Just Jake being Jake

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  • d2bets
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 08-10-05
    • 39995

    #1
    Just Jake being Jake
    Ho-hum another shutout appearance as he completes the best 2nd half pitching performance in modern day baseball with a 0.75 ERA. Shutouts in 10 of his last 15 starts. 12 straight team wins and 17 of 18. And 20 consecutive quality starts.

    How can you bet against this guy next Wednesday? He's also dominated on the road (13-1) and dominated in 3 recent starts vs. Pitt (9 hits in 22 IP).

    Be real interesting to see the line for that game. I'm thinking in the neighborhood of Cubs -140 (assuming at Pitt; -180ish at home).

  • gregmav1
    Restricted User
    • 01-09-14
    • 1830

    #2
    Been cashing on him for the last 2+ months. Honestly extremely easy money to take Cubs -1.5 every time hes on the mound. I've done it almost every time and I think cashed 90% of the time at good odds. Great stuff.

    And yeah game vs. Pirates, man that sucks so bad for them. Pirates probably slightly overall the better team, but Arrieta just lights out the best player on either team and he gets the ball against them.

    I think Cubs -140 is right about perfect too.
    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388179

      #3
      Cy Young

      Its historic now
      Comment
      • d2bets
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 08-10-05
        • 39995

        #4
        And how about a total for that game? 5.5 I guess and wouldn't touch the over.
        Comment
        • gregmav1
          Restricted User
          • 01-09-14
          • 1830

          #5
          Originally posted by d2bets
          And how about a total for that game? 5.5 I guess and wouldn't touch the over.
          I don't think it will be 5.5. Both teams have had some high scoring games against each other. Assuming it's Cole v Arrieta I bet it will be at least 6, most likely 6.5
          Comment
          • lakerboy
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 04-02-09
            • 94379

            #6
            Cubs will end up being cubs
            Comment
            • d2bets
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 08-10-05
              • 39995

              #7
              Originally posted by gregmav1
              I don't think it will be 5.5. Both teams have had some high scoring games against each other. Assuming it's Cole v Arrieta I bet it will be at least 6, most likely 6.5
              From recent to older...

              Arrieta's game vs, Pitt:
              4-0
              3-2
              5-0
              3-0
              5-2

              Cole's games v. Cubs:
              3-2
              5-4
              4-1
              8-4

              Not 6.5. Maybe somewhere between 5.5 and 6.0. Like O5.5-120 or O6+105.
              Comment
              • jjgold
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 07-20-05
                • 388179

                #8
                watch him lose the fukkin playoff game

                Its possible 1 game
                Comment
                • gregmav1
                  Restricted User
                  • 01-09-14
                  • 1830

                  #9
                  Originally posted by d2bets
                  From recent to older...

                  Arrieta's game vs, Pitt:
                  4-0
                  3-2
                  5-0
                  3-0
                  5-2

                  Cole's games v. Cubs:
                  3-2
                  5-4
                  4-1
                  8-4

                  Not 6.5. Maybe somewhere between 5.5 and 6.0. Like O5.5-120 or O6+105.
                  The only 5.5 games I see are Bumgarner vs Kershaw games. Even Cole vs Arrieta I think will be 6 or 6.5 man
                  Comment
                  • gregmav1
                    Restricted User
                    • 01-09-14
                    • 1830

                    #10
                    Originally posted by jjgold
                    watch him lose the fukkin playoff game

                    Its possible 1 game
                    I was already thinking about this, could easily happen. Nerves, at Pitt, crowd pumped, Pirates pumped... Pirates have been here before and Cubs haven't... going to be crazy if Arreita is just fuc.king INSANE for the last half of the season and then wild card game goes 5 innings and gives up 5.
                    Comment
                    • d2bets
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 08-10-05
                      • 39995

                      #11
                      Originally posted by jjgold
                      watch him lose the fukkin playoff game

                      Its possible 1 game
                      Only if it's like 1-0.

                      If you do take Pitt, just go ahead and parlay it hard with the fukkin under.

