What percentage of guys can hit 54-55% against the spread over 200 picks?

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  • warbird1976
    SBR Hustler
    • 02-17-16
    • 54

    #1
    What percentage of guys can hit 54-55% against the spread over 200 picks?
    Serious question here. How impressive is it to make 200 picks, be up 12 units and be hitting about 54-55%.

    What percentage of handicappers are capable of that?
  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388208

    #2
    Not many possibly 5% you still really don't end up winning
    Comment
    • MoMoneyMoVaughn
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 05-08-14
      • 14988

      #3
      Probably 54-55%
      Comment
      • warbird1976
        SBR Hustler
        • 02-17-16
        • 54

        #4
        If you hit 55% you are winning after 200 picks. You would be up over 11 units if you line shop.
        Comment
        • warbird1976
          SBR Hustler
          • 02-17-16
          • 54

          #5
          Originally posted by MoMoneyMoVaughn
          Probably 54-55%

          Nope.
          Comment
          • CanuckG
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-23-10
            • 21978

            #6
            -105 avg line at Pinny at 55% is up 15.5U if I'm correct? I'd say probably less than 2-3% can do this.
            Comment
            • Ralphie Halves
              SBR MVP
              • 12-13-09
              • 4507

              #7
              200 picks? A lot of people. 1000 picks? Different story.

              Indian Cowboy for example has gone 65%+ in a 200 pick span, but will eat his balls in the next 200 picks and bring his average back to normal.
              Comment
              • iceman02
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 03-05-12
                • 736

                #8
                Originally posted by Ralphie Halves
                200 picks? A lot of people. 1000 picks? Different story.

                Indian Cowboy for example has gone 65%+ in a 200 pick span, but will eat his balls in the next 200 picks and bring his average back to normal.
                If thats the case then whats the point of betting?
                Comment
                • juicername
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 10-14-15
                  • 6911

                  #9
                  Originally posted by MoMoneyMoVaughn
                  Probably 54-55%
                  This is incredibly flawed logic, the hitting percentage has no correlation with the amount of people who can do it.

                  The correct answer is 50%, either a person can do it or he can't.
                  Comment
                  • juicername
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 10-14-15
                    • 6911

                    #10
                    Oh, and warbird1976/Nima, you have shown time and time again that you can't do it so nothing to be ashamed for at this point, just embrace it.
                    Comment
                    • ACoochy
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 08-19-09
                      • 13949

                      #11
                      Checking in...
                      Comment
                      • IamsoBurnt
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 11-09-13
                        • 363

                        #12
                        POOLSIDE hit 9 in a row thus far...as for me not even close im stuck the world..
                        Comment
                        • WalkingLuckCharm
                          SBR MVP
                          • 06-07-10
                          • 4197

                          #13
                          Originally posted by juicername
                          This is incredibly flawed logic, the hitting percentage has no correlation with the amount of people who can do it.

                          The correct answer is 50%, either a person can do it or he can't.
                          dear god I hope youre trolling
                          Comment
                          • snapperman2
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-19-10
                            • 2078

                            #14
                            There is a 14.4% chance of hitting 54% out of 200 picks and a 9% chance of hitting 55% out of 200 picks by random chance.
                            Comment
                            • Ralphie Halves
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-13-09
                              • 4507

                              #15
                              Originally posted by iceman02
                              If thats the case then whats the point of betting?
                              Comment
                              • squarenfl
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 09-30-15
                                • 100

                                #16
                                200 picks doesnt seem that much. if you can do the same over 2000 picks you really got my attention
                                Comment
                                • jjgold
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 07-20-05
                                  • 388208

                                  #17
                                  all about betting good lines and not betting %s
                                  Comment
                                  • Bill Dozer
                                    www.twitter.com/BillDozer
                                    • 07-12-05
                                    • 10894

                                    #18
                                    I think the most impressive thing about hitting 55% over 200 is doing it in a short amount of time. A lot of us could do it being opportunists. But, can we get 3-4 plays a night doing it? That becomes less likely. So, lets say you spend a couple hours every night looking for the ONE play and bet 1k units. You make 11k if you are betting -110 lines over 200 days. That's about $28/hr. Not the image you think of as being a pro gambler.
                                    Comment
                                    • Scorpion
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 09-04-05
                                      • 7797

                                      #19
                                      how about ~55% over 10 years? over 50,000 plays?
                                      Comment
                                      • BuckyOne
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-02-15
                                        • 2739

                                        #20
                                        That's the beauty of recordkeeping. To even know what your pick% is. There are cappers that do this well in niches - halves - props - college fb, etc. So, it matters where they are picking the 200 and how much time they have to do it.

                                        I ave asked my local - how many guys win over a season - win consistently - he told me 5%. I have very few friends that even bet and it is just a "how are things going - games been good to you". Bookmakers would know this answer but they are not going to want to give us a straight answer.
                                        Comment
                                        • larco15
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 12-06-09
                                          • 329

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by snapperman2
                                          There is a 14.4% chance of hitting 54% out of 200 picks and a 9% chance of hitting 55% out of 200 picks by random chance.
                                          True?
                                          Comment
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