Played this longshot parlay, forgot about it

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • STAX
    SBR MVP
    • 11-01-13
    • 3718

    #1
    Played this longshot parlay, forgot about it
    does it hit? not as long of a shot as it once was

    284161941-1 12/31/14 4:19pm $7.00 $3048.50 Pending 2 Team Parlay
    Pending 1/3/15 4:35pm Props Football 25013 Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl +4400* <small>vs</small> Field wins Super Bowl XLIX
    Pending 1/1/15 5:00pm Props Football 28007 Ohio State wins NCAA Champ +870* <small>vs</small> Field wins NCAA Championship
  • Easy-Rider 66
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 02-14-12
    • 36545

    #2
    Nice Payout if it hits. Just do not see how INDY without much of a running game can get it Done. GL.
    Comment
    • lilbpack1
      SBR High Roller
      • 02-07-14
      • 201

      #3
      Kiss that Bacon Asiago Ranch burger goodbye my friend.
      Comment
      • STAX
        SBR MVP
        • 11-01-13
        • 3718

        #4
        I think they can beat Denver... If they do, and Ohio State wins, Ill be hedging...
        Comment
        • GunShard
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-05-10
          • 10031

          #5
          Bad parlay.
          Placing a bet on Ohio State only instead of this parlay would have been the better bet.
          Comment
          • STAX
            SBR MVP
            • 11-01-13
            • 3718

            #6
            Originally posted by GunShard
            Bad parlay.
            Placing a bet on Ohio State only instead of this parlay would have been the better bet.
            well yeah I did that... Cant believe no one thinks Indy has a shot. I dont give them much of a shot, but I think they are better than 44 to 1
            Comment
            • jjgold
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 07-20-05
              • 388179

              #7
              for $7 its worth it
              Comment
              • Isaiah
                SBR MVP
                • 11-06-12
                • 1013

                #8
                Originally posted by STAX
                does it hit? not as long of a shot as it once was

                284161941-1 12/31/14 4:19pm $7.00 $3048.50 Pending 2 Team Parlay
                Pending 1/3/15 4:35pm Props Football 25013 Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl +4400* <small>vs</small> Field wins Super Bowl XLIX
                Pending 1/1/15 5:00pm Props Football 28007 Ohio State wins NCAA Champ +870* <small>vs</small> Field wins NCAA Championship
                Start hedging now by playing a two teamer moneyline on Denver and Oregon. Will pay almost even money.
                Comment
                • RudyRuetigger
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 08-24-10
                  • 65084

                  #9
                  Colts are about 37:1 to win it right now (32:1 factoring in juice)

                  had you just open parlayed colts every game of playoffs you would be getting like +5100 if they play patriots next round
                  Comment
                  • STAX
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-01-13
                    • 3718

                    #10
                    Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                    Colts are about 37:1 to win it right now (32:1 factoring in juice)

                    had you just open parlayed colts every game of playoffs you would be getting like +5100 if they play patriots next round
                    I got them at 44 to 1 and playing New England isnt a given... Colts are currently +2250 on 5Dimes
                    Comment
                    • RudyRuetigger
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 08-24-10
                      • 65084

                      #11
                      nevermind. im letting it go
                      Comment
                      • BigdaddyQH
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 07-13-09
                        • 19530

                        #12
                        This is a loser, like all sucker wagers made by the players in here. No one has ever hit one yet. That is the intelligence of the players in here.
                        Comment
                        • ramones951
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-23-08
                          • 2356

                          #13
                          Originally posted by GunShard
                          Bad parlay.
                          Placing a bet on Ohio State only instead of this parlay would have been the better bet.
                          Yeah! Lock up that $60!
                          Comment
                          • STAX
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-01-13
                            • 3718

                            #14
                            Ill more than likely be hedging if Buckeyes win tomorrow... GO BUCKS!!!
                            Comment
                            • DOM-Ganador
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-30-12
                              • 4479

                              #15
                              Cool, GL.
                              Comment
                              • gregmav1
                                Restricted User
                                • 01-09-14
                                • 1830

                                #16
                                If I were you I would definitely hedge on Oregon tomorrow. For sure. That's a huge parlay with huge value on it now, and you can't let it go to waste. The Ducks aren't super high ML favorites, so it wouldn't be too hard to do. Throw down $500 on them to win. They probably will win and you can really make some money off this parlay.
                                Comment
                                • STAX
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-01-13
                                  • 3718

