NHL play tonight (Non-Canadian) FYI

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  • Ra77er
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 06-20-11
    • 10969

    #1
    NHL play tonight (Non-Canadian) FYI
    I like the Montreal Canadians. -110 @ Heritage/ -111@ 5Dimes



    Here's two things that worry me about the pick
    .

    1) PA Parentoe is out with pussitis or whatever and the issue here is power plays and more importantly if the game goes to a shootout. He will be missed if this occurs. A regulation bet may be warranted but I'm not that savvy of a hockey bettor to do this quite yet.


    2) Price has not shown his best against TB. 7-1 beatdown earlier this season and only one win in his last 5 tries against the lightning.


    Here's a few things that make this a play for me.


    1) Lightning on a long road stretch.

    2) Pedestrian numbers on the road, including ppg's, pk's, defense in general.

    3) Line is basically a pickem for a red hot team at home. Lightning have a prolific offense and I think they will always get money when a "+" is involved.

    4) Motivational levels will be strong for both squads (divison/conference title on the line), in theory should produce solid play from both teams.




    Should be a good game, I can't wait
  • Russian Rocket
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 09-02-12
    • 43910

    #2
    get that cash Razzer!!!
    Comment
    • Booya711
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 12-20-11
      • 27329

      #3
      Ra77er...you live in Arlington Texas?? You sure you know hockey?? Just fukking with you pal..BOL
      Comment
      • UncleChael
        SBR MVP
        • 10-30-13
        • 3979

        #4
        Price will put the team on his back.
        Comment
        • Ra77er
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 06-20-11
          • 10969

          #5
          Booyah very sharp pal. I'm looking at the line movement and realizing that I'm probably making a square play here, but I cannot sleep tonight if I don't make this play. I thought the opening number was a fair line but sharps/hockey experts took that money out of TB so I dunno. Rocket, Nino or others I haven't checked to see if we are on the same side, hope we are
          Comment
          • Russian Rocket
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 09-02-12
            • 43910

            #6
            Originally posted by Ra77er
            Booyah very sharp pal. I'm looking at the line movement and realizing that I'm probably making a square play here, but I cannot sleep tonight if I don't make this play. I thought the opening number was a fair line but sharps/hockey experts took that money out of TB so I dunno. Rocket, Nino or others I haven't checked to see if we are on the same side, hope we are
            I'm still thinking about it...
            Comment
            • Ra77er
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 06-20-11
              • 10969

              #7
              Unrelated note: South Florida +8 against UCONN looks good.

              Related note: Rocket if it doesn't feel right then pass brother.
              Comment
              • Jayvegas420
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 03-09-11
                • 28213

                #8
                Price will have all sorts of problems with TB's PP line & he doesn't typically play well vs the Bolts.
                Montreal cannot continue to win at this pace, they will lose tonight
                If Price doesn't show up they could lose by 3+ goals.
                Comment
                • Ra77er
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 06-20-11
                  • 10969

                  #9
                  Almost gametime boys . I hope SwordsnTequila doesn't have his Carey Price voodoo doll out, because that's the only way TB wins!!
                  Comment
                  • Ra77er
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 06-20-11
                    • 10969

                    #10
                    Dr Doom stat of the game....Montreal 16-0 when scoring 1st
                    Comment
                    • SEAHAWKHARRY
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 11-29-07
                      • 26068

                      #11
                      I'm on em -125 went up right before I place bet
                      Comment
                      • Ra77er
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 06-20-11
                        • 10969

                        #12
                        Let's win this Harry!
                        Comment
                        • SEAHAWKHARRY
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 11-29-07
                          • 26068

                          #13
                          We will
                          Comment
                          • Ra77er
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 06-20-11
                            • 10969

                            #14
                            Price has got to keep this under a field goal for us squares to win this thing. PP goal inevitable but he cannot allow anything else or its ramen time.
                            Comment
                            • Ra77er
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 06-20-11
                              • 10969

                              #15
                              I dunno if this will help or hurt the cause but here's the lucky rabbit foot pic



                              Comment
                              • Russian Rocket
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 09-02-12
                                • 43910

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Ra77er
                                I dunno if this will help or hurt the cause but here's the lucky rabbit foot pic



                                anything that has a Toronto logo on the pic definitely hurt your overall chances of winning this bet Razzer...you should know this by now pal

                                get'em next time bud!
                                Comment
                                • Ra77er
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 06-20-11
                                  • 10969

                                  #17
                                  G'dammit terrible bets tonight. Jayvegas nice call on this one. Hopefully better tomorrow


                                  2 goals after the skank pic went up
                                  Comment
                                  • Jayvegas420
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 03-09-11
                                    • 28213

                                    #18
                                    I'm just a non american who got lucky.
                                    What are you leaning tomorrow?
                                    Comment
                                    • Ra77er
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 06-20-11
                                      • 10969

                                      #19
                                      I'm actually looking at a few games now....Jay not nice pal, I see what's happening here. Fade the Razzler to mega profits...I cannot allow this