                      The Cubs can be prone to failing to get runs in if they don't HR. So its's certanly possible Cole could shut the Cubs out and win like 1-0.
                      Comment
                      • d2bets
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 08-10-05
                        • 39995

                        #12
                        Originally posted by gregmav1
                        I was already thinking about this, could easily happen. Nerves, at Pitt, crowd pumped, Pirates pumped... Pirates have been here before and Cubs haven't... going to be crazy if Arreita is just fuc.king INSANE for the last half of the season and then wild card game goes 5 innings and gives up 5.
                        Literally anything is possible as baseball can be a fluky game with bloopers and errors and such, but it surely would shock me if that happened. If Cubs lose, more likely it's like 1-0 or 2-1.
                        Comment
                        • gregmav1
                          Restricted User
                          • 01-09-14
                          • 1830

                          #13
                          Oh absolutely, I'm not saying it's likely, I just yeah, could see it happening because like you said baseball is flukey. I'm a Cards fan and 2 games in a row Kershaw owned us for 6 innings and suddenly gave up 6 in the 7th. Arrieta has been so consistent that most likely he goes again 8 innings and gives up 1 run, but if he gets blown out it would just be another crazy MLB Playoff/Wild Card story
                          Comment
                          • gregmav1
                            Restricted User
                            • 01-09-14
                            • 1830

                            #14
                            Cubs held Arrieta to 72 pitches tonight.... what a great call.
                            Comment
                            • TheMoneyShot
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 02-14-07
                              • 28672

                              #15
                              Can't wait to see the opening line on Arrieta post season. Probably going to be the fastest wager of my life.
                              Comment
                              • d2bets
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 08-10-05
                                • 39995

                                #16
                                Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
                                Can't wait to see the opening line on Arrieta post season. Probably going to be the fastest wager of my life.
                                What's your guess?

                                I say -130 going to -140.
                                Comment
                                • MickeyMan
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 10-20-09
                                  • 5091

                                  #17
                                  Cubs are -113.
                                  Comment
                                  • gregmav1
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 01-09-14
                                    • 1830

                                    #18
                                    o/u 6 like i predicted. but wow yeah that's quite the low line for Arrieta.... man these wild card games are fun
                                    Comment
                                    • pavyracer
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 04-12-07
                                      • 82839

                                      #19
                                      1 game pressure. He could implode.
                                      Comment
                                      • d2bets
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 08-10-05
                                        • 39995

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by gregmav1
                                        o/u 6 like i predicted. but wow yeah that's quite the low line for Arrieta.... man these wild card games are fun
                                        Nope it's closer to 5.5 like I said. High 5.5 or low 6. Exactly as I said. But Cubs -115 or so is a gift.
                                        Comment
                                        • gregmav1
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 01-09-14
                                          • 1830

                                          #21
                                          I'm seeing 6 and only 6 on 5Dimes but whatever. I agree Cubs/Arrieta -115 is crazy... Would have thought at least -130 or so but these wild cards just super even i guess
                                          Comment
                                          • MickeyMan
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 10-20-09
                                            • 5091

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by d2bets
                                            Nope it's closer to 5.5 like I said. High 5.5 or low 6. Exactly as I said. But Cubs -115 or so is a gift.

                                            Comment
                                            • d2bets
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 08-10-05
                                              • 39995

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by gregmav1
                                              I'm seeing 6 and only 6 on 5Dimes but whatever. I agree Cubs/Arrieta -115 is crazy... Would have thought at least -130 or so but these wild cards just super even i guess
                                              Pinnacle has O6+111; Bookmaker 5.5-110 both ways.
                                              Comment
                                              • d2bets
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 08-10-05
                                                • 39995

                                                #24
                                                Ho hum another shutout.

                                                That's 33 straight innings and counting, without allowing an earned run. If he keeps this up, he could end up with the greatest run ever for a pitcher.
                                                Comment
                                                • Jeffie
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 04-06-12
                                                  • 3428

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by d2bets
                                                  Ho hum another shutout.

                                                  That's 33 straight innings and counting, without allowing an earned run. If he keeps this up, he could end up with the greatest run ever for a pitcher.
                                                  Okay we get it you're a Cubs fan.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ACoochy
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 08-19-09
                                                    • 13949

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by d2bets
                                                    Nope it's closer to 5.5 like I said. High 5.5 or low 6. Exactly as I said. But Cubs -115 or so is a gift.
                                                    85551
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