Take Baltimore +138 and OVER 7.5 runs and thank me later. The day Danny freaking Salazar carries -148 juice and deserves it will be a cold day in Hell.
jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#2
Its worth a play
most of these teams overpriced..heck anyone can win on any given day
Good luck guy
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LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#3
What do you have against Salazar? I actually think he is one of the more underrated pitchers in baseball, he leads the Major Leagues in strikeout rate and has done that while allowing only 16 walks. I wouldn't worry about the 3.79 ERA considering he has a 2.80 xFIP. I think -145 could be a tad light, model has Salazar 61% over Ubaldo this game (around -156).
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#4
Originally posted by LT Profits
What do you have against Salazar? I actually think he is one of the more underrated pitchers in baseball, he leads the Major Leagues in strikeout rate and has done that while allowing only 16 walks. I wouldn't worry about the 3.79 ERA considering he has a 2.80 xFIP. I think -145 could be a tad light, model has Salazar 61% over Ubaldo this game (around -156).
i was actually little higher but i doubt your model factors ubaldo being a headcase.
Comment
RavensFan2k3
SBR Posting Legend
08-18-12
17378
#5
Originally posted by LT Profits
What do you have against Salazar? I actually think he is one of the more underrated pitchers in baseball, he leads the Major Leagues in strikeout rate and has done that while allowing only 16 walks. I wouldn't worry about the 3.79 ERA considering he has a 2.80 xFIP. I think -145 could be a tad light, model has Salazar 61% over Ubaldo this game (around -156).
Salazar -156 over Ubaldo abd the Orioles? Are you serious?
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#6
Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
Salazar -156 over Ubaldo abd the Orioles? Are you serious?
the o's are trash.
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LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#7
Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
Salazar -156 over Ubaldo abd the Orioles? Are you serious?
Absolutely, did you even read my post? And I didn't even get into Ubaldo being overrated.
Comment
RavensFan2k3
SBR Posting Legend
08-18-12
17378
#8
Originally posted by 2daBank
the o's are trash.
Originally posted by LT Profits
Absolutely, did you even read my post? And I didn't even get into Ubaldo being overrated.
Yes, maybe I'm just a bit biased
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#9
Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
Yes, maybe I'm just a bit biased
Yes I totally forgot you were a Baltimore guy. But yeah , Orioles overachieved greatly the last two years based on their peripherals, they just never regressed like you would expect most teams to do. Now karma is catching up to them this year, as of this second fangraphs has them finishing 78-84. There was a good reason their posted win total before the year was only 80.5 at most spots.