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by gregmav1
                                  If I were you I would definitely hedge on Oregon tomorrow. For sure. That's a huge parlay with huge value on it now, and you can't let it go to waste. The Ducks aren't super high ML favorites, so it wouldn't be too hard to do. Throw down $500 on them to win. They probably will win and you can really make some money off this parlay.
                                  What if Buckeyes win tho? Then I gotta put $1500 on Patriots ML just to get that $500 back. Then what if Colts win? All of sudden I'm -$2000 with the Super Bowl left. Too early to hedge bro... especially for $500... I have possibly 3 hedge bets to make (all on likely -300 favorites)

                                  Buckeyes are my team and Im confident they are going to win... if they do, Ill probably put a couple hundred on Patriots in the ACF title game, and then bet the Super Bowl accordingly if need be
                                  Comment
                                  • gregmav1
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 01-09-14
                                    • 1830

                                    #18
                                    You have $3k to work with. You should definitely hedge something. Way too much of a potential loss for absolutely nothing if you don't hedge.

                                    Put something on Oregon, you'll be crazy not to I think, and they're very likely to win and end this parlay tomorrow, but it's your bet. Good luck.
                                    Comment
                                    • STAX
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-01-13
                                      • 3718

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by gregmav1
                                      You have $3k to work with. You should definitely hedge something. Way too much of a potential loss for absolutely nothing if you don't hedge.

                                      Put something on Oregon, you'll be crazy not to I think, and they're very likely to win and end this parlay tomorrow, but it's your bet. Good luck.
                                      its just not worth it, not sure whats so hard to understand about it... Im gonna risk $500 to win what? $250? And possibly have to bet $1500 just to break even? What if I lose that? I gotta bet $4500 on the Super Bowl just to break even, and oh yeah... I either break even overall or Im down $-1500... Its really very ignorant to hedge right now...

                                      My ticket is worth about $150 right now, and Ive only hit 3 games out of 6... and those are the easier 3 to hit... got too long to go, hedging isnt an option whatsoever
                                      Comment
                                      • gregmav1
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 01-09-14
                                        • 1830

                                        #20
                                        Or you just lay $200 on Oregon tomorrow, they win, and you make $80. And it ends tomorrow. If OSU do somehow win, wouldn't be hard at all to do the math and hedge with Pats and Hawks for a profit of at least $500 both ways. But whatever. Good luck, that's a pretty sick parlay you got going.
                                        Comment
                                        • The Giant
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-21-12
                                          • 21480

                                          #21
                                          I think Ohio State has a good chance to win tomorrow. Good luck.
                                          Comment
                                          • cburland10
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 11-26-13
                                            • 801

                                            #22
                                            if ohio state wins i would hedge.. don't see colts getting past pats
                                            Comment
                                            • STAX
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-01-13
                                              • 3718

                                              #23
                                              Ill do the math for you: I put $200 on Oregon, and they win : I win $80. I put $200 on Oregon and they lose: Im forced to put $600 on Patriots just to break even on the whole shabang. Then what if Colts beat Pats? Packer or Seattle will be -300 favorites vrs Colts in the Super Bowl,,, I gotta put $1800 on Pack/Hawks just to break even. Then if Colts win it all, I win $3050 - $2600 ($200 + $600 + $1800) in lost bets chasing for a $450 profit... or I break even otherwise... So my possible results are:

                                              a) +$80
                                              b) break even with $800 to $2600 tied up online
                                              c) win $450 with $2600 extra cash tied up online

                                              Honestly I probably wont even hedge on the AFC title game if the Buckeyes win, locking in a couple hundo isnt important to me whatsoever.
                                              Comment
                                              • STAX
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-01-13
                                                • 3718

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by cburland10
                                                if ohio state wins i would hedge.. don't see colts getting past pats
                                                I kind of agree with this... I think the Pats being -300 is spot on. I think they win 3/4 times in this game at least.
                                                Comment
                                                • MoneyLineDawg
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-01-09
                                                  • 13253

                                                  #25
                                                  If Ohio St wins maybe take Pats ML live if Colts get up on them

                                                  Let it ride besides that
                                                  Comment
                                                  • STAX
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-01-13
                                                    • 3718

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by MoneyLineDawg
                                                    If Ohio St wins maybe take Pats ML live if Colts get up on them

                                                    Let it ride besides that
                                                    Yeah this makes a ton of sense... I will probably do this... If Pats are ever +anything I think that would be worth a couple hundred
                                                    Comment
                                                    • boomer62
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-10-11
                                                      • 1500

