12/22/14
PSU -9.5 -101 3x
PSU -9.5 -101 3x
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12/22/14 Results
PSU -9.5 -101 3x W
1-0-0, +3x
Overall 44-47-5, -8.15xComment -
12/27/14
IU/Gtown O150 -105 2xComment -
Louisville +6 -105 2xComment -
12/27/14 Results
IU/Gtown O150 -105 2x W
Louisville +6 -105 2x L
1-1-0, -.1x
Overall 45-48-5, -8.25xComment -
12/30/14
Charlotte +5.5 -105 2xComment -
12/30/14 Results
Charlotte +5.5 -105 2x W
1-0-0, +2x
Overall 46-48-5, -6.25xComment -
1/2/15
St. Peter's +5.5 -101 2xComment -
1/2/15 Results
St. Peter's +5.5 -101 2x W
1-0-0, +2x
Overall 47-48-5, -4.25xComment -
1/3/15
Seton Hall +7.5 -102 2x
KState +7.5 -105 1x
NCSt -3.5 -103 1xComment -
Providence/Marquette O128 -105 1xComment -
awesome picks!Comment -
1/3/15 Results
Seton Hall +7.5 -102 2x W
KState +7.5 -105 1x L
NCSt -3.5 -103 1x W
Providence/Marquette O128 -105 1x W
3-1-0, +2.95x
Overall 50-49-5, -1.3xComment -
1/4/15
Charlotte -1 +100 2xComment -
Arizona -14 -102 5x
Ok here's the rare write up from me, because this is a big play. I'm an Arizona homer and usually when I bet on them it is just a homer bet for the fun of it with no capping or insight. Not this time. Cats are coming off a loss to UNLV, their first non conference loss in a while. And they could have won it but made mistakes down the stretch. Stanley Johnson had a huge learning experience, as he was personally responsible for a couple of crucial mistakes in the end that basically cost them the game. The team has had a lot of time off, and their only focus is on beating the shit out of their rival ASU, at home in front of a McKale center crowd that will be loud as fukk. They are the superior team to begin with and should win easily anyways, but given the factors mentioned above, I have no problem laying that many points. They are not going to let up at all, lessening the chance of a backdoor cover in garbage time. I see this as a 20-30 point blowout, with no shortage of sportscenter highlights from Johnson and Hollis-Jefferson.Comment -
...and there it isComment -
1/4/15 Results
Charlotte -1 +100 2x L
Arizona -14 -102 5x W
1-1-0, +3x
Overall 51-50-5, +1.7xLast edited by Filmoz; 01-05-15, 08:26 AM.Comment -
1/5/15
UNC -8.5 -110 3x
Books open with 11-3 UNC as an 8.5 pt favorite against a 14-1, higher-ranked Notre Dame team.
ND's record comes against mostly weak competition. Best win is a one-point overtime victory at home against a Michigan State team that has since fallen from the rankings. Sole loss is a one-point, highish-scoring affair against a decent Providence, on a neutral court. Offensively they have been very productive, but defensively very mediocre. They have predictably blown out all the cupcake opponents. Halfway decent lesser opponents have scored in at least the sixties. And similar level opponents have all put up 70+. Their rebounding has not been very good. They have multiple guys who can and do shoot the three and they are hitting at a decent percentage, however they have not shot the three particularly well against their strongest opponents.
UNC has had some ups and downs so far, but that's typical of Roy Williams-coached UNC teams. Their sole home loss this season was a tightly contested, low-scoring affair against a very solid Iowa team. Not a bad loss. Good wins against Florida and Ohio State. Won against UCLA who was ranked at the time but now has been sucking, but they did blow them out regardless. They are very productive offensively, putting up 80+ ppg similar PPG to ND, probably more productive than ND adjusting for strength of competition. They are a great rebounding team, do not shoot the three ball well and do not really take as many threes in the first place. Spread the ball around well.
Big situational factors here. This is Notre Dame's first true road game, and they are going into a tough road environment at UNC, in one of these early-in-the-new-year games where nearly all of the students are back and packing the arena, especially when hosting a higher-ranked opponent. ND is also coming off a double-OT win just yesterday. UNC played yesterday as well, but it was an easy victory at Clemson, and they are now coming home. Books opened the line so high for a reason. This is a classic spot situation you see repeated season after season.
