T-Wolves / Heat OVER 188.5 -107 (8pm start)

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65624

    #1
    T-Wolves / Heat OVER 188.5 -107 (8pm start)
    Using the same angle as yesterday:

    T-Wolves can not play a lick of defense, and is one of the worst defending teams I have seen in years.
    Take a look at the right hand column, Minny gives up an ungodly 109 points per 100 possessions a game.
    (Heat ain't much better) and the Wolves are a much better shooting team now with K-Mart back at 2 guars.

    This 109 + number is as bad as it gets.
    What we got here on the right column is one bad defending team, and one *very special* kind of bad defense.

    Hollinger Stats - Defensive Efficiency
    RK TEAM PACE AST TO ORR DRR REBR EFF FG% TS% OFF EFF DEF EFF
    1 Minnesota 97.5 16.6 13.7 27.5 72.6 48.8 46.4 50.9 98.8 109.5
    2 LA Lakers 97.0 15.7 12.0 25.1 74.7 49.1 47.3 51.6 101.4 107.9
    3 New York 92.8 17.1 14.0 25.3 72.0 48.2 48.5 51.8 99.2 107.6
    4 Utah 92.9 16.2 14.5 28.7 75.6 52.2 49.6 53.6 103.1 106.2
    5 Sacramento 97.4 15.0 15.0 27.1 75.9 52.6 48.7 54.3 102.5 106.1
    6 Orlando 96.2 16.2 14.2 21.0 76.6 48.3 49.7 52.9 99.4 105.9
    7 New Orleans 94.1 16.6 12.1 28.4 75.7 51.9 49.6 53.5 106.1 105.1
    8 Denver 98.4 16.2 12.8 26.3 75.8 50.4 47.6 51.6 101.0 105.0
    Cleveland 94.6 16.8 12.9 27.4 74.2 50.9 50.7 54.7 106.8 105.0
    10 Brooklyn 94.4 16.3 13.6 22.9 74.1 48.7 48.7 52.5 99.9 104.4
    11 Miami 91.8 16.6 14.5 22.1 73.5 48.3 50.1 54.2 101.2 104.3

    What I really, really like about this game tonight is the Kevin Martin factor, a) Wolves defense is so much better now he's back, b) he's been shooting well, c) he should torch the hell out of Super Mario Chalmers.
    Wiggy will get his.

    No Wade for Miami, doesn't really matter, you think Denver sucks on 'D', Wolves suck worse.
    Bosh will get his.
    Mr. Brightside in the middle is the biggest surprise of the year, Hassan Whiteside will get a double - double here, as long as Mr. Brightside (sorry, have to get that Killers reference in there) doesn't keep committting those dopey fouls.

    2 piss poor defenses, a Wolf team that is better on offense with Martin = an over 188.5

    Looking for this game to go to 202 or so.

    I like over's with shitty teams, what can I tell ya, it's been working for me.
    (not always, but usually)

    Best of luck
  • BIGDAY
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 02-17-10
    • 48245

    #2
    Easy win.
    Comment
    • Smoke
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-09-09
      • 48111

      #3
      Nash a hero to all
      Comment
      • stevenash
        Moderator
        • 01-17-11
        • 65624

        #4
        Originally posted by Smoke
        Nash a hero to all
        I'm just flesh and blood.

        K-Mart rang the bell for 30 by the way.
        (just saying)
        Comment
        • jjgold
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 07-20-05
          • 388179

          #5
          Nashy we are all tired of losing money and burnt out a little from gambling

          NASH MONEY
          Comment
          • stevenash
            Moderator
            • 01-17-11
            • 65624

            #6
            Originally posted by stevenash
            Looking for this game to go to 202 or so.
            102-101
            (just saying)
            Comment
            • stevenash
              Moderator
              • 01-17-11
              • 65624

              #7
              Originally posted by jjgold
              Nashy we are all tired of losing money and burnt out a little from gambling

              NASH MONEY
              I'm just flesh and blood.
              (and number crunching geek)
              Comment
              • cburland10
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 11-26-13
                • 801

                #8
                Nash you have been hot

                good work!
                Comment
                • stevenash
                  Moderator
                  • 01-17-11
                  • 65624

                  #9
                  Originally posted by cburland10
                  Nash you have been hot

                  good work!
                  Thank you sir.
                  Books are sloppy when setting total lines.
                  I am here to exploit that.
                  Comment
                  • oldscho0led
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-18-11
                    • 1407

                    #10
                    Nashy, missed the pick. Looking forward for tomorrow. GL buddy
                    Comment
                    • stevenash
                      Moderator
                      • 01-17-11
                      • 65624

                      #11
                      Originally posted by oldscho0led
                      Nashy, missed the pick. Looking forward for tomorrow. GL buddy
                      Weak schedule tomorrow, might not be anything there.
                      Comment
                      • Mike Huntertz
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 08-19-09
                        • 11207

                        #12
                        Laugher, nice pick.
                        Comment
                        • stevenash
                          Moderator
                          • 01-17-11
                          • 65624

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Mike Huntertz
                          Laugher, nice pick.
                          Thank you sir.
                          Like I said, books set stupid totals, I own the totals.
                          Comment
                          • ZetaPsi808
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 09-18-08
                            • 12119

                            #14
                            Looking for this game to go to 202 or so.

                            and they scored 203 total. its scary how good you are
                            Comment
                            • MickeyMan
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 10-20-09
                              • 5091

                              #15
                              Stevenash,

                              So hot right now
                              Comment
                              • GUMMO77
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 08-23-10
                                • 9294

                                #16
                                Nasherrrrrrr!!!!!!!
                                Comment
                                • stevenash
                                  Moderator
                                  • 01-17-11
                                  • 65624

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by ZetaPsi808
                                  Looking for this game to go to 202 or so.

                                  and they scored 203 total. its scary how good you are
                                  Thank you sir, my thing is really baseball though.
                                  Comment
                                  • stevenash
                                    Moderator
                                    • 01-17-11
                                    • 65624

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by gummo77
                                    nasherrrrrrr!!!!!!!
                                    gummmmmo !!!!!!!!!!!!!
                                    Comment
                                    • No coincidences
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-18-10
                                      • 76300

                                      #19
                                      Nice call.

                                      Why was this total set so low?

                                      Comment
                                      • ZetaPsi808
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 09-18-08
                                        • 12119

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                                        Nice call.

                                        Why was this total set so low?

                                        i think bc the heat and wolves struggle to score so much.
                                        Comment
                                        • No coincidences
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-18-10
                                          • 76300

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by ZetaPsi808
                                          i think bc the heat and wolves struggle to score so much.
                                          Maybe, but as nasher pointed out, the T'Wolves play literally zero defense.
                                          Comment
                                          • stevenash
                                            Moderator
                                            • 01-17-11
                                            • 65624

                                            #22
                                            ^
                                            And K-Mart is back, I knew he was going to go off.
                                            (I had a lot of money on that last night too, looking back to last night I just said to myself, "don't do that again", had it for 6*)
                                            Comment
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