Now to be on point without a doubt okc is the play.
Do I bet them? I can't say. If they open up faves and the line don't move then maybe.
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#37
Originally posted by The Giant
Last month Miami was +14 at Golden State.
LT's logic would lead you to believe they would be -4 at Miami.
They weren't. They were -8.5.
This team is a juggernaut, and you think they'll be an underdog? Not likely.
Because of Bosh and Whiteside
Comment
FlipsideRM
SBR Posting Legend
09-28-11
10518
#38
I can't bet okc as a fave so I hope warriors are favored as I assume they will be.
Comment
FlipsideRM
SBR Posting Legend
09-28-11
10518
#39
Originally posted by LT Profits
Because of Bosh and Whiteside
Whiteside means 4.5 points?
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#40
Originally posted by lakerboy
Sharps have been getting smashed fading the warriors all year.
Irrelevant when it comes to setting lines, books still have to cater to whales to avoid heavy exposure.
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#41
Originally posted by FlipsideRM
Whiteside means 4.5 points?
Weren't Bosh and Whiteside both hurt?
Comment
The Giant
SBR Posting Legend
01-21-12
21480
#42
Originally posted by LT Profits
Because of Bosh and Whiteside
What about them?
Comment
FlipsideRM
SBR Posting Legend
09-28-11
10518
#43
Originally posted by LT Profits
Weren't Bosh and Whiteside both hurt?
Yes but by your statement whiteside means 4.5 points then. Bosh is obviously unavailable for the rest of the season and didn't play last night
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#44
Originally posted by FlipsideRM
Yes but by your statement whiteside means 4.5 points then. Bosh is obviously unavailable for the rest of the season and didn't play last night
I was talking about the combination of the two injuries.
Comment
lakerboy
SBR Aristocracy
04-02-09
94379
#45
Originally posted by FlipsideRM
Yes but by your statement whiteside means 4.5 points then. Bosh is obviously unavailable for the rest of the season and didn't play last night
He was talking about the first game in gs.
Comment
The Giant
SBR Posting Legend
01-21-12
21480
#46
I think LT is losing it.
Maybe downgrade him to the NHL moderator, and let JJ be the VIP moderator.
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#47
Originally posted by FlipsideRM
Yes but by your statement whiteside means 4.5 points then. Bosh is obviously unavailable for the rest of the season and didn't play last night
But didn't he play in the first meeting?
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#48
Originally posted by The Giant
I think LT is losing it.
Maybe downgrade him to the NHL moderator, and let JJ be the VIP moderator.
You are not getting it. Warriors were -14 at home with Miami at about full strength. They were -8.5 at Miami with the Heat decimated.
Comment
FlipsideRM
SBR Posting Legend
09-28-11
10518
#49
You have me confused now, I think we're just not on the same page here or in misinterpreting what you're saying. Wel see how this line goes, you could be right about okc being faves but I'd be surprised. Will you have a play on the game?
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#50
Originally posted by FlipsideRM
You have me confused now, I think we're just not on the same page here or in misinterpreting what you're saying. Wel see how this line goes, you could be right about okc being faves but I'd be surprised. Will you have a play on the game?
I don't get what is so confusing, read post #48. As for a play, I won't know until Saturday morning, I run model daily because every single game affects SOS, which affects model line.
Comment
FlipsideRM
SBR Posting Legend
09-28-11
10518
#51
Originally posted by LT Profits
I don't get what is so confusing, read post #48. As for a play, I won't know until Saturday morning, I run model daily because every single game affects SOS, which affects model line.
Yes you're saying the heat were decimated last night. Who was out besides bosh? I'm confused
Comment
FlipsideRM
SBR Posting Legend
09-28-11
10518
#52
Well I guess Tyler Johnson but I don't think he would effect a line
Comment
lakerboy
SBR Aristocracy
04-02-09
94379
#53
I have concluded that okc will win.
Comment
The Giant
SBR Posting Legend
01-21-12
21480
#54
Originally posted by LT Profits
You are not getting it. Warriors were -14 at home with Miami at about full strength. They were -8.5 at Miami with the Heat decimated.
They were not decimated, only Bosh missed the previous game.
I could list countless examples of there not being a 10 point swing due to home-court advantage.
It's just not that simple.
There are way too many factors involved.
