Don't be Superstitious**** Share your Top Lean so far For NFL this week

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  • Big Bear
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 11-01-11
    • 43253

    #1
    Don't be Superstitious**** Share your Top Lean so far For NFL this week
    What looks good for NFL this weekend?

    please recommend your top play
  • chipshipley
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-18-14
    • 637

    #2
    dallas -3 cards +7
    Comment
    • Seaweed
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 01-19-12
      • 26318

      #3
      Falcons

      Vikings

      Broncos
      Comment
      • Jeffie
        SBR MVP
        • 04-06-12
        • 3428

        #4
        Originally posted by Big Bear
        What looks good for NFL this weekend?

        please recommend your top play
        So far lines look super sharp, i think Browns fall apart and its gonna start in Atlanta.
        Atl-3
        Den -7
        Comment
        • POOLSIDE
          SBR MVP
          • 09-06-14
          • 2839

          #5
          Saints
          Comment
          • colleewobbles
            SBR Hustler
            • 09-03-14
            • 69

            #6
            KC-7 at OAK. Hows Da Raidaz even gonna score on this totally fired up Defense of KC just off a "fairly" dominating home win against the reigning super bowl champs and on a 5 win tear? I feel KC is very "right" coming into this game, determined to make a statement on their solidity and cohesiveness as a unit, tied with Denver both with 7-3 records I believe that they do not want to risk squandering the opportunity handed them by that surprising Denver loss at St. Louis, that they are invigorated by it and HC Andy Reid will have them mentally focused and merciless in this spot like a shark with blood in the water desirous of POUNCING AND POUNDING on the hapless Raiders. Would not surprise me if they shut OAK out in this matchup. Would surprise me if they can not manage to post a convincing W in this spot. Stupid to give a TD on the road I know and especially in a DIV tilt but at 1-1 in the Division, Broncos at 3-0 and San Diego at 2-2 this is an important game for KC and totally not one they can afford to "overlook". Veteran HC Reid fully understands that and I trust that he will have his soldiers grasping this fact also.
            Comment
            • boomer62
              SBR MVP
              • 09-10-11
              • 1500

              #7
              Originally posted by colleewobbles
              KC-7 at OAK. Hows Da Raidaz even gonna score on this totally fired up Defense of KC just off a "fairly" dominating home win against the reigning super bowl champs and on a 5 win tear? I feel KC is very "right" coming into this game, determined to make a statement on their solidity and cohesiveness as a unit, tied with Denver both with 7-3 records I believe that they do not want to risk squandering the opportunity handed them by that surprising Denver loss at St. Louis, that they are invigorated by it and HC Andy Reid will have them mentally focused and merciless in this spot like a shark with blood in the water desirous of POUNCING AND POUNDING on the hapless Raiders. Would not surprise me if they shut OAK out in this matchup. Would surprise me if they can not manage to post a convincing W in this spot. Stupid to give a TD on the road I know and especially in a DIV tilt but at 1-1 in the Division, Broncos at 3-0 and San Diego at 2-2 this is an important game for KC and totally not one they can afford to "overlook". Veteran HC Reid fully understands that and I trust that he will have his soldiers grasping this fact also.
              Exactly the reason to bet Oakland...great spot for them.....like them a lot,Joe public
              Comment
              • colleewobbles
                SBR Hustler
                • 09-03-14
                • 69

                #8
                You signing your post as "Joe Public" of course, correct?
                Comment
                • colleewobbles
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 09-03-14
                  • 69

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Seaweed
                  Vikings
                  Comment
                  • boomer62
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-10-11
                    • 1500

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Big Bear
                    What looks good for NFL this weekend?

                    please recommend your top play
                    I see you are starting your handicapping process.......just do what you always do pick 5 favorites and do a 5 team parlay with the ML......
                    Comment
                    • boomer62
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-10-11
                      • 1500

                      #11
                      Originally posted by colleewobbles
                      You signing your post as "Joe Public" of course, correct?
                      Not me....who then
                      Comment
                      • colleewobbles
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 09-03-14
                        • 69

                        #12
                        Originally posted by boomer62
                        Not me....who then
                        You BASTID!! That was a brilliant writeup on my part esay. When the others wake up there gonna tear you a new one for callin' me JOPUB.

