I have a large future on GS and not confident at all. Thinking about taking Cleveland and the points and hope GS wins but they don't cover, or possibly on Cleveland ML, any thoughts?I have GS -130
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המוסד
המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים
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Do a bunch of drugs and ride the wave budComment -
You let it ride. How many games Warriors lost at home this year? Oh and lakerboy is ALL IN on Cleveland so your future is safe.Comment -
I hedged 15k on cavs. I wanted to let it ride but it's just not smart not to walk away with this with at least being evenComment -
Good questionComment -
Awful bet you will lose so deal with it and ask yourself why being a square was worth your time and moneyComment -
Did you hedge when they were down 3-1 to Okc? Game 6 against okc which was for the series? You were confident enough to lay -130 against the field but now ur not confident. Imo u let it ride, they have home call advantage and they will get all the calls. Lebron will get hacked to death but look at curry and it will be a foul. You can lock in small profit but i really doubt cleveland will be able to overcome the bad calls they are going to get in game 7. Let this be a reminder dont take teams when they are on top of the world. Price sucks as everyone wants them. There was a time less than a month ago when you could get them +650 and no one would touch it.Comment -
Illi you let it ride my man.
You play the game to win.Comment -
Thanks fellas.המוסד
המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים
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It depends on how mich exposure you want to haveComment -
Kraken leave mich out of thisComment -
letting my series bet ride.
if lechoke takes them down so be it.Comment -
you got this eseComment -
GS wins this gameComment -
Just ride the bet. GSW is not losing the championship when have they ever lost 3 games in a row.. NEVER!!! Smash the dubs -4 and moneyline, won't get an easier bet all year trust me!Comment -
I have a Cleveland future and I've been winning nearly every Finals bet and expect Cleveland to win this by 10. As a GS fan I hope I'm wrong on this one and can jinx it posting hereComment -
Death adder is a pure fade lolComment -
orale carnal!Comment -
Mo asked me to leave Scotch out of a joke, now I can't mention mich?
Maybe time for another retirement threadComment -
Karken it's your board we are just posting on itComment -
Illini let it rideComment -
Hard position to be in, GS has been a very good team at home this year, just look a the records/stats. Game 7...finals...Cavs will come to play but I just don't see them winning a 3rd game in a row against GS, GS is not going to lose the championship at home in front of their crowd. I'd like to see the Cavs win one for Cleveland, but it's not happening this year.
If you stand to win a good chunk of money from your future bet on GS then maybe just hedge a little bit on the Cavs....just in case Lebron and company pull it off but I highly doubt it.Comment -
Reposting a NCAA hoops answer, fully applicable here.
Too bad people does not understand the concept of hedging. Hedging is a tool to decrease risk and cash out of a position, not a way to gamble more. Also, as any other bet, it should aim to maximize bankroll growth. Hedging or not, and the hedging amount is heavily dependent on bankroll size. If your bankroll is big enough you should not hedge, unless the hedge bet is +EV on itself.
Also, I do not understand why many players think on spread first when hedging. The perfect hedge to get out of this position is a moneyline. Risking more to have a longshot for a middle is not worth it. It is a bit complicated to compute bankroll growth with middle chances, but almost always you get better results with the moneyline hedge.
So, in short. If your bankroll is big enough, you should hedge in full (and then slightly more) only if you consider Villanova ML as +EV. If you consider Nova ML as -EV, you should hedge less, or even no hedge. OTOH, if your bankroll is very small, you should hedge in full with Villanova ML always.
I miss SBRforum golden era, when Ganchrow would post the equations to demonstrate the issue, and give you a formula or even a spreadsheet to hedge optimally.Comment -
Curling up in the fetal position, probably in one of the closets of the house I'm visiting for Father's Day. I'm also condering doing that under the coats in the guest room, but its sposta be 95, so that's not likely.Comment
