to all who believe Mayweather moneyline is a gift...........

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  • homie1975
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-24-13
    • 15452

    #1
    to all who believe Mayweather moneyline is a gift...........
    personally i believe floyd is about a 55% chance to win, so there is obviously a 45% chance in my mind he loses or it's called a draw. if you got floyd at -180 or worse (the majority of you got worse), you do not have the value IMO that you think you do. in terms of value, my 55% winning pct puts your -180 or worse as mathematically a poor play.

    that said, some of you are still coming off like this is a gift and quite frankly not only is this not a gift it is not even a value play!!

    i hope floyd receives a boxing lesson, and some of you receive a lesson in not calling your wagers "easy money", "gift", "lock", etc etc

    enjoy !!!!
  • trebongs
    SBR Hustler
    • 04-24-15
    • 66

    #2
    Too bad your 55% estimation is wrong.
    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388179

      #3
      Nice write up pal I'm passing though
      Comment
      • stevenash
        Moderator
        • 01-17-11
        • 65625

        #4
        Originally posted by trebongs
        Too bad your 55% estimation is wrong.
        I dunno.
        I smell something fishy.
        Floyd is all about the money, if Floyd could make a gate even bigger than this one, but it involves taking a dive, or a DQ, or something along those lines to get the rematch.......

        ....Just sayin'
        Comment
        • KD Esq.
          SBR High Roller
          • 02-26-15
          • 127

          #5
          Originally posted by stevenash
          I dunno.
          I smell something fishy.
          Floyd is all about the money, if Floyd could make a gate even bigger than this one, but it involves taking a dive, or a DQ, or something along those lines to get the rematch.......

          ....Just sayin'
          No, he loves his EGO just as much as the money. There will be a rematch either way anf Floyd will win both going out the GOAT.
          Comment
          • plekz
            SBR MVP
            • 07-28-13
            • 1491

            #6
            ya'll are retarded for real if you think priority one for floyd is money at this point, or the reason he get's up to run 6,5 miles every morning. it's his dedication regarding his legacy that keeps him going and what has kept him as sharp up until this point, money turns hollow quite fast when you can buy pretty much anything and everything you want.

            floyd cares about leaving a mark and going down as a p4p best, he wants his _0_ intact at all costs.
            Comment
            • pavyracer
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 04-12-07
              • 82839

              #7
              Only way pacquaio wins is if it's a fixed fight.
              Comment
              • trebongs
                SBR Hustler
                • 04-24-15
                • 66

                #8
                Originally posted by stevenash
                I dunno.
                I smell something fishy.
                Floyd is all about the money, if Floyd could make a gate even bigger than this one, but it involves taking a dive, or a DQ, or something along those lines to get the rematch.......

                ....Just sayin'
                The only thing that Floyd could possibly care about as much as his money is his legacy. There's no reason they can can't rematch for another 9 figures w/ Floyd winning.

                If he wanted to take a dive, they would have done it in a match with better odds.
                Comment
                • Andy117
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-07-10
                  • 9511

                  #9
                  Originally posted by KD Esq.
                  No, he loves his EGO just as much as the money. There will be a rematch either way anf Floyd will win both going out the GOAT.
                  Floyd's not the GOAT, regardless of what happens tonight.
                  Comment
                  • stevenash
                    Moderator
                    • 01-17-11
                    • 65625

                    #10
                    ^
                    Just spitballing dude, of course there is going to be a rematch.
                    Another way is Floyd 'carries' Pac-man for the distance, meaning Floyd makes the bout exciting and close on purpose.
                    Creating a buzz for a rematch.

                    Anytime you have this much money on the line, anything can happen
                    Comment
                    • Git Lo
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-20-11
                      • 3785

                      #11
                      ^seems possible. Either way Mayweather is winning in this scenario... Keep it close and exciting generating more buzz for the next fight and possibly come up with the Win as well. Mayweather doesn't actually need a 'boxing lesson'
                      Comment
                      • smoke a bowl
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-09-09
                        • 2776

                        #12
                        I think 80% floyd wins so I like the prices. Thanks anyway homie.
                        Comment
                        • tony_come
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 03-31-10
                          • 21695

                          #13
                          Drunk people here in Vegas
                          Comment
                          • Harry N. Lloyd
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-26-08
                            • 4810

                            #14
                            OP has a high opinion of his handicapping skills.
                            Comment
                            • jjgold
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-20-05
                              • 388179

                              #15
                              Rachel Nichols of CNN and Michelle Beadle of ESPN and HBO posted on Twitter that Floyd Mayweather's camp has banned them from covering Saturday night's fight between Mayweather and Manny Pacquiao at the MGM Grand Arena in Las Vegas.

                              Kelly Swanson of Mayweather's public relations team denied the claims.

                              Beadle's credential later was reinstated, but she left Las Vegas on Saturday morning when she originally was told about the ban. Beadle said she would not attend the fight.

                              Nichols' status remained unclear.

                              Both television reporters and commentators have extensively covered Mayweather's history of domestic violence.

                              "No fight for me or @MichelleDBeadle," Nichols wrote on Twitter. "Mayweather's team told my producer the camp was blocking my credential."

                              Beadle said on Twitter: "I, along with @Rachel__Nichols, have been banned from the MGM Grand Arena for the fight tonight by the Mayweather camp."

                              Swanson of Mayweather's PR team responded on Twitter:

                              "No one including ME banned @Rachel__Nichols from covering the fight. She is already credentialed. "And @MichelleDBeadle isn't even on the press list. She's credentialed through @HBOboxing. Yes credentialed."