UNC should get off to a fast start. ND could keep up and make it a high-scoring track meet type game to keep it close, but I think UNC will be able to contain them defensively. The environment should affect ND, likely to see them be off on the 3-point game and just all-around out of sync. UNC gets off to an early lead and runs away with it.Comment -
any thoughts on indiana 1st h +5?Comment -
thanks for the writeups i missed ur big play damn
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Adding 2 units on UNC at -8 -103. 75% of the public on Notre Dame, and I continue to feel very strongly about this game.
UNC -8.5 -110 3x
UNC -8 -103 2x
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Towson -2.5 -109 2x
Again, we have the team with the lesser record laying points against the team with the better record. More of the public on Elon, although not necessarily a huge consideration in a smaller market game like this.
Towson is 7-7, currently in a six-game losing streak after rattling off several wins earlier in the season. Their toughest games have all been losses. Got blown out by Alabama first game of the season. Got blown out by Georgetown. Hung with Temple, beat bad by LaSalle.
Elon is 9-5, having just won four in a row. They have a good win in overtime against Northwestern. They have two losses against Mizzou and Duke where the final score appears to be respectable, although closer inspection reveals they were getting handled at the half and the better teams just put it on cruise control in the second half.
This one comes down to matchups and situation. Elon playing back to back road games, with one day rest in between. Towson one day rest as well, but will be back home after a loss to JMU on the road. Elon's Luke Eddy, a strong contributor with 13 ppg, has been out with a knee injury and I *believe* will be out again tonight. Elon has a good 3-point shooter in Tanner Samson, however Towson has generally defended well against the three-ball, holding all but their top-tier opponents to respectably low percentages. Towson also has their own good 3-point shooter in Four McGlynn, a 6'2" guard who averages 13.9 ppg and scored 20 pts at Temple, and 27 in their overtime loss versus FDU. He is shooting .415 from 3-point range, consistent with his .405 last season. Elon has a stud in freshman Elijah Bryant, a 6'4" guard who is averaging 13.9 ppg but has scored 20, 25, 13, and 32 in the last four games. However, he has generally hovered close to his average, and Towson should be able to defend him competently.
Size-wise the matchups are good for Towson. They have a 6'9" forward in Gavrivolic, a European player, with good experience under his belt having transferred after two seasons at Dayton. He is a good rebounder and capable of putting up points as well, scoring 17 at Temple. They also have a 6'8" forward in Foster, a 6'5" small forward in Davis who is a very good rebounder and has been upward trending in ppg, scoring 15 ppg last two games. Towson is bigger in the frontcourt and more or less evenly matched in the backcourt.
This is a buy-low, sell-high situation. Towson in a bad losing streak, Elon in a winning streak. Elon with the better record, and seemingly with better performances against tougher opponents. And yet the books hang a -2.5 next to Towson, which has now moved to -3 or -3.5 in some places. Tells you all you need to know. I see Towson pulling away at the end with an 8-12 point win here, although it may be more closely contested earlier in the game.Last edited by Filmoz; 01-05-15, 06:13 PM.Comment -
1/5/15 Results
UNC -8.5 -110 3x L
UNC -8 -103 2x L
Towson -2.5 -109 2x W
1-2-0, -3.36x
Overall 52-52-5, -1.66xComment -
1/6/15
Marquette +8.5 -105 2xComment -
Butler -6 -105 2xComment -
SLU +15.5 -108 1x
Minny -1.5 -105 2x
UConn -8 -108 1x
FSU -9.5 -107 1xComment -
any love for ok st +8?Comment -
1/6/15 Results
Marquette +8.5 -105 2x W
Butler -6 -105 2x L
SLU +15.5 -108 1x W
Minny -1.5 -105 2x L
UConn -8 -108 1x W
FSU -9.5 -107 1x W
4-2-0, +.8x
Overall 56-54-5, -.86xComment -
1/8/15
Rutgers +9.5 -101 1x
Clev St -8 -105 1xComment -
1/8/15 Results
Rutgers +9.5 -101 1x L
Clev St -8 -105 1x L
0-2-0, -2.06x
Overall 56-56-5, -2.92xComment -
1/10/15
IU +2.5 -105 2x
Georgetown/Prov U133 -105 2xComment -
Bang bang cash em bothComment
