Pats crush fins by 10 + my money says so.
NFL PLAY THURS--Fins +7.5 and Moneyline +300
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rpesi9955SBR MVP
- 08-08-15
- 1536
#36Comment -
FlipsideRMSBR Posting Legend
- 09-28-11
- 10518
#38You guys Are all dummies. Since when do the pats blow the fins out in any game, any year? These games are always close and dolphins usually win 1 of the match ups per year lately. This will be within 10 points the whole game, take the points. Sprinkle the moneylineComment -
thebestthereisSBR Posting Legend
- 03-01-09
- 11459
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eaglesfan15SBR High Roller
- 10-26-15
- 204
#40I don't want to be an ass but the Dolphins aren't going to win unless Jesus shows up to coach them this weekend. Don't quite know why that's in your head on the ML. May as well take that money and flush it down the toilet. If you really want to put money on Dolphins try to find it at -8.Comment -
FlipsideRMSBR Posting Legend
- 09-28-11
- 10518
#41I don't want to be an ass but the Dolphins aren't going to win unless Jesus shows up to coach them this weekend. Don't quite know why that's in your head on the ML. May as well take that money and flush it down the toilet. If you really want to put money on Dolphins try to find it at -8.Comment -
gauchojakeBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 09-17-10
- 34116
#42If you don't know why 8 is better than 7.5 please watch This is Spinal Tap.Comment -
FlipsideRMSBR Posting Legend
- 09-28-11
- 10518
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eaglesfan15SBR High Roller
- 10-26-15
- 204
#44Are you seriously asking why its better..? Why do I need to explain reasoning, its pretty clear cut...lol but let me put 2 and 2 together for you.
Several kickers have missed PAT's this year, why is that so unbelievable that it couldn't happen in Rainy conditions on a thursday night in NE? It may not be much difference but it certainly is one that half point has messed up quite a few of my friends in the past.
Look at it this way, if FINS are down 14 and score a TD and miss field goal its at 8. Poof, thanks for coming out better luck next time.Comment -
FlipsideRMSBR Posting Legend
- 09-28-11
- 10518
#45Are you seriously asking why its better..? Why do I need to explain reasoning, its pretty clear cut...lol but let me put 2 and 2 together for you since you can't yourself.
Several kickers have missed PAT's this year, why is that so unbelievable that it couldn't happen in Rainy conditions on a thursday night in NE? It may not be much difference but it certainly is one that half point has messed up quite a few of my friends in the past.
Look at it this way, if FINS are down 14 and score a TD and miss field goal its at 8. Poof, thanks for coming out better luck next time.Comment -
eaglesfan15SBR High Roller
- 10-26-15
- 204
#46I'm not a huge fan of your ''I can't be wrong" tone in your postings which is why I got a little smart on the last post, but let me go ahead and ask if you were such a big fan of this play why the hell didn't you grab it when it was +9 up to +10 on some books? Another genius move right there.
''Lets hear your reasoning''Comment -
blackHIPPYSBR MVP
- 10-01-14
- 3973
#47Comment -
POOLSIDESBR MVP
- 09-06-14
- 2839
#51
28-0, 27-17, 41-13. Those are the final scores of the last three Pats/Fins games in Foxboro.Comment -
rpesi9955SBR MVP
- 08-08-15
- 1536
#52Are you seriously asking why its better..? Why do I need to explain reasoning, its pretty clear cut...lol but let me put 2 and 2 together for you.
Several kickers have missed PAT's this year, why is that so unbelievable that it couldn't happen in Rainy conditions on a thursday night in NE? It may not be much difference but it certainly is one that half point has messed up quite a few of my friends in the past.
Look at it this way, if FINS are down 14 and score a TD and miss field goal its at 8. Poof, thanks for coming out better luck next time.Comment -
POOLSIDESBR MVP
- 09-06-14
- 2839
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pacoSBR Aristocracy
- 05-07-09
- 62873
#54Pats are going undefeatedComment -
DOM-GanadorSBR MVP
- 05-30-12
- 4479
#55Pats allowed 2 soft 4Q backdoor covers in a row.
If you HAVE to bet this game, taking 8 or more seems like the more likely outcome.
ML would have to be +1000 for me to put a centavo on it.Comment -
DOM-GanadorSBR MVP
- 05-30-12
- 4479
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JameisBradySBR MVP
- 03-15-15
- 1023
#57not really...comparing a +6300 bet containing implied winners for the wildcard play-in games that had also not been played yet versus a +300 dead wager betting on the Patriots to lose at home....I essentially gave the board 2 winners while OP is giving 0 with the phins ML bet. You're not too bright.
statistically, you would need the ML to be around +1500 for it to be EVComment -
eaglesfan15SBR High Roller
- 10-26-15
- 204
#58
17 teams have missed PAT's this year. Please don't tell me it's not viable to happen in some games.
