Bills/Jags

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  • a4u2fear
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-29-10
    • 8147

    #1
    Bills/Jags
    Picks: Jags +4.5, Under 41

    Guys, Bills fan here. Way too many injuries and not a good enough team to be laying these 4.5 points:

    1) Starting RB, McCoy, still not 100%
    2) 2nd RB but not backup, Williams, out
    3) Starting Safety, Williams, out
    4) Starting WR, Watkins, out
    5) 2nd WR, Harvin, out
    6) Starting QB, Taylor, out
    7) Starting Tackle, Hendersen, out
    8) Starting Guard, Miller, out
    9) Starting DT, Kyle Williams, out

    The Bills are also playing against Doug Marrone who coached them in 2013 and 2014. He knows exactly what limits EJ Manuel. Manuel put up 21 points last week vs Cincinnatti, but 7 of them came in garbage time and he was the same old EJ as usual, inaccurate.

    It's pretty apparent that without Watkins, the BIlls are in trouble: 2nd half last week without him 7 garbage times points, week before, 14 points, week before that 10 points.

    Jags have one of the best front 7 in the NFL and they will not need to respect the pass; no one ever has with EJ under center.

    Bills have the defense to keep it close verse second year QB Bortles, and that's why I'll be playing the under hard, maybe under 30 in some sort of pleaser, and playing the spread for half of the total.

    Good luck!

    Bills 14-10 or something like that
  • a4u2fear
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-29-10
    • 8147

    #2
    Clay is likely a good option in fantasy leagues this week.
    Comment
    • 2daBank
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-26-09
      • 88966

      #3
      shady appears to be feeling pretty good, looked solid last week but agree didnt look 100%, i did hear him mention he thought he left few plays out there easing back in and expected to push himself more this week.. that said i agree with you losing your top 2 wrs and your qb is too much to overcome in this pass happy league, they prob turn bortles over once or twice but him and those 2 second year wrs will also do some damage.. i normally look to play overs in london and have been riding jags overs for several weeks, id love to have had more healthy guys here to do so again but as is i gotta agree it has makings of a game bills have a ton of rushing attempts (i dont think jags will stop the run game, they solid enough but they have also had the good fortune of playing a lot of mediocre rushing attacks. martin and bucs gashed them few weeks back and think bills will here but not like a strong run gm leads to a lot of points and who knows if ej can convert the 3rd downs they need to sustain drives?) and the d limits jags to more fgs than tds. im prob passing altogether but gun to head like both your choices with under being closer to a play for me.. gl
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388189

        #4
        Good analysis men

        Buffalo shot out
        Comment
        • Goat Milk
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 03-24-10
          • 25850

          #5
          Buffalo will stop everything the jags do. Jags best 2 receivers are allen robinson and allen hurns. Darby and Gilmore wills shut those two scrubs down. Bills D problem is play calling, not talent or discipline. They will get it right.
          Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
          Comment
          • Magh994
            SBR Sharp
            • 03-14-13
            • 269

            #6
            Jaguars fan here. I don't expect the Jaguars to win, they are plagued with injuries, especially on defense. We will make any QB look like Brady. Correct play for me would be -4.5 Bills but I don't see Manuel scoring much if your OL is banged up as well as WR's. Jaguars offense is ranked high in the NFL this year with improvements from Bortles and the receiving core. Since my team is playing I will not bet. I always think the Jags have a chance to win but every week they mess up somehow.
            Comment
            • POOLSIDE
              SBR MVP
              • 09-06-14
              • 2839

              #7
              Jags get it right this week
              Comment
              • Heyeverybody99
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 04-25-15
                • 584

                #8
                All you poor poor souls betting on the Jags......I'm a huge Jags fan, I've seen every game since their inception, and I've made lots of money fading them. Please don't bet the Jags, I'm really trying to help you. Nobody deserves that much misery
                Comment
                • DOM_Toretto
                  Restricted User
                  • 01-28-13
                  • 9035

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Heyeverybody99
                  All you poor poor souls betting on the Jags......I'm a huge Jags fan, I've seen every game since their inception, and I've made lots of money fading them. Please don't bet the Jags, I'm really trying to help you. Nobody deserves that much misery
                  It's true their just a pathetic franchise, don't waste good money taking them.

                  Jags are good for fantasy only.
                  Comment
                  • The J-Dizzle
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-09-10
                    • 1089

                    #10
                    Jags if anything. They will stack the box against McCoy. And London is pretty much their home turf.
                    Comment
                    • stevegreazy
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 12-14-14
                      • 335

                      #11
                      If we're trying to promote the game of football to the world, can we send some non-shitty teams that can actually make for an exciting game? I feel bad for the people of London for sending some garbage teams, I hope they don't think that every NFL game is like he ones that's gonna be played tomorroe
                      Comment
                      • tiktok
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 06-13-14
                        • 289

                        #12
                        Neither offense will do anything.. Definitely take the UNDER
                        Comment
                        • tatddy
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 03-02-10
                          • 10779

                          #13
                          Don't these Euro games usually sail over?
                          Comment
                          • POOLSIDE
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-06-14
                            • 2839