                        You should RUN!!
                        Comment
                        • dfish
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-17-10
                          • 2730

                          #13
                          Detroit
                          Nothing to back it up,just gut feeling its a close game
                          Comment
                          • BIGDAY
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 02-17-10
                            • 48245

                            #14
                            Packers.
                            Comment
                            • 16kredit
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 11-16-13
                              • 572

                              #15
                              Dolphins plus 7
                              and STL + points
                              Comment
                              • jjgold
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 07-20-05
                                • 388179

                                #16
                                I never look at lines Bear until NFL Sunday 1hr before kickoff

                                only pros bet then
                                Comment
                                • Smoke
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 10-09-09
                                  • 48111

                                  #17
                                  Too early
                                  Comment
                                  • slacker00
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 10-06-05
                                    • 12262

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by dfish
                                    Detroit
                                    Nothing to back it up,just gut feeling its a close game
                                    Yes, Detroit has the #1 defense in the NFL. If the offense can just wake up from it's coma, the sky is the limit.
                                    Comment
                                    • lukey016
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 02-04-14
                                      • 223

                                      #19
                                      Cardinals +7, best play for me!
                                      Comment
                                      • Big Bear
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 11-01-11
                                        • 43253

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by colleewobbles
                                        KC-7 at OAK. Hows Da Raidaz even gonna score on this totally fired up Defense of KC just off a "fairly" dominating home win against the reigning super bowl champs and on a 5 win tear? I feel KC is very "right" coming into this game, determined to make a statement on their solidity and cohesiveness as a unit, tied with Denver both with 7-3 records I believe that they do not want to risk squandering the opportunity handed them by that surprising Denver loss at St. Louis, that they are invigorated by it and HC Andy Reid will have them mentally focused and merciless in this spot like a shark with blood in the water desirous of POUNCING AND POUNDING on the hapless Raiders. Would not surprise me if they shut OAK out in this matchup. Would surprise me if they can not manage to post a convincing W in this spot. Stupid to give a TD on the road I know and especially in a DIV tilt but at 1-1 in the Division, Broncos at 3-0 and San Diego at 2-2 this is an important game for KC and totally not one they can afford to "overlook". Veteran HC Reid fully understands that and I trust that he will have his soldiers grasping this fact also.
                                        i hear ya. Road teams in these prime time games historically have been risky bets.

                                        Only thing is Oakland is a very tough place to play a night game and 7 points is a lot to lay on the road.

                                        Maybe a Duke ML + Chiefs ML parlay is in order tomorrow night?
                                        Comment
                                        • Big Bear
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 11-01-11
                                          • 43253

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by lukey016
                                          Cardinals +7, best play for me!
                                          any reasoning?do u just think seattle overrated and Arizona not intimidated by the 12th man?

                                          this is could be a revenge spot/ blood bath for the Cards.

                                          They seem very pedestrian on the road. Got beat by over 20 at Denver...
                                          Comment
                                          • Big Bear
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 11-01-11
                                            • 43253

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by dfish
                                            Detroit
                                            Nothing to back it up,just gut feeling its a close game
                                            matchup to watch
                                            Browner vs Megatron

                                            Can Revis shut down Tate?

                                            maybe Detroit will cover Sunday and Thursday?

                                            they can name the score vs Bears right?
                                            Comment
                                            • TheLock
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 04-06-08
                                              • 14427

                                              #23
                                              Raiders and Giants
                                              Comment
                                              • GunShard
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 03-05-10
                                                • 10031

                                                #24
                                                Two team 7 point teaser on the top two best QBs in the league with home field advantage;
                                                Broncos and Patriots.
                                                Comment
                                                • Big Bear
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 11-01-11
                                                  • 43253

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by GunShard
                                                  Two team 7 point teaser on the top two best QBs in the league with home field advantage;
                                                  Broncos and Patriots.
                                                  what about a 3 team ML parlay of Patriots, Broncos, Seahawks?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • colleewobbles
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 09-03-14
                                                    • 69

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                    Maybe a Duke ML + Chiefs ML parlay is in order tomorrow night?
                                                    I think if you'd watched last week's DOOK game vs. Va Tech you'd not be contemplating messing with DOOK. CrunchTime they got OWNED by Va Tech, VT's DEF were LIVING in the backfield literally destroying the Dookies. And this at Duke's house, a humiliating defeat they looked like a HS Junior Varsity team against a Va tech team that just has not dominated a team all year as they did Duke. Duke are the biggest pretenders on the stage, the fact they were ranked 21 at the time of that humiliation to Va tech illustrates that the rating systems is a joke set by fools who base their rankings on factors that have completely no thing to do with actual ability to play football.

                                                    While I'm not comfortable recommending a Duke fade and a play on NC here cuz they are capable of sucking massively as well (but not on the level that Duke does....with the exception of their game vs. East Carolina) you might be better of flippin' a coin on the KState/WVU matchup as a 2nd.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • lakerboy
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 04-02-09
                                                      • 94379

                                                      #27
                                                      this nfl card is very tough. lines are supersharp
                                                      Comment
                                                      • colleewobbles
                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                        • 09-03-14
                                                        • 69

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                        i hear ya. Road teams in these prime time games historically have been risky bets.