Regardless since he was so high on this play taking it at 7.5 was a horrible decision lmao. It was +10 in some places come Monday? If your going to go with something risky take it at the peak points. I'll geek if Pats when by like 8-10 lol.Comment -
FlipsideRMSBR Posting Legend
- 09-28-11
- 10518
#59Line never was more than 8 at 5Dimes of heritage, this is my team i was looking for lines right when popped. and there's no difference between 7.5 and 8 unless you want to play the "what if they miss an extra point down 14" game.
sit back and watch the fins cover boys. Good luck to ya.Comment -
eaglesfan15SBR High Roller
- 10-26-15
- 204
#60Well the line was definitely went higher than 8 elsewhere, did you have the option to buy the half point? I'm just not getting it man. I'm not trying to be an ass anymore lol I don't care in just saying.
Best of Luck to you. I've got Pats teased to +5 and I'm considering ML as well.Comment -
FlipsideRMSBR Posting Legend
- 09-28-11
- 10518
#61Well the line was definitely went higher than 8 elsewhere, did you have the option to buy the half point? I'm just not getting it man. I'm not trying to be an ass anymore lol I don't care in just saying.
Best of Luck to you. I've got Pats teased to +5 and I'm considering ML as well.
Let me put it to you in laymen terms since u do not understand. ANYTHING ABOVE 7 IS GOOD IN THIS GAME.Comment -
surviveSBR MVP
- 01-08-11
- 2388
#62not really...comparing a +6300 bet containing implied winners for the wildcard play-in games that had also not been played yet versus a +300 dead wager betting on the Patriots to lose at home....I essentially gave the board 2 winners while OP is giving 0 with the phins ML bet. You're not too bright.Comment -
LittleLarryYSBR High Roller
- 09-13-11
- 122
#63For what it's worth, I actually see this game as a close one and I agree that -4 is a good line for this game.
With that being said, there is absolutely no way in hell I'd throw down on a MIA ML.
Good luck.Comment -
LittleLarryYSBR High Roller
- 09-13-11
- 122
#64
+6300 was good value at the time. If they both win the play-in games then the value drops significantly.Comment -
eaglesfan15SBR High Roller
- 10-26-15
- 204
#65No dude why the penetrate would I buy a half point when the line is already above 7. Something's not clicking in your brain. 8 is not a penetrating key number, maybe in Mars or Pluto but I'm not buying off 7.5. Jesus everyone here is dumb as a box of rocks I swear.
Let me put it to you in laymen terms since u do not understand. ANYTHING ABOVE 7 IS GOOD IN THIS GAME.
And how do you say 8 isn't a possible number dummy. Did you watch the Monday night game? Your not too bright up there mathematically or on the gambling side so maybe you won't understand this post.Comment -
FlipsideRMSBR Posting Legend
- 09-28-11
- 10518
#66Your dumber than I thought kid. You buy the extra .5 because what is it an extra -20? That extra bit you pay which isn't sh.. could be the difference between a winner and a loser It's not about it being extremely unlikely, it's about you increasing your chance to win while only slightly decreasing your payout.
And how do you say 8 isn't a possible number dummy. Did you watch the Monday night game? Your not too bright up there mathematically or on the gambling side so maybe you won't understand this post.
I get what you are trying to say but you dont understand the key number factors. If this line was Miami +7, I might buy the half to get to +7.5, but since I'm already there, there is no point of me buying off 7.5.
Do you get it yet?Comment -
paint777SBR Rookie
- 10-28-15
- 3
#67Miami has not proved anything yet...Comment -
LittleLarryYSBR High Roller
- 09-13-11
- 122
#68What is it? Something like 3.5% of games end in an 8 point margin? I think your OK with the +7.5 Flip. With that being said, you are sticking to your guns a little to hard on this one. I wouldn't say you should necessarily buy it to 8, but you should have shopped for +8.Comment -
FlipsideRMSBR Posting Legend
- 09-28-11
- 10518
#69What is it? Something like 3.5% of games end in an 8 point margin? I think your OK with the +7.5 Flip. With that being said, you are sticking to your guns a little to hard on this one. I wouldn't say you should necessarily buy it to 8, but you should have shopped for +8.
Like you just said 3.5% it lands on 8, non factor. if the slim chance it lands on 8 so be it, i'm not paying -125 for it when im already holding 7.5, stupid.Comment -
LittleLarryYSBR High Roller
- 09-13-11
- 122
#70What im saying is the 8 is penetrating irrelevant. If I lose this bet it won't be landing on 8, it will be by double digits.
Like you just said 3.5% it lands on 8, non factor. if the slim chance it lands on 8 so be it, i'm not paying -125 for it when im already holding 7.5, stupid.
I'm definitely with you though, the juice isn't worth it. Again, you should be just fine at 7.5.
Good luck man. I like the Fins +7.5. I cannot endorse the ML pick though. Please reconsider.Comment
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