents. Wind died way down, but conditions were tough enough that Stenson floated to the top.

                            enjoy the post game interview where Phil goes apeshit about cameras
                            Comment
                            • CanuckG
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-23-10
                              • 21978

                              #15
                              Stenson looks unbeatable
                              Comment
                              • mohye1980
                                Restricted User
                                • 01-25-14
                                • 2363

                                #16
                                $$$$
                                Comment
                                • jjgold
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 07-20-05
                                  • 388179

                                  #17
                                  Stenson will win tomorrow
                                  Comment
                                  • SauteedLemmings
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 07-14-16
                                    • 45

                                    #18
                                    Good call
                                    Comment
                                    • jjgold
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 07-20-05
                                      • 388179

                                      #19
                                      good call although Phil played well

                                      What happens tomorrow?
                                      Comment
                                      • BIGDAY
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 02-17-10
                                        • 48245

                                        #20


                                        "pound play" made it win.
                                        Comment
                                        • BetweenHerCheeks
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 12-17-15
                                          • 974

                                          #21
                                          Reloaded this shit with Stenson -115 tomorrow matchup with Phil....nice call today Batman!
                                          Comment
                                          • DrunkHorseplayer
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 05-15-10
                                            • 7719

                                            #22
                                            Good call; Mickelson will most surely shoot over par tomorrow.
                                            Comment
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