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by STAX
                                                      does it hit? not as long of a shot as it once was

                                                      284161941-1 12/31/14 4:19pm $7.00 $3048.50 Pending 2 Team Parlay
                                                      Pending 1/3/15 4:35pm Props Football 25013 Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl +4400* <small>vs</small> Field wins Super Bowl XLIX
                                                      Pending 1/1/15 5:00pm Props Football 28007 Ohio State wins NCAA Champ +870* <small>vs</small> Field wins NCAA Championship
                                                      You play with yourself....you play the lottery with odds....can't believe the BULLSHIT YOU POST and what's worse people respond ....
                                                      Comment
                                                      • boomer62
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 09-10-11
                                                        • 1500

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by STAX
                                                        Ill do the math for you: I put $200 on Oregon, and they win : I win $80. I put $200 on Oregon and they lose: Im forced to put $600 on Patriots just to break even on the whole shabang. Then what if Colts beat Pats? Packer or Seattle will be -300 favorites vrs Colts in the Super Bowl,,, I gotta put $1800 on Pack/Hawks just to break even. Then if Colts win it all, I win $3050 - $2600 ($200 + $600 + $1800) in lost bets chasing for a $450 profit... or I break even otherwise... So my possible results are:

                                                        a) +$80
                                                        b) break even with $800 to $2600 tied up online
                                                        c) win $450 with $2600 extra cash tied up online

                                                        Honestly I probably wont even hedge on the AFC title game if the Buckeyes win, locking in a couple hundo isnt important to me whatsoever.
                                                        Do you ever consider all the other long shot odds you put in that you lost instead of focusing on one bet and probabilities????
                                                        Comment
                                                        • STAX
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-01-13
                                                          • 3718

                                                          #29
                                                          I mean, Ive hit a 50 to 1 straight bet for 5k and a 60 to 1 parlay for 3k just in the last 6 months... also was Auburn away from winning the title last year of hitting an 8000 to 1 parlay and $43,000 on a $17.50 investment... also was UCLA over Texas college football away from hitting 6/8 +200 or greater underdogs and winning a 1000 to 1 parlay. the thing you dont understand is it only takes a couple hits a year to win money o these. Yeah, Im wrong 98 times out of 100, but when I hit, I hit big. I only play these for a few dollars... so hate all you want. Its what I like to do, and Ive done pretty well at it over the last year.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • MoneyLineDawg
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-01-09
                                                            • 13253

                                                            #30
                                                            Lets be honest.....99% of us aren't winning jackshit in the long run when it comes down to it betting straight -110 wagers.....Some will win a little, some will lose a little....hot streaks, cold streaks, stress, what's the point

                                                            These longshot futures are a fun way to gamble with a chance to really make a huge score

                                                            Whatever works
                                                            Comment
                                                            • RRNJ13
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 09-03-14
                                                              • 282

                                                              #31
                                                              Good for you and I hope this hits as well
                                                              Comment
                                                              • STAX
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-01-13
                                                                • 3718

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by MoneyLineDawg
                                                                Lets be honest.....99% of us aren't winning jackshit in the long run when it comes down to it betting straight -110 wagers.....Some will win a little, some will lose a little....hot streaks, cold streaks, stress, what's the point

                                                                These longshot futures are a fun way to gamble with a chance to really make a huge score

                                                                Whatever works
                                                                exactly, nowhere do I claim to be a professional. I do it for fun and added excitement, but I also take it serious and try to win
                                                                Comment
                                                                • gregmav1
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 01-09-14
                                                                  • 1830

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Yeah man, I mean you can do no wrong here. You sniped the probably the 2 biggest longshots at the beginning that are still in it. If you lose, you lose $7, big deal. I just hate to see such a good snipe go down tomorrow, as I think Oregon does get the win and this huge parlay is killed on a single game. You have SUCH good value with this bet right now that I feel like you gotta turn it into some kind of profit, that's all. But good luck, let us know what you end up doing, I'll be curious.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Ghenghis Kahn
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 01-02-12
                                                                    • 19734

                                                                    #34
                                                                    i still think you should've hedged that $40,000 parlay but this one, just let it ride...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Stringer Bell
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 10-14-09
                                                                      • 791

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I like your philosophy STAX. Less stress, more fun.

                                                                      I like OSU ML tomorrow for sure. If you want to be safe I would possibly put money on Oregon ML if they are losing in the 3rd or 4th, but other than that let it ride.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      Search
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...