The biggest factor on Saturday is Golden State is a prohibitive juggernaut, a total square team, and the game is on national television. Plus, I've already read they'll only be underdogs at San Antonio. Nowhere else.
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#55
Originally posted by FlipsideRM
Yes you're saying the heat were decimated last night. Who was out besides bosh? I'm confused
Oh game was last night. LOL OK, so Whiteside was back, I thought the rematch was earlier while Whiteside was out. Hold on, give me a minute.
Comment
FlipsideRM
SBR Posting Legend
09-28-11
10518
#56
Originally posted by The Giant
They were not decimated, only Bosh missed the previous game.
I could list countless examples of there not being a 10 point swing due to home-court advantage.
It's just not that simple.
There are way too many factors involved.
The biggest factor on Saturday is Golden State is a prohibitive juggernaut, a total square team, and the game is on national television. Plus, I've already read they'll only be underdogs at San Antonio. Nowhere else.
this is the reason I think the Warriors will be favorites. ESPN put up a stat showcasing the remaining schedules of the Spurs and warriors and according to their "oddsmakers" if you will, they had the Warriors being favored in every game except that San Antonio game.
Comment
FlipsideRM
SBR Posting Legend
09-28-11
10518
#57
Originally posted by LT Profits
Oh game was last night. LOL OK, so Whiteside was back, I thought the rematch was earlier while Whiteside was out. Hold on, give me a minute.
Not sure if being sarcastic or not lol. But yes whiteside has a big impact on that game in 31 minutes last night
Comment
pilebuck13
SBR Posting Legend
05-15-15
17918
#58
Guys it opens at PK now stop fighting lol
Comment
The Giant
SBR Posting Legend
01-21-12
21480
#59
No one is fighting.
Flipper and I got this wrapped up.
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#60
Originally posted by The Giant
They were not decimated, only Bosh missed the previous game.
I could list countless examples of there not being a 10 point swing due to home-court advantage.
It's just not that simple.
There are way too many factors involved.
The biggest factor on Saturday is Golden State is a prohibitive juggernaut, a total square team, and the game is on national television. Plus, I've already read they'll only be underdogs at San Antonio. Nowhere else.
Of course not, it can only happen when two of the best home court teams face each other. Right now, Warriors, Thunder and Spurs are probably worth 5, Cavaliers around 4.5. Most of league is 3-3.5.
Comment
FlipsideRM
SBR Posting Legend
09-28-11
10518
#61
Like Lakerboy said, if books are throwing up okc as a favorite they better be damn sure okc is going to win.
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#62
Originally posted by LT Profits
Oh game was last night. LOL OK, so Whiteside was back, I thought the rematch was earlier while Whiteside was out. Hold on, give me a minute.
OK I see it now, Whiteside was out the FIRST meeting in Oakland, only Bosh was out in Miami. So they were missing one key piece each game and the books weighed Bosh injury more.
Comment
The Giant
SBR Posting Legend
01-21-12
21480
#63
LT, I want to punch you, but I've got to go.
We will reconvene tomorrow and see where this line is at.
Someone is going to have some egg on their face.
Comment
jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#64
GSW will get HEAVY HEAVY ACTION
They will be the chalk for sure
51-5???????? Who the heck is going to go against them??
There is zero value for sharps unless Okl City getting 4 or more
Comment
FlipsideRM
SBR Posting Legend
09-28-11
10518
#65
Jj has spoken
Comment
jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#66
Flipper I am a Pro pal
Comment
MUHerd37
SBR Posting Legend
10-23-09
12816
#67
Fukk OKC. I love them, but you just can't trust them.
Comment
vividjohn45
SBR Hall of Famer
11-21-10
6331
#68
Originally posted by The Giant
I wish I had points to bet you on this.
Golden State won't be an underdog the rest of the year, except at San Antonio.
+2.5? Are you cray?!?!
Why no points? Seaweed clean you out on his whack superbowl props?
Comment
vividjohn45
SBR Hall of Famer
11-21-10
6331
#69
Originally posted by jjgold
Flipper I am a Pro pal
Not picking. But it says "become a pro!"
Comment
Ratpack
SBR MVP
02-15-12
4133
#70
without monty williams and mo cheeks the thunder have no shot in this game if the pacers and cavs could go into okc and beat okc the warriors will blow out okc