                                                        Only thing is Oakland is a very tough place to play a night game and 7 points is a lot to lay on the road.
                                                        Good points but....I thought the theme was "Thursday Night Blowout" or....has that promo ended? Overall you're right tho Bear, common sense has to prevail and the general wisdom of not laying that much on a road team in a Primetime Divisional game observed. Discipline is the key to success....prolonged success anyways.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • LT Profits
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 10-27-06
                                                          • 90963

                                                          #29
                                                          Bengals / Texans UNDER 43.5
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Big Bear
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 11-01-11
                                                            • 43253

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by colleewobbles
                                                            I think if you'd watched last week's DOOK game vs. Va Tech you'd not be contemplating messing with DOOK. CrunchTime they got OWNED by Va Tech, VT's DEF were LIVING in the backfield literally destroying the Dookies. And this at Duke's house, a humiliating defeat they looked like a HS Junior Varsity team against a Va tech team that just has not dominated a team all year as they did Duke. Duke are the biggest pretenders on the stage, the fact they were ranked 21 at the time of that humiliation to Va tech illustrates that the rating systems is a joke set by fools who base their rankings on factors that have completely no thing to do with actual ability to play football.

                                                            While I'm not comfortable recommending a Duke fade and a play on NC here cuz they are capable of sucking massively as well (but not on the level that Duke does....with the exception of their game vs. East Carolina) you might be better of flippin' a coin on the KState/WVU matchup as a 2nd.
                                                            no i actually lean UNC if i was going to play the spread... UNC will score on Duke plenty and Duke's football stadium is smaller than several high school stadiums. They have less than 3,000 current students.

                                                            Duke will have zero home field advantage as UNC is only 15 minutes away and Duke students will probably be studying instead of being loud at the game...

                                                            problem is that UNC defense cant stop a nose bleed.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Big Bear
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 11-01-11
                                                              • 43253

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                              Bengals / Texans UNDER 43.5
                                                              totals are for suckers LT
                                                              Comment
                                                              • LT Profits
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 10-27-06
                                                                • 90963

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                                totals are for suckers LT
                                                                Check my NFL season. Doing well in both Sides & Totals.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • swordsandtequila
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 02-23-12
                                                                  • 9757

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                                  no i actually lean UNC if i was going to play the spread... UNC will score on Duke plenty and Duke's football stadium is smaller than several high school stadiums. They have less than 3,000 current students.

                                                                  Duke will have zero home field advantage as UNC is only 15 minutes away and Duke students will probably be studying instead of being loud at the game...

                                                                  problem is that UNC defense cant stop a nose bleed.
                                                                  Quit spouting nonsense. Duke's enrollment is 5 times your post. And it's not relevant anyway. UNC is Duke's biggest rival, doubt the students will "be studying instead of being loud at the game...". Come on Bear.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • WildCelticsFan
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 05-19-14
                                                                    • 5420

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Chiefs, cardinals, bengals, green bay, chargers
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • colleewobbles
                                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                                      • 09-03-14
                                                                      • 69

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                                      Duke's football stadium is smaller than several high school stadiums.
                                                                      Rightly so I'd reckon. They really belong in a Junior Pop Warner League. They'd prolly get owned there as well though.

                                                                      Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                                      Duke will have zero home field advantage as UNC is only 15 minutes away
                                                                      Thats the angle I like in this game, with all the undeserved hype Duke has received UNC should show up with an interest in winning.

                                                                      Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                                      and Duke students will probably be studying instead of being loud at the game...
                                                                      If they were at the last game I'd expect the last place they'd be is at this one but youth has, blessedly, a boundless ability to not lose confidence so they'll prolly be a few there.

                                                                      Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                                      problem is that UNC defense cant stop a nose bleed.
                                                                      Duke less powerful than a nosebleed. UNC off an improved last 5 games outlasting Georgia Tech and Pittsburgh but dreadfully short week....

                                                                      Sat, Oct 11 @ Notre Dame L 43 - 50 Final
                                                                      Sat, Oct 18 vs Georgia Tech W 43 - 48 Final
                                                                      Sat, Oct 25 @ Virginia W 28 - 27 Final
                                                                      Sat, Nov 1 @ Miami (FL) L 20 - 47 Final
                                                                      Sat, Nov 15 vs Pittsburgh W 35 - 40 Final

                                                                      Obviously the best play is no play but any play for me is gonna be tiny and on UNC just cuz I am square and seek out aggravation which would most likely be the result as Duke prolly shows up interested in winning this game, for whatever reason. 20ish year old kids, who can cap this shizzat? No one thats who.
                                                                      Comment
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