                            #14
                            Jags and the over tomorrow
                            Comment
                            • xdodger19
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-20-12
                              • 18014

                              #15
                              Can't make money betting Jags makes sense, Bills can't afford to go a losing and be 3-4
                              Last edited by xdodger19; 10-24-15, 07:35 PM.
                              Comment
                              • tiktok
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 06-13-14
                                • 289

                                #16
                                Originally posted by The J-Dizzle
                                Jags if anything. They will stack the box against McCoy. And London is pretty much their home turf.
                                Not quite
                                Comment
                                • KalouKalou
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-14-11
                                  • 1848

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Magh994
                                  Jaguars fan here. I don't expect the Jaguars to win, they are plagued with injuries, especially on defense. We will make any QB look like Brady. Correct play for me would be -4.5 Bills but I don't see Manuel scoring much if your OL is banged up as well as WR's. Jaguars offense is ranked high in the NFL this year with improvements from Bortles and the receiving core. Since my team is playing I will not bet. I always think the Jags have a chance to win but every week they mess up somehow.
                                  Your kicker is horrible, that's why.
                                  Comment
                                  • pimike
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 03-23-08
                                    • 37139

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by tatddy
                                    Don't these Euro games usually sail over?
                                    Yes buddy
                                    Comment
                                    • Ryermkd
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 01-11-12
                                      • 3739

                                      #19
                                      you are all in for a surprise tomorrow... bills and over! Ya heard it from Ryer!




                                      31-16 buffalo bills
                                      Comment
                                      • yanksallday7
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 05-16-14
                                        • 636

                                        #20
                                        The guy above me gets it. Bills roll, too many sbr people over thinking a simple game as always.
                                        Comment
                                        • TheSchafe
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-29-09
                                          • 2143

                                          #21
                                          Thinking this will play out similarly to the Bills/Dolphins week 3 game. Locked in over 41.5...Bills are my survivor pick, as well. Good luck everyone
                                          Comment
                                          • PorkChop
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 09-18-08
                                            • 8193

                                            #22
                                            Even with all injuries & bs to the side Bills -2.5 has to be the right and only play here. But I just took it on the chin with Utah so..
                                            Last edited by PorkChop; 10-25-15, 02:02 AM.
                                            Comment
                                            • TheSchafe
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-29-09
                                              • 2143

                                              #23
                                              Laid the wood on that total just now...going to need some bad turnovers from Manuel and Bortles
                                              Comment
                                              • Art Vandelay
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 09-11-06
                                                • 6680

                                                #24
                                                $ line parlay - Bills and Rams
                                                Comment
                                                • badgerguy
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-21-13
                                                  • 2281

                                                  #25
                                                  Everyone is expecting a low scoring game, as well as myself. What about this prop bet?

                                                  Buffalo @ Jacksonville - 3 Straight Scores by Either Team
                                                  Rot. Selection Odds
                                                  1119 Yes <input class="oddsselection" value="C|307874451|307874605|POSTUP|.|C" type="checkbox"> -195
                                                  1120 No <input class="oddsselection" value="C|307874451|307874606|POSTUP|.|C" type="checkbox"> +160
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JayDr3am
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 05-06-14
                                                    • 18260

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by badgerguy
                                                    Everyone is expecting a low scoring game, as well as myself. What about this prop bet?

                                                    Buffalo @ Jacksonville - 3 Straight Scores by Either Team
                                                    Rot. Selection Odds
                                                    1119 Yes <input class="oddsselection" value="C|307874451|307874605|POSTUP|.|C" type="checkbox"> -195
                                                    1120 No <input class="oddsselection" value="C|307874451|307874606|POSTUP|.|C" type="checkbox"> +160
                                                    hmm.. no.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • TEXAS MICKEY
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-14-10
                                                      • 1398

                                                      #27
                                                      Bills ML is the play...........get you some.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jjgold
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 07-20-05
                                                        • 388189

                                                        #28
                                                        Took Jax

                                                        Let's pray
                                                        Comment
                                                        • teaserpleaser
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 08-14-08
                                                          • 26016

                                                          #29
                                                          Yikes bills look awful..getting picked apart on defense ...going to take the over live I think maybe jags 2nd half team total
                                                          Comment
                                                          • KingJD31
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 11-04-11
                                                            • 8167

                                                            #30
                                                            What happened I thought everybody picked bills for at least a wc
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jjgold
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 07-20-05
                                                              • 388189

                                                              #31
                                                              Easy winner I was all over Jacksonville
                                                              Comment
                                                              • teaserpleaser
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 08-14-08
                                                                • 26016

                                                                #32
                                                                Ej manuel is hot garbage he's staring down receivers ....
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BigOrange
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 08-13-09
                                                                  • 6745

                                                                  #33
                                                                  they better get Tie-Rod in there quick!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Booya711
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 12-20-11
                                                                    • 27329

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Buffalo

                                                                    Rex Ryan

                                                                    EJ Manuel
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Tboonepickem
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-21-13
                                                                      • 1113

                                                                      #35
                                                                      hahaha this is halarious
                                                                      Comment
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