                                      Caps and Rangers are what I'm leaning..much more work to be done though GL
                                      Comment
                                      • swordsandtequila
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 02-23-12
                                        • 9757

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Ra77er
                                        Almost gametime boys . I hope SwordsnTequila doesn't have his Carey Price voodoo doll out, because that's the only way TB wins!!
                                        Sorry Ra77er, didn't notice your thread. Was a little busy tonight

                                        Comment
                                        • Ra77er
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 06-20-11
                                          • 10969

                                          #21
                                          I knew it
                                          Comment
                                          • swordsandtequila
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 02-23-12
                                            • 9757

                                            #22
                                            Not a winner, but it's the thought that counts

                                            Comment
                                            • Jayvegas420
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 03-09-11
                                              • 28213

                                              #23
                                              I've been here lo g enough to learn that its not very very lucrative to fade RA77ER in the long run.

                                              Just wanted to make sure that my original hunch was correct & you are not on the Leafs tonight. I'm leaning Caps tonight.
                                              Comment
                                              • biggie12
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-30-05
                                                • 13792

                                                #24
                                                Jay u have stats on teams first game without head coach, use that to determine the fair price ml tonight take that into account before placing the wager.

                                                There is a reason wash only opened at -105


                                                Stupid game to bet with all the action tonight, but to each his own
                                                Comment
                                                • Jayvegas420
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 03-09-11
                                                  • 28213

                                                  #25
                                                  If you believe that coaching is the real problem with the Leafs, you haven't been watching them play for the past 4 years!
                                                  Its going to be a refreshing change but, coaching is not the real issue.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Ra77er
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 06-20-11
                                                    • 10969

                                                    #26
                                                    Well I haven't been picking many winners the last few days but I think there's some small value on the NYR in Anaheim. It's almost a mirror of this play yesterday with the exception of the team on the road here. Henrik hasn't been good against the Ducks but they are playing good hockey and they open up a tough west coast trip here. I "expect" a better game than my 4 goal 2nd period TB debacle last night. I'd love to get +120 but it looks like +112 at 5dimes is the best I'll do for now. Thinking perhaps waiting a little longer since it's a late game and Ducks may pick up some steam to give me a better number.


                                                    I really want to play the Caps but I have to be honest that the coaching situation has me concerned. I don't know if the players are happy/ indifferent/ angry etc over Carlyle being gone. I don't know hockey well enough or have the data of coaching changes and the effects. Maybe it makes no difference but I'm going to stay off this one.

                                                    Good luck on w.e you decide tonight
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Soxsfan9
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-30-08
                                                      • 3705

                                                      #27
                                                      Nice write up. I think that the leafs will bounce back here tonight with a strong showing after the firing.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Russian Rocket
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 09-02-12
                                                        • 43910

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Ra77er
                                                        Well I haven't been picking many winners the last few days but I think there's some small value on the NYR in Anaheim. It's almost a mirror of this play yesterday with the exception of the team on the road here. Henrik hasn't been good against the Ducks but they are playing good hockey and they open up a tough west coast trip here. I "expect" a better game than my 4 goal 2nd period TB debacle last night. I'd love to get +120 but it looks like +112 at 5dimes is the best I'll do for now. Thinking perhaps waiting a little longer since it's a late game and Ducks may pick up some steam to give me a better number.


                                                        I really want to play the Caps but I have to be honest that the coaching situation has me concerned. I don't know if the players are happy/ indifferent/ angry etc over Carlyle being gone. I don't know hockey well enough or have the data of coaching changes and the effects. Maybe it makes no difference but I'm going to stay off this one.

                                                        Good luck on w.e you decide tonight
                                                        also fkn Bryzgalov is in the net for the Ducks Jump on that NYR number right now Razzer and gl!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Ra77er
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 06-20-11
                                                          • 10969

                                                          #29
                                                          Ya not much on the writeup today as I don't generally post anything for a while after posting losers but Jay asked what I was leaning and that's just a brief thought process. I think I can get it back on track tonight.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • biggie12
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 12-30-05
                                                            • 13792

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Jayvegas420
                                                            If you believe that coaching is the real problem with the Leafs, you haven't been watching them play for the past 4 years!
                                                            Its going to be a refreshing change but, coaching is not the real issue.

                                                            i dont watch much hockey but i don't need to watch i was trying to make a point.

                                                            no reason they should of opened at -105.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Jayvegas420
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 03-09-11
                                                              • 28213

                                                              #31
                                                              I think there's value at -120.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • biggie12
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 12-30-05
                                                                • 13792

                                                                #32
                                                                I gotta take leafs for my own sake. I'll put down $200
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Ra77er
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 06-20-11
                                                                  • 10969

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Like Ottawa +118 Heritage and NJ +160 5dimes so far.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Russian Rocket
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 09-02-12
                                                                    • 43910

                                                                    #34
                                                                    big win for Razzer last night...congrats!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Ra77er
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 06-20-11
                                                                      • 10969

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Bryzgalov Good hit as well rocket
                                                                      Comment
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