                              Sally Jenkins of the Washington Post tweeted: "Woman-hater #FloydMayweather just made domestic violence and Rachel Nichols and Michelle Beadle the chief topic for the next 12 hours."
                              Comment
                              • James Marques
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-04-14
                                • 1605

                                #16
                                Even if the fight is a draw, it's a 2-way moneyline. It's not a freaking soccer bet. If you got Mayweather around -170, I'd say you got a good value bet. At -210, kinda iffy.
                                Comment
                                • Ghenghis Kahn
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-02-12
                                  • 19734

                                  #17
                                  fukker has a chin, i give him that much but would love to see him get ktfo!!! came close here...

                                  Comment
                                  • Ghenghis Kahn
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-02-12
                                    • 19734

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by James Marques
                                    Even if the fight is a draw, it's a 2-way moneyline. It's not a freaking soccer bet. If you got Mayweather around -170, I'd say you got a good value bet. At -210, kinda iffy.
                                    bovada will grade the money lines as losses and say they offered a draw. no joke...
                                    Comment
                                    • KushMoney
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 07-11-11
                                      • 658

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn
                                      bovada will grade the money lines as losses and say they offered a draw. no joke...
                                      Really??

                                      When has this happened before in the past??


                                      I have 50 on Draw on Bovada though.. those fuckers gonna pay me tonight!
                                      Comment
                                      • Ghenghis Kahn
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-02-12
                                        • 19734

                                        #20
                                        as long as they offer a draw, they'll call it a three way line. if you bet the draw then it's no problem but don't ever bet ml with bovada if they offer a draw.
                                        Comment
                                        • homie1975
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-24-13
                                          • 15452

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Harry N. Lloyd
                                          OP has a high opinion of his handicapping skills.
                                          I know boxing. Oh yea and never fukken heard of ya pal
                                          Comment
                                          • homie1975
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 12-24-13
                                            • 15452

                                            #22
                                            Nice win for manny getting to use his puncher's gloves. I guess the decision went his way this morning. Stephen a Smith on the radio now says he's scared to death about his floyd pick lmao
                                            Comment
                                            • jtoler
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 12-17-13
                                              • 30967

                                              #23
                                              The lobbying ends tonight Homie, you must be worn out.
                                              Comment
                                              • homie1975
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-24-13
                                                • 15452

                                                #24
                                                Will hill hung o/u 3.15 mil ppv buyers, 2 mos ago. I yelled from the hilltops to take the under. It hits with ease tonight. Watch.
                                                Comment
                                                • Harry N. Lloyd
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-26-08
                                                  • 4810

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by homie1975
                                                  I know boxing. Oh yea and never fukken heard of ya pal
                                                  So, if you make Floyd Jr a 55% favorite to win.......just curious who you are betting? Looks to me that you're starting a thread whereby if Mayweather wins, you can say "See, told ya he was the favorite" but it Paq wins, you can say "Told ya Manny was undervalued."

                                                  Vegas has Mayweather favored about 2:1. Paq +160. They know how to set a line. What's your pick?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Vegas39
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 09-22-11
                                                    • 30686

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by homie1975
                                                    I know boxing. Oh yea and never fukken heard of ya pal
                                                    Harry can actually cap games


                                                    you chuck darts and hope
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Bigbill365
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 06-22-12
                                                      • 4572

                                                      #27
                                                      Its gonna be another boring floyd fight.Very slow and defensive defintly wont be a slug fest like evryone thinks u really think floyds going to have a bar brawl
                                                      Comment
                                                      • mirinquads
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 04-22-13
                                                        • 3927

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Bigbill365
                                                        Its gonna be another boring floyd fight.Very slow and defensive defintly wont be a slug fest like evryone thinks u really think floyds going to have a bar brawl
                                                        Nobody thinks it will be a slugfest. Literally no one.

                                                        Tired of dumbasses parroting this "opinion" like they are geniuses. Floyd fights have never been slugfests, and it's what everyone has been saying all the time, so pipe down.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Vegas39
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 09-22-11
                                                          • 30686

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by mirinquads
                                                          Nobody thinks it will be a slugfest. Literally no one.

                                                          Tired of dumbasses parroting this "opinion" like they are geniuses. Floyd fights have never been slugfests, and it's what everyone has been saying all the time, so pipe down.

                                                          Like people think it will be like Gatti/ Ward
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Snowball
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 11-15-09
                                                            • 30058

                                                            #30
                                                            what about Kell Brook and Keith Thurman ? two welterweight title holders
                                                            what are the chances the winner tonight fights them ?
                                                            boxing is a joke. 4-5 different ranking outfits and no consensus.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • mirinquads
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 04-22-13
                                                              • 3927

                                                              #31
                                                              Exactly, nobody has ever said that or thought that - Hype for this fight has nothing to do with that at all. Idiots just parrot that opinion because they like to feel smart, too bad it makes them look even dumber than usual.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • homie1975
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 12-24-13
                                                                • 15452

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Vegas39
                                                                Harry can actually cap games


                                                                you chuck darts and hope
                                                                I haven't been here long but have posted roughly 20 picks and won at least 60% of them. I'm too busy making money in medical device sales than to waste my time posting picks all day
                                                                Comment
                                                                • homie1975
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 12-24-13
                                                                  • 15452

                                                                  #33
                                                                  2-0 ats nba playoffs just last week
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Vegas39
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 09-22-11
                                                                    • 30686

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by homie1975
                                                                    I haven't been here long but have posted roughly 20 picks and won at least 60% of them. I'm too busy making money in medical device sales than to waste my time posting picks all day
                                                                    so your scamming the elderly congrats dart chucker
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • homie1975
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 12-24-13
                                                                      • 15452

                                                                      #35
                                                                      We sell to medical professionals who serve all segments. 157k is my w-2 salary plus comm fir 2014. Life is fukking beautiful from my vantage point
                                                                      Comment
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