Where can I bet on the Fed interst rate hike - FOMC - Janet Yellen

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  • Theo_Goodman
    SBR Rookie
    • 11-17-15
    • 26

    #1
    Where can I bet on the Fed interst rate hike - FOMC - Janet Yellen
    Hi,
    What books are offering a bet on if the Fed (FOMC) will raise interest rates or not?
    Thanks
  • Fischnasty
    SBR MVP
    • 02-10-09
    • 1931

    #2
    Get an inverse bond Etf
    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388208

      #3
      lol

      will go up a fraction of nothing
      Comment
      • Theo_Goodman
        SBR Rookie
        • 11-17-15
        • 26

        #4
        I found a book based out of AUS but they do no accept people from Europe. Line was 1.20 for raise 4.00 for no raise.
        Im sure there must be a book offering this.
        Comment
        • jjgold
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 07-20-05
          • 388208

          #5
          If so lucky to get $100 bet
          Comment
          • Foxx
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 05-25-11
            • 5816

            #6
            It's on Betfair. Check financial markets category. What side you looking to take?
            Comment
            • Biff41
              SBR MVP
              • 07-23-14
              • 1234

              #7
              Buy a put or common stock in a major bank like B of A.
              Comment
              • Otters27
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 07-14-07
                • 30761

                #8
                it's happening%100
                Comment
                • Theo_Goodman
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 11-17-15
                  • 26

                  #9
                  I dont think it is going to happen. Thanks for the tip Ill check out betfair.
                  Comment
                  • Foxx
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 05-25-11
                    • 5816

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Theo_Goodman
                    I dont think it is going to happen. Thanks for the tip Ill check out betfair.
                    I am with you. Obviously, there is a good chance they may raise or it wouldn't be a heavy favorite, but I think there is a real possibility they may stand put and give an all but certain signal they will raise next time out. Looks like we can get a price of 4.5 and I think it is a very live dog. November CPI numbers come out the day before the decision so a lot will ride on that. There is a thread in the Saloon where I brought up the idea of a bet against a hike a couple weeks ago.
                    Comment
                    • Theo_Goodman
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 11-17-15
                      • 26

                      #11
                      Betfair requires KYC I need a book that does not care about that, one that accepts bitcoin would be good as well.

                      Yes I agree I do not think Yellen has the balls to raise right now.
                      Comment
                      • Foxx
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 05-25-11
                        • 5816

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Theo_Goodman
                        Yes I agree I do not think Yellen has the balls to raise right now.
                        It would take more balls to not raise the rate than to raise them because of the expectation. She painted herself into a corner with some of her language the last 6 months that set that expectation and it would be difficult to get out of it even if she believed standing pat is the correct call. We'll see. Either way, I think the rate will be negative within 2 years.
                        Comment
                        • grease lightnin
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 10-01-12
                          • 16096

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Fischnasty
                          Get an inverse bond Etf
                          You can't find one with enough leverage to double up with a .25% bump. Lol
                          Comment
                          • kidcudi92
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-14-11
                            • 15437

                            #14
                            "Trust me, I don't know shit"

                            Comment
                            • brooks85
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-05-09
                              • 44644

                              #15
                              Originally posted by theo_goodman
                              hi,
                              what books are offering a bet on if the fed (fomc) will raise interest rates or not?
                              thanks




                              spy
                              djia
                              rut
                              Comment
                              • GIVEMETHEMONEY
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 12-13-12
                                • 8428

                                #16
                                Originally posted by brooks85
                                spy
                                djia
                                rut
                                brooks remember you are talking to commie fukked up morons here, they don't know what these stand for!
                                Comment
                                • grease lightnin
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-01-12
                                  • 16096

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by brooks85
                                  spy
                                  djia
                                  rut
                                  The tickers you are trying to tout are SPY, DIA, and IWM. How many times do I have to tell you to quit being a poser?
                                  Comment
                                  • brooks85
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-05-09
                                    • 44644

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by grease lightnin
                                    The tickers you are trying to tout are SPY, DIA, and IWM. How many times do I have to tell you to quit being a poser?
                                    the same moron who couldn't read 4 simple charts and has no idea what obamacare is. You think everyone has a memory like rkelly around here?

                                    and you literally just did it again with your post above. Foot in mouth you moron. It is like that is what you set out to do, make yourself look like an idiot. Good job lol
                                    Comment
                                    • RyanLeafOfBets
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 01-03-10
                                      • 8164

                                      #19
                                      Hike for sure.
                                      Comment
                                      • grease lightnin
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 10-01-12
                                        • 16096

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by brooks85
                                        the same moron who couldn't read 4 simple charts and has no idea what obamacare is. You think everyone has a memory like rkelly around here?

                                        and you literally just did it again with your post above. Foot in mouth you moron. It is like that is what you set out to do, make yourself look like an idiot. Good job lol

                                        Way to be specific as always. You fool no one you idiot. Explain how I put my foot in my mouth and I will gladly concede.
                                        Comment
                                        • jjgold
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 07-20-05
                                          • 388208

                                          #21
                                          good for economy if it goes up
                                          Comment
                                          • brooks85
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-05-09
                                            • 44644

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by grease lightnin
                                            Way to be specific as always. You fool no one you idiot. Explain how I put my foot in my mouth and I will gladly concede.


                                            Originally posted by grease lightnin
                                            The tickers you are trying to tout are SPY, DIA, and IWM.


                                            there ya go. You can figure out why on your own time, I got better things to do like actually knowing what I'm talking about.


                                            Want to be on fed raising rates? Then wise up;

                                            nyse



                                            hey can you do us all a favor and tell us what nyse means, I can't imagine why I would post it... lol think before you post next time.
                                            Comment
                                            • grease lightnin
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 10-01-12
                                              • 16096

                                              #23
                                              Brooks, from doing detective work to decipher your purposely cryptic posts, I now see that you were attempting to abbreviate major US stock indexes, rather than the symbols of ETF's that represent them. The problem is that SPY is not the abbreviation for the S&P 500, it is the ticker symbol for SPDR S&P 500 ETF. The abbreviation for the S&P 500 is SPX, as is DJIA (the Dow) and RUT (the Russell 2000).

                                              Again, you are a poser.

                                              I am sure it is annoying for some to read this, but I hate seeing someone act like they are an expert on something they know virtually nothing about. And brooks85 is one of the worst with this I have ever seen. Good evening.
                                              Comment
                                              • brooks85
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-05-09
                                                • 44644

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by grease lightnin
                                                Brooks, from doing detective work to decipher your purposely cryptic posts, I now see that you were attempting to abbreviate major US stock indexes, rather than the symbols of ETF's that represent them. The problem is that SPY is not the abbreviation for the S&P 500, it is the ticker symbol for SPDR S&P 500 ETF. The abbreviation for the S&P 500 is SPX, as is DJIA (the Dow) and RUT (the Russell 2000).

                                                Again, you are a poser.

                                                I am sure it is annoying for some to read this, but I hate seeing someone act like they are an expert on something they know virtually nothing about. And brooks85 is one of the worst with this I have ever seen. Good evening.


                                                I personally get a kick out of you putting your foot in your mouth over and over.
                                                Comment
                                                • jjgold
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 07-20-05
                                                  • 388208

                                                  #25
                                                  Brooks is a talker

                                                  He never had a losing trade

                                                  Most people losing money last 3 years in market after all the fees
                                                  Comment
                                                  • brooks85
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-05-09
                                                    • 44644

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by jjgold
                                                    Brooks is a talker

                                                    He never had a losing trade


                                                    Most people losing money last 3 years in market after all the fees
                                                    shh SEC might catch on


                                                    here is some extra peanuts for your post
                                                    Comment
                                                    • grease lightnin
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 10-01-12
                                                      • 16096

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by brooks85
                                                      I personally get a kick out of you putting your foot in your mouth over and over.

                                                      Brooks do you think people just believe your empty posts? You have zero credibility. Zero.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • CappinTerp
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 11-26-09
                                                        • 9650

                                                        #28
                                                        Be careful guys..even if the Fed raises rates a certain degree of that possibility,is all ready priced into the markets ! For me,if the Fed. does raise rates,I would be looking into selling into it... ...with a tight "buy stop limit order.​............good luck guys!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • CappinTerp
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 11-26-09
                                                          • 9650

                                                          #29
                                                          The Fed Raised rates.....OK....FYI...on the CME, Fed. Fund futures Contracts are all down on the day...DEC 2015,JAN 2016, FEB 2106..All the way to July 2016 where it is unchanged....MY point...we use to have an old saying,which is pretty much spot on:​....Up on anticipation and down on the fact!!....One will find this holds true to all kinds of info. regarding speculation in the fin. markets.....gl
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Whoson1st
                                                            SBR Hustler
                                                            • 04-26-15
                                                            • 50

                                                            #30
                                                            And will the banks pass on a hike to savers with only small savings accounts.... I doubt it..But they will yank your rate up on the credit card.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • CappinTerp
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 11-26-09
                                                              • 9650

                                                              #31
                                                              You are right Whoson,it is discussing how banks and other fin. Institutions rape the public on credit card debt. It's like discrimination for the average joe,they have no moral fiber....they say you don't like it?? OK, go some ware else,but there is no place to go!! It's all the same,they stick together!! A big company can get a lot of new customers by charging "just" % 11, ...but friggin way!!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jjgold
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 07-20-05
                                                                • 388208

                                                                #32
                                                                it was priced in

                                                                minor news
                                